Tearsheet

FreightCar America (RAIL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.435 | Market Cap: $300.9 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Rail Transportation

FreightCar America (RAIL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.435
Market Cap: $300.9 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Rail Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 29%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Railcar Modernization, Freight Technology, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
2  Key risks
RAIL key risks include [1] its high customer concentration and [2] significant balance sheet weaknesses, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 29%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Railcar Modernization, Freight Technology, Show more.
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 72%
4 Key risks
RAIL key risks include [1] its high customer concentration and [2] significant balance sheet weaknesses, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RAIL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The FreightCar America (RAIL) stock experienced significant movement in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance. FreightCar America reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on November 10, 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company's revenue increased by 42% year-over-year to $160.5 million, exceeding forecasts, and its earnings per share (EPS) of $0.24 beat the estimated $0.23. This strong financial performance, including a record adjusted EBITDA of $17 million, was a major catalyst for the stock's surge.

2. Increased Railcar Deliveries and Revenue Growth. The company's Q3 2025 results highlighted a substantial increase in railcar deliveries, reaching 1,304 units compared to 961 units in the same period last year. This growth in deliveries and manufacturing revenue, particularly from its Castaños, Mexico facility, demonstrated strong operational efficiencies and market demand.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RAIL Return16%53%-13%-16%232%6%360%
Peers Return8%33%-4%28%26%5%135%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RAIL Win Rate42%33%42%33%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate57%62%47%53%60%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RAIL Max Drawdown-63%-7%-15%-29%-11%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-3%-25%-13%-9%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRN, GBX, GATX, WAB, ANDE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRAILS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven249.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven299 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven145 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-91.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1007.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven305.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to CP, FSTR, UNP, CSX, NSC


In The Past

FreightCar America's stock fell -71.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/30/2021. A -71.4% loss requires a 249.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About FreightCar America (RAIL)

Better Bets than FreightCar America (RAIL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1FreightCar America Earnings Notes 
2null 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RAIL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for FreightCar America

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RAILTRNGBXGATXWABANDEMedian
NameFreightC.Trinity .Greenbri.GATX Westingh.Andersons 
Mkt Price9.4528.5146.77170.72212.0855.1650.97
Mkt Cap0.32.31.46.136.21.92.1
Rev LTM5132,1753,2401,70510,78511,5962,708
Op Inc LTM383663445211,77195355
FCF LTM27-396-157101,268234131
FCF 3Y Avg25-335-1256021,205467246
CFO LTM313842667101,490452418
CFO 3Y Avg333692226021,404634486

Growth & Margins

RAILTRNGBXGATXWABANDEMedian
NameFreightC.Trinity .Greenbri.GATX Westingh.Andersons 
Rev Chg LTM-6.4%-33.0%-8.6%10.7%4.4%2.2%-2.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.6%11.1%4.6%10.3%10.0%-9.7%10.1%
Rev Chg Q41.7%-43.2%-27.9%8.4%8.4%2.2%5.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.1%-13.7%-8.3%2.0%2.1%0.5%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM7.4%16.8%10.6%30.6%16.4%0.8%13.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.8%13.4%8.2%29.2%14.8%1.3%10.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%1.8%-0.5%-0.6%0.2%-0.5%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM6.0%17.6%8.2%41.6%13.8%3.9%11.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.1%13.8%6.4%39.2%13.7%4.6%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM5.3%-18.2%-0.5%41.6%11.8%2.0%3.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.2%-13.2%-3.3%39.2%11.7%3.2%3.7%

Valuation

RAILTRNGBXGATXWABANDEMedian
NameFreightC.Trinity .Greenbri.GATX Westingh.Andersons 
Mkt Cap0.32.31.46.136.21.92.1
P/S0.61.00.43.73.20.10.8
P/EBIT-5.33.99.619.08.18.1
P/E3.523.77.020.129.018.519.3
P/CFO10.25.95.48.822.93.07.4
Total Yield28.6%8.6%17.1%5.0%3.9%7.4%8.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.3%2.8%0.0%0.5%2.0%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--15.5%-9.6%12.4%4.2%28.2%4.2%
D/E-2.61.31.40.20.61.3
Net D/E-2.61.11.30.10.51.1

Returns

RAILTRNGBXGATXWABANDEMedian
NameFreightC.Trinity .Greenbri.GATX Westingh.Andersons 
1M Rtn22.6%13.8%12.2%12.2%6.3%12.5%12.4%
3M Rtn8.5%3.9%3.7%1.3%14.4%40.5%6.2%
6M Rtn12.9%11.0%4.4%12.1%5.9%51.1%11.6%
12M Rtn-1.2%-19.0%-26.9%7.6%7.5%31.0%3.2%
3Y Rtn166.9%11.8%49.1%68.4%117.2%70.9%69.6%
1M Excs Rtn21.8%13.0%11.5%11.5%5.5%11.8%11.6%
3M Excs Rtn2.4%-0.6%-1.1%-2.1%10.2%37.0%0.9%
6M Excs Rtn0.5%-1.4%-8.0%-0.3%-6.5%38.7%-0.8%
12M Excs Rtn-19.7%-31.4%-40.0%-3.7%-4.3%14.0%-12.0%
3Y Excs Rtn101.6%-62.5%-29.1%-8.1%40.5%-4.5%-6.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Manufacturing207149154115157
Corporate5151466887
Consolidated income taxes receivable10001
Total259200201183245


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity231,964
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.2%
Average Daily Volume142,107
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.63
Basic Shares Quantity31,887,926
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/202511.8%-2.9%12.9%
8/4/20254.8%-8.5%-15.4%
3/12/202517.5%3.0%-24.4%
11/12/2024-35.3%-40.0%-37.9%
8/12/202416.8%64.8%165.3%
3/18/202410.9%19.0%11.2%
11/6/2023-7.4%-13.3%-12.6%
8/7/20234.4%-0.3%-10.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1098
# Negative91011
Median Positive13.2%15.4%32.0%
Median Negative-6.0%-9.4%-15.4%
Max Positive24.1%64.8%165.3%
Max Negative-35.3%-40.0%-42.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023318202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022327202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021322202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Perez CeliaGC and Corp Secretary6262025Sell8.597,98268,596432,492Form
1Gil Benavides Alejandro 5152025Buy7.265003,6301,328,580Form
2Gil Benavides Alejandro 5142025Buy7.022,50017,5501,281,150Form