First Breach (FBDT)
Market Price (8/27/2026): $1.17 | Market Cap: $52.8 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
First Breach (FBDT)
Market Price (8/27/2026): $1.17Market Cap: $52.8 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 306% Key risksFBDT key risks include [1] significant execution and market penetration challenges for its strategic expansion into the drone market via new joint ventures, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 306% |
| Key risksFBDT key risks include [1] significant execution and market penetration challenges for its strategic expansion into the drone market via new joint ventures, Show more. |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FBDT Return | - | - | - | - | - | -66% | -66% |
| Peers Return | 10% | -21% | 33% | 23% | 100% | -11% | 156% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 104% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FBDT Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 47% | 57% | 47% | 53% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FBDT Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -42% | -47% | -34% | -37% | -45% | -49% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OLN, NPK, KTOS, AVAV, ONDS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
FBDT has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 13.2% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 45 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -20.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 51 days | 62 days |
In The Past
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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FBDT has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -20.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 125 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -41.6% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -23.7% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.1% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -22.5% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -60.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.2% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 700 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About First Breach (FBDT)
First Breach (FBDT) is a vertically integrated manufacturer of high-quality ammunition and ammunition components. The company maintains an advanced manufacturing infrastructure, including on-site lead smelting and brass cup and casing production from raw materials, ensuring tight control over its supply chain and product quality. First Breach manufactures a wide range of ammunition for commercial, law enforcement, and military markets. Its products are distributed through various channels to shooting sports enthusiasts, tactical professionals, OEM clients, and directly to consumers and small businesses, supported by relationships with multiple global raw material suppliers.
The company is strategically expanding beyond its core ammunition business into advanced defense and aerospace technologies. In late 2025, First Breach formed a joint venture, First Forge Technologies Inc., with ideaForge Technology Inc., a leading drone manufacturer. This venture focuses on the localized production and sale of "Made in the USA" drone platforms for defense, homeland security, and commercial applications. Furthering this initiative, in mid-2026, First Breach partnered with Hellbender, Inc. for the design and manufacturing development of specialized attritable first-person-view drones, targeting U.S. National Defense Authorization Act requirements. This diversification positions First Breach for long-term growth by leveraging its precision manufacturing expertise in both the ammunition and emerging unmanned aerial systems sectors.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for First Breach (FBDT):
- It's like a highly vertically integrated ammunition manufacturer, similar to a more self-sufficient **Olin (Winchester)** that makes its own lead, brass, and tooling in-house.
- Imagine a precision manufacturing company akin to a smaller **AeroVironment**, but one that originated in ammunition and is now building a significant 'Made in USA' defense drone business.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Ammunition and Ammunition Components: Manufacturing of high-quality ammunition and components for commercial, law enforcement, and military markets.
- Advanced Drone Platforms: Production and sale of sophisticated unmanned aerial systems for defense, homeland security, and commercial applications through a joint venture.
- Attritable FPV Drone Platforms: Design, engineering, prototyping, and manufacturing demonstration of cost-effective, first-person-view drones for defense applications.
AI Analysis | Feedback
First Breach (FBDT) primarily distributes its ammunition products through **distributor channels**. The company explicitly states, "We distribute our products primarily through distributor channels." However, the provided description does not name these specific distributor companies, and the company emphasizes a diversified customer base, noting it has "over 140 potential sales channels" and does not limit itself to only a few customers.
Beyond its primary distributor channels, First Breach also sells smaller quantities of product directly to **consumers and small businesses**.
The major categories of end-user markets that First Breach serves with its ammunition products include:
- Commercial Market: This broad category includes shooting sports enthusiasts, tactical professionals, and OEM clients.
- Law Enforcement Agencies
- Military Organizations
For its new drone ventures (First Forge Technologies Inc. and the partnership with Hellbender, Inc.), which are anticipated to begin production and deployments in early 2026, the major target customer categories will be:
- Government Agencies: Specifically focusing on defense, homeland security, and other federal and state procurement contracts.
- Enterprise Clients: For advanced drone platforms in various commercial applications.
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ABCO Metals
Gemciler Guven Metal
Mittal Metals
Hellbender, Inc.
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Jeffrey Low, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman
Mr. Low is the Founder of First Breach, Inc. and has served as its CEO & Chairman since April 2018. He is an entrepreneur with over 30 years of experience operating businesses, having developed, owned, and operated numerous outpatient ambulatory imaging and surgical centers. Mr. Low holds a Master's in Economics from Boston University.
Richard Leimbach, Interim Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Leimbach is an inactive CPA with prior experience in CFO roles and public accounting. He is also a Principal at Carrollton Partners.
Jordan Low, Co-Founder, President, Chief Operating Officer & Director
Mr. Low is a Co-Founder of First Breach, Inc. and has served as President, Chief Operating Officer, and Director since 2018. He is a former IDF Golani Brigade Sergeant First Class and holds a B.A. in International Studies from Georgetown University.
Kenneth Leith, Chief Revenue Officer
Adam Edelman, Director of Sales
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Execution and Market Penetration Risks for Drone Ventures: First Breach's strategic expansion into the highly competitive and complex unmanned aerial systems (UAS) market through joint ventures (First Forge Technologies Inc. with ideaForge Technology Inc., and agreement with Hellbender, Inc.) presents significant execution and market penetration challenges. The successful development, production, and sale of advanced, U.S.-compliant drone platforms for defense, homeland security, and commercial applications, particularly securing anticipated government and enterprise contracts, carries substantial technological, operational, and market acceptance risks. Failure to effectively integrate these new initiatives or capture market share could significantly impede the company's envisioned long-term growth in the aerospace sector.
- Regulatory and Political Dependency: Both First Breach's core ammunition manufacturing business and its new drone ventures are susceptible to regulatory and political shifts. The ammunition industry faces ongoing scrutiny and potential changes in gun control legislation, which could impact demand, manufacturing, and distribution. Furthermore, the drone initiatives are heavily reliant on government contracts and specific U.S. policy directives, such as the National Defense Authorization Act and the Department of Defense Drone Dominance Program. Fluctuations in defense spending, changes in procurement policies, or evolving regulatory frameworks for UAS could materially affect the viability and profitability of the company's aerospace sector expansion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid pace of technological innovation in the unmanned aerial systems (UAS) market presents a clear emerging threat to First Forge Technologies Inc., the joint venture focused on advanced drone platforms. As a participant in a high-technology sector, the venture's reliance on current "proprietary avionics and autonomous technologies" faces the inherent risk that competitors may introduce more advanced, efficient, or cost-effective drone platforms, potentially rendering existing offerings less competitive or obsolete in a relatively short timeframe. This dynamic is analogous to historical examples where disruptive new technologies quickly supplanted established products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
First Breach (FBDT) operates in several addressable markets related to ammunition and unmanned aerial systems (UAS).
Ammunition and Ammunition Components
- The global ammunition market was valued at approximately USD 37.24 billion in 2025 and is projected to increase to about USD 53.61 billion by 2035, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.71% from 2026 to 2035.
- The U.S. ammunition market size was estimated at USD 8.08 billion in 2025 and is predicted to grow to around USD 11.98 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 4.02% from 2026 to 2035.
Advanced Drone Platforms (Defense, Homeland Security, and Commercial Applications)
Defense Drones (Military Drones)
- The global military drone market is estimated at approximately USD 18.3 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach about USD 66.5 billion by 2035, representing an estimated CAGR of around 13.8% during 2026-2035.
- In the U.S., the military drone market was valued at approximately USD 6.31 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach approximately USD 16.22 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of approximately 9.9% during 2026-2035.
Commercial Drones
- The global commercial drone market size was valued at USD 38.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 189.9 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 19.50% during 2026-2034.
- The United States commercial drones market size reached USD 9.119 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 31.302 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 14.69% during 2026-2034.
Class 1 Attritable First-Person-View (FPV) Drone Platforms (U.S. Defense)
- The U.S. Department of Defense's Drone Dominance Program, which focuses on smaller FPV-class systems, has a cumulative budget signal of approximately USD 1.1 billion across its four-phase acquisition structure, with a procurement target of 200,000 autonomous platforms by 2027.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for First Breach (FBDT)
- Expansion of Ammunition Market Share and Operational Scale: First Breach aims to achieve significant expansion of its market share and operational scale in both the United States and international ammunition markets through the production of high-quality, competitively priced products. This includes ongoing capital investments, strategic acquisitions, and partnerships, as well as continuous process improvements, product line diversification, and the expansion of its distribution network. The company also intends to enhance its direct-to-consumer channels and brand visibility through targeted marketing, industry events, and strategic media collaborations.
- Growth from the First Forge Technologies Inc. Joint Venture: The strategic joint venture with ideaForge Technology Inc. (First Forge Technologies Inc.) is expected to drive meaningful long-term growth across the aerospace sector. This U.S.-based enterprise will focus on the localized production and sale of advanced drone platforms for defense, homeland security, and commercial applications. With initial production and pilot deployments anticipated in early 2026, the venture aims to secure government and enterprise contracts simultaneously, leveraging ideaForge's proprietary technologies and First Breach's manufacturing infrastructure.
- Development and Manufacturing of Advanced Drone Platforms with Hellbender, Inc.: The Master Services Agreement with Hellbender, Inc., entered into on May 1, 2026, for the design, engineering, prototyping, and demonstration of volume manufacturing capability for two Class 1 attritable first-person-view drone platforms, is a key driver. These platforms are targeted for deployment consistent with U.S. National Defense Authorization Act requirements and the Department of Defense Drone Dominance Program parameters, positioning First Breach for growth in the defense technology sector.
- Sustained Demand in the Global Ammunition Industry: The company is well-positioned to capture growth from robust demand in the global ammunition industry. This demand is driven by sustained civilian consumption for personal safety and recreational use, as well as increased defense and law enforcement expenditures amid geopolitical uncertainty. First Breach's fully vertically integrated manufacturing capabilities provide a distinct competitive advantage in this environment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Outbound Investments
- First Breach entered into a strategic joint venture with ideaForge Technology Inc. on September 23, 2025, to establish First Forge Technologies Inc., a U.S.-based enterprise focused on the localized production and sale of advanced drone platforms for defense, homeland security, and commercial applications.
- On May 1, 2026, the company entered into a Master Services Agreement with Hellbender, Inc. for the design, engineering, prototyping, and demonstration of volume manufacturing capability for two Class 1 attritable first-person-view drone platforms.
Capital Expenditures
- First Breach maintains ongoing capital investments to strengthen its competitive advantage, supporting continuous process improvements, product line diversification, and the expansion of its distribution network.
- The company operates a state-of-the-art facility, which includes an on-site lead smelting operation and brass cup and casing manufacturing from raw materials.
Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense
null| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & Engineering | 31 | 17.4% | 123.5% | 196.7% | CDNL 3078% · FIX 2071% · STRL 2046% |
| Marine Transportation | 4 | 56.1% | 57.3% | 143.3% | MATX 200% · KEX 150% · SFL 137% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | 12.3% | 66.1% | 112.5% | CAT 321% · ALSN 268% · WAB 243% |
| Aerospace & Defense ← | 55 | 2.5% | 63.3% | 78.8% | ATI 1060% · FTAI 900% · DFNS 834% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -6.0% | 70.2% | 66.6% | UBER 93% · CAR 67% · LYFT -64% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 71 | 10.4% | 52.3% | 51.7% | CRS 1407% · PSIX 852% · GHM 661% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 35.4% | 74.8% | 50.2% | FSTR 115% · CSX 66% · UNP 57% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 37.1% | 11.1% | 41.5% | XPO 258% · R 246% · CVLG 223% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 18 | 2.6% | 36.9% | 31.9% | DXPE 513% · AIT 291% · URI 209% |
| Diversified Support Services | 33 | 10.2% | 34.7% | 30.2% | LIME 4931% · WLFC 340% · TH 327% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 41 | 21.5% | 54.1% | 25.3% | POWL 2313% · BE 919% · VRT 837% |
| Building Products | 33 | -9.3% | 13.9% | 21.9% | LMB 426% · GFF 402% · PPIH 288% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 10 | 15.6% | 23.1% | 2.6% | PBI 173% · TILE 169% · EBF 55% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 28 | -7.6% | 15.6% | 0.3% | CECO 827% · ADUR 632% · NVRI 345% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | -7.8% | -19.0% | -3.0% | HURN 214% · CRAI 94% · GRNQ 31% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 18 | 17.0% | 20.0% | -4.3% | RCMT 715% · CSW 141% · TTI 112% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 17 | 0.3% | -4.3% | -16.8% | BLBD 183% · DE 79% · GENC 64% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -29.2% | -9.5% | -24.9% | EXLS 56% · BR 16% · G -24% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | 7.6% | -0.4% | -26.1% | LTM 2357% · UAL 141% · SKYW 108% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 22 | 10.0% | -18.2% | -36.3% | BBSI 88% · ADP 50% · KFY 29% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -9.9% | -21.5% | -37.0% | CHRW 89% · FDX 73% · EXPD 62% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 10 | -37.3% | -16.7% | -45.2% | CIX 108% · MG 88% · BCO 50% |
| Airport Services | 3 | -68.7% | -69.5% | -56.8% | JOBY -44% · ASLE -57% · UP -100% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 35.12 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.1 |
| Rev LTM | 1,522 |
| Op Inc LTM | -53 |
| FCF LTM | -129 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -62 |
| CFO LTM | -40 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -2 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 30.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -131.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -0.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -2.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -8.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.4% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | ||||||
| Up Beta | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Down Beta | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Up Capture | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | ||||||
| Down Capture | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FBDT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBDT | -71.2% | 305.6% | -20.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 20.3% | 17.0% | 0.91 | 74.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 20.3% | 12.8% | 1.18 | 76.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 36.2% | 28.8% | 1.06 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 37.6% | 20.3% | 1.46 | 77.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.8% | 13.6% | 0.57 | -76.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.6% | 43.6% | -0.65 | 66.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FBDT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBDT | -22.0% | 305.6% | -20.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.5% | 17.6% | 0.60 | 74.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.2% | 0.59 | 76.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.3% | 18.7% | 0.89 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.4% | 19.6% | 0.41 | 77.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.9% | 0.03 | -76.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.0% | 52.7% | 0.41 | 66.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FBDT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FBDT | -11.7% | 305.6% | -20.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.8% | 20.0% | 0.60 | 74.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 76.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.6% | 16.3% | 0.64 | 7.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.4% | 18.0% | 0.33 | 77.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | -76.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.5% | 66.1% | 1.03 | 66.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 08/07/2026 | S-1/A |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 08/07/2026 | S-1/A |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Aerospace & Defense Resources |
| Defense News |
| FlightGlobal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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