BETA Technologies (BETA)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $15.47 | Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
BETA Technologies (BETA)
Market Price (4/4/2026): $15.47Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -43% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -364 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1322% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 128x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 111% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -996%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1241% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25% Key risksBETA key risks include [1] potential financial distress from substantial operating losses and high cash burn, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -364 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1322% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 128x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 111% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -996%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1241% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -25% |
| Key risksBETA key risks include [1] potential financial distress from substantial operating losses and high cash burn, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. BETA Technologies reported a significantly wider-than-expected net loss in its Q4 2025 earnings, leading to investor concern over escalating cash burn. The company's GAAP EPS for Q4 2025 was -$2.02, substantially missing analyst estimates of -$0.49 per share. The full-year net loss for 2025 more than doubled to $745.9 million, underscoring the high capital requirements of the eVTOL industry.
2. The company projected continued substantial operating losses and significant cash usage for 2026, signaling a prolonged path to profitability. BETA's operating expenses increased to $398 million in 2025, up from $283 million in 2024, with research and development accounting for $260 million. The guidance for 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is a loss between -$305 million and -$395 million, and the company expects to utilize approximately $500 million in cash during the year before any eVTOL Integration Pilot Program (eIPP) investments.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -45.2% change in BETA stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -2.4% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.21 | 15.47 | -45.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 28 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 128.7 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 224 | 229 | -2.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BETA | -45.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 40.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 5.6% | 41.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BETA | ||
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 47.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 6.5% | 44.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BETA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 47.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 26.3% | 44.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BETA | ||
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 47.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 68.8% | 44.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BETA Return | - | - | - | - | -22% | -47% | -58% |
| Peers Return | -4% | -29% | 68% | 12% | 4% | -17% | 12% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BETA Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 50% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 40% | 50% | 40% | 47% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BETA Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -35% | -52% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -42% | -11% | -33% | -31% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: JOBY, ACHR, EVEX, TXT, HON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
BETA has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to JOBY, ACHR, EVEX, TXT, HON
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
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About BETA Technologies (BETA)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for BETA Technologies:
- Tesla for electric aircraft
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Electric Aircraft: High-performance electric aircraft, including the ALIA CTOL variant, designed for various missions such as cargo, logistics, defense, passenger, and medical operations.
- Electric Propulsion Systems: Advanced electric propulsion systems sold as core components to other eVTOL manufacturers and entities in the aerospace and marine industries.
- Charging Systems and Infrastructure: Ground support equipment (GSE), including charge cubes and thermal management systems, along with a nationwide charging network, designed for electric aircraft and ground vehicles.
- Replacement Batteries: Proprietary battery packs provided as replacements for BETA aircraft operators in the aftermarket.
- BETA Operate Digital Platform: A fully-integrated digital platform offering real-time flight monitoring, charging infrastructure management, predictive maintenance, and operational optimization for electric aircraft fleets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
BETA Technologies primarily sells to other companies and governmental entities. Its major customers include:- UPS (NYSE: UPS)
- United Therapeutics Corporation (NASDAQ: UTHR)
- Air New Zealand (NZX: AIR)
- U.S. Military
- Textron eAviation (part of Textron Inc., NYSE: TXT)
- Bristow (NYSE: VTOL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Kyle Clark, Chief Executive Officer & Board Member
Kyle Clark is the President and Chief Executive Officer of BETA Technologies, leading all technical and strategic components of the business including design, test and certification strategy, and commercialization of the ALIA aircraft platform. He has served as CEO since the company's inception in June 2018. Mr. Clark is one of the test pilots for all of BETA's experimental aircraft and has founded companies in electrification, energy storage, and collaboration software. He co-founded iTherm Technologies and was previously the Director of Engineering at Dynapower Company (now Sensata Technologies Holding PLC), where he established and managed an engineering team that designed, manufactured, certified, and deployed power systems. Prior to his entrepreneurial career, he played professional hockey for the Washington Capitals organization. Mr. Clark holds patents in the areas of production of electrical aircraft and associated batteries or related technologies and received an A.B. in Materials Sciences and Engineering from Harvard University.
Herman V. Cueto, Chief Financial Officer
Herman V. Cueto has served as BETA Technologies' Chief Financial Officer since April 1, 2025. He brings over 30 years of global finance leadership experience across the medical technology and life sciences sectors. Prior to joining BETA, Mr. Cueto held senior executive roles including Interim CFO at Dentsply Sirona (Nasdaq: XRAY) from December 2024 to March 2025, and EVP & CFO at Azenta Life Sciences (Nasdaq: AZTA) from October 2023 to December 2024. He also held various roles during his tenure at Becton Dickinson (NYSE: BDX) from June 2004 to October 2023, including Deputy CFO starting in October 2022.
Sean Donovan, Chief Operating Officer
Sean Donovan serves as the Chief Operating Officer of BETA Technologies, a position he has held since October 2024. Mr. Donovan has been with BETA since March 2019, serving in various roles including Team Member and Battery Lead. With over 15 years of experience, his engineering career has focused on advancing innovative, high-impact technologies in aerospace, electric vehicles, and sustainable energy systems. Before joining BETA, Mr. Donovan held key engineering and leadership roles at several prominent technology companies.
David Churchill, Chief Technical Officer & Board Member
Dr. David Churchill is the Chief Technology Officer of BETA Technologies, leading the engineering team, a role he has held since June 2018. Prior to BETA, he was the VP of Engineering for the Sensing Systems business unit of LORD-Microstrain Corp since 2012, where he led research and development efforts for new product lines, including energy harvesting systems and inertial sensors for aerospace applications. He began his career performing R&D for the V-22 Osprey program at Boeing Helicopter Co. (NYSE: BA) and holds a Ph.D.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to BETA Technologies
- Regulatory Certification Delays or Failure: BETA Technologies' entire business model and market entry strategy are contingent upon obtaining necessary certifications for its electric aircraft from aviation authorities. The company explicitly states a target for "aircraft certification, currently targeted for late 2026." Any significant delays in the certification process, or an inability to meet the stringent regulatory requirements, would prevent the company from commercially operating or selling its aircraft, thereby critically undermining its projected revenue streams and market penetration.
- Limited or Slower-Than-Expected Market Adoption and Intense Competition: BETA Technologies is operating in a nascent "significant, untapped market opportunity in sustainable, reliable and efficient electric aviation." Despite initial traction with partners like UPS and United Therapeutics, the widespread adoption of electric aircraft in their target markets (cargo and logistics, military, medical, and eventually passenger operations) is not guaranteed and may occur at a slower pace than anticipated. The company also faces the risk of intense competition from other emerging electric aviation companies or established aerospace manufacturers who may develop competing technologies, achieve faster certification, or capture market share, potentially impacting BETA's pricing power and growth prospects.
- Challenges in Scaling Manufacturing and Advancing Core Technologies: The company's future growth relies on its ability to scale production at its "Vermont production facility," which is "designed to support production of more than 300 aircraft annually at maturity." Scaling the manufacturing of complex electric aircraft to such volumes is a substantial operational and capital-intensive challenge. Furthermore, BETA's strategy emphasizes "ownership of the battery pack technology" and other "Enabling Technologies essential to electric aviation." Any unforeseen difficulties in advancing these core proprietary technologies, or in reliably and cost-effectively producing them at scale, could negatively impact aircraft performance, maintenance costs, and the attractive margins projected for recurring revenue streams like replacement batteries.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for BETA Technologies (BETA) Over the Next 2-3 Years:
- Increased Sales and Deliveries of Electric Aircraft: BETA Technologies' market-entry strategy prioritizes selling its ALIA CTOL electric aircraft to operators in cargo and logistics, military, and medical sectors, with plans to expand into passenger operations. The company's Vermont production facility is designed to support significant annual aircraft production, indicating an anticipated increase in deliveries to customers like UPS, United Therapeutics, and military partners, driving primary aircraft sales.
- Growth in Aftermarket Battery Sales: As the installed base of BETA aircraft expands, the demand for replacement batteries is expected to generate substantial recurring revenue. The company projects that a typical electric aircraft will require multiple sets of replacement batteries over its lifetime, contributing a majority of the lifetime revenue at attractive margins.
- Expansion of Propulsion System Sales to Other eVTOL Manufacturers: BETA plans to leverage its proprietary propulsion systems by supplying them as a merchant to other eVTOL manufacturers, exemplified by its relationship with Textron eAviation. This strategy provides an additional revenue stream independent of its own aircraft sales.
- Sales of Electric Charging Infrastructure and Ground Support Equipment (GSE): Recognizing the fundamental need for electric charging, BETA has developed and deployed a range of charging infrastructure, including charge cubes and mini cubes. The company intends to sell these charging products and related GSE to state governments, operators, Fixed Base Operators, and other electric aviation companies, creating a revenue stream as the broader electric aviation ecosystem grows.
- Commercialization and Adoption of the BETA Operate Digital Platform: BETA is rolling out its integrated digital platform, "BETA Operate," designed to optimize customer operational capabilities. The Maintenance module launched in July 2025, and an initial commercially viable version of the Control Center module is targeted for the first half of 2026, with Network and Data modules expected prior to aircraft certification in late 2026. This platform is poised to generate recurring, high-margin revenue through services like real-time flight monitoring, predictive maintenance, and battery health optimization.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Inbound Investments
- BETA Technologies has received customer and government investments to establish a nationwide charging infrastructure for electric aircraft.
Capital Expenditures
- BETA Technologies has invested in an approximately 188,000 square foot production facility in Vermont, designed to support the annual production of over 300 aircraft.
- The company holds site control and permits for expanding its production facility to over 355,000 square feet to accommodate future growth.
- Significant capital has been allocated to the development and deployment of a nationwide electric charging infrastructure, including large charge cubes, mini cubes, and thermal management systems.
- Ongoing investment is dedicated to the development of the "BETA Operate" digital platform, with modules for Maintenance (launched July 2025), Control Center (initial commercially viable version targeted H1 2026), Network, and Data.
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Peer Comparisons
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.6 |
| Rev LTM | 40 |
| Op Inc LTM | -295 |
| FCF LTM | -259 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -137 |
| CFO LTM | -217 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -130 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -657.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -472.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -524.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.6 |
| P/S | 66.3 |
| P/EBIT | -4.6 |
| P/E | -4.5 |
| P/CFO | -7.3 |
| Total Yield | -14.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -35.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -47.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 33.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -27.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -36.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -33.1% |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/9/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 39.00 Mil | 41.00 Mil | 43.00 Mil | 32.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 31.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | -395.00 Mil | -350.00 Mil | -305.00 Mil | 12.9% | Lower New | Guidance: -310.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Davis, Charles A | Ellipse Holdings LLC | Buy | 11072025 | 32.98 | 2,941,177 | 97,000,017 | 581,979,756 | Form | |
| 2 | Churchill, David Lawrence | CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER | Domestic Partner | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 1,500 | 51,000 | 51,000 | Form |
| 3 | Dunkiel, Brian | SEE REMARKS | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 1,500 | 51,000 | 1,741,344 | Form |
| 4 | McConville, James | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 1,000 | 34,000 | 34,000 | Form | |
| 5 | Hunter, Mark William | CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER | Direct | Buy | 11072025 | 34.00 | 588 | 19,992 | 339,796 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| FinViz |
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