Tearsheet

FedEx Freight (FDXF)


Market Price (6/5/2026): $157.22 | Market Cap: $23.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

FedEx Freight (FDXF)


Market Price (6/5/2026): $157.22
Market Cap: $23.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 193%

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
2 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 193%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/1/2026
FedEx Freight (FDXF) stock has gained about 5% since it went public on 5/27/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Immediate Inclusion in Major Market Indices.

FedEx Freight (FDXF) experienced significant mandatory demand from institutional investors and index funds due to its immediate inclusion in both the S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Transportation Average upon its spin-off and listing on June 1, 2026.

2. Market Leadership and Favorable Sector Dynamics for Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Shipping.

As the largest North American less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier, FDXF is positioned to benefit from improving freight market conditions, which are showing signs of recovery after a multi-year slump and the exit of some competitors.

Show more
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FDXF  
Market (SPY)10.7%31.7%
Sector (XLI)-0.3%16.3%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FDXF  
Market (SPY)11.4%31.7%
Sector (XLI)15.3%16.3%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FDXF  
Market (SPY)29.9%31.7%
Sector (XLI)25.0%16.3%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/4/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FDXF  
Market (SPY)88.3%31.7%
Sector (XLI)90.2%16.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FDXF Return-----1%1%
Peers Return97%-28%85%4%-15%60%270%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FDXF Win Rate-----50% 
Peers Win Rate73%40%68%50%47%77% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FDXF Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-42%-24%-29%-44%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ODFL, XPO, SAIA, ARCB, TFII.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/4/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

FDXF has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven45 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven51 days62 days

Compare to ODFL, XPO, SAIA, ARCB, TFII

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

FDXF has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven114 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-60.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven153.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven700 days1085 days

Compare to ODFL, XPO, SAIA, ARCB, TFII

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About FedEx Freight (FDXF)

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FDXFODFLXPOSAIAARCBTFIIMedian
NameFedEx Fr.Old Domi.XPO Saia ArcBest TFI Inte. 
Mkt Price157.71245.52219.26471.43146.08160.31189.78
Mkt Cap-51.125.712.63.313.213.2
Rev LTM-5,4568,2983,2534,0427,8695,456
Op Inc LTM-1,34076034996537537
FCF LTM-1,018458195137636458
FCF 3Y Avg-928-92-718364983
CFO LTM-1,4071,027626261906906
CFO 3Y Avg-1,519864592275981864

Growth & Margins

FDXFODFLXPOSAIAARCBTFIIMedian
NameFedEx Fr.Old Domi.XPO Saia ArcBest TFI Inte. 
Rev Chg LTM--4.8%3.6%0.3%-1.7%-7.3%-1.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--4.2%2.4%5.3%-5.9%-1.9%-1.9%
Rev Chg Q--2.9%7.3%2.4%3.3%-0.8%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--0.7%1.7%0.6%0.8%-0.2%0.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM--10.4%9.4%-19.7%-27.3%-22.9%-19.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg--9.7%13.9%-8.8%-34.2%-15.3%-9.7%
Op Mgn LTM-24.6%9.2%10.7%2.4%6.8%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%8.5%13.4%3.2%8.3%8.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.2%0.2%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-25.8%12.4%19.2%6.5%11.5%12.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-26.7%10.7%18.8%6.6%12.3%12.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-18.7%5.5%6.0%3.4%8.1%6.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-16.4%-1.3%-2.4%2.0%8.1%2.0%

Valuation

FDXFODFLXPOSAIAARCBTFIIMedian
NameFedEx Fr.Old Domi.XPO Saia ArcBest TFI Inte. 
Mkt Cap-51.125.712.63.313.213.2
P/S-9.43.13.90.81.73.1
P/Op Inc-38.233.836.233.824.533.8
P/EBIT-38.137.435.935.724.935.9
P/E-50.873.749.558.344.250.8
P/CFO-36.325.020.212.514.520.2
Total Yield-2.4%1.4%2.0%2.0%3.4%2.0%
Dividend Yield-0.5%0.0%0.0%0.3%1.1%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%-1.0%-0.5%3.8%7.5%2.3%
D/E-0.00.20.00.10.20.1
Net D/E--0.00.10.00.10.20.1

Returns

FDXFODFLXPOSAIAARCBTFIIMedian
NameFedEx Fr.Old Domi.XPO Saia ArcBest TFI Inte. 
1M Rtn4.4%25.4%5.6%11.6%23.7%18.2%14.9%
3M Rtn4.4%16.7%6.3%18.9%46.6%37.6%17.8%
6M Rtn4.4%60.4%55.7%43.5%110.5%68.9%58.0%
12M Rtn4.4%53.0%90.8%77.8%130.5%87.0%82.4%
3Y Rtn4.4%59.5%351.5%59.5%76.2%53.2%59.5%
1M Excs Rtn-0.0%20.9%1.2%7.2%19.3%13.8%10.5%
3M Excs Rtn-6.6%5.7%-4.7%7.8%35.6%26.6%6.7%
6M Excs Rtn-6.6%63.3%50.9%38.8%114.8%68.7%57.1%
12M Excs Rtn-22.6%24.8%63.7%48.9%101.4%61.1%55.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-75.9%-22.9%271.8%-16.8%-10.5%-25.6%-19.9%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Priority5,9576,456
Economy3,0343,120
Other433508
Total9,42410,084


Short Interest

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
11/30/202501/16/202610-12B
05/31/202511/14/2025DRS/A
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/4/2026