Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 7.9%
Key risks
SKYW key risks include [1] significant financial leverage combined with a weakening liquidity position, Show more.
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 7.9%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech.
5 Key risks
SKYW key risks include [1] significant financial leverage combined with a weakening liquidity position, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SKYW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the period between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, SkyWest (SKYW) experienced a stock price movement of -16.1%. This decline from its peak can be attributed to several factors despite generally positive company news.

1. Profit-taking following an all-time high. SkyWest's stock reached an all-time high closing price of $123.72 on August 26, 2025, just prior to the requested period. This peak likely set the stage for subsequent profit-taking by investors, leading to a natural correction in the stock price.

2. Mixed market reaction to strong Q3 2025 earnings. On October 30, 2025, SkyWest announced robust third-quarter 2025 results, with net income of $116 million ($2.81 per diluted share) and revenue beating analyst forecasts. However, despite these positive results, the stock initially dipped 1.54% in after-hours trading, suggesting that some investors may have had even higher expectations or engaged in "sell the news" behavior.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SKYW Return-37%-3%-58%216%92%3%61%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SKYW Win Rate42%33%42%83%75%67% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SKYW Max Drawdown-81%-8%-62%-0%-6%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALGT, CAKR, RJET, DAL, UAL. See SKYW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSKYWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven309.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven421 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-81.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven448.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,448 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven364 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-71.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven254.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,696 days1,480 days

Compare to ALGT, CAKR, RJET, DAL, UAL


In The Past

SkyWest's stock fell -75.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -75.6% loss requires a 309.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SkyWest (SKYW)

Better Bets than SkyWest (SKYW)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SKYW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
SKYW_2282022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02282022SKYWSkyWestDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-23.3%-32.2%-47.1%
SKYW_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312020SKYWSkyWestDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%108.0%-23.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
SKYW_2282022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02282022SKYWSkyWestDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-23.3%-32.2%-47.1%
SKYW_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE03312020SKYWSkyWestDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
13.9%108.0%-23.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SkyWest

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SKYWALGTCAKRRJETDALUALMedian
NameSkyWest Allegian.Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai.United A. 
Mkt Price101.9085.49-19.9469.72110.2785.49
Mkt Cap4.11.5--45.235.719.9
Rev LTM3,9782,578-1,35362,92058,3683,978
Op Inc LTM628154-2586,0725,165628
FCF LTM3199-1383,0743,710319
FCF 3Y Avg374-44--1231,8351,783374
CFO LTM895362-2227,9769,369895
CFO 3Y Avg758373-2457,2538,220758

Growth & Margins

SKYWALGTCAKRRJETDALUALMedian
NameSkyWest Allegian.Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai.United A. 
Rev Chg LTM19.3%3.3%-3.7%4.3%4.2%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.4%5.8%--0.1%10.8%13.2%9.4%
Rev Chg Q15.0%-0.0%-30.9%6.4%2.6%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%-0.0%-7.4%1.6%0.7%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%6.0%-19.1%9.7%8.8%9.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.5%7.3%-12.2%9.5%9.2%9.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.2%-2.1%0.3%-0.5%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM22.5%14.0%-16.4%12.7%16.1%16.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.4%14.8%-18.1%12.1%14.8%14.8%
FCF/Rev LTM8.0%0.3%-10.2%4.9%6.4%6.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.2%-1.7%--9.2%3.0%3.1%3.0%

Valuation

SKYWALGTCAKRRJETDALUALMedian
NameSkyWest Allegian.Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai.United A. 
Mkt Cap4.11.5--45.235.719.9
P/S1.00.4--0.60.50.6
P/EBIT6.0-4.3--5.65.75.6
P/E9.3-3.7--8.09.58.6
P/CFO4.53.0--4.63.33.9
Total Yield10.7%-26.7%--13.2%10.5%10.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%--0.6%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.4%-3.6%--5.7%7.7%6.7%
D/E0.61.9--0.61.00.8
Net D/E0.41.1--0.50.60.5

Returns

SKYWALGTCAKRRJETDALUALMedian
NameSkyWest Allegian.Cambodia.Republic.Delta Ai.United A. 
1M Rtn9.6%35.9%--25.0%22.6%23.8%
3M Rtn-1.7%37.8%--18.9%4.5%11.7%
6M Rtn5.2%67.3%--47.6%48.4%48.0%
12M Rtn-1.4%2.1%--16.0%16.1%9.1%
3Y Rtn512.0%29.0%--116.4%186.9%151.7%
1M Excs Rtn8.9%35.1%--24.3%21.9%23.1%
3M Excs Rtn-3.9%35.4%--16.2%3.3%9.8%
6M Excs Rtn-7.2%54.9%--35.2%36.0%35.6%
12M Excs Rtn-15.5%-10.4%--3.6%4.9%-3.4%
3Y Excs Rtn379.4%-51.3%--37.7%80.8%59.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
SkyWest Airlines and SkyWest Charter (SWC)2,3922,4922,1921,6372,479
SkyWest Leasing543513521490469
ExpressJet    24
Total2,9353,0052,7132,1272,972


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
SkyWest Leasing4,4884,4374,1684,0833,928
SkyWest Airlines and SkyWest Charter (SWC)2,5382,9782,9582,8042,729
Total7,0267,4157,1266,8886,657


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,187,903
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.1%
Average Daily Volume267,579
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.44
Basic Shares Quantity40,323,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20255.6%1.8%6.1%
7/24/20251.0%4.3%7.1%
4/24/2025-1.3%1.2%9.9%
1/30/20253.6%-0.5%-17.4%
10/31/20246.4%17.2%20.2%
7/25/2024-9.2%-9.8%-9.7%
4/25/20240.7%2.5%2.6%
2/1/20248.2%10.4%20.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121314
# Negative121110
Median Positive6.8%7.3%20.5%
Median Negative-6.2%-4.2%-9.3%
Max Positive22.4%17.2%96.2%
Max Negative-22.4%-13.4%-39.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024213202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023215202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021217202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Wooley GregEXEC VP OPERATIONS8212025Sell116.832,000233,6607,796,884Form
1Welch James L8142025Sell116.0910,0001,160,8883,217,633Form
2Childs Russell APRESIDENT & CEO8142025Sell116.0626,0003,017,65146,992,138Form
3SIMMONS ROBERT JCHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER6052025Sell103.7416,2551,686,25013,687,929Form
4Steel Wade JCHIEF COMMERCIAL OFFICER5302025Sell100.9112,8161,293,20512,270,109Form