SkyWest (SKYW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $101.93 | Market Cap: $4.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines
SkyWest (SKYW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $101.93Market Cap: $4.1 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Passenger Airlines
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 7.9% | Key risksSKYW key risks include [1] significant financial leverage combined with a weakening liquidity position, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.6%, FCF Yield is 7.9% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Key risksSKYW key risks include [1] significant financial leverage combined with a weakening liquidity position, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SKYW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the period between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, SkyWest (SKYW) experienced a stock price movement of -16.1%. This decline from its peak can be attributed to several factors despite generally positive company news.
1. Profit-taking following an all-time high. SkyWest's stock reached an all-time high closing price of $123.72 on August 26, 2025, just prior to the requested period. This peak likely set the stage for subsequent profit-taking by investors, leading to a natural correction in the stock price.
2. Mixed market reaction to strong Q3 2025 earnings. On October 30, 2025, SkyWest announced robust third-quarter 2025 results, with net income of $116 million ($2.81 per diluted share) and revenue beating analyst forecasts. However, despite these positive results, the stock initially dipped 1.54% in after-hours trading, suggesting that some investors may have had even higher expectations or engaged in "sell the news" behavior.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SKYW Return | -37% | -3% | -58% | 216% | 92% | 3% | 61% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SKYW Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 42% | 83% | 75% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SKYW Max Drawdown | -81% | -8% | -62% | -0% | -6% | -21% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALGT, CAKR, RJET, DAL, UAL. See SKYW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SKYW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -75.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 309.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 421 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -81.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 448.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,448 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 364 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 254.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2,696 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ALGT, CAKR, RJET, DAL, UAL
In The Past
SkyWest's stock fell -75.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -75.6% loss requires a 309.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SKYW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 02282022 | SKYW | SkyWest | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -23.3% | -32.2% | -47.1% |
| 03312020 | SKYW | SkyWest | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.9% | 108.0% | -23.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 02282022 | SKYW | SkyWest | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -23.3% | -32.2% | -47.1% |
| 03312020 | SKYW | SkyWest | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.9% | 108.0% | -23.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for SkyWest
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 85.49 |
| Mkt Cap | 19.9 |
| Rev LTM | 3,978 |
| Op Inc LTM | 628 |
| FCF LTM | 319 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 374 |
| CFO LTM | 895 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 758 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 16.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 19.9 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 5.6 |
| P/E | 8.6 |
| P/CFO | 3.9 |
| Total Yield | 10.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 23.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 48.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 151.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 23.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 9.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 35.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 59.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SkyWest Airlines and SkyWest Charter (SWC) | 2,392 | 2,492 | 2,192 | 1,637 | 2,479 |
| SkyWest Leasing | 543 | 513 | 521 | 490 | 469 |
| ExpressJet | 24 | ||||
| Total | 2,935 | 3,005 | 2,713 | 2,127 | 2,972 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SkyWest Leasing | 4,488 | 4,437 | 4,168 | 4,083 | 3,928 |
| SkyWest Airlines and SkyWest Charter (SWC) | 2,538 | 2,978 | 2,958 | 2,804 | 2,729 |
| Total | 7,026 | 7,415 | 7,126 | 6,888 | 6,657 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 5.6% | 1.8% | 6.1% |
| 7/24/2025 | 1.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% |
| 4/24/2025 | -1.3% | 1.2% | 9.9% |
| 1/30/2025 | 3.6% | -0.5% | -17.4% |
| 10/31/2024 | 6.4% | 17.2% | 20.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | -9.2% | -9.8% | -9.7% |
| 4/25/2024 | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| 2/1/2024 | 8.2% | 10.4% | 20.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 12 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 6.8% | 7.3% | 20.5% |
| Median Negative | -6.2% | -4.2% | -9.3% |
| Max Positive | 22.4% | 17.2% | 96.2% |
| Max Negative | -22.4% | -13.4% | -39.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7252025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wooley Greg | EXEC VP OPERATIONS | 8212025 | Sell | 116.83 | 2,000 | 233,660 | 7,796,884 | Form |
| 1 | Welch James L | 8142025 | Sell | 116.09 | 10,000 | 1,160,888 | 3,217,633 | Form | |
| 2 | Childs Russell A | PRESIDENT & CEO | 8142025 | Sell | 116.06 | 26,000 | 3,017,651 | 46,992,138 | Form |
| 3 | SIMMONS ROBERT J | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | 6052025 | Sell | 103.74 | 16,255 | 1,686,250 | 13,687,929 | Form |
| 4 | Steel Wade J | CHIEF COMMERCIAL OFFICER | 5302025 | Sell | 100.91 | 12,816 | 1,293,205 | 12,270,109 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |