Tearsheet

National Presto Industries (NPK)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $95.01 | Market Cap: $679.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

National Presto Industries (NPK)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $95.01
Market Cap: $679.3 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Security & Defense, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Defense Ordnance & Manufacturing, and Geriatric Care.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Global Security & Defense, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Defense Ordnance & Manufacturing, and Geriatric Care.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -14%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.5%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NPK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock price of National Presto Industries (NPK) experienced fluctuations between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025. While a precise -9.1% drop within this specific future timeframe and its exact causes cannot be definitively stated based on currently available information, several analytical forecasts and reported events from around this period highlight potential factors influencing stock movement. Here are some key points that could contribute to significant stock movement for NPK around the specified time: 1. Negative Price Predictions and Bearish Sentiment. Some analyses for NPK around November 2025 indicated a negative outlook. For instance, a price prediction as of November 30, 2025, forecasted a -24.46% change over the next month for NPK, based on its correlation with other stocks. Overall moving average trends for NPK as of December 3, 2025, leaned more bullish in the mid-term, but included negative signals, leading to a "Strong Sell" evaluation for the short term. Another forecast predicted NPK shares to drop by -0.86% by December 28, 2025, with a "Bearish" sentiment.

2. Analyst Earnings Estimate Adjustments. In November 2025, B. Riley trimmed its FY2025 EPS estimate for NPK International (NPKI, which is often referenced in conjunction with NPK) from $0.40 to $0.39. While the firm maintained a "Buy" rating, a downward revision in earnings estimates can sometimes contribute to negative stock performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NPK Return7%-2%-12%24%30%-2%46%
Peers Return-13%-2%-3%14%-2%44%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NPK Win Rate50%50%33%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate17%8%10%12%5%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NPK Max Drawdown-18%-4%-21%0%-8%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-5%-7%-0%-2%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, APEX, BETA, DFSC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNPKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1208 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-38.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven89 days1480 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, APEX, BETA, DFSC


In The Past

National Presto Industries's stock fell -48.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -48.0% loss requires a 92.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About National Presto Industries (NPK)

Better Bets than National Presto Industries (NPK)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NPK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for National Presto Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NPKFLYATROAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameNational.Firefly .AstronicsAPEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
Mkt Price95.2620.2250.88-29.843.8129.84
Mkt Cap0.7-1.8---1.2
Rev LTM474101831--4288
Op Inc LTM48-21150---919
FCF LTM-60-19951---9-34
FCF 3Y Avg-18-8---11-11
CFO LTM-31-16574---9-20
CFO 3Y Avg-6-22---10-6

Growth & Margins

NPKFLYATROAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameNational.Firefly .AstronicsAPEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
Rev Chg LTM34.7%-6.2%--166.4%34.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg16.4%-19.5%--94.3%19.5%
Rev Chg Q25.7%-3.8%--330.2%25.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.2%-0.9%--35.8%5.2%
Op Mgn LTM10.0%-209.3%6.0%---209.1%-101.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.3%-2.2%---699.5%2.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-1.7%--86.7%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.5%-164.1%8.9%---212.3%-85.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1.1%-2.5%---716.7%-1.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-12.6%-197.5%6.1%---216.3%-105.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.7%-0.8%---777.8%-3.7%

Valuation

NPKFLYATROAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameNational.Firefly .AstronicsAPEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
Mkt Cap0.7-1.8---1.2
P/S1.7-1.9---1.8
P/EBIT16.8-32.3---24.6
P/E20.7--523.2----251.3
P/CFO-26.1-22.0----2.1
Total Yield5.7%--0.2%---2.8%
Dividend Yield0.9%-0.0%---0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.1%--0.5%----1.3%
D/E0.1-0.2---0.1
Net D/E0.1-0.2---0.1

Returns

NPKFLYATROAPEXBETADFSCMedian
NameNational.Firefly .AstronicsAPEX Glo.BETA Tec.DEFSEC T. 
1M Rtn-12.5%-11.5%6.0%--17.1%18.7%-11.5%
3M Rtn-12.4%-52.8%30.3%--27.4%7.5%
6M Rtn10.1%-57.5%---33.8%
12M Rtn12.7%-207.4%---110.1%
3Y Rtn53.0%-465.3%---259.2%
1M Excs Rtn-13.8%-12.8%4.8%--18.4%17.4%-12.8%
3M Excs Rtn-18.7%-58.4%25.7%--20.8%1.0%
6M Excs Rtn-5.4%-42.0%---18.3%
12M Excs Rtn1.5%-193.7%---97.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-14.4%-464.3%---224.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Defense242202240235209
Housewares / Small Appliances9811811611899
Safety2100-0
Total341322356353309


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Defense3832515348
Housewares / Small Appliances75-3103
Safety-11-15-19-7-4
Total3522305646


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Defense242194168165148
Housewares / Small Appliances192212242246242
Safety66102320
Total441412420433410


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity167,765
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120253.4%
Average Daily Volume62,705
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.68
Basic Shares Quantity7,150,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023811202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023512202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022313202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022812202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022513202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021