Tearsheet

Graham (GHM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $57.395 | Market Cap: $630.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Graham (GHM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $57.395
Market Cap: $630.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 46x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more.
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%
2  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 36x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 46x
3 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GHM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results: On November 7, 2025, Graham Corporation reported its second quarter fiscal year 2026 results (corresponding to Q3 calendar year 2025), significantly surpassing analysts' revenue expectations with sales up 23.3% year-over-year to $66.03 million. The company's GAAP profit of $0.31 per share also beat consensus estimates by 10.7%.

2. Record Backlog and Increased Orders in Key Markets: Graham achieved a record backlog of approximately $500 million, demonstrating robust demand. This was significantly bolstered by securing multiple new orders, totaling about $22 million, for advanced turbomachinery and precision-engineered components from leading commercial space customers, announced on November 7, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GHM Return-28%-16%-23%97%134%27%175%
Peers Return36%16%-11%18%0%10%83%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GHM Win Rate50%42%50%67%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate67%62%33%58%50%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GHM Max Drawdown-50%-21%-47%-4%-2%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-8%-34%-10%-7%-11% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XYL, GGG, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGHMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-61.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven158.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven382 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven102.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1370 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1679 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven621.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5994 days1480 days

Compare to XYL, GGG, ADVEN, BENN, HRDG


In The Past

Graham's stock fell -61.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -61.4% loss requires a 158.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Graham (GHM)

Better Bets than Graham (GHM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GHM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Graham

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GHMXYLGGGADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameGraham Xylem Graco AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Mkt Price57.30140.8982.99---82.99
Mkt Cap0.634.313.8---13.8
Rev LTM2288,8942,192---2,192
Op Inc LTM171,232582---582
FCF LTM-11925625---625
FCF 3Y Avg12753496---496
CFO LTM131,273672---672
CFO 3Y Avg261,053622---622

Growth & Margins

GHMXYLGGGADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameGraham Xylem Graco AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Rev Chg LTM16.0%5.6%2.9%---5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg17.0%18.9%1.0%---17.0%
Rev Chg Q23.3%7.8%4.7%---7.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.8%1.9%1.1%---1.9%
Op Mgn LTM7.4%13.9%26.6%---13.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.1%12.1%28.0%---12.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%0.6%-0.1%----0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM5.7%14.3%30.7%---14.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.5%13.0%28.7%---13.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.7%10.4%28.5%---10.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.8%9.2%22.8%---9.2%

Valuation

GHMXYLGGGADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameGraham Xylem Graco AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
Mkt Cap0.634.313.8---13.8
P/S2.64.06.4---4.0
P/EBIT35.629.423.0---29.4
P/E44.137.928.3---37.9
P/CFO46.428.220.9---28.2
Total Yield2.3%3.7%4.8%---3.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%1.3%---1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.0%2.5%3.6%---3.6%
D/E0.00.10.0---0.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.0----0.0

Returns

GHMXYLGGGADVENBENNHRDGMedian
NameGraham Xylem Graco AdvEn Bend Nov.Huarui I. 
1M Rtn-8.0%-5.2%1.9%----5.2%
3M Rtn20.9%1.1%-1.5%---1.1%
6M Rtn40.1%11.8%-0.9%---11.8%
12M Rtn27.6%11.7%-7.6%---11.7%
3Y Rtn487.7%28.6%22.7%---28.6%
1M Excs Rtn-8.0%-5.2%1.9%----5.2%
3M Excs Rtn11.2%-5.8%-8.7%----5.8%
6M Excs Rtn25.4%-2.9%-15.6%----2.9%
12M Excs Rtn14.3%-1.1%-21.2%----1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn414.9%-39.6%-47.2%----39.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment186157123  
All other   2025
Heat transfer equipment   4132
Vacuum equipment   3733
Total1861571239791


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment5    
Total5    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity405,270
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.2%
Average Daily Volume104,398
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.88
Basic Shares Quantity10,985,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025609202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024207202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024607202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023608202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022206202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022801202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022609202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021208202210-Q 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Gregorio Mauro 9152025Buy49.011,20058,81258,812Form