Tearsheet

Archer Aviation (ACHR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.35 | Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Archer Aviation (ACHR)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.35
Market Cap: $5.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and EV Manufacturing.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -619 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%
3   Short seller report
Grizzly Reports report on 8/27/2025.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -25%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and EV Manufacturing.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -619 Mil
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -14%
7 Short seller report
Grizzly Reports report on 8/27/2025.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ACHR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I am unable to provide the requested information. The specified time period (August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025) is in the future, and therefore, I cannot provide factual reasons for stock movements during this period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ACHR Return--40%-69%228%59%-22%-24%
Peers Return-13%-2%-3%14%-2%47%36%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ACHR Win Rate 42%25%67%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate17%8%10%12%5%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ACHR Max Drawdown--46%-73%-3%-53%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-5%-7%-0%-2%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, APEX, BETA, DFSC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventACHRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven951.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-3.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven12 days148 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, APEX, BETA, DFSC


In The Past

Archer Aviation's stock fell -90.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/18/2021. A -90.5% loss requires a 951.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Archer Aviation (ACHR)

Better Bets than Archer Aviation (ACHR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ACHR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Archer Aviation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ACHRFLYATROAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameArcher A.Firefly .AstronicsAPEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
Mkt Price8.3518.5551.72-29.503.5418.55
Mkt Cap5.5-1.8---3.7
Rev LTM0101831--452
Op Inc LTM-619-21150---9-110
FCF LTM-487-19951---9-104
FCF 3Y Avg-398-8---11-11
CFO LTM-408-16574---9-87
CFO 3Y Avg-337-22---10-10

Growth & Margins

ACHRFLYATROAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameArcher A.Firefly .AstronicsAPEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
Rev Chg LTM--6.2%--166.4%86.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--19.5%--94.3%56.9%
Rev Chg Q--3.8%--330.2%167.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--0.9%--35.8%18.4%
Op Mgn LTM--209.3%6.0%---209.1%-209.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--2.2%---699.5%-348.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.7%--86.7%44.2%
CFO/Rev LTM--164.1%8.9%---212.3%-164.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--2.5%---716.7%-357.1%
FCF/Rev LTM--197.5%6.1%---216.3%-197.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--0.8%---777.8%-388.5%

Valuation

ACHRFLYATROAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameArcher A.Firefly .AstronicsAPEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
Mkt Cap5.5-1.8---3.7
P/S--1.9---1.9
P/EBIT-10.2-32.3---11.0
P/E-10.1--523.2----266.6
P/CFO-15.5-22.0---3.2
Total Yield-9.9%--0.2%----5.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-21.0%--0.5%----10.8%
D/E0.0-0.2---0.1
Net D/E-0.2-0.2----0.0

Returns

ACHRFLYATROAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameArcher A.Firefly .AstronicsAPEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
1M Rtn-19.9%-22.0%6.1%---10.6%-15.2%
3M Rtn-0.5%-58.2%40.5%--19.6%9.6%
6M Rtn-13.4%-61.1%---23.8%
12M Rtn23.7%-215.2%---119.4%
3Y Rtn228.7%-466.5%---347.6%
1M Excs Rtn-19.8%-22.0%6.1%---10.6%-15.2%
3M Excs Rtn-6.5%-62.0%27.1%--13.0%3.3%
6M Excs Rtn-28.1%-46.4%---9.1%
12M Excs Rtn-26.3%-206.7%---90.2%
3Y Excs Rtn193.4%-493.7%---343.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity97,777,843
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202522.0%
Average Daily Volume87,727,116
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.11
Basic Shares Quantity660,887,146
Short % of Basic Shares14.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021