General Fusion (GFUZ)


Market Price (9/15/2026): $8.1 | Market Cap: $653.9 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

General Fusion (GFUZ)


Market Price (9/15/2026): $8.1
Market Cap: $653.9 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Fusion Energy Development.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 146%

Key risks
GFUZ key risks include [1] failure to complete an initial business combination, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Fusion Energy Development.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -65%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -97%
2 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 146%
3 Key risks
GFUZ key risks include [1] failure to complete an initial business combination, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/9/2026

General Fusion (GFUZ) stock has lost about 25% since it went public on 7/13/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Capital Shortfall from SPAC Merger Due to High Redemptions.

General Fusion entered the public markets on July 13, 2026, with approximately US$150 million in cash, substantially less than the anticipated US$338 million in gross proceeds initially projected from its business combination with Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III. This shortfall was primarily due to an estimated 73% redemption rate from the SPAC trust by shareholders, indicating a significant lack of investor commitment to hold the stock of a long-duration, pre-revenue company post-merger.

2. Material Weakness in Internal Controls and Financial Restatement.

On September 4, 2026, General Fusion Group Ltd. announced an amendment to its quarterly report for fiscal Q1 2026 (the three months ended March 31, 2026). Management concluded that the original financial statements were materially misstated due to an overstated non-cash subscription liability, leading to a restatement that reduced the reported net loss for fiscal Q1 2026 by $411.3 million to $12.0 million. This also identified a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting, which can erode investor confidence in the company's financial transparency and reliability.

Show more
Updated on 9/9/2026

General Fusion (GFUZ) stock has lost about 25% since it went public on 7/13/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Capital Shortfall from SPAC Merger Due to High Redemptions.

General Fusion entered the public markets on July 13, 2026, with approximately US$150 million in cash, substantially less than the anticipated US$338 million in gross proceeds initially projected from its business combination with Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III. This shortfall was primarily due to an estimated 73% redemption rate from the SPAC trust by shareholders, indicating a significant lack of investor commitment to hold the stock of a long-duration, pre-revenue company post-merger.

2. Material Weakness in Internal Controls and Financial Restatement.

On September 4, 2026, General Fusion Group Ltd. announced an amendment to its quarterly report for fiscal Q1 2026 (the three months ended March 31, 2026). Management concluded that the original financial statements were materially misstated due to an overstated non-cash subscription liability, leading to a restatement that reduced the reported net loss for fiscal Q1 2026 by $411.3 million to $12.0 million. This also identified a material weakness in internal control over financial reporting, which can erode investor confidence in the company's financial transparency and reliability.

3. Long-Term Commercialization Horizon and Pre-Revenue Status.

General Fusion is a pre-revenue company, reporting null in trailing 12-month revenue as of December 31, 2025. The company operates in the highly speculative fusion energy sector, with commercial power plant operations targeted for around 2035. This extended timeline to profitability and the substantial capital requirements for research, development, and eventual deployment of its Magnetized Target Fusion technology present inherent long-term risks, making the stock particularly sensitive to investor sentiment in the immediate post-IPO period.

4. Macroeconomic Headwinds of Elevated Inflation and Rising Interest Rates.

During fiscal Q3 2026, the broader market experienced macroeconomic pressures, including elevated inflation, with the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index growing at an annual rate of 3.7%, and rising long-term government bond yields, which were above 4.6%. These conditions typically make long-duration assets, especially pre-revenue technology companies requiring significant future funding, less attractive to investors as higher discount rates diminish the present value of distant future cash flows.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GFUZ  
Market (SPY)0.6%25.3%
Sector (XLI)-1.8%-2.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GFUZ  
Market (SPY)11.2%25.3%
Sector (XLI)-3.8%-2.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GFUZ  
Market (SPY)19.0%25.3%
Sector (XLI)13.0%-2.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GFUZ  
Market (SPY)74.9%25.3%
Sector (XLI)63.5%-2.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GFUZ Return------24%-24%
Peers Return-1%-19%64%66%21%-5%151%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GFUZ Win Rate-----33% 
Peers Win Rate50%42%67%54%58%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GFUZ Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-40%-22%-20%-31%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GGG, GHM, CEPL, GFUZ, MFP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

GFUZ has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven45 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven51 days62 days

Compare to GGG, GHM, CEPL, GFUZ, MFP

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

GFUZ has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven114 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-60.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven153.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven700 days1085 days

Compare to GGG, GHM, CEPL, GFUZ, MFP

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About General Fusion (GFUZ)

General Fusion (GFUZ) is a blank check company, also known as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC). Its primary business is to identify and acquire an existing private company through a merger, share exchange, or similar business combination, effectively taking that private company public. Currently, GFUZ does not operate any businesses, nor does it have specific products or services, as it has not yet completed an acquisition.

The company's strategy is to focus on acquisition targets within the natural resources and decarbonization industries. It plans to leverage its management team's extensive experience in these sectors. Specific areas of interest for potential target companies include energy resources (such as oil and gas exploration and production, oilfield services, and biofuels) and metals and mining (including critical metals like rare earths and uranium).

Additionally, GFUZ is seeking opportunities in various decarbonization themes, such as clean energy generation (including nuclear, hydrogen, solar, and wind), energy storage, grid infrastructure technologies, resource optimization, carbon capture, environmental services (like waste management and recycling), and advanced transportation solutions like electric and autonomous vehicles. The company aims to execute a transformative business combination within these focus industries.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Facilitating a Business Combination: GFUZ is a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, acquisition, or similar business combination with one or more operating businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Based on the provided description, General Fusion (GFUZ) is a blank check company (SPAC) that has recently been incorporated for the purpose of effecting a business combination with one or more businesses or entities. The company explicitly states that it has not yet selected any potential business combination target and has not had any substantive discussions with potential targets.

Therefore, General Fusion (GFUZ) does not currently have any major customers, as it has not yet acquired an operating business and is not generating revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Christopher Sorrells – Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer Mr. Sorrells has served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer for Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III since its inception in 2025. He also holds these roles for Spring Valley II and IV, and previously served as CEO and a director of Spring Valley I until its merger with NuScale Power in May 2022, at which point he joined NuScale Power's board. Mr. Sorrells has over 30 years of experience as an investor, operator, advisor, and board member in the natural resources and decarbonization industries. He was a Managing Director and Operating Partner at NGP Energy Technology Partners (NGP ETP), an affiliate of Natural Gas Partners (NGP), a private equity fund with $25 billion in capital commitments, where he helped grow it into a successful decarbonization-focused fund. This demonstrates a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms. Mr. Sorrells also served as Lead Director and Chairman of the compensation committee for Renewable Energy Group, Inc. (REGI) until its $3.1 billion merger with Chevron Corporation in June 2022, having previously led a $100 million financing to establish REGI in 2006. He currently serves as Managing Director of Pearl Energy Investments, a private equity fund. Jeffrey Schramm – Chief Financial Officer Mr. Schramm serves as the Chief Financial Officer for Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III. Robert Kaplan – Chief Operating Officer & Head of Business Development Mr. Kaplan has served as Chief Operating Officer and Head of Business Development for Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III since June 2025. He previously held the position of Chief Financial Officer for Spring Valley II since its inception in January 2021.

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Key Risks to General Fusion (GFUZ)

  1. Inability to complete an initial business combination
  2. Reliance on management team to identify and execute a business combination
  3. Lack of an operating business and revenue

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Increased competition for attractive acquisition targets within the natural resources and decarbonization industries, potentially driving up target valuations or making it difficult to secure a suitable business combination.
  • Deteriorating investor sentiment towards blank check companies (SPACs) generally, leading to higher shareholder redemptions or challenges in securing additional financing, which could hinder General Fusion's ability to complete its initial business combination.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The user prompt contained outdated information about General Fusion (GFUZ). Based on current market information, General Fusion Group Ltd. (GFUZ) completed its business combination with Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III and began trading on Nasdaq on July 13, 2026. General Fusion is an energy company focused on developing nuclear fusion power technology. The company aims to build a fusion power plant, with a target for a first pilot plant by approximately 2035. As of its Nasdaq debut, General Fusion has "yet to generate revenue from its core technology" and is in the research and development phase, with its LM26 demonstration machine targeting key technical milestones by 2028. Given that the company is pre-revenue from its core technology and its first pilot plant is targeted for 2035, it is not possible to identify 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years in the traditional sense (e.g., price increases, growth in customers, expansion to new markets, new product launches). The company is currently focused on technological development and achieving scientific milestones, which are prerequisites for future commercialization and revenue generation rather than direct drivers of short-term revenue growth. Therefore, the request cannot be accurately fulfilled.

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Peer Outperformance in Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

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Share of Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components constituents that GFUZ has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
insufficient peer history
3Y
insufficient peer history
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components is GFUZ's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 9.7%97.1%177.4% CDNL 2480% · FIX 2192% · STRL 1980%
Marine Transportation 5 76.2%62.9%160.6% HOS 44584% · MATX 198% · KEX 161%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 6.3%60.9%118.4% CAT 315% · ALSN 262% · WAB 216%
Aerospace & Defense 54 -2.5%75.1%69.9% ATI 948% · FTAI 881% · HWM 620%
Rail Transportation 7 33.8%65.3%43.0% FSTR 145% · CSX 70% · UNP 56%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -23.7%41.0%38.8% UBER 89% · CAR 39% · LYFT -69%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 6.6%37.2%38.0% DXPE 543% · AIT 283% · URI 202%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components ← 71 6.1%43.1%36.7% CRS 1250% · PSIX 925% · GHM 579%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 37.0%5.2%32.8% XPO 256% · R 234% · CVLG 227%
Diversified Support Services 33 10.1%31.6%26.4% LIME 3473% · TH 425% · WLFC 348%
Electrical Components & Equipment 41 12.2%53.3%18.2% POWL 2153% · BE 1230% · VRT 913%
Building Products 33 -12.2%3.2%17.7% LMB 672% · GFF 383% · PPIH 285%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 4.5%1.7%5.8% RCMT 428% · CSW 134% · CSL 76%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -9.5%25.1%-3.2% CECO 911% · ADUR 390% · NVRI 358%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -10.4%-21.9%-5.8% HURN 212% · CRAI 92% · GRNQ 86%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 7.7%5.2%-9.7% BLBD 219% · DE 102% · GENC 50%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -30.8%-11.1%-22.8% EXLS 47% · BR 13% · G -22%
Passenger Airlines 11 1.9%2.4%-27.7% LTM 3279% · UAL 148% · SKYW 115%
Office Services & Supplies 9 8.3%22.4%-29.0% PBI 199% · TILE 144% · HNI 50%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -8.0%-22.1%-36.6% CHRW 95% · FDX 68% · EXPD 60%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -31.9%16.1%-37.3% CIX 154% · MG 106% · NL 67%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 2.8%-20.1%-38.0% BBSI 85% · ADP 54% · PAYX 26%
Airport Services 3 -70.8%-79.3%-58.0% JOBY -23% · ASLE -58% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GFUZGGGGHMCEPLMFPMedian
NameGeneral .Graco Graham Capstone.Midera F. 
Mkt Price8.1276.5483.695.6441.5141.51
Mkt Cap-12.51.0--6.8
Rev LTM-2,267261103856558
Op Inc LTM-6221458449
FCF LTM-629-635629
FCF 3Y Avg-5661--283
CFO LTM-673648847
CFO 3Y Avg-65716--337

Growth & Margins

GFUZGGGGHMCEPLMFPMedian
NameGeneral .Graco Graham Capstone.Midera F. 
Rev Chg LTM-4.6%21.2%5.4%-5.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.2%15.8%11.7%-11.7%
Rev Chg Q-3.3%28.6%-10.6%-3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.8%6.5%-2.8%-0.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM-7.8%-16.1%305.8%-7.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%69.8%119.4%-69.8%
Op Mgn LTM-27.4%5.4%4.4%9.8%7.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-27.7%5.6%-7.7%-5.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.7%1.2%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-29.7%2.1%4.3%10.3%7.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-29.9%7.8%--18.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-27.8%-2.3%2.8%6.5%4.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-25.7%0.8%--13.3%

Valuation

GFUZGGGGHMCEPLMFPMedian
NameGeneral .Graco Graham Capstone.Midera F. 
Mkt Cap-12.51.0--6.8
P/S-5.53.7--4.6
P/Op Inc-20.168.3--44.2
P/EBIT-19.168.3--43.7
P/E-23.582.1--52.8
P/CFO-18.6175.1--96.9
Total Yield-5.8%1.2%--3.5%
Dividend Yield-1.5%0.0%--0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.3%1.2%--2.7%
D/E-0.00.0--0.0
Net D/E--0.0-0.0---0.0

Returns

GFUZGGGGHMCEPLMFPMedian
NameGeneral .Graco Graham Capstone.Midera F. 
1M Rtn-0.1%-6.6%-26.6%-15.5%-8.9%-8.9%
3M Rtn-26.2%2.3%-22.2%-49.4%13.4%-22.2%
6M Rtn-26.2%-10.7%4.5%-49.4%13.4%-10.7%
12M Rtn-26.2%-8.1%71.2%-49.4%13.4%-8.1%
3Y Rtn-26.2%5.8%439.6%-49.4%13.4%5.8%
1M Excs Rtn-1.7%-4.7%-22.4%-14.1%-1.3%-4.7%
3M Excs Rtn-28.7%0.5%-22.0%-52.0%10.9%-22.0%
6M Excs Rtn-41.1%-26.9%-10.3%-64.3%-1.5%-26.9%
12M Excs Rtn-41.9%-25.5%53.2%-65.1%-2.3%-25.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-97.4%-66.3%335.1%-120.6%-57.8%-66.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Single segment00
Total00


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023
Single segment1954
Total1954


Price Behavior

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GFUZ Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-3.58-1.402.34-1.28-1.86-1.76
Up Beta-3.93-5.144.591.630.40-2.38
Down Beta4.30-1.043.40-2.04-1.000.07
Up Capture-419%154%89%34%15%1%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days91616161616
Down Capture-295%411%218%127%80%44%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days121919191919

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GFUZ
GFUZ-26.3%145.5%-0.52-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.4%17.2%0.51-2.0%
Equity (SPY)16.8%12.8%0.9325.3%
Gold (GLD)17.4%29.3%0.5523.4%
Commodities (DBC)49.5%20.6%1.85-13.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%13.5%0.12-24.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-33.3%43.9%-0.8021.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GFUZ
GFUZ-5.9%145.5%-0.52-
Sector ETF (XLI)11.8%17.6%0.51-2.0%
Equity (SPY)12.4%17.2%0.5525.3%
Gold (GLD)18.1%18.8%0.7823.4%
Commodities (DBC)11.4%19.5%0.46-13.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.6%18.9%-0.07-24.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.1%52.6%0.3621.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GFUZ
GFUZ-3.0%145.5%-0.52-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.1%20.1%0.57-2.0%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7225.3%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.6123.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.8%18.1%0.40-13.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.19-24.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.3%66.2%1.0321.5%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 815202619.9%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity80.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202506/12/2026424B3
09/30/202502/24/2026F-4
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202506/12/2026424B3
09/30/202502/24/2026F-4
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/14/2026