Tearsheet

NL Industries (NL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.64 | Market Cap: $275.6 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Security & Alarm Services

NL Industries (NL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $5.64
Market Cap: $275.6 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Security & Alarm Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34%
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25%
  
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, and Green Building Materials.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 9.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -34%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 25%
3 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, and Green Building Materials.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.3%
8 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. NL Industries reported a significant net loss for the third quarter of 2025.

The company posted a net loss of $7.87 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, a substantial decrease compared to a net income of $36.01 million in the same period a year prior.

2. The company's basic loss per share missed analysts' consensus estimates.

NL Industries reported a basic loss per share from continuing operations of $0.16 for Q3 2025, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $0.18 by $0.34. This contrasts sharply with a basic earnings per share of $0.74 in the third quarter of the previous year.

3. Decreased earnings from its subsidiary, Kronos Worldwide, Inc., negatively impacted performance.

The downturn was partly attributed to reduced earnings from Kronos Worldwide, Inc., which experienced a 6% decrease in net sales for the third quarter. This was primarily due to lower titanium dioxide (TiO2) selling prices and diminished sales volumes in European and export markets.

4. Unrealized losses in marketable equity securities contributed to the overall financial decline.

An unrealized loss in marketable equity securities was identified as another key factor contributing to the net loss reported by NL Industries for the third quarter of 2025.

5. The company's high dividend payout ratio raises concerns about sustainability.

NL Industries' dividend payout ratio stood at 180.00%, which is considered undesirable as payout ratios exceeding 75% may indicate that the dividend is not sustainable in the long term.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NL Return27%60%-1%-14%55%-23%107%
Peers Return-7%15%-21%27%43%12%72%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NL Win Rate58%58%42%67%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate53%55%43%63%45%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NL Max Drawdown-40%-6%-24%-30%-11%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-9%-36%-13%-10%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BCO, MG, CIX, SNT, ADT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven129.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven180 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-79.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven396.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven134.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven473 days1480 days

Compare to BCO, MG, CIX, SNT, ADT


In The Past

NL Industries's stock fell -56.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/18/2022. A -56.5% loss requires a 129.6% gain to breakeven.

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About NL Industries (NL)

Better Bets than NL Industries (NL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can NL Industries Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NL Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NLBCOMGCIXSNTADTMedian
NameNL Indus.Brink's MISTRAS Compx In.Senstar .ADT  
Mkt Price5.58118.3011.8222.313.298.149.98
Mkt Cap0.35.00.40.30.16.70.3
Rev LTM1595,146715159385,113437
Op Inc LTM40506472251,30644
FCF LTM-27418-015-1,38715
FCF 3Y Avg13347721-1,16321
CFO LTM-236362718-1,97027
CFO 3Y Avg155583123-1,87331

Growth & Margins

NLBCOMGCIXSNTADTMedian
NameNL Indus.Brink's MISTRAS Compx In.Senstar .ADT  
Rev Chg LTM5.5%3.1%-3.2%5.5%12.8%6.3%5.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.3%5.1%1.3%-0.3%3.8%3.4%2.3%
Rev Chg Q18.7%6.1%7.0%18.7%16.2%4.4%11.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.1%1.5%1.8%4.1%3.7%1.1%2.8%
Op Mgn LTM25.1%9.8%6.6%13.7%14.0%25.5%13.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.1%9.9%5.1%13.9%6.0%26.1%11.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%0.5%1.2%0.4%0.3%-0.5%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-14.6%12.4%3.7%11.4%-38.5%11.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.8%11.2%4.3%14.7%-40.1%11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-16.8%8.1%-0.0%9.3%-27.1%8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.4%7.0%1.0%13.3%-24.7%8.4%

Valuation

NLBCOMGCIXSNTADTMedian
NameNL Indus.Brink's MISTRAS Compx In.Senstar .ADT  
Mkt Cap0.35.00.40.30.16.70.3
P/S1.91.00.41.82.91.41.6
P/EBIT19.69.28.113.218.05.611.2
P/E31.028.817.114.921.511.119.3
P/CFO-12.97.711.715.9-3.67.7
Total Yield12.3%3.5%5.8%8.0%4.7%11.7%6.9%
Dividend Yield9.1%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%2.7%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%8.2%2.7%7.1%-18.2%7.1%
D/E0.00.90.80.00.01.10.4
Net D/E-0.30.60.7-0.2-0.21.10.2

Returns

NLBCOMGCIXSNTADTMedian
NameNL Indus.Brink's MISTRAS Compx In.Senstar .ADT  
1M Rtn-3.8%7.0%23.3%2.7%-32.3%-7.4%-0.5%
3M Rtn-11.3%5.3%24.9%-4.6%-25.7%-5.5%-5.1%
6M Rtn-12.9%42.7%54.7%0.4%-18.2%-4.1%-1.8%
12M Rtn-25.6%25.9%30.6%-12.2%9.3%11.3%10.3%
3Y Rtn2.1%106.2%203.1%51.9%135.8%-9.8%79.1%
1M Excs Rtn-3.8%7.0%23.3%2.8%-32.3%-7.4%-0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-18.7%-1.1%15.4%-10.8%-28.3%-13.1%-11.9%
6M Excs Rtn-27.6%28.0%40.0%-14.3%-32.9%-18.8%-16.6%
12M Excs Rtn-36.8%10.1%13.4%-25.7%-9.1%-3.7%-6.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-72.4%32.4%124.2%-24.9%52.5%-76.1%3.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment161    
Marine Components 52362725
Security Products 1151058899
Total161167141115124


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity120,406
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.4%
Average Daily Volume24,954
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.83
Basic Shares Quantity48,863,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023306202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021309202210-K 12/31/2021