Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 111%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, and Water Treatment Solutions.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 54x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.1%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, and Water Treatment Solutions.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -132%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 111%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 54x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OLN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Olin (OLN) experienced a decline of 8.5% in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors.

1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report and Outlook: Olin announced its Third Quarter 2025 results on October 27, 2025, reporting a significant earnings per share (EPS) beat of $0.37 against a forecasted $0.07. Despite the EPS beat, the company's revenue of $1.71 billion fell short of the $1.74 billion forecast. This mixed performance, particularly the revenue miss, contributed to a negative market reaction, with the stock dropping 5.8% in after-hours trading following the announcement and a further 13.55% the next day. The company also issued a cautious outlook for Q4 2025, anticipating adjusted EBITDA between $110 million and $130 million, which includes a $40 million penalty from planned inventory reductions.

2. Challenging Market Conditions and Demand Weakness: Olin's management highlighted ongoing challenges, including subdued global epoxy demand and headwinds from subsidized Asian material in the U.S. and European epoxy markets. The Winchester segment also faced persistent weakness in commercial ammunition sales due to elevated retailer inventories and lower consumer sales. These market conditions contributed to reduced segment earnings, particularly in the Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls and Winchester segments.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OLN Return51%139%-7%3%-36%-35%44%
Peers Return11%31%-6%10%-7%-9%27%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OLN Win Rate58%67%67%50%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate67%58%48%43%50%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OLN Max Drawdown-45%-3%-26%-20%-38%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-5%-25%-14%-19%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DD, WLK, SEE, HUN, CBT. See OLN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOLNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven234 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-60.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven150.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven573 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven233.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2190 days1480 days

Compare to DD, WLK, SEE, HUN, CBT


In The Past

Olin's stock fell -36.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2022. A -36.9% loss requires a 58.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Olin (OLN)

Better Bets than Olin (OLN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OLN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
OLN_6302022_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield06302022OLNOlinDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
16.5%12.6%-8.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
OLN_6302022_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield06302022OLNOlinDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
16.5%12.6%-8.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Olin

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OLNDDWLKSEEHUNCBTMedian
NameOlin DuPont d.Westlake Sealed A.Huntsman Cabot  
Mkt Price21.4539.6668.7142.4710.6164.5441.06
Mkt Cap2.516.68.86.31.83.54.9
Rev LTM6,78713,51811,4805,3325,7803,8156,284
Op Inc LTM2342,14333808-24634434
FCF LTM801,316-365386199348274
FCF 3Y Avg460658544406126351433
CFO LTM2952,064674579366650614
CFO 3Y Avg6811,9861,575624332613652

Growth & Margins

OLNDDWLKSEEHUNCBTMedian
NameOlin DuPont d.Westlake Sealed A.Huntsman Cabot  
Rev Chg LTM4.7%14.0%-5.3%-1.2%-3.5%-3.6%-2.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.7%1.3%-10.3%-2.6%-11.5%-2.5%-6.4%
Rev Chg Q7.8%7.3%-9.0%0.5%-5.2%-9.2%-2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%1.6%-2.4%0.1%-1.4%-2.4%-0.6%
Op Mgn LTM3.4%15.9%0.3%15.1%-0.4%16.6%9.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.7%14.9%6.6%15.1%1.2%15.0%11.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%0.1%-2.3%0.2%-0.5%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.3%15.3%5.9%10.9%6.3%17.0%8.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.9%15.9%12.6%11.5%5.5%15.5%12.1%
FCF/Rev LTM1.2%9.7%-3.2%7.2%3.4%9.1%5.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.7%5.2%4.1%7.5%2.1%8.9%5.9%

Valuation

OLNDDWLKSEEHUNCBTMedian
NameOlin DuPont d.Westlake Sealed A.Huntsman Cabot  
Mkt Cap2.516.68.86.31.83.54.9
P/S0.42.40.91.00.31.10.9
P/EBIT12.246.3-14.67.2-12.86.16.6
P/E53.5-42.3-10.311.5-4.79.42.4
P/CFO9.715.814.79.04.26.29.3
Total Yield5.1%-0.3%-8.3%9.9%-9.9%13.0%2.4%
Dividend Yield3.2%2.1%1.4%1.1%11.3%2.4%2.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.2%1.9%2.8%7.9%5.7%8.2%6.8%
D/E1.20.30.50.81.50.30.7
Net D/E1.10.20.30.81.20.20.5

Returns

OLNDDWLKSEEHUNCBTMedian
NameOlin DuPont d.Westlake Sealed A.Huntsman Cabot  
1M Rtn8.0%14.9%1.5%25.0%32.5%-1.4%11.5%
3M Rtn-7.2%31.9%-18.1%32.1%0.4%-19.1%-3.4%
6M Rtn8.6%47.5%-3.3%34.1%-3.4%-13.0%2.7%
12M Rtn-47.6%22.2%-44.3%18.7%-42.4%-40.2%-41.3%
3Y Rtn-59.4%47.3%-33.2%-15.5%-56.6%-8.4%-24.4%
1M Excs Rtn8.1%14.9%1.6%25.0%32.5%-1.3%11.5%
3M Excs Rtn-15.4%23.9%-26.3%26.9%-6.9%-25.1%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-6.1%32.8%-18.0%19.4%-18.2%-27.7%-12.1%
12M Excs Rtn-61.4%7.7%-58.6%5.4%-55.3%-53.3%-54.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-131.9%-20.1%-101.8%-84.8%-128.2%-77.8%-93.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls3,9955,0854,1412,9603,420
Winchester1,5091,6011,584928666
Epoxy1,3292,6903,1861,8702,024
Corporate/Other0    
Total6,8339,3768,9115,7586,110


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls5,6505,7826,1856,1666,899
Epoxy9791,2021,3071,1531,469
Winchester684595541468385
Corporate/Other400465485484435
Total7,7138,0448,5188,2719,188


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,048,538
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.7%
Average Daily Volume2,631,658
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.44
Basic Shares Quantity114,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021