Tearsheet

Ondas (ONDS)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $6.09 | Market Cap: $917.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment

Ondas (ONDS)


Market Price (11/18/2025): $6.09
Market Cap: $917.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Communications Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 75%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -228%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 58x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 539%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 777%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -200%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -202%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.1%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 143%
6   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 75%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more.
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -228%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 58x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 539%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 777%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -200%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -202%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.1%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 143%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

ONDS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Ondas (ONDS) stock moved by 195% from approximately 7/31/2025 to today: 1. Record Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Raised Outlook. Ondas reported record quarterly revenue of $10.1 million in Q3 2025, marking a more than six-fold increase year-over-year and 60% growth quarter-over-quarter. The company also significantly raised its full-year 2025 revenue target to at least $36 million from a previous target of $25 million and established a preliminary 2026 revenue target of at least $110 million, signaling strong future growth expectations.

2. Major Contract Wins for Autonomous Systems. Ondas secured a significant $8.2 million purchase order from a major European security agency on November 17, 2025, for the deployment of multiple Iron Drone Raider counter-UAS systems to protect one of Europe's largest international airports. This followed a $14.3 million order for its Optimus drone system from a major defense customer, the largest single Optimus order in the company's history, reported in its Q2 2025 results. These wins underscore increasing demand for Ondas' autonomous drone technologies.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ONDS Return55%-28%-76%-4%67%144%4%
Peers Return-1%22%-10%-12%-7%51%34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ONDS Win Rate8%33%42%33%25%60% 
Peers Win Rate23%37%20%27%32%59% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ONDS Max Drawdown-50%-39%-78%-78%-64%-73% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-1%-16%-25%-25%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, SYNX, CSCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventONDSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4483.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-23.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven26 days120 days

Compare to VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, SYNX, CSCO


In The Past

Ondas's stock fell -97.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -97.8% loss requires a 4483.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ondas (ONDS)

Better Bets than Ondas (ONDS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ONDS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ZBRA_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025ZBRAZebra TechnologiesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-10.7%-10.7%-10.7%
ACN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ACNAccentureDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.0%-2.0%-3.5%
ADBE_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ADBEAdobeDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.7%-2.7%-3.9%
TXN_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025TXNTexas InstrumentsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-1.3%
MRVL_10242025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10242025MRVLMarvell TechnologyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ondas

Financials

ONDSVSATADTNFIEESYNXCSCOMedian
NameOndas Viasat Adtran FiEE SilynxcomCisco Sy. 
Mkt Price6.2533.367.331.661.4777.786.79
Mkt Cap0.94.40.6--308.12.7
Rev LTM164,5641,0350-56,6541,035
Op Inc LTM-37-111-37-1-12,504-37
FCF LTM-338826-1-13,28826
FCF 3Y Avg-36-493-7-1-14,178-7
CFO LTM-321,01690-1-14,19390
CFO 3Y Avg-3572849-1-14,98649

Growth & Margins

ONDSVSATADTNFIEESYNXCSCOMedian
NameOndas Viasat Adtran FiEE SilynxcomCisco Sy. 
Rev Chg LTM75.2%-1.4%14.3%-99.5%-5.3%5.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg155.5%26.8%13.7%-65.6%-3.4%13.7%
Rev Chg Q554.9%4.0%22.7%--7.6%15.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM49.1%1.0%5.3%35,994.4%-1.9%5.3%
Op Mgn LTM-227.7%-2.4%-3.6%-3,292.4%-22.1%-3.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-381.7%-8.2%-11.5%-1,146.9%-24.5%-11.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM103.2%-0.3%2.6%1,197,542.8%-0.3%2.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-200.0%22.3%8.7%-1,599.2%-25.1%8.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-331.3%17.9%5.3%-535.9%-26.7%5.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-202.3%1.9%2.5%-1,599.2%-23.5%1.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-344.9%-14.7%-0.1%-536.4%-25.3%-14.7%

Valuation

ONDSVSATADTNFIEESYNXCSCOMedian
NameOndas Viasat Adtran FiEE SilynxcomCisco Sy. 
Mkt Cap0.94.40.6--308.12.7
P/S58.41.00.6--5.43.2
P/EBIT-25.3-29.2-17.4--24.3-21.3
P/E-21.0-7.3-6.6--30.3-7.0
P/CFO-29.24.36.5--21.75.4
Total Yield-4.8%-13.6%-15.1%--5.4%-9.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--2.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-65.1%-20.9%-0.8%--6.4%-10.8%
D/E0.01.60.4--0.10.3
Net D/E-0.01.30.3--0.00.1

Returns

ONDSVSATADTNFIEESYNXCSCOMedian
NameOndas Viasat Adtran FiEE SilynxcomCisco Sy. 
1M Rtn-17.8%-6.5%-18.9%-32.2%-11.4%10.9%-14.6%
3M Rtn56.0%21.8%-17.0%-42.2%-14.5%16.9%1.2%
6M Rtn538.7%211.5%-9.5%--22.6%23.2%23.2%
12M Rtn777.2%350.8%-5.4%--43.9%38.9%38.9%
3Y Rtn117.9%-2.0%-64.1%--77.7%37.8%
1M Excs Rtn-17.9%-6.7%-19.0%-32.4%-11.6%10.8%-14.8%
3M Excs Rtn70.2%23.8%-18.7%-45.0%-16.6%13.1%-1.7%
6M Excs Rtn526.8%199.6%-21.4%--34.5%11.3%11.3%
12M Excs Rtn714.4%310.8%-19.7%--58.0%23.3%23.3%
3Y Excs Rtn9.6%-67.1%-129.7%--17.3%-28.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS)900  
Ondas Networks7232 
Product revenue    0
Service revenue    0
Total162320


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Corporate operating expenses-5    
Ondas Networks-13    
Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS)-22    
Total-40    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS)736472  
Ondas Networks19344529 
Total929811729 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity47,734,394
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025254.1%
Average Daily Volume56,365,910
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity150,652,998
Short % of Basic Shares31.7%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/202519.1%  
7/9/20252.8%27.9%86.0%
3/12/2025-3.7%2.9%14.7%
11/12/2024-2.0%-15.8%31.1%
8/14/2024-14.9%13.2%19.2%
5/15/2024-5.3%-18.3%-8.0%
2/26/202411.1%0.8%-23.8%
11/14/2023-4.2%74.2%108.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive778
# Negative111110
Median Positive8.8%14.5%23.5%
Median Negative-6.4%-14.8%-27.1%
Max Positive19.1%74.2%108.1%
Max Negative-20.0%-24.7%-47.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023401202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022314202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021322202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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