Barrett Business Services (BBSI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.47 | Market Cap: $911.2 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services
Barrett Business Services (BBSI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.47Market Cap: $911.2 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Human Resource & Employment Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include HR Outsourcing & PEO Services, Workforce Management Solutions, and Regulatory Compliance & Risk Management. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include HR Outsourcing & PEO Services, Workforce Management Solutions, and Regulatory Compliance & Risk Management. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BBSI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Barrett Business Services (BBSI) experienced a significant stock movement of approximately -27.1% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily driven by its third-quarter 2025 financial results and the subsequent market reaction.
1. Missed Earnings Per Share (EPS) in Q3 2025. The company reported an EPS of $0.79 for the third quarter of 2025, which fell short of analysts' consensus estimates that ranged from $0.81 to $0.83. This miss on profitability was a key factor in the negative investor sentiment.
2. Adjusted EBITDA Below Expectations. Barrett Business Services' adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 came in at $26.88 million, missing analyst expectations by 7.7% to 7.9%. This indicated a lower-than-anticipated operational profitability, further impacting the stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BBSI Return | -23% | 3% | 37% | 26% | 51% | -19% | 68% |
| Peers Return | 38% | 25% | -14% | -3% | -14% | -19% | -1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BBSI Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 60% | 46% | 46% | 54% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BBSI Max Drawdown | -68% | -8% | -15% | -16% | -6% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -19% | -25% | -23% | -29% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PAYX, TBI, JOB, ELCG, ADP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BBSI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 168 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 213.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 964 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1417 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -70.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 239.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1293 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PAYX, TBI, JOB, ELCG, ADP
In The Past
Barrett Business Services's stock fell -31.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/3/2021. A -31.1% loss requires a 45.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BBSI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Barrett Business Services
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 35.48 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,584 |
| Op Inc LTM | 64 |
| FCF LTM | 27 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 18 |
| CFO LTM | 43 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 33 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.9 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 15.4 |
| P/E | 20.8 |
| P/CFO | 24.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -14.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -19.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -1.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -69.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3062023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3072022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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