Darden Restaurants (DRI)


Market Price (10/12/2026): $197.71 | Market Cap: $22.5 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Darden Restaurants (DRI)


Market Price (10/12/2026): $197.71
Market Cap: $22.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.6 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Future of Dining. Themes include Experiential Retail, Off-Premise Dining, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -28%

Key risks
DRI key risks include [1] margin pressure from commodity inflation in key inputs like beef and seafood, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.4%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.6 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Future of Dining. Themes include Experiential Retail, Off-Premise Dining, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.2%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -28%
6 Key risks
DRI key risks include [1] margin pressure from commodity inflation in key inputs like beef and seafood, Show more.

DRI in ETFs

Weight = DRI's share of each fund

SPY0.03%
VOO0.04%
IVV0.03%
VTI0.03%
ITOT0.03%
IWB0.03%
RSP0.20%
VTV0.09%
+26 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/1/2026

Darden Restaurants (DRI) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Darden Restaurants reported fiscal Q1 2027 results that narrowly missed analyst expectations for both earnings and revenue. Darden's diluted net earnings per share from continuing operations for fiscal Q1 2027 (which ended August 30, 2026) were $2.05, slightly below analyst projections of $2.06 per share. Total sales reached $3.2 billion, also just missing the consensus estimate of $3.21 billion.

2. Olive Garden, the company's largest brand, showed weaker-than-expected comparable sales growth. In fiscal Q1 2027, Olive Garden's comparable same-restaurant sales increased by only 1.1%, which was below analyst expectations for the segment. Management attributed this underperformance, in part, to a negative impact from the World Cup and consumer concerns related to cyclospora, which led to a pause in marketing for its "unlimited soup, salad, and breadsticks" promotion. These factors were estimated to have created a 1.5% to 2.0% headwind for Olive Garden's growth and a 0.8% headwind for the company's total growth.

Show more
Updated on 10/1/2026

Darden Restaurants (DRI) stock has remained largely at the same level since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Darden Restaurants reported fiscal Q1 2027 results that narrowly missed analyst expectations for both earnings and revenue. Darden's diluted net earnings per share from continuing operations for fiscal Q1 2027 (which ended August 30, 2026) were $2.05, slightly below analyst projections of $2.06 per share. Total sales reached $3.2 billion, also just missing the consensus estimate of $3.21 billion.

2. Olive Garden, the company's largest brand, showed weaker-than-expected comparable sales growth. In fiscal Q1 2027, Olive Garden's comparable same-restaurant sales increased by only 1.1%, which was below analyst expectations for the segment. Management attributed this underperformance, in part, to a negative impact from the World Cup and consumer concerns related to cyclospora, which led to a pause in marketing for its "unlimited soup, salad, and breadsticks" promotion. These factors were estimated to have created a 1.5% to 2.0% headwind for Olive Garden's growth and a 0.8% headwind for the company's total growth.

3. Increased operating costs negatively impacted profitability. Total operating costs and expenses, including food, beverage, and labor, rose by 6.5% to $2.88 billion during fiscal Q1 2027. Although the company maintained a flat restaurant-level EBITDA margin of 18.8% through labor productivity and sales mix adjustments, the increase in underlying costs was a notable concern for investors.

4. The reaffirmed fiscal year 2027 guidance was perceived as underwhelming by the market. Despite Darden reiterating its full fiscal 2027 outlook, projecting diluted EPS between $11.10 and $11.35 and total sales between $13.60 billion and $13.75 billion, the stock reacted negatively. Some analysts characterized the outlook as "underwhelming for growth" and suggested that shares were "fairly valued" at current levels, implying a lack of new catalysts for significant future upside.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.5% change in DRI stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/11/2026 was primarily driven by a -9.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)630202610112026Change
Stock Price ($)202.71197.66-2.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,76413,3664.7%
Net Income Margin (%)8.7%8.8%2.1%
P/E Multiple21.119.0-9.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1151141.2%
Cumulative Contribution-2.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DRI-2.5% 
Market (SPY)4.3%1.2%
Sector (XLY)-3.8%25.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.3% change in DRI stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)331202610112026Change
Stock Price ($)191.42197.663.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,76413,3664.7%
Net Income Margin (%)8.7%8.8%2.1%
P/E Multiple19.919.0-4.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1151141.2%
Cumulative Contribution3.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DRI3.3% 
Market (SPY)20.0%4.2%
Sector (XLY)3.8%23.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.0% change in DRI stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)930202510112026Change
Stock Price ($)183.02197.668.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12,36413,3668.1%
Net Income Margin (%)8.9%8.8%-0.6%
P/E Multiple19.419.0-2.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1171142.7%
Cumulative Contribution8.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DRI8.0% 
Market (SPY)17.8%11.8%
Sector (XLY)-5.3%24.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 53.4% change in DRI stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/11/2026 was primarily driven by a 24.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)930202310112026Change
Stock Price ($)128.86197.6653.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,77213,36624.1%
Net Income Margin (%)9.1%8.8%-3.1%
P/E Multiple15.819.019.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1211146.4%
Cumulative Contribution53.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/11/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DRI53.4% 
Market (SPY)88.4%30.2%
Sector (XLY)43.4%35.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DRI Return29%-5%23%18%2%12%102%
Peers Return5%-7%27%49%-4%36%142%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DRI Win Rate67%42%67%50%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate52%37%55%63%42%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DRI Max Drawdown-14%-25%-21%-20%-24%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-34%-24%-24%-34%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: EAT, BLMN, TXRH, CAKE, YUM. See DRI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/9/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventDRIS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-19.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven66 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven147 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-71.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven253.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven236 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-16.0%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven36 days62 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-10.5%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.7%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven24 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven162 days123 days

Compare to EAT, BLMN, TXRH, CAKE, YUM

In The Past

Darden Restaurants's stock fell -8.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 8.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventDRIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven147 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-71.7%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven253.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven236 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven162 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-21.7%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven121 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-49.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven96.4%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven29 days1085 days

Compare to EAT, BLMN, TXRH, CAKE, YUM

In The Past

Darden Restaurants's stock fell -8.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 8.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Darden Restaurants (DRI)

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Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI) is a prominent operator of full-service restaurants primarily across the United States, with some operations in Canada. Established in 1968 and headquartered in Orlando, Florida, the company owns and manages a significant portfolio of well-known and diverse restaurant brands.

The company's core business involves providing a wide array of dining experiences through its various chains. These include popular casual dining establishments such as Olive Garden, specializing in Italian cuisine, and LongHorn Steakhouse, focused on grilled steaks. Darden also operates other concepts like Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, Yard House, and more upscale fine-dining brands including The Capital Grille and Eddie V's Prime Seafood. Darden caters to a broad customer base seeking different dining styles and price points, from family-friendly casual meals to premium dining experiences across its North American markets.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Darden Restaurants (DRI):

  • It's like the Yum! Brands of full-service restaurants.
  • Think of it as the Marriott International of casual and fine dining.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Olive Garden Dining: Offers a casual Italian-American dining experience with a menu featuring pasta, salads, and breadsticks.
  • LongHorn Steakhouse Dining: Provides a casual steakhouse experience focused on grilled steaks, ribs, and other American entrees.
  • Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen Dining: Delivers American comfort food made from scratch in a casual, family-friendly setting.
  • Yard House Dining: Features a vast selection of draft beers alongside American fusion cuisine in a high-energy environment.
  • The Capital Grille Dining: Offers upscale, fine-dining experiences specializing in dry-aged steaks and fresh seafood.
  • Seasons 52 Dining: Provides a fresh grill and wine bar experience, focusing on seasonally inspired dishes under 595 calories.
  • Bahama Breeze Dining: Delivers a Caribbean-inspired dining experience with tropical drinks and island-style food.
  • Eddie V's Prime Seafood Dining: Presents a luxury dining experience featuring prime seafood, steaks, and a sophisticated jazz lounge atmosphere.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Darden Restaurants (DRI)

Darden Restaurants primarily sells directly to individual consumers through its portfolio of full-service restaurant brands. Its major customer categories include:

  • Casual and Family Diners: This segment encompasses individuals and families seeking value, familiar cuisine (such as Italian-American or American comfort food), and a relaxed dining atmosphere. Brands like Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, and Bahama Breeze primarily cater to this broad customer base for regular meals and casual outings.
  • Upscale Casual and Experiential Diners: These customers are looking for a more elevated casual dining experience, often characterized by specific features such as extensive craft beverage selections or seasonally inspired, health-conscious menus. Brands like Yard House and Seasons 52 appeal to individuals and groups seeking a vibrant social atmosphere or a focus on fresh, high-quality ingredients for social gatherings or slightly more special occasions.
  • Fine Dining and Affluent Clientele: This category consists of discerning individuals, business professionals, and those celebrating very special occasions who seek premium steaks and seafood, extensive wine lists, impeccable service, and a luxurious ambiance. The Capital Grille and Eddie V's Prime Seafood brands serve this high-end market segment, commanding a higher price point for a sophisticated dining experience.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Rick Cardenas, President and Chief Executive Officer

Rick Cardenas became President and Chief Executive Officer of Darden Restaurants on May 30, 2022. He is a 35-year veteran of the company, having started his career as a busser at Red Lobster in 1984 (a brand formerly owned by Darden). Prior to becoming CEO, he served as Darden's President and Chief Operating Officer from January 2021 and as Chief Financial Officer from March 2016. Cardenas briefly left Darden between 1998 and 2000 to work for management consulting firms Bain & Company and The Parthenon Group. He is a Certified Public Accountant and holds a bachelor's degree in Finance & Accounting from the University of Central Florida and an MBA from The Amos Tuck School of Business Administration at Dartmouth College. He currently serves on the board of directors of Tractor Supply Company.

Rajesh Vennam, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Rajesh Vennam was named Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Darden Restaurants in January 2021, after serving as Senior Vice President, Treasurer since July 2020. He joined Darden in 2003 and has held various financial roles within the company, including positions at Red Lobster when it was part of Darden. Prior to rejoining Darden in 2016, Vennam served as Vice President, Financial Planning & Analysis and Investor Relations for The Fresh Market Inc. He holds an MBA from the University of Central Florida, an M.S. in Electrical Engineering from Old Dominion University, and a degree in electronics and communications engineering from Osmania University. He currently serves on the board of directors of Cushman & Wakefield.

Todd A. Burrowes, Group President

Todd A. Burrowes is a Group President at Darden Restaurants. He is also identified as the President of Business Development.

M. John Martin, Group President

M. John Martin serves as a Group President at Darden Restaurants. He is also known as the President of Specialty Restaurant Group.

John Wilkerson, President of Olive Garden

John Wilkerson is the President of Olive Garden, one of Darden Restaurants' key brands.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Darden Restaurants (DRI) largely revolve around economic sensitivities inherent to the restaurant industry, intense market competition, and the growing threat of cybersecurity breaches.

  1. Inflationary Pressures and Macroeconomic Headwinds: Darden faces significant challenges from rising costs across its operations, including food commodities (such as chicken, seafood, and beef), labor (driven by competitive markets and increasing minimum wages), and utilities. These inflationary pressures can compress profit margins. Furthermore, the company is vulnerable to broader macroeconomic disruptions and potential economic slowdowns that can impact consumer discretionary spending, leading to reduced dining frequency or a shift to lower-priced alternatives across its brands, including Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse.
  2. Intense Competition and Shifting Consumer Preferences: The restaurant industry is highly competitive, with Darden's brands vying for market share against other full-service chains, independent restaurants, and the growing segments of fast-casual dining and delivery services. This intense competition necessitates continuous innovation and adaptation to evolving consumer preferences, such as a demand for healthier options or different dining experiences, to maintain brand relevance and drive profitable sales growth.
  3. Cybersecurity and Data Privacy Risks: Darden is exposed to increasingly sophisticated cyber-attacks that could compromise its information systems and sensitive data, including customer and employee information. A successful cyber-attack could result in operational disruptions, reputational damage, customer dissatisfaction, and significant financial and legal liabilities due to remediation costs, regulatory investigations, and potential litigation. Compliance with evolving data security and privacy laws also requires ongoing capital investments and expenditures.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Darden Restaurants, Inc. primarily operates in the full-service restaurant market in the United States and Canada. The addressable markets for their main products and services can be quantified as follows:

United States

  • Full-Service Restaurant Market: The market size for full-service restaurants in the United States was valued at approximately USD 362.15 billion in 2025. Another estimate places the U.S. full-service restaurants market size at US$ 371.9 billion in 2025. This market is projected to grow to USD 685.11 billion by 2031, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.07% during the forecast period (2026-2031).
  • Fine Dining Restaurant Market: A segment within the full-service market, the fine dining restaurant market in the United States is projected to reach USD 191.11 billion in 2025.

Canada

  • Full-Service Restaurant Market: The market size for full-service restaurants in Canada was estimated at C$47.2 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Darden Restaurants (DRI)

Darden Restaurants (NYSE: DRI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. New Restaurant Openings and Unit Expansion: Darden plans significant new restaurant development, with guidance for 65 to 70 new restaurant openings in fiscal year 2026. This expansion includes specific targets for popular brands like LongHorn Steakhouse, aiming for 25 to 30 annual openings, and Olive Garden, targeting approximately 20 new locations annually. Management has also indicated a strong pipeline sufficient to sustain or increase unit growth for fiscal year 2027 and beyond.
  2. Same-Restaurant Sales Growth: The company anticipates same-restaurant sales growth in the range of 3.5% to 4.3% for fiscal year 2026. This growth is supported by positive performance across its segments, particularly Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse, which have consistently delivered strong same-restaurant sales. Darden's strategic approach to pricing, often below inflation while focusing on value, also contributes to attracting and retaining guests.
  3. Strategic Acquisitions and Portfolio Diversification: Recent acquisitions, such as Ruth's Chris Steak House in June 2023 and Chuy's Holdings in October 2024, are contributing to Darden's sales and diversifying its brand portfolio. The sales and profits from these acquired restaurants, like Chuy's, are integrated into the company's "Other Business" segment, bolstering overall revenue.
  4. Menu Innovation and Growth in First-Party Delivery Services: Innovations in menu offerings, such as the successful introduction of a "lighter portion" section at Olive Garden, have enhanced affordability perceptions and guest frequency. Additionally, the expansion of first-party delivery services, like Olive Garden's partnership with Uber Direct, which accounted for 4% of its total sales and proved to be incrementally beneficial, is a key driver for capturing a younger, more affluent customer base.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In June 2025, Darden's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $1 billion, replacing a previous authorization.
  • The company repurchased approximately $222 million of common stock in Q2 fiscal year 2026, with $643 million remaining under the current $1 billion authorization.
  • Darden spent $453.9 million on share repurchases in fiscal year 2024.

Share Issuance

  • Darden's shares outstanding have shown a decline over the past few years, including a 1.99% decrease in 2025, 1.71% in 2024, and 4.73% in 2023, indicating net repurchases rather than significant issuance.

Outbound Investments

  • In June 2023, Darden acquired Ruth's Hospitality Group, including 77 company-owned Ruth's Chris Steak House restaurants, for a total consideration of $724.6 million.
  • The company completed the acquisition of Chuy's, a Tex-Mex full-service dining chain with 103 restaurants, in October 2024.
  • Darden utilized $701.1 million for net acquisitions in fiscal year 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • For fiscal year 2026, Darden projects total capital spending between $750 million and $775 million, primarily to support the opening of 65 to 70 new restaurants.
  • Capital expenditures totaled $601.2 million in fiscal year 2024, mainly for investments in property, plant, and equipment.
  • Historical capital expenditures were $669 million in FY2025, $569 million in FY2023, and $392 million in FY2022.

Better Bets vs. Darden Restaurants (DRI)

Peer Outperformance in Restaurants

DRI has outperformed 74% of its 35 Restaurants peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it is CAKE. Restaurants ranks 8th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return.
Share of Restaurants constituents that DRI has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
73%
of 44 industry peers · 12.6% return
3Y
76%
of 42 industry peers · 62.1% return
5Y
74%
of 35 industry peers · 53.3% return
Restaurants peers with revenue growth within 4pp of DRI's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
DRI Darden Restaurants 7.5% 19.0x 12.6%62.1%53.3% —
CAKE Cheesecake Factory 4.4% 28.3x 112.0%300.8%168.0% +115pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Restaurants is DRI's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -16.2%87.5%87.8% CVSA 268% · LINC 246% · PRDO 235%
Homebuilding 18 -4.0%34.3%47.5% GRBK 194% · TOL 146% · PHM 145%
Specialty Stores 7 12.8%39.1%19.3% ASO 41% · SIG 38% · DKS 34%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 11.5%34.6%10.0% RCL 229% · MAR 142% · LIND 134%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -20.4%0.3%-2.3% HVT 15% · HD -2% · LOW -2%
Automotive Retail 18 -12.6%5.5%-10.0% MUSA 235% · PAG 117% · ORLY 113%
Footwear 9 71.9%48.9%-11.6% WEYS 204% · DECK 47% · SHOO 19%
Restaurants ← 36 -8.2%-7.8%-16.3% EAT 290% · CAKE 168% · BH 116%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -13.6%12.8%-16.5% HRB 108% · FTDR 89% · SCI 36%
Distributors 4 -9.7%-28.3%-17.5% ARMK 118% · GPC 17% · LKQ -52%
Home Furnishings 4 -2.1%28.1%-17.8% SGI 47% · LZB -1% · MHK -35%
Apparel Retail 25 8.8%16.6%-36.7% ANF 268% · URBN 176% · TJX 137%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -5.3%-13.7%-39.4% MOD 1403% · GTX 269% · MLR 72%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 14.0%43.1%-39.6% BBY 1% · GME -40% · UPBD -61%
Household Appliances 18 7.6%-3.0%-40.0% FLXS 209% · HBB 168% · KEQU 155%
Leisure Facilities 12 7.3%-7.5%-42.2% JAKK 159% · LTH 135% · OSW 124%
Leisure Products 13 -20.4%-21.2%-42.3% GOLF 80% · HAS 30% · MAT -12%
Broadline Retail 14 -1.6%18.5%-47.2% EBAY 64% · AMZN 62% · OLLI 40%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -9.5%-24.2%-49.4% MCRI 91% · RRR 11% · BYD 8%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 4.1%14.7%-51.2% RL 256% · TPR 244% · ELA 193%
Consumer Electronics 11 -23.5%-22.7%-74.1% AXIL 2620% · GRMN 93% · SONO -45%
Other Specialty Retail 17 -29.0%-39.2%-77.8% TLF 99% · BBW 93% · WINA 66%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -73.1%-54.7%-78.6% GM 46% · TSLA 42% · F 6%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DRIEATBLMNTXRHCAKEYUMMedian
NameDarden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Texas Ro.Cheeseca.Yum Bran. 
Mkt Price197.71193.088.84162.01108.24144.28153.14
Mkt Cap22.58.20.810.65.039.79.4
Rev LTM13,3665,8073,9806,2323,8778,7246,019
Op Inc LTM1,6276281294902712,650559
FCF LTM1,0225581554002051,679479
FCF 3Y Avg1,0273981023601301,527379
CFO LTM1,7827893208033542,083796
CFO 3Y Avg1,7226303057332921,849682

Growth & Margins

DRIEATBLMNTXRHCAKEYUMMedian
NameDarden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Texas Ro.Cheeseca.Yum Bran. 
Rev Chg LTM8.1%7.9%1.2%9.9%5.7%10.3%8.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.5%12.2%-1.2%12.8%4.4%7.8%7.6%
Rev Chg Q5.1%5.1%1.3%11.1%7.7%12.3%6.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%1.3%0.3%2.8%1.9%2.8%1.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM11.1%13.5%-15.6%-7.5%11.2%8.7%9.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg9.7%56.8%-26.5%13.1%28.0%6.2%11.4%
Op Mgn LTM12.2%10.8%3.2%7.9%7.0%30.4%9.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.0%9.1%4.5%8.7%6.4%31.3%8.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.2%0.3%-0.3%0.2%-0.2%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM13.3%13.6%8.0%12.9%9.1%23.9%13.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%11.9%7.8%13.1%7.9%23.3%12.5%
FCF/Rev LTM7.6%9.6%3.9%6.4%5.3%19.2%7.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.3%7.4%2.6%6.4%3.5%19.3%6.9%

Valuation

DRIEATBLMNTXRHCAKEYUMMedian
NameDarden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Texas Ro.Cheeseca.Yum Bran. 
Mkt Cap22.58.20.810.65.039.79.4
P/S1.71.40.21.71.34.51.5
P/Op Inc13.813.05.921.718.615.014.4
P/EBIT14.013.215.921.724.514.615.3
P/E19.016.827.325.828.317.922.4
P/CFO12.610.42.413.214.219.012.9
Total Yield8.4%5.9%5.5%5.7%4.6%7.6%5.8%
Dividend Yield3.1%0.0%1.7%1.8%1.1%2.0%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%6.9%12.5%2.9%4.0%3.7%4.4%
D/E0.30.22.50.10.40.30.3
Net D/E0.30.22.40.10.40.30.3

Returns

DRIEATBLMNTXRHCAKEYUMMedian
NameDarden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Texas Ro.Cheeseca.Yum Bran. 
1M Rtn-5.0%-9.1%1.7%-10.6%5.4%2.4%-1.7%
3M Rtn-2.4%4.2%6.0%-14.2%31.1%-11.3%0.9%
6M Rtn4.4%24.5%49.1%-0.2%84.4%-9.9%14.5%
12M Rtn12.6%54.6%28.3%0.8%111.6%3.9%20.4%
3Y Rtn62.2%542.3%-56.7%85.5%300.0%31.5%73.8%
1M Excs Rtn-6.9%-12.9%-1.0%-13.4%4.1%-2.6%-4.7%
3M Excs Rtn-2.6%-1.9%0.7%-19.3%28.5%-14.2%-2.3%
6M Excs Rtn-10.2%9.9%34.1%-14.9%69.8%-24.5%-0.1%
12M Excs Rtn-6.2%42.8%1.1%-16.4%91.0%-14.9%-2.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-27.6%447.5%-144.0%-8.7%207.4%-59.1%-18.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Olive Garden5,5955,2135,0674,8784,504
LongHorn Steakhouse3,4233,0262,8062,6122,374
Other Business2,8172,5342,2252,1671,976
Fine Dining1,3761,3051,292831776
Corporate0000 
Total13,21112,07711,39010,4889,630


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Olive Garden1,050973942879848
LongHorn Steakhouse530492435366354
Other Business315231234204200
Fine Dining167161175123131
Corporate36267152
General and administrative expenses-514-520-479-386-373
Total1,5831,3621,3141,2021,162


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Other Business3,8123,8122,9012,9692,923
Olive Garden2,9232,9232,8622,8362,718
Fine Dining2,6362,6362,5961,3451,300
LongHorn Steakhouse2,2442,2442,0261,9781,911
Corporate1,2481,2489371,1131,284
Total12,86212,86211,32310,24210,136


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$197.66 
Market Cap ($ Bil)22.6 
First Trading Date05/09/1995 
Distance from 52W High-12.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$209.65$200.96
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-5.7%-1.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.5%27.2%
Downside Capture45.7618.45
Upside Capture25.2028.07
Correlation (SPY)1.3%12.0%
DRI Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.370.25-0.040.070.230.52
Up Beta0.80-0.26-1.270.380.080.64
Down Beta0.302.930.42-0.340.420.62
Up Capture-19%-6%11%5%15%15%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days8213365124384
Down Capture151%46%50%10%28%60%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days14213160127366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DRI
DRI9.4%27.2%0.31-
Sector ETF (XLY)-4.0%19.4%-0.3424.5%
Equity (SPY)16.7%13.0%0.9111.9%
Gold (GLD)3.3%29.5%0.115.1%
Commodities (DBC)45.0%20.9%1.67-14.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%13.8%0.0928.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-33.2%44.2%-0.793.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DRI
DRI8.5%27.1%0.30-
Sector ETF (XLY)5.4%24.1%0.1848.6%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.1%0.6245.2%
Gold (GLD)18.5%18.9%0.793.3%
Commodities (DBC)10.0%19.5%0.391.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.8%-0.0440.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.4%52.0%0.3921.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DRI
DRI15.9%36.1%0.51-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.1%22.2%0.5052.8%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7352.4%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.4%0.591.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%18.1%0.3716.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%20.7%0.1851.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.5%66.2%1.0314.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 915202610.4%
Average Daily Volume1.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity113.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares5.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 10/5/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/24/2026-3.0%-9.6% 
6/25/2026-0.3%-5.4%-7.3%
3/19/20261.8%0.5%1.0%
12/18/20251.8%0.2%11.0%
9/18/2025-7.7%-10.6%-9.5%
6/20/20251.4%-3.0%-5.4%
3/20/20255.8%10.3%7.2%
12/19/202414.7%18.0%17.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121214
# Negative12129
Median Positive2.5%2.3%4.7%
Median Negative-2.6%-3.5%-5.0%
Max Positive14.7%18.0%17.0%
Max Negative-7.7%-10.6%-11.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
9/24/2026-3.0%-9.6% 
6/25/2026-0.3%-5.4%-7.3%
3/19/20261.8%0.5%1.0%
12/18/20251.8%0.2%11.0%
9/18/2025-7.7%-10.6%-9.5%
6/20/20251.4%-3.0%-5.4%
3/20/20255.8%10.3%7.2%
12/19/202414.7%18.0%17.0%
9/19/20248.3%5.6%4.1%
6/20/20241.5%0.1%-5.0%
3/21/2024-6.5%-4.4%-11.9%
12/15/2023-0.4%-0.5%-2.5%
9/21/2023-2.7%-5.4%-3.9%
6/22/2023-2.6%-2.6%3.2%
3/23/2023-0.4%2.4%1.3%
12/16/2022-2.1%-3.9%3.4%
9/22/2022-4.4%-2.7%1.6%
6/23/20220.4%-1.1%6.5%
3/24/20221.1%0.5%3.3%
12/17/2021-5.0%1.2%-4.6%
9/23/20216.1%2.2%-2.4%
6/24/20213.2%7.8%7.5%
3/25/20218.2%6.0%8.1%
12/18/2020-2.1%-0.6%5.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121214
# Negative12129
Median Positive2.5%2.3%4.7%
Median Negative-2.6%-3.5%-5.0%
Max Positive14.7%18.0%17.0%
Max Negative-7.7%-10.6%-11.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
08/31/202610/02/202610-Q
05/31/202607/24/202610-K
02/28/202603/27/202610-Q
11/30/202512/30/202510-Q
08/31/202509/26/202510-Q
05/31/202507/18/202510-K
02/28/202504/01/202510-Q
11/30/202401/02/202510-Q
08/31/202409/27/202410-Q
05/31/202407/19/202410-K
02/29/202404/02/202410-Q
11/30/202301/03/202410-Q
08/31/202309/29/202310-Q
05/31/202307/21/202310-K
02/28/202304/04/202310-Q
11/30/202201/04/202310-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
08/31/202610/02/202610-Q
05/31/202607/24/202610-K
02/28/202603/27/202610-Q
11/30/202512/30/202510-Q
08/31/202509/26/202510-Q
05/31/202507/18/202510-K
02/28/202504/01/202510-Q
11/30/202401/02/202510-Q
08/31/202409/27/202410-Q
05/31/202407/19/202410-K
02/29/202404/02/202410-Q
11/30/202301/03/202410-Q
08/31/202309/29/202310-Q
05/31/202307/21/202310-K
02/28/202304/04/202310-Q
11/30/202201/04/202310-Q
08/31/202210/04/202210-Q
05/31/202207/22/202210-K
02/28/202204/05/202210-Q
11/30/202101/05/202210-Q
08/31/202110/05/202110-Q
05/31/202107/23/202110-K
02/28/202104/06/202110-Q
11/30/202001/06/202110-Q
08/31/202010/06/202010-Q
05/31/202007/24/202010-K
02/29/202003/31/202010-Q
11/30/201901/02/202010-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 9/25/2026

Latest: Q1 2027 Earnings Reported 9/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2027 DividendsReported 1.62    
2027 Diluted Net Earnings Per Share from Continuing OperationsReported11.111.2311.350.0% AffirmedGuidance: 11.23 for 2027


Prior: Q4 2026 Earnings Reported 6/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2027 New restaurant openingsReported7577.58010.7% RaisedGuidance: 70 for 2026
2027 Total capital spendingReported 875.00 Mil 14.8% RaisedGuidance: 762.50 Mil for 2026
2027 Total inflationReported 0.03  -0.5%LoweredGuidance: 0.04 for 2026
2027 Total SalesReported13.60 Bil13.68 Bil13.75 Bil   
2027 Same-restaurant sales growthReported2.5%3.0%3.5% -1.5%LoweredGuidance: 4.5% for 2026
2027 EBITDAReported2.26 Bil2.27 Bil2.29 Bil   
2027 Effective tax rateReported 13.5%  1.0%RaisedGuidance: 12.5% for 2026
2027 Diluted net earnings per shareReported11.111.2311.355.7% RaisedGuidance: 10.62 for 2026

Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 3/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New restaurant openingsReported 70 3.7% RaisedGuidance: 67.5 for 2026
2026 Total capital spendingReported750.00 Mil762.50 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 762.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Total inflationReported 0.04  0AffirmedGuidance: 0.04 for 2026
2026 Total Sales GrowthReported 9.5%  0.6%RaisedGuidance: 8.9% for 2026
2026 Same-restaurant sales growthReported 4.5%  0.6%RaisedGuidance: 3.9% for 2026
2026 Effective tax rateReported 12.5%  -0.5%LoweredGuidance: 13.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted diluted net earnings per shareReported10.5710.6210.670.2% RaisedGuidance: 10.6 for 2026
2026 Weighted average diluted shares outstandingReported 116.50 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 116.50 Mil for 2026

Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 12/18/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New restaurant openingsReported6567.5703.8% RaisedGuidance: 65 for 2026
2026 Total capital spendingReported750.00 Mil762.50 Mil775.00 Mil5.2% RaisedGuidance: 725.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Total inflationReported 0.04  0.2%RaisedGuidance: 0.03 for 2026
2026 Total sales growthReported8.5%8.9%9.3% 0.9%RaisedGuidance: 8.0% for 2026
2026 Same-restaurant sales growthReported3.5%3.9%4.3% 0.9%RaisedGuidance: 3.0% for 2026
2026 Effective tax rateReported 13.0%    
2026 Adjusted diluted net earnings per share from continuing operationsReported10.510.610.70 AffirmedGuidance: 10.6 for 2026
2026 Weighted average diluted shares outstandingReported 116.50 Mil    

Insider Activity

Updated 10/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Martin, Melvin JohnGroup PresidentDirectSell10082026202.612,209447,5654,368,284Form
2Wilkerson, John WPresident, Olive GardenDirectSell8062026208.338,8641,846,6373,915,290Form
3Williamson, Laura BPresident, LongHorn SteakhouseDirectSell8042026204.321,110226,7922,197,310Form
4Williamson, Laura BPresident, LongHorn SteakhouseSpouseSell8042026204.8944390,7681,134,256Form
5Vennam, RajeshSVP, CFODirectSell7302026210.008,4781,780,3801,799,595Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Martin, Melvin JohnGroup PresidentDirectSell10082026202.612,209447,5654,368,284Form
2Wilkerson, John WPresident, Olive GardenDirectSell8062026208.338,8641,846,6373,915,290Form
3Williamson, Laura BPresident, LongHorn SteakhouseDirectSell8042026204.321,110226,7922,197,310Form
4Williamson, Laura BPresident, LongHorn SteakhouseSpouseSell8042026204.8944390,7681,134,256Form
5Vennam, RajeshSVP, CFODirectSell7302026210.008,4781,780,3801,799,595Form
6Connelly, Susan MSVP, Chief Comm & PA OfficerDirectSell7302026208.172,226463,389867,095Form
7King, Sarah HSVP, Chief People OfficerDirectSell7302026210.424,373920,165156,304Form
8Cardenas, RicardoPresident and CEODirectSell7302026209.0639,1348,181,50418,010,010Form
9Connelly, Susan MSVP, Chief Comm & PA OfficerDirectSell7082026206.219,9302,047,676858,931Form
10Milanes, Douglas JSVP, Chief Supply Chain OfcrDirectSell4212026202.163,620731,83755,388Form
11Martin, Melvin JohnGroup PresidentDirectSell4072026196.045,091998,0403,385,642Form
12Simon, William S DirectSell3242026200.642,333468,0821,260,189Form
13King, Sarah HSVP, Chief People OfficerDirectSell1262026206.654,605951,636138,617Form
14Vennam, RajeshSVP, CFODirectSell1162026214.126,7741,450,4191,935,622Form
15Connelly, Susan MSVP, Chief Comm & PA OfficerDirectSell1152026207.362,635546,394849,733Form
16Burrowes, ToddGroup PresidentDirectSell1142026207.127,1031,471,1659,165,468Form
17Martin, Melvin JohnGroup PresidentDirectSell10152025184.581,700313,7863,393,748Form
18Broad, Matthew RSVP General CounselDirectSell10082025193.405,6611,094,8652,691,374Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 12, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Hamlin Capital Management, LLC$166.8 Mil4.0%30Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Hamlin Capital Management, LLC$166.8 Mil4.0%30Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/11/2026