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Willis Lease Finance (WLFC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $131.58 | Market Cap: $896.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Willis Lease Finance (WLFC)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $131.58
Market Cap: $896.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.8%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 238%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -60%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 41%
Key risks
WLFC key risks include [1] its high leverage and persistent negative free cash flow, Show more.
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
 
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
 
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Aviation Industry. Themes include Commercial Aircraft Engine Leasing, and Aircraft Engine MRO & Asset Management.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 41%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Aviation Industry. Themes include Commercial Aircraft Engine Leasing, and Aircraft Engine MRO & Asset Management.
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 238%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -60%
8 Key risks
WLFC key risks include [1] its high leverage and persistent negative free cash flow, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WLFC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Willis Lease Finance (WLFC) experienced a significant downturn in its stock price during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, as part of a larger negative trend in 2025. Although a precise -10.8% movement cannot be isolated without minute-by-minute future data, several key factors contributed to the negative stock performance within this timeframe.

1. Significant Decline in Third Quarter 2025 Net Income
Willis Lease Finance Corporation reported a substantial decrease in net income for the third quarter of 2025, with a 59.78% reduction compared to the previous quarter. This significant drop, announced around November 4, 2025, directly impacted the company's profitability and investor sentiment.

2. Challenges with Margin Decline
Coinciding with the Q3 2025 earnings report, market commentary highlighted "Margin Decline Challenges" which presented a negative outlook for the company's financial health, further challenging bullish narratives.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WLFC Return-48%24%57%-17%333%-35%134%
Peers Return4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WLFC Win Rate50%42%42%58%75%33% 
Peers Win Rate48%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WLFC Max Drawdown-75%-11%-19%-37%-5%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSO, UHAL, URI, FAST, FERG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWLFCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven346 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-75.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven311.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven966 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,749 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-54.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven325 days1,480 days

Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FAST, FERG


In The Past

Willis Lease Finance's stock fell -41.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/9/2023. A -41.0% loss requires a 69.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Willis Lease Finance (WLFC)

Better Bets than Willis Lease Finance (WLFC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WLFC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Willis Lease Finance

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WLFCWSOUHALURIFASTFERGMedian
NameWillis L.Watsco U-Haul United R.Fastenal Ferguson. 
Mkt Price132.18346.2352.31792.5441.87225.00178.59
Mkt Cap0.913.110.350.848.144.128.6
Rev LTM6897,4145,97215,9867,99831,1597,706
Op Inc LTM2867347004,0091,6162,7891,175
FCF LTM-412517-1,8204509651,647484
FCF 3Y Avg-210540-1,7174461,0691,765493
CFO LTM2775491,6204,9821,2101,9931,415
CFO 3Y Avg2625731,5334,8121,2792,1451,406

Growth & Margins

WLFCWSOUHALURIFASTFERGMedian
NameWillis L.Watsco U-Haul United R.Fastenal Ferguson. 
Rev Chg LTM29.9%-0.7%5.9%6.7%6.9%4.9%6.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg32.0%1.0%0.5%13.2%5.5%1.6%3.6%
Rev Chg Q25.4%-4.3%3.7%5.9%11.7%5.1%5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.7%-1.2%1.0%1.5%2.9%1.3%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM41.5%9.9%11.7%25.1%20.2%9.0%16.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg40.1%10.2%16.6%26.5%20.4%8.9%18.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%-0.1%-0.6%-0.4%0.1%0.2%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM40.2%7.4%27.1%31.2%15.1%6.4%21.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg50.4%7.7%26.5%32.2%16.9%7.1%21.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-59.7%7.0%-30.5%2.8%12.1%5.3%4.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-33.3%7.3%-29.6%2.9%14.2%5.9%4.4%

Valuation

WLFCWSOUHALURIFASTFERGMedian
NameWillis L.Watsco U-Haul United R.Fastenal Ferguson. 
Mkt Cap0.913.110.350.848.144.128.6
P/S1.42.11.93.87.01.42.0
P/EBIT3.120.917.915.034.7-17.9
P/E7.629.348.124.245.922.526.8
P/CFO3.427.96.912.346.522.117.2
Total Yield13.9%6.4%2.4%4.9%3.9%4.4%4.7%
Dividend Yield0.8%3.0%0.3%0.7%1.7%0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-20.6%3.4%-14.2%0.9%2.7%-0.9%
D/E2.40.00.70.20.0-0.2
Net D/E2.4-0.00.50.20.0-0.2

Returns

WLFCWSOUHALURIFASTFERGMedian
NameWillis L.Watsco U-Haul United R.Fastenal Ferguson. 
1M Rtn5.4%2.5%6.4%-1.7%5.5%-4.5%3.9%
3M Rtn-12.0%-9.9%-6.4%-14.7%-10.7%0.6%-10.3%
6M Rtn-6.4%-17.0%-15.8%13.9%1.9%5.8%-2.2%
12M Rtn-37.6%-30.1%-27.7%5.4%10.1%23.7%-11.1%
3Y Rtn143.8%46.8%-12.5%131.5%88.6%-88.6%
1M Excs Rtn4.6%1.7%5.6%-2.5%4.7%-5.3%3.2%
3M Excs Rtn-12.9%-10.5%-8.8%-17.1%-12.2%-2.8%-11.4%
6M Excs Rtn-18.8%-29.4%-28.2%1.5%-10.5%-6.6%-14.6%
12M Excs Rtn-47.6%-41.4%-39.7%-8.4%-2.1%11.0%-24.0%
3Y Excs Rtn64.6%-27.7%-87.1%58.6%6.3%-6.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Leasing and Related Operations2,6032,5302,4162,3121,898
Spare Parts Sales4945475342
Eliminations00   
Total2,6522,5752,4632,3651,941


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity372,260
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-12.8%
Average Daily Volume42,640
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.73
Basic Shares Quantity6,813,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-6.0%-3.6%1.9%
8/5/20257.8%8.6%4.4%
3/10/2025-17.0%-3.9%-25.5%
11/4/2024-0.2%9.3%12.1%
8/1/202418.9%8.1%22.8%
3/13/2024-1.6%1.6%-0.2%
11/3/20230.3%-1.4%4.2%
8/3/20235.8%4.8%-1.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1178
# Negative71110
Median Positive2.6%8.6%15.7%
Median Negative-5.4%-2.1%-8.3%
Max Positive18.9%19.7%53.0%
Max Negative-17.0%-49.0%-28.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Willis Austin ChandlerChief Executive Officer11052025Sell125.741,496188,11123,207,953Form