Tearsheet

Graham (GHM)


Market Price (5/8/2026): $97.195 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Graham (GHM)


Market Price (5/8/2026): $97.195
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 60x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 85x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x

Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 192%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 70%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%

Key risks
GHM key risks include [1] a heavy reliance on defense contracts from a single key customer, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Hydrogen Economy, Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Green Hydrogen Production, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.8%, Dist 3Y High is -0.8%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 60x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 85x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 71x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 192%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 70%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.6%
8 Key risks
GHM key risks include [1] a heavy reliance on defense contracts from a single key customer, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Graham (GHM) stock has gained about 40% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Performance: Graham Corporation reported robust financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 on February 6, 2026. The company announced a 21% increase in revenue to $56.7 million, a 79% rise in net income per diluted share to $0.25, and a 50% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $6.0 million. This positive performance was accompanied by a record backlog of $515.6 million and an upward revision of full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to between $233 million and $239 million.

2. Strategic Acquisition of FlackTek: On January 23, 2026, Graham Corporation completed the acquisition of FlackTek for $35.0 million. This strategic move is expected to expand Graham's product offerings in advanced mixing and materials processing and contribute to boosting fiscal 2026 earnings, thereby enhancing the company's mission-critical engineered products platform.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 38.8% change in GHM stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265072026Change
Stock Price ($)69.9297.0838.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2282384.2%
Net Income Margin (%)6.0%6.3%4.8%
P/E Multiple56.271.527.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)11110.0%
Cumulative Contribution38.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GHM38.8% 
Market (SPY)3.6%63.3%
Sector (XLI)5.5%71.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 55.9% change in GHM stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255072026Change
Stock Price ($)62.2997.0855.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)21523810.3%
Net Income Margin (%)6.4%6.3%-2.3%
P/E Multiple49.171.545.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1111-0.6%
Cumulative Contribution55.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GHM55.9% 
Market (SPY)5.5%58.2%
Sector (XLI)12.9%65.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 218.5% change in GHM stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 97.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255072026Change
Stock Price ($)30.4897.08218.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)20023819.0%
Net Income Margin (%)4.6%6.3%36.7%
P/E Multiple36.271.597.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1111-0.9%
Cumulative Contribution218.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GHM218.5% 
Market (SPY)30.4%54.0%
Sector (XLI)34.4%57.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 654.3% change in GHM stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 405.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020235072026Change
Stock Price ($)12.8797.08654.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15423854.4%
P/S Multiple0.94.5405.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1111-3.4%
Cumulative Contribution654.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GHM654.3% 
Market (SPY)78.7%47.8%
Sector (XLI)82.0%51.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GHM Return-16%-23%97%134%44%51%557%
Peers Return16%-11%18%0%9%-33%-12%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%96%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GHM Win Rate42%50%67%58%67%80% 
Peers Win Rate62%33%58%50%58%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GHM Max Drawdown-21%-47%-4%-2%-40%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-34%-10%-7%-11%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: XYL, GGG, GCDT, OLOX, RYZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventGHMS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-26.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven35 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-15.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.6%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven22 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-49.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven98.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven203 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1210 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-26.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.1%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven1918 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-16.5%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven45 days62 days

Compare to XYL, GGG, GCDT, OLOX, RYZ

In The Past

Graham's stock fell -26.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventGHMS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-26.4%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven35.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven35 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-49.7%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven98.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven203 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-38.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven63.4%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1210 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-26.5%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.1%23.7%
  Time to Breakeven1918 days105 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-50.4%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven948 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-24.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven25 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-27.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven149 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-66.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven201.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven688 days1085 days

Compare to XYL, GGG, GCDT, OLOX, RYZ

In The Past

Graham's stock fell -26.4% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 35.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Graham (GHM)

Graham Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies vacuum and heat transfer equipment for the chemical, defense, petrochemical, petroleum refining, power generation/alternative energy, and other industries. It offers heat transfer equipment, including surface condensers, heliflows, water heaters, and various types of heat exchangers, as well as custom-engineered ejectors; vacuum equipment, such as steam jet ejector vacuum systems and liquid ring vacuum pumps; and turbomachinery products for the aerospace, cryogenic, defense, and energy markets. The company also services and sells spare parts for its equipment. It sells its products directly, as well as through independent sales representatives in the United States, the Middle East, Canada, Asia, South America, and internationally. Graham Corporation was founded in 1936 and is headquartered in Batavia, New York.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Graham (GHM) is like:

  • A very specialized division of General Electric (GE), focusing entirely on the vacuum and heat transfer systems essential for industrial plants and power generation.
  • An industrial-grade Trane Technologies, but providing critical heat transfer and vacuum equipment specifically for chemical, refining, and power generation facilities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Heat Transfer Equipment: This includes surface condensers, heliflows, water heaters, various types of heat exchangers, and custom-engineered ejectors for industrial applications.
  • Vacuum Equipment: Graham offers steam jet ejector vacuum systems and liquid ring vacuum pumps designed for creating and maintaining vacuum.
  • Turbomachinery Products: Specialized rotating machinery is provided for the aerospace, cryogenic, defense, and energy markets.
  • Aftermarket Services and Spare Parts: The company services its manufactured equipment and sells replacement parts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Graham Corporation (GHM) primarily sells its products and services to other companies (B2B).

Graham Corporation does not publicly disclose the names of its specific major customers, which is common for companies operating in the industrial supply sector. Public filings indicate that no single customer accounted for 10% or more of net sales in recent fiscal years, meaning there isn't a single dominant customer to be named.

Based on the company's descriptions, its major customers are companies operating within the following industries:

  • Chemical Industry
  • Petrochemical Industry
  • Petroleum Refining Industry
  • Power Generation / Alternative Energy Industry
  • Defense Industry
  • Aerospace Industry
  • Cryogenic Industry
  • Other industrial sectors requiring vacuum and heat transfer equipment and turbomachinery products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Matthew J. Malone, President and Chief Executive Officer

Matthew J. Malone became President and Chief Executive Officer of Graham Corporation in June 2025. He joined Barber-Nichols, a Graham subsidiary, in 2015 as a Project Engineer focusing on rocket engine turbopump design and development. He was promoted to Navy Program Manager in 2018 and became Vice President of Operations for Barber-Nichols in 2020. Mr. Malone began his career at GE Transportation, holding various engineering and management positions.

Christopher J. Thome, Vice President - Finance, Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer

Christopher J. Thome was appointed Vice President - Finance and Chief Financial Officer of Graham Corporation in April 2022. Prior to joining Graham, Mr. Thome served as Corporate Controller for Allied Motion Technologies Inc. (Nasdaq: AMOT). He brings nearly 30 years of experience in finance and accounting leadership, audit, public company financial reporting, treasury, operational accounting, and shared services implementation. From 2006 to 2020, he held progressively advancing roles at Integer Holdings (NYSE: ITGR), including Senior Director – Treasurer and Senior Director – Financial Reporting, Treasury Operations and Shared Services. Mr. Thome also served as Vice President – Reporting and Investor Relations Manager with First Niagara Financial Group and began his career as a Senior Accountant with PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.

Mike Dixon, Vice President and General Manager of Barber-Nichols

Mike Dixon became Vice President of Graham Corporation and General Manager of Barber-Nichols in June 2025. Before this role, he served as Director of Sales and Marketing at Graham since August 2021, where he played a key role in expanding technical capabilities and securing major contracts in the space, aerospace, and defense sectors. His career also includes roles of increasing responsibility at Sundyne, and he began his career at ESS Metron.

Matthew Gross, Vice President and General Manager, FlackTek™

Matthew Gross joined Graham Corporation’s leadership team as Vice President and General Manager, where he leads the FlackTek™ business. He is the former CEO and Co-Founder of FlackTek™, an entrepreneur and materials engineer with over a decade of technical and executive leadership experience, and a track record of translating engineering innovation into scalable commercial success. Prior to co-founding FlackTek™, Mr. Gross served as a Materials Engineer at Ball Aerospace.

William Zmyndak, Deputy General Manager of Graham Manufacturing (to be Vice President and General Manager)

William Zmyndak was appointed Deputy General Manager of Graham Manufacturing in February 2026 and is expected to assume the role of Vice President and General Manager of Graham Manufacturing in April 2026, succeeding Alan Smith. Mr. Zmyndak brings more than three decades of manufacturing and operational leadership experience, including senior leadership and P&L responsibility across complex, multi-site aerospace and industrial businesses. Before joining Graham, he served as Vice President and General Manager at ITT Control Technologies. Earlier in his career, he held senior leadership roles at Kaman Aerosystems, Chromalloy, Barnes Aerospace, and Pratt & Whitney.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Graham Corporation's business are:

  1. Customer Concentration in the Defense Industry: Graham Corporation faces significant customer concentration risk due to its increasing reliance on the defense industry, particularly the U.S. Navy. Sales to the defense sector accounted for approximately 58% of total sales in fiscal 2025 and 54% in fiscal 2024. Furthermore, roughly 85% of the company's record backlog, which was $515.6 million as of February 2026 and $500.1 million as of the end of the third quarter of calendar year 2025 (Q2 Fiscal Year 2026), is tied to defense programs, primarily the U.S. Navy. This concentration exposes Graham to potential disruptions, short or long term, in funding for these projects or shifts in U.S. Navy priorities and budgets.

  2. Cyclicality and Market Uncertainty in the Energy & Process Segment: Graham's energy business is highly cyclical, depending heavily on customers' willingness to invest in major capital projects. The Energy & Process segment is currently experiencing a mixed demand environment, characterized by slowing large capital expenditure decisions due to factors such as lower oil prices, tariffs, and broader macroeconomic uncertainty. While the company has diversified into defense to mitigate this, sales to the more cyclical refining industry still represented approximately 16% of revenue in fiscal 2024.

  3. Project Delays and Conversion Risk of Backlog: Although Graham boasts a record backlog, a significant portion of this future revenue is subject to macro-level delays and the inherent complexities of large, custom projects. Delays in defense projects can impact revenue recognition, and any shifts in defense budgets or program timing could affect the conversion of this substantial backlog to actual revenue. Additionally, "lumpy material receipts and order timing" can introduce quarter-to-quarter volatility in margins and reported results, requiring efficient execution to convert the backlog into timely revenue without margin erosion.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Graham Corporation (GHM) operates within several significant addressable markets for its vacuum and heat transfer equipment, and turbomachinery products globally.

Vacuum and Heat Transfer Equipment

  • Heat Exchangers: The global heat exchangers market was valued at approximately USD 19.25 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to about USD 36.60 billion by 2034. Other estimates place the global market size at USD 19.7 billion in 2023, projected to reach USD 33.2 billion by 2033, or USD 20.01 billion in 2025, growing to USD 33.60 billion by 2034. The market is driven by extensive usage in chemical plants, petrochemical plants, power stations, and petroleum refineries.
  • Industrial Vacuum Pumps: The global industrial vacuum pump market size was estimated at USD 5.93 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 8.04 billion by 2030. Another report estimated the global vacuum pumps market size at USD 6.87 billion in 2025, with a projection to increase to approximately USD 12.01 billion by 2035. The demand is fueled by semiconductor manufacturing, chemical processing, and energy industries.

Turbomachinery Products

  • Overall Turbomachinery Market: The global turbomachinery market was valued at approximately USD 13.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 21.4 billion by 2031. Another assessment indicates the market was valued at USD 27.91 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 32.37 billion by 2032. This market is driven by demand from industries such as oil & gas, power generation, and aerospace.
  • Aerospace Turbomachinery (Aircraft Turbine Engines): The global aircraft turbine engine market size was approximately USD 82.64 billion in 2024 and is predicted to grow to around USD 182.49 billion by 2034. The aviation gas turbine market specifically was valued at USD 12.14 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 16.21 billion by 2030.
  • Cryogenic Equipment: The global cryogenic equipment market, which is relevant for turbomachinery in cryogenic applications, was estimated at USD 21.4 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 37 billion by 2035. Other estimates include a market size of USD 22.73 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 34.40 billion by 2033, or USD 26.57 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 45.39 billion by 2033.
  • Defense Industry Equipment: The broader global defense equipment market, which Graham serves with certain products, was valued at USD 539.96 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 795.54 billion by 2033. Specific segments include the air-based defense equipment market, which was USD 174.46 billion in 2025, and the military and defense ground support equipment market, valued at USD 829.4 million in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Graham Corporation (GHM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key areas:

  1. Strong Demand and Conversion of Record Backlog in the Defense Sector: Graham's defense segment is a primary revenue source, particularly with critical U.S. Navy programs, including the Virginia- and Columbia-class nuclear submarine programs. The company has a record backlog, with a significant portion expected to convert to revenue within the next 12-24 months, providing strong revenue visibility and growth.
  2. Growth in Space and New Energy Markets: The company is experiencing strong demand in the space market, which is considered a high-growth area. Additionally, the energy and process market is showing momentum, especially in new energy applications like small modular reactors (SMRs).
  3. Strategic Acquisitions and Investments: Recent strategic acquisitions, such as FlackTek and Xdot Bearing Technologies, are expected to enhance Graham's competitive positioning, expand its technology platforms, and contribute to overall revenue growth. The company is also making strategic investments in organic growth opportunities, including modernizing designs, expanding offerings, and improving facilities and automated technologies.
  4. Organic Growth Initiatives and Operational Execution: Graham is focused on organic revenue growth, targeting 8% to 10% annually, supported by new programs, better pricing strategies, and continuous improvements in operational efficiency. These initiatives are aimed at expanding core technology platforms and leveraging new capabilities to enhance market reach and profitability.

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Capital Allocation Decisions of Graham Corporation (GHM) over the Last 3-5 Years

Share Repurchases

  • Graham Corporation made share repurchases totaling approximately $834.88 thousand in fiscal year 2025 (ended March 31, 2025).
  • Share repurchases for fiscal year 2024 (ended March 31, 2024) were approximately $59.26 thousand.
  • In fiscal year 2023 (ended March 31, 2023) and fiscal year 2022 (ended March 31, 2022), the company repurchased approximately $23.76 thousand and $43.87 thousand of its shares, respectively.

Share Issuance

  • In January 2026, Graham Corporation issued 75,818 shares of its common stock as part of the consideration for the acquisition of FlackTek Manufacturing and FlackTek Sales.
  • As of November 6, 2025, Graham Corporation had 10,987,954 shares of common stock outstanding.

Inbound Investments

  • In fiscal year 2024, Graham Corporation received a $13.5 million strategic investment from a major defense customer to expand its Batavia, New York production capabilities, primarily for machinery and equipment, supporting the U.S. Navy's shipbuilding schedule.
  • Fiscal year 2025 benefited from a $1.3 million grant received from the BlueForge Alliance to reimburse the company for costs associated with its Defense welder training programs in Batavia and related equipment.

Outbound Investments

  • In January 2026, Graham Corporation acquired FlackTek Manufacturing and FlackTek Sales for a purchase price of $35 million. This was paid 85% in cash and 15% through the issuance of 75,818 shares of Graham common stock, with a potential for up to $25 million in performance-based cash earnouts over four years starting in fiscal year 2027.
  • In November 2023 (fiscal year 2024), the company invested $6.8 million in the acquisition of P3 Technologies.
  • Graham Corporation acquired Barber-Nichols, LLC in June 2021 (fiscal year 2022).

Capital Expenditures

  • For the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended December 31, 2025), capital expenditures were $2.2 million, primarily focused on capacity expansion, increasing capabilities, and productivity improvements.
  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 (ended March 31, 2025) totaled $19.0 million, dedicated to capacity expansion, increasing capabilities, and productivity improvements, including projects such as automated welding, the expansion of its Batavia, NY facility, and a new cryogenic testing facility.
  • In fiscal year 2024 (ended March 31, 2024), capital expenditures were $9.2 million, concentrated on capacity expansion, productivity improvements, and the initiation of ERP system implementation. Expected capital expenditures for the full fiscal year 2026 are projected to be between $15.0 million and $18.0 million, with an estimated 7% to 10% of sales allocated to capital expenditures annually for the next several years.

Better Bets vs. Graham (GHM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
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Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to GHM.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy04302026GEOGEODip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_4302026_Short_Squeeze04302026RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
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RSG_4172026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04172026RSGRepublic ServicesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.1%
VRSK_4102026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04102026VRSKVerisk AnalyticsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.3%12.3%0.0%
UHAL_4102026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper04102026UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-1.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GHMXYLGGGGCDTOLOXRYZMedian
NameGraham Xylem Graco Green Ci.Olenox I.Ryerson  
Mkt Price97.08115.6478.670.864.5626.4352.55
Mkt Cap1.128.113.0--1.17.1
Rev LTM2389,0912,248-35,0022,248
Op Inc LTM181,349604--11-618
FCF LTM-6966631--5-107-5
FCF 3Y Avg10835558--84747
CFO LTM131,316678--5-5113
CFO 3Y Avg241,156662--7132132

Growth & Margins

GHMXYLGGGGCDTOLOXRYZMedian
NameGraham Xylem Graco Green Ci.Olenox I.Ryerson  
Rev Chg LTM19.0%5.7%4.6%--42.6%11.3%5.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.6%17.8%1.1%--48.7%-5.0%1.1%
Rev Chg Q20.5%2.7%2.2%--40.0%37.9%2.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.2%0.6%0.5%--17.2%9.4%0.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM59.7%22.2%4.0%-2.2%-117.7%4.0%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg469.3%25.9%0.3%--47.9%-85.7%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM7.5%14.8%26.9%--329.5%-0.1%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.3%12.6%27.6%--201.2%1.3%5.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.2%-0.4%--63.2%0.5%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM5.3%14.5%30.2%--141.9%-1.0%5.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.4%13.5%30.3%--123.6%2.8%12.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.6%10.6%28.1%--152.7%-2.1%-2.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.6%9.7%25.5%--131.1%1.0%5.6%

Valuation

GHMXYLGGGGCDTOLOXRYZMedian
NameGraham Xylem Graco Green Ci.Olenox I.Ryerson  
Mkt Cap1.128.113.0--1.17.1
P/S4.53.15.8--0.23.8
P/Op Inc59.720.821.6---183.721.2
P/EBIT59.722.820.6---112.121.7
P/E71.528.625.2---24.226.9
P/CFO85.221.319.2---22.020.3
Total Yield1.4%4.9%5.4%---1.7%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.4%1.4%--2.5%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%2.8%3.8%---3.8%
D/E0.00.10.0--1.20.0
Net D/E-0.00.0-0.1--1.10.0

Returns

GHMXYLGGGGCDTOLOXRYZMedian
NameGraham Xylem Graco Green Ci.Olenox I.Ryerson  
1M Rtn14.4%-6.9%-7.4%-28.6%601.7%17.2%3.7%
3M Rtn31.6%-16.7%-14.6%-78.6%374.0%-2.2%-8.4%
6M Rtn56.2%-22.6%-2.5%-79.6%122.6%-2.2%-2.4%
12M Rtn192.5%-3.3%-2.8%-79.6%122.6%-2.2%-2.5%
3Y Rtn679.1%11.7%4.3%-79.6%122.6%-2.2%8.0%
1M Excs Rtn0.2%-17.8%-18.7%-30.2%647.9%1.8%-8.8%
3M Excs Rtn23.7%-24.6%-22.5%-86.5%366.1%-10.2%-16.3%
6M Excs Rtn48.3%-30.6%-11.4%-88.0%114.2%-10.6%-11.0%
12M Excs Rtn162.2%-33.7%-33.2%-110.5%91.7%-33.1%-33.1%
3Y Excs Rtn620.3%-63.4%-75.8%-157.7%44.5%-80.3%-69.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment186157123  
All other   2025
Heat transfer equipment   4132
Vacuum equipment   3733
Total1861571239791


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment5    
Total5    


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$97.08 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.1 
First Trading Date03/17/1992 
Distance from 52W High-0.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$87.40$67.70
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA11.1%43.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility56.0%51.3%
Downside Capture1.051.03
Upside Capture265.48271.19
Correlation (SPY)63.5%53.4%
GHM Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.762.182.362.202.211.56
Up Beta1.951.382.352.032.011.34
Down Beta-4.172.612.692.672.181.52
Up Capture188%298%350%369%647%1348%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days11213270140391
Down Capture129%209%158%149%152%109%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days11223255110353

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GHM
GHM183.3%51.2%2.22-
Sector ETF (XLI)32.3%15.6%1.5957.5%
Equity (SPY)29.6%12.5%1.8654.5%
Gold (GLD)37.0%27.1%1.1416.2%
Commodities (DBC)48.7%18.0%2.12-6.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.9%13.5%0.6525.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-16.3%42.1%-0.3134.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GHM
GHM47.5%48.8%0.97-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.0%17.4%0.5937.7%
Equity (SPY)12.8%17.1%0.5935.2%
Gold (GLD)21.1%17.9%0.968.1%
Commodities (DBC)14.1%19.1%0.6010.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.3%18.8%0.0820.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.0%56.0%0.3415.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GHM
GHM19.1%44.9%0.55-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.9%20.0%0.6139.3%
Equity (SPY)15.0%17.9%0.7236.4%
Gold (GLD)13.5%16.0%0.705.2%
Commodities (DBC)9.4%17.8%0.4414.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.7%20.7%0.2425.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)68.2%66.9%1.079.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-2.4%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity11.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/6/202612.9%13.7%15.9%
11/7/20250.4%-6.4%-0.3%
6/9/20256.3%10.1%22.5%
2/7/2025-16.1%-20.2%-35.6%
11/8/202417.0%21.6%29.6%
6/7/20246.1%13.7%4.3%
2/5/202411.0%15.9%20.7%
11/6/2023-2.4%1.4%9.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121110
# Negative789
Median Positive6.7%13.7%18.3%
Median Negative-3.9%-7.8%-6.2%
Max Positive17.0%21.6%31.3%
Max Negative-24.4%-21.7%-35.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/06/202610-Q
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202506/09/202510-K
12/31/202402/07/202510-Q
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202406/07/202410-K
12/31/202302/05/202410-Q
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202306/08/202310-K
12/31/202202/06/202310-Q
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/01/202210-Q
03/31/202206/09/202210-K

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 2/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue233.00 Mil236.00 Mil239.00 Mil2.6% RaisedGuidance: 230.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Gross Margin24.0%24.5%25.0%-2.0%-0.5%LoweredGuidance: 25.0% for 2026
2026 SG&A expense0.170.180.180 AffirmedGuidance: 0.18 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA24.00 Mil26.00 Mil28.00 Mil4.0% RaisedGuidance: 25.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Effective Tax Rate16.0%17.0%18.0%-19.0%-4.0%LoweredGuidance: 21.0% for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures15.00 Mil16.50 Mil18.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 16.50 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 11/7/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue225.00 Mil230.00 Mil235.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 230.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Gross Margin24.5%25.0%25.5%00AffirmedGuidance: 25.0% for 2026
2026 SG&A expense0.170.180.1800AffirmedGuidance: 0.18 for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA22.00 Mil25.00 Mil28.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 25.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Effective Tax Rate20.0%21.0%22.0%00AffirmedGuidance: 21.0% for 2026
2026 Capital Expenditures15.00 Mil16.50 Mil18.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 16.50 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Gregorio, Mauro DirectBuy915202549.011,20058,81258,812Form