Ondas (ONDS)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $8.46 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
Ondas (ONDS)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $8.46Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -44 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -176% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 208% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 89x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 363%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 227% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -138%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -140% | |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 397% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 136% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 30% | |
| Key risksONDS key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and high cash burn, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 208% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -44 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -176% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 89x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 363%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 227% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -138%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -140% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 397% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 136% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 30% |
| Key risksONDS key risks include [1] persistent unprofitability and high cash burn, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
<br><br>
<b>1. Ondas Holdings Inc. reported record-breaking financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue surging 582% year-over-year to $10.1 million. The company also significantly increased its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to at least $36 million and set a preliminary 2026 target of at least $110 million, indicating a robust growth outlook.</b><br><br>
<b>2. The company substantially strengthened its financial position through significant capital raises, including a $425 million underwritten offering of common stock and warrants in October 2025, which had the potential to raise up to $1.5 billion from full warrant exercise. This activity contributed to a pro forma cash balance of approximately $840.4 million by the end of Q3 2025.</b><br><br>
<b>3. Ondas made strategic acquisitions and investments to expand its market capabilities, including the acquisition of Sentrycs, a provider of counter-unmanned aircraft systems (C-UAS) technology, and the completion of the acquisition of Roboteam, a global leader in rugged tactical ground robotics. These moves bolstered its offerings in multi-domain autonomy and defense.</b><br><br>
<b>4. The company secured major contracts and expanded its presence in critical defense and security markets, notably winning an $8.2 million order to deploy counter-drone systems at a major European airport and a strategic government tender for an autonomous border-protection system involving thousands of drones. An initial order for 500 Wasp drones also marked its expansion into the U.S. defense market.</b><br><br>
<b>5. Ondas received positive endorsements from analysts, with multiple firms initiating or upgrading coverage to "Buy" or "Outperform" ratings and increasing price targets, reflecting strong market confidence in the company's strategic direction and growth prospects. Strategic partnerships, such as with Palantir Technologies, further enhanced operational capabilities.</b>
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.7% change in ONDS stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 53.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.66 | 8.48 | 10.70% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16.13 | 24.75 | 53.42% |
| P/S Multiple | 71.54 | 89.06 | 24.49% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 150.65 | 259.91 | -72.52% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -47.52% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONDS | 10.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 33.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 5.1% | 34.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 363.4% change in ONDS stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 401.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.83 | 8.48 | 363.39% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10.82 | 24.75 | 128.82% |
| P/S Multiple | 17.77 | 89.06 | 401.26% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 105.00 | 259.91 | -147.52% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -645.06% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONDS | 363.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 34.4% |
| Sector (XLK) | 17.0% | 34.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 227.4% change in ONDS stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 290.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.59 | 8.48 | 227.41% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8.02 | 24.75 | 208.40% |
| P/S Multiple | 22.83 | 89.06 | 290.06% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 70.74 | 259.91 | -267.41% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2113.79% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONDS | 227.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 32.0% |
| Sector (XLK) | 24.0% | 34.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 443.6% change in ONDS stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 1015.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12282022 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.56 | 8.48 | 443.59% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2.22 | 24.75 | 1015.75% |
| P/S Multiple | 30.00 | 89.06 | 196.82% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42.66 | 259.91 | -509.23% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13652.79% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ONDS | 465.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 27.3% |
| Sector (XLK) | 53.5% | 27.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ONDS Return | 55% | -28% | -76% | -4% | 67% | 257% | 52% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ONDS Win Rate | 8% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 25% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ONDS Max Drawdown | -50% | -39% | -78% | -79% | -64% | -74% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ONDS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4483.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 120 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Ondas's stock fell -97.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -97.8% loss requires a 4483.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies to describe Ondas (ONDS):
- For its wireless networks division (Ondas Networks): A specialized Motorola Solutions for industrial private networks.
- For its automated drone division (American Robotics): Boston Dynamics for industrial drone automation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- MC-IoT Wireless Networks: Ondas Networks provides proprietary wireless broadband network solutions, including hardware and software, designed for mission-critical IoT applications in industrial and government sectors.
- Autonomous Drone Systems (Scout Systemâ„¢): Through American Robotics, Ondas offers fully autonomous drone systems as a "drone-as-a-service" for industrial asset inspection, monitoring, and data collection.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ondas Holdings Inc. (ONDS) primarily sells its products and services to other companies (B2B) through its two main business units:
- Ondas Networks: Provides private industrial wireless networks for mission-critical applications for sectors such as utilities, oil & gas, and transportation.
- American Robotics: Offers fully-automated drone solutions (drones-as-a-service) for industrial inspection, monitoring, and security.
Based on recent financial disclosures, the company's major customer is:
- CSX Corporation (NASDAQ: CSX)
CSX Corporation has accounted for a significant majority of Ondas's revenue, representing approximately 74% and 78% of Ondas's total revenue for the fiscal years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. This revenue primarily relates to the deployment of Positive Train Control (PTC) systems utilizing Ondas Networks' technology for the railroad industry.
While Ondas Networks also serves and targets other Class I railroads, electric and gas utilities, and oil & gas companies, CSX Corporation is the only customer explicitly identified as accounting for such a dominant percentage of its revenue.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Eric Brock, Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Brock is the founder of Ondas Holdings and has served as Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer since 2018, and President since June 2023. He also holds chairman roles at Ondas Networks Inc., Ondas Autonomous Systems Inc. (OAS), American Robotics, Inc., and Airobotics Ltd. An entrepreneur with over 20 years of global banking and investing experience, Mr. Brock co-founded Clough Capital Partners, a Boston-based investment firm, where he was a Partner and Portfolio Manager from 2000 to 2017. His earlier career included roles as an investment banker at Bear, Stearns & Co. and an accountant at Ernst & Young, LLP.
Neil Laird, Chief Financial Officer, Treasurer and Secretary
Mr. Laird has been the CFO of Ondas Holdings since June 2024, having provided accounting and financial services to the company since 2021. He is an experienced executive with expertise in mergers and acquisitions, financing, international operations, and SEC reporting, having led finance teams for both public and private companies. From 1999 to 2016, he served as CFO at several Silicon Valley companies, including ADAC Laboratories, SumTotal Systems, and Mobileum. Since 2016, he has assisted high-technology startups with accounting systems, procedures, and financing.
Mark Green, Head of Global Corporate Development and M&A
Mr. Green is a key member of the executive leadership team, responsible for leading corporate development and strategic growth initiatives, including acquisitions, joint ventures, and direct investments for Ondas Holdings. He is a finance professional with over 30 years of cross-border investment banking and corporate finance experience. Prior to joining Ondas, he was Managing Director and Head of Technology Investment Banking at Ladenburg Thalmann for over 11 years, and he also founded Green Capital Group Inc.
Meir Kliner, CEO and Founder of Airobotics
Mr. Kliner serves as the CEO and Founder of Airobotics, an indirect subsidiary of Ondas Holdings and part of Ondas Autonomous Systems. He brings over 20 years of managerial experience and expertise in developing drones for various industries, including recreational, commercial, and military-grade aerial systems. He has founded several businesses, such as Light and Strong, a prominent manufacturer of composites for aerial platforms in the drone industry, and has been leading the development of the Optimus Systemâ„¢ since 2014.
Oshri Lugassy, Co-CEO of Ondas Autonomous Systems
Mr. Lugassy is the Co-CEO of Ondas Autonomous Systems, where he leads the advancement and deployment of autonomous drone and robotics solutions for industrial and defense applications. He possesses decades of experience in defense technology, strategic leadership, and global business development. Before joining Ondas, Mr. Lugassy was the VP of Sales & Marketing at Rafael Advanced Defense Systems, where he secured multibillion-dollar defense contracts globally.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Ondas (ONDS) are:
- Unprofitability and Cash Burn: Ondas has consistently reported significant losses, high negative margins, and substantial cash burn, indicating that operational costs frequently exceed revenue. The company has sustained losses for multiple consecutive years and continues to burn cash to fund its operations. This ongoing unprofitability necessitates robust strategic realignment and raises questions about its ability to achieve sustainable financial health.
- Dilution and Dependence on Capital Markets: The company has relied heavily on equity financing and continuous capital raises to fund its operations and acquisitions. This dependency raises significant concerns about potential dilution for existing shareholders and the long-term sustainability of this financing strategy, especially in volatile market conditions.
- Execution Risk and Integration of Acquisitions: Ondas's future success is highly dependent on its ability to secure high-margin contracts, maintain operational efficiency, and successfully integrate its recent acquisitions, such as Sentrycs. The rapid pace of acquisitions introduces a risk of "integration overload," which could lead to increased expenses and operational challenges. Analysts emphasize that converting the company's backlog into revenue and achieving consistent gross margins are critical execution challenges.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ondas Holdings faces two clear emerging threats across its business segments:
-
Accelerated Competition in Private Critical Infrastructure Networks: Ondas Networks is increasingly facing intensified competition from large, established telecommunications equipment vendors (e.g., Nokia, Ericsson) and system integrators. These companies are aggressively investing in and deploying private 5G and LTE networks specifically tailored for critical infrastructure applications, directly competing with Ondas Networks' mission-critical wireless solutions. Backed by substantial R&D budgets, global sales channels, and existing customer relationships, these larger players pose a significant threat by potentially limiting Ondas Networks' market penetration and growth opportunities.
-
Intensifying Competition in Autonomous Industrial Drones: American Robotics is confronting rapidly escalating competition within the industrial autonomous drone market. This is fueled by significant technological advancements in drone autonomy, artificial intelligence, and data analytics from numerous well-funded startups and established aerospace/robotics companies. As regulatory barriers for beyond visual line of sight (BVLOS) operations continue to ease globally, American Robotics' unique "without human pilots on-site" differentiation may face erosion from an increasing number of sophisticated and scalable alternatives, making it harder to capture and maintain market share in a rapidly evolving landscape.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ondas (ONDS) operates in two primary markets through its business units: Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) and Ondas Networks. Each unit addresses distinct, growing markets.
Ondas Autonomous Systems (Autonomous Drones and Unmanned Systems)
- The global inspection drones market was valued at approximately USD 8.90 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach nearly USD 23.50 billion by 2032, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 12.9%. North America holds the largest share of this market. Other estimates for the global inspection drone market include USD 15.56 billion in 2024, expanding to USD 110.54 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 21.66%, and USD 11.75 billion in 2025, reaching USD 31.31 billion by 2030 with a CAGR of 21.63%. The broader drone inspection and monitoring market is projected to grow from USD 15.2 billion in 2025 to USD 61.5 billion by 2035 at a CAGR of 15.0%.
- The global industrial drone inspection market was valued at USD 746 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 4,621 million by 2035, with a CAGR of 18.0%. North America is a dominant region in this market.
- For railway drone inspection services specifically, the global market was valued at US$63.4 million in 2023 and is projected to grow to US$147 million by 2030, at a CAGR of 13.1%.
- The global unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) market, which includes Ondas's Optimus and Iron Drone Raider platforms, was valued at approximately USD 26.89 billion in 2022 and is predicted to grow to around USD 48.17 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of roughly 7.56%. Another report indicates the global unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) market size was USD 36.41 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 125.91 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 17.3%. North America held the largest market share of 34.36% in 2024 for UAVs. The broader unmanned systems market was estimated at USD 26.55 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 48.31 billion by 2030, with North America accounting for the largest global revenue share of over 45% in 2024.
Ondas Networks (Private Wireless Solutions)
- The global private wireless network market was valued at USD 5.8 billion in 2024 and is forecasted to reach USD 22.4 billion by 2033, growing at a robust CAGR of 16.2%. Another assessment values the global private LTE and private 5G network market at USD 8.4 billion in 2023, projecting it to reach USD 64.3 billion by 2033 with a CAGR of 22.9%. Yet another source estimates the global private wireless market size at USD 6.27 billion in 2024, with an expected growth to USD 32.86 billion by 2032 at a CAGR of 23%. North America is a dominant region in the private wireless market.
- For Mission-Critical IoT (MC-IoT) applications, which Ondas Networks' FullMAX platform enables, the North American IoT market was valued at USD 120 billion in 2023 and is expected to grow with a healthy CAGR of 18%.
Ondas states that its combined global addressable market for its data and automation products, targeting industrial and government users, is an estimated $130 billion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Ondas (ONDS) over the next 2-3 years:- Expansion in Defense and Homeland Security Markets: The Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) business unit is a key driver, with significant orders and a growing backlog for its autonomous drone platforms, such as the Iron Drone Raider and Optimus System, from military and public safety customers. The company is actively expanding into defense and homeland security markets across Europe, the Middle East, and the United States. The Iron Drone Raider, in particular, is emerging as a "hard kill" counter-drone solution, addressing an urgent need for protection against hostile drones.
- Deployment of 900 MHz Networks for Critical Infrastructure: Ondas Networks is focused on the adoption and deployment of its 900 MHz wireless technology, particularly with Class I railroads. Despite past extended timelines, there is ongoing activity and expected progress in upgrading and deploying these mission-critical networks for rail operations. An example includes an order from Metra, Chicago's primary commuter rail system, for a system-wide 900 MHz upgrade.
- Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions: Ondas is pursuing a growth strategy that includes strategic partnerships and targeted acquisitions to broaden its market reach, enhance its product portfolio, and improve operational capabilities. Key collaborations include a partnership with Palantir Technologies to leverage AI for operational efficiencies and scale OAS operations, and a partnership with Rift Dynamics for new drone capabilities. The company also plans to close at least two strategic acquisitions in 2025 to further enhance its market presence.
- Conversion of Robust Order Backlog and Continued Customer Demand: Ondas has a substantial and growing order backlog, which provides significant visibility for future revenue recognition. For example, the backlog for OAS reached $20.7 million as of June 30, 2025, up from $9.4 million at the end of Q1, supported by $39 million in orders over the preceding twelve months. This strong order growth and expanding customer demand for its autonomous systems are expected to be converted into revenue over the next few years.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
No information available on share repurchases over the last 3-5 years.Share Issuance
- Ondas completed offerings in September and October 2025, generating gross proceeds of $200 million and net proceeds of approximately $407.2 million from common stock and pre-funded warrants.
- In August 2025, a public equity offering raised $42.7 million and warrant/option exercises generated $11.7 million.
- Stockholders approved increasing the authorized shares for issuance under the 2021 Stock Incentive Plan from 11 million to 26 million, and authorized common stock from 300 million to 400 million in May 2025.
Inbound Investments
- In the fourth quarter of 2024, Ondas fortified its financial position by securing $35 million of capital.
- During the third and fourth quarters of 2024, Ondas raised $10.5 million in capital, including $3.5 million from Privet Ventures LLC and Charles & Potomac, and $3.0 million from Charles & Potomac Capital LLC.
- Subsequent to December 31, 2023, Ondas raised $8.6 million through the sale of common stock and Ondas Networks preferred stock.
Outbound Investments
- In October 2025, Ondas Holdings led a $14 million strategic investment in Safe Pro Group Inc.
- Ondas made a strategic investment in Kopin Corporation as part of a $41 million private placement in October 2025.
- In September 2025, Ondas launched Ondas Capital, expecting to deploy at least $150 million over the next two years to scale unmanned and autonomous systems in defense and security markets, with investments beginning in Q4 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- In Q3 2024, Ondas was investing to expand its operating infrastructure to support an expected increase in orders and system deliveries for its Iron Drone and Optimus platforms.
- A total of $1.7 million was invested in equipment in 2024.
- The net proceeds from a $40 million offering in June 2025 are intended for general corporate purposes, including funding capital expenditures and providing working capital.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Ondas Earnings Notes | ||
| Ondas Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ONDS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 14.4% | 14.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.1% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.3% | 17.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.5% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ondas
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) | 9 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Ondas Networks | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
| Product revenue | 0 | ||||
| Service revenue | 0 | ||||
| Total | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate operating expenses | -5 | ||||
| Ondas Networks | -13 | ||||
| Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) | -22 | ||||
| Total | -40 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) | 73 | 64 | 72 | ||
| Ondas Networks | 19 | 34 | 45 | 29 | |
| Total | 92 | 98 | 117 | 29 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $8.48 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/15/2018 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -24.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.54 | $4.16 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 12.5% | 103.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 155.1% | 135.1% |
| Downside Capture | 462.65 | 252.55 |
| Upside Capture | 426.15 | 334.64 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 33.4% | 32.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.64 | 3.88 | 3.86 | 4.10 | 2.37 | 2.35 |
| Up Beta | 9.47 | 7.44 | 7.73 | 8.39 | 1.61 | 1.96 |
| Down Beta | 5.91 | 3.12 | 3.34 | 3.08 | 2.83 | 2.49 |
| Up Capture | 302% | 383% | 464% | 1402% | 2490% | 5407% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 19 | 32 | 70 | 131 | 344 |
| Down Capture | -12% | 309% | 249% | 90% | 140% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 31 | 55 | 115 | 390 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of ONDS With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONDS | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 476.9% | 25.0% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 139.7% | 27.5% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.89 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 33.7% | 31.2% | 3.4% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 15.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of ONDS With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONDS | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 3.2% | 18.8% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 113.8% | 24.7% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.54 | 0.69 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 30.5% | 30.4% | 0.2% | 8.1% | 23.9% | 16.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of ONDS With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONDS | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 8.3% | 22.5% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 126.2% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.64 | 0.85 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 26.9% | 27.0% | -0.9% | 6.6% | 21.6% | 13.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | 19.1% | 36.1% | 39.6% |
| 7/9/2025 | 2.8% | 27.9% | 86.0% |
| 3/12/2025 | -3.7% | 2.9% | 14.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -2.0% | -15.8% | 31.1% |
| 8/14/2024 | -14.9% | 13.2% | 19.2% |
| 5/15/2024 | -5.3% | -18.3% | -8.0% |
| 2/26/2024 | 11.1% | 0.8% | -23.8% |
| 11/14/2023 | -4.2% | 74.2% | 108.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 8 | 9 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 8.8% | 16.6% | 27.8% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -14.8% | -27.1% |
| Max Positive | 19.1% | 74.2% | 108.1% |
| Max Negative | -20.0% | -24.7% | -47.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11132025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.