Tearsheet

Target Hospitality (TH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.72 | Market Cap: $770.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services

Target Hospitality (TH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.72
Market Cap: $770.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Diversified Support Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 221x
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.1%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, US LNG, Show more.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 31%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 6.1%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include US Oilfield Technologies, US LNG, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -117%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 221x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -27%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the -14.4% movement of Target Hospitality (TH) stock from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Significant Decline in Q3 2025 Profitability. Target Hospitality reported a net loss of ($0.8) million for the third quarter of 2025, a substantial decrease compared to a net income of $20.1 million in the same period of 2024. Additionally, Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 fell to $21.5 million from $49.7 million in the third quarter of the previous year. This notable decline in profitability, despite an increase in revenue, likely weighed on investor sentiment over the period.

2. Impact of PCC Contract Termination. The decrease in net income and Adjusted EBITDA during Q3 2025 was partially attributed to the termination of the PCC Contract. Although the company reached an agreement on August 1, 2025, for an $11.8 million reimbursement for certain close-out costs, the cessation of this contract removed a previous revenue stream, potentially creating uncertainty about future earnings potential.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TH Return-68%125%325%-36%-1%-20%55%
Peers Return19%25%4%33%23%-11%127%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TH Win Rate42%50%50%25%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%62%45%67%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TH Max Drawdown-83%-2%-19%-40%-26%-48% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-11%-17%-7%-3%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRI, CBZ, CTAS, CPRT, LDOS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-85.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven580.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven502 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-63.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven170.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven967 days120 days

Compare to TRI, CBZ, CTAS, CPRT, LDOS


In The Past

Target Hospitality's stock fell -49.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2023. A -49.8% loss requires a 99.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Target Hospitality (TH)

Better Bets than Target Hospitality (TH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Target Hospitality

Peers to compare with:

Financials

THTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameTarget H.Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
Mkt Price7.76134.3051.42184.7138.85188.4492.86
Mkt Cap0.860.43.274.537.624.130.8
Rev LTM3157,3762,67610,5574,64717,3326,011
Op Inc LTM32,1282132,4171,6972,0411,869
FCF LTM511,822861,7021,2311,3381,284
FCF 3Y Avg831,8691131,5851,0131,1491,081
CFO LTM992,4591042,1201,8001,5061,653
CFO 3Y Avg1422,4561311,9791,5461,3121,429

Growth & Margins

THTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameTarget H.Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
Rev Chg LTM-26.6%3.0%59.2%8.2%9.7%6.5%7.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.7%3.9%27.2%9.1%9.9%6.9%8.0%
Rev Chg Q4.4%3.4%58.1%8.7%5.2%6.7%6.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%0.8%10.5%2.1%1.2%1.6%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM0.9%28.9%7.9%22.9%36.5%11.8%17.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.4%26.9%9.4%21.8%37.3%10.3%23.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-9.0%2.3%-0.5%0.1%0.7%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM31.4%33.3%3.9%20.1%38.7%8.7%25.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.3%34.6%7.2%20.2%36.2%8.0%26.2%
FCF/Rev LTM16.4%24.7%3.2%16.1%26.5%7.7%16.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg19.3%26.4%6.2%16.2%23.7%7.0%17.7%

Valuation

THTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameTarget H.Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
Mkt Cap0.860.43.274.537.624.130.8
P/S2.79.51.27.810.21.45.3
P/EBIT221.229.413.434.228.011.828.7
P/E-87.439.831.744.730.617.231.1
P/CFO8.628.431.639.026.416.127.4
Total Yield-1.1%4.0%3.2%2.6%3.3%6.7%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%0.4%0.0%0.9%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.9%2.8%3.7%2.3%2.1%6.0%3.2%
D/E0.00.00.60.00.00.20.0
Net D/E-0.00.00.60.0-0.10.20.0

Returns

THTRICBZCTASCPRTLDOSMedian
NameTarget H.Thomson .CBIZ Cintas Copart Leidos  
1M Rtn-0.3%-13.4%-6.7%1.7%-9.7%-2.4%-4.5%
3M Rtn-11.8%-24.0%-14.8%-9.9%-19.3%6.3%-13.3%
6M Rtn7.2%-30.9%-28.9%-18.4%-22.9%31.1%-20.6%
12M Rtn-1.1%-17.3%-37.1%-16.4%-37.6%16.0%-16.9%
3Y Rtn-48.1%18.9%2.5%64.0%15.7%77.1%17.3%
1M Excs Rtn-0.2%-13.3%-6.6%1.7%-9.6%-2.4%-4.5%
3M Excs Rtn-16.0%-29.9%-19.6%-15.8%-27.6%0.4%-17.8%
6M Excs Rtn-7.5%-45.6%-43.7%-33.1%-37.6%16.4%-35.4%
12M Excs Rtn-19.7%-29.7%-51.3%-31.1%-52.3%1.6%-30.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-117.2%-52.1%-68.1%-5.8%-53.4%8.2%-52.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Government207217872735
Hospitality & Facilities Services (HFS) - South184177207278306
All Other3135233
Hospitality & Facilities Services - Midwest  445259
TCPL (TC Energy Pipelines) Keystone  343
Other unallocated amounts   171194
Restricted cash    0
Total423428343534601


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,832,435
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.4%
Average Daily Volume550,821
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.14
Basic Shares Quantity99,778,834
Short % of Basic Shares2.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025519202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024326202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023313202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021