Ondas (ONDS)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $6.09 | Market Cap: $917.5 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Communications Equipment
Ondas (ONDS)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $6.09Market Cap: $917.5 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Communications Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 75% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -228% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 58x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 539%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 777% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -200%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -202% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.1% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 143% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 75% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include 5G & Advanced Connectivity, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Telecom Infrastructure, Network Equipment, Show more. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -228% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 58x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 539%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 777% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -200%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -202% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.1% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 143% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ONDS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why Ondas (ONDS) stock moved by 195% from approximately 7/31/2025 to today:
1. Record Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Raised Outlook. Ondas reported record quarterly revenue of $10.1 million in Q3 2025, marking a more than six-fold increase year-over-year and 60% growth quarter-over-quarter. The company also significantly raised its full-year 2025 revenue target to at least $36 million from a previous target of $25 million and established a preliminary 2026 revenue target of at least $110 million, signaling strong future growth expectations.
2. Major Contract Wins for Autonomous Systems. Ondas secured a significant $8.2 million purchase order from a major European security agency on November 17, 2025, for the deployment of multiple Iron Drone Raider counter-UAS systems to protect one of Europe's largest international airports. This followed a $14.3 million order for its Optimus drone system from a major defense customer, the largest single Optimus order in the company's history, reported in its Q2 2025 results. These wins underscore increasing demand for Ondas' autonomous drone technologies.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ONDS Return | 55% | -28% | -76% | -4% | 67% | 144% | 4% |
| Peers Return | -1% | 22% | -10% | -12% | -7% | 51% | 34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ONDS Win Rate | 8% | 33% | 42% | 33% | 25% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 37% | 20% | 27% | 32% | 59% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ONDS Max Drawdown | -50% | -39% | -78% | -78% | -64% | -73% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -1% | -16% | -25% | -25% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, SYNX, CSCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ONDS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -97.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4483.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -23.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 26 days | 120 days |
Compare to VSAT, ADTN, FIEE, SYNX, CSCO
In The Past
Ondas's stock fell -97.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2021. A -97.8% loss requires a 4483.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Would You Still Hold Ondas Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ONDS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -10.7% | -10.7% | -10.7% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.0% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.7% | -2.7% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.3% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Ondas
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.79 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,035 |
| Op Inc LTM | -37 |
| FCF LTM | 26 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -7 |
| CFO LTM | 90 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 49 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -11.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | -21.3 |
| P/E | -7.0 |
| P/CFO | 5.4 |
| Total Yield | -9.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -10.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 23.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 38.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 37.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -14.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 11.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 23.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -28.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) | 9 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Ondas Networks | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | |
| Product revenue | 0 | ||||
| Service revenue | 0 | ||||
| Total | 16 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate operating expenses | -5 | ||||
| Ondas Networks | -13 | ||||
| Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) | -22 | ||||
| Total | -40 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) | 73 | 64 | 72 | ||
| Ondas Networks | 19 | 34 | 45 | 29 | |
| Total | 92 | 98 | 117 | 29 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/13/2025 | 19.1% | ||
| 7/9/2025 | 2.8% | 27.9% | 86.0% |
| 3/12/2025 | -3.7% | 2.9% | 14.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -2.0% | -15.8% | 31.1% |
| 8/14/2024 | -14.9% | 13.2% | 19.2% |
| 5/15/2024 | -5.3% | -18.3% | -8.0% |
| 2/26/2024 | 11.1% | 0.8% | -23.8% |
| 11/14/2023 | -4.2% | 74.2% | 108.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 8.8% | 14.5% | 23.5% |
| Median Negative | -6.4% | -14.8% | -27.1% |
| Max Positive | 19.1% | 74.2% | 108.1% |
| Max Negative | -20.0% | -24.7% | -47.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8122025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8142024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 4012024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8142023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5152023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11152021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |