Tearsheet

Bloomin Brands (BLMN)


Market Price (4/14/2026): $5.85 | Market Cap: $498.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Bloomin Brands (BLMN)


Market Price (4/14/2026): $5.85
Market Cap: $498.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 19%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 393%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4%

Key risks
BLMN key risks include [1] challenges executing the turnaround of its flagship Outback Steakhouse brand and [2] a substantial debt load that limits financial flexibility.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 19%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -142%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 393%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.4%
6 Key risks
BLMN key risks include [1] challenges executing the turnaround of its flagship Outback Steakhouse brand and [2] a substantial debt load that limits financial flexibility.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bloomin Brands (BLMN) stock has lost about 5% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Weaker-than-expected Q4 2025 results driven by significant adjustments.

Bloomin' Brands reported a GAAP diluted loss per share of $(0.14) in the fourth quarter of 2025, a notable decline from earnings of $0.12 in Q4 2024. This loss was primarily attributed to approximately $46 million in adjustments, which included a goodwill impairment related to Bonefish Grill and charges from restaurant closures and restructuring activities. Additionally, the Q4 2025 revenue of $975.2 million slightly missed analysts' consensus estimates of $980.64 million.

2. Subdued financial outlook provided for fiscal year 2026.

The company projected adjusted diluted earnings per share for fiscal year 2026 to be between $0.75 and $0.90, which fell below the consensus estimate of $0.86. Management also forecast commodity inflation ranging from 4.5% to 5.5% and labor inflation between 3% and 3.5% for 2026. For the first quarter of 2026, U.S. comparable restaurant sales are expected to be flat to up 1%, with an anticipated weather headwind impacting sales by approximately 2.2% and diluted EPS by about $0.08.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -5.5% change in BLMN stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254132026Change
Stock Price ($)6.175.83-5.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,9533,9560.1%
P/S Multiple0.10.1-5.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8585-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-5.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BLMN-5.5% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%21.4%
Sector (XLY)-4.6%28.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.7% change in BLMN stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254132026Change
Stock Price ($)7.175.83-18.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,9343,9560.6%
P/S Multiple0.20.1-19.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8585-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-18.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BLMN-18.7% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%25.7%
Sector (XLY)-4.7%32.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -15.4% change in BLMN stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254132026Change
Stock Price ($)6.905.83-15.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,9503,9560.1%
P/S Multiple0.10.1-15.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8585-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution-15.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BLMN-15.4% 
Market (SPY)16.3%35.8%
Sector (XLY)16.1%38.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -74.0% change in BLMN stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a -91.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120234132026Change
Stock Price ($)22.395.83-74.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,0093,956-1.3%
Net Income Margin (%)2.5%0.2%-91.8%
P/E Multiple19.360.3212.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)88853.2%
Cumulative Contribution-74.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BLMN-74.0% 
Market (SPY)63.3%32.8%
Sector (XLY)55.8%34.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BLMN Return8%-2%46%-54%-47%-4%-64%
Peers Return15%-16%23%5%-12%3%13%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%81%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BLMN Win Rate50%33%50%33%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate55%38%60%55%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BLMN Max Drawdown-10%-21%0%-57%-49%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-31%-11%-19%-27%-6% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CMG, YUM, DRI, BJRI, CBRL. See BLMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBLMNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-79.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven385.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven327 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-38.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven549 days120 days

Compare to CMG, YUM, DRI, BJRI, CBRL

In The Past

Bloomin Brands's stock fell -48.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/30/2021. A -48.5% loss requires a 94.1% gain to breakeven.

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About Bloomin Brands (BLMN)

Bloomin' Brands, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casual, upscale casual, and fine dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, U.S. and International. Its restaurant portfolio has four concepts, including Outback Steakhouse, a casual steakhouse restaurant; Carrabba's Italian Grill, a casual Italian restaurant; Bonefish Grill; and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, a contemporary steakhouse. As of December 26, 2021, the company owned and operated 1,013 full-service restaurants and franchised 157 restaurants across 47 states; and 156 full-service restaurants and franchised 172 restaurants across 17 countries and Guam. The company was founded in 1988 and is based in Tampa, Florida.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe Bloomin' Brands:

  • It's like Darden Restaurants (the parent company of Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse), but its portfolio of restaurant chains includes Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, and Bonefish Grill.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Outback Steakhouse Services: Offers casual steakhouse dining experiences.
  • Carrabba's Italian Grill Services: Provides casual Italian dining experiences.
  • Bonefish Grill Services: Delivers upscale casual dining experiences, primarily focusing on seafood.
  • Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar Services: Offers fine dining steakhouse and wine bar experiences.
  • Restaurant Franchising: Licenses its restaurant concepts to independent operators for domestic and international locations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) operates a portfolio of restaurant concepts, including Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar. As such, the company primarily sells its services directly to individual consumers rather than other businesses.

The customers Bloomin' Brands serves can be categorized into up to three groups based on the dining experience and price point offered by its various concepts:

  1. Casual Diners: These customers are drawn to restaurants like Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill, seeking a relaxed, family-friendly atmosphere, and value-oriented meals. They often look for familiar flavors, consistent quality, and an accessible dining experience for everyday meals or casual gatherings.
  2. Upscale Casual Diners: This category of customers is attracted to concepts such as Bonefish Grill. They typically seek a slightly more refined and contemporary dining experience than casual diners, often with a focus on fresh, higher-quality ingredients (like seafood), a more sophisticated ambiance, and a menu that offers a step up in culinary experience without entering the fine dining realm.
  3. Fine Dining Patrons: Customers who frequent Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar fall into this category. They are seeking a premium, high-end dining experience, characterized by prime cuts of meat, an extensive wine list, impeccable service, and a luxurious atmosphere. This clientele often dines for special occasions, business entertainment, or when desiring a truly indulgent meal.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Michael Spanos, Chief Executive Officer

Michael Spanos was named Chief Executive Officer and a member of the Board of Directors in September 2024. He brings over 25 years of leadership, strategy, operations, and retail consumer products experience. Prior to Bloomin' Brands, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer at Delta Air Lines from 2023-2024. From 2019-2021, he was the President and CEO of Six Flags Entertainment. He also spent more than 25 years at PepsiCo and the Pepsi Bottling Group in various leadership roles, including President Greater China and CEO of the Asia, Middle East, and North Africa sector. Spanos is a graduate of the U.S. Naval Academy and served in the U.S. Marine Corps.

Eric Christel, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Eric Christel assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer around September 8, 2025. He brings nearly two decades of financial leadership across the food and beverage sector. His prior experience includes serving as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of The Campbell's Company's Snacks Division and several leadership roles at PepsiCo from 2007 to 2020. He has extensive experience in operating, financial planning & analysis (FP&A), strategy, and transformation in complex businesses, including both franchisee and franchisor models.

Kelly Lefferts, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary

Kelly Lefferts was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary in July 2019, having joined Bloomin' Brands in 1997 as Corporate Counsel. She oversees the legal, compliance, and employee relations teams. Before Bloomin' Brands, she was an attorney at Foley and Lardner, focusing on corporate and business matters, mergers and acquisitions, securities, executive compensation, and commercial lending. Lefferts was a founding member of the Board of Directors of the Restaurant Law Center and is involved with the Women's Foodservice Forum. She has experience in both public and private company spaces, including taking a formerly NYSE-listed company private and then public again after five years of private equity ownership.

Lissette Gonzalez, Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer

Lissette Gonzalez was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer in February 2025. She is responsible for overseeing Global Supply Chain, Operations & Training, Off-Premises Dining, Productivity, Customer Analytics, Customer Insights, Digital & Media, Revenue Growth Management, and IT teams. Gonzalez joined Bloomin' Brands in 2014, and previously spent 16 years at Office Depot in various supply chain roles. She holds a bachelor's degree in industrial engineering and a master's degree in engineering management from Florida International University. She was recognized as one of the Top 30 Global Supply Chain Leaders for 2023.

Pat Hafner, Executive Vice President, President of Outback Steakhouse

Pat Hafner was named Executive Vice President, President of Outback Steakhouse in January 2025, where he leads the Culinary team, and domestic operations and development for nearly 700 restaurants. He has a career of nearly 30 years with Bloomin' Brands, beginning as a server and cook at Outback Steakhouse in 1996. He advanced through various roles at Outback, including Manager, Managing Partner, Joint Venture Partner, and Regional Vice President. In 2018, he became Vice President of Operations for Carrabba's Italian Grill and was promoted to President of Carrabba's in April 2022.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) include a substantial debt load, significant challenges in its turnaround strategy within a highly competitive casual dining market, and ongoing inflationary pressures combined with macroeconomic headwinds impacting consumer spending and operating costs.

  1. High Debt Load and Financial Instability: Bloomin' Brands faces considerable financial risk due to its substantial debt load, high debt-to-equity ratio, and low interest coverage, with some analyses placing the company in a "distress zone" regarding potential financial instability. The company has undertaken measures such as suspending dividends and selling off a majority stake in its Brazil operations to reduce debt, highlighting the severity of this financial pressure.
  2. Challenging Turnaround and Intense Competition: The company is engaged in a critical turnaround strategy, particularly for its largest brand, Outback Steakhouse, which has experienced weak comparable sales and declining customer traffic. The casual dining sector is intensely competitive, with Bloomin' Brands needing to successfully redefine its brand positioning and value offerings to contend with numerous rival chains and the growing popularity of fast-casual concepts. The success of these initiatives is not guaranteed and carries significant execution risk.
  3. Inflationary Pressures and Macroeconomic Headwinds: Bloomin' Brands is highly vulnerable to adverse economic conditions, including persistent inflation in commodity prices (such as beef) and increasing labor costs. A tight labor market poses challenges in recruiting and retaining staff, contributing to higher operational expenses. Additionally, cautious consumer spending due to economic downturns, "inflation fatigue," and rising energy costs directly impact restaurant traffic and revenue, further squeezing already thin profit margins.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rise of ghost kitchens and virtual restaurant brands presents an emerging threat. These operations utilize existing commercial kitchen spaces to prepare food exclusively for delivery, often running multiple distinct "virtual" brands from a single location. This business model bypasses the significant overhead associated with traditional dine-in restaurants, such as expensive real estate, front-of-house staff, and extensive dining room build-outs. By focusing solely on efficient food production and delivery, ghost kitchens can offer a broader range of cuisines, adapt more quickly to consumer trends, and potentially operate with lower price points or higher margins, directly competing with Bloomin' Brands' delivery and takeout offerings while disrupting the traditional full-service restaurant economic model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bloomin' Brands (symbol: BLMN) operates within the full-service restaurant market, encompassing casual, upscale casual, and fine dining segments. The addressable market sizes for their main products and services are as follows:

Global Market

  • Full-Service Restaurants: The global full-service restaurants market was estimated at approximately US$1.6 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach US$1.8 trillion by 2030.
  • Casual Dining: The global casual dining market size was valued at USD 333.02 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 575.5 billion by 2035.
  • Fine Dining: The Global Fine Dining Restaurants Market is projected to expand from USD 191.11 billion in 2025 to USD 289.87 billion by 2031.

U.S. Market

  • Full-Service Restaurants: The U.S. full-service restaurants market size is predicted to value at US$ 371.9 billion in 2025 and reach US$ 715.8 billion by 2032.
  • Casual Dining: null
  • Fine Dining: The market size of Fine Dining Restaurants in the U.S. is $17.2 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a multi-faceted turnaround strategy centered on its core brands, strategic investments, and operational enhancements. The following are key expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Outback Steakhouse Turnaround Strategy and Restaurant Remodels: A primary driver for Bloomin' Brands is the comprehensive turnaround strategy focused on its largest brand, Outback Steakhouse. This initiative involves significant investments aimed at enhancing steak quality, improving the service model by lowering table-to-server ratios, and implementing restaurant remodels and refreshes. Management plans to invest approximately $50 million in turnaround initiatives for Outback in 2026, with an expectation to refresh nearly all Outback locations by the end of 2028. Positive traffic trends at Outback, seen for the first time since Q4 2021, indicate early success from these efforts.
  2. Enhanced Value Offerings and Menu Innovation: The company is focusing on delivering value to guests, which has proven effective in driving traffic. For instance, Outback's "Aussie 3-Course" value offering has successfully attracted customers, with a significant portion opting for higher-priced tiers. This strategy of providing appealing value propositions, coupled with ongoing menu innovation and new product offerings, is expected to continue to boost customer visits and average check sizes across its brands.
  3. Growth in Off-Premise Dining and Digital Capabilities: Bloomin' Brands is capitalizing on the sustained demand for off-premise dining. Investments in digital transformation, including revamped mobile apps for convenient ordering and curbside pickup, are enhancing the customer experience for takeout and delivery across brands like Outback, Carrabba's, and Fleming's. This focus on digital channels and off-premise sales, including catering, is a key component of their growth strategy. Outback is shifting its marketing resources to 60% digital in 2026, up from 33% in 2025, to support this.
  4. Strategic International Expansion: Particularly for Outback Steakhouse, international expansion represents a significant opportunity for continued growth as its domestic market matures. Bloomin' Brands maintains a global presence with its Outback Steakhouse concept across 17 countries and Guam, and adapting to local market demands is crucial for this segment's success.
  5. Carrabba's Italian Grill Expansion and Digital Investment: Carrabba's Italian Grill has demonstrated positive comparable restaurant sales and continues to focus on expanding its presence. The brand is actively investing in digital technologies to enhance the dining experience and has historically planned for new restaurant openings, indicating a continued growth mindset for this segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Bloomin' Brands repurchased 10.1 million shares for a total of $265.7 million during 2024.
  • The company repurchased $70.8 million in shares in 2023 and $109.2 million in shares in 2022.
  • A new $350.0 million share repurchase authorization was approved in February 2024, replacing a prior $57.5 million remaining authorization. This program is set to expire on August 13, 2025, with $96.8 million remaining as of August 2025.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2024, Bloomin' Brands delivered approximately 7.5 million shares of common stock and $3.3 million in cash to exchange for $83.6 million in principal amount of convertible senior notes due 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • In December 2024, Bloomin' Brands completed the sale of a 67% majority stake in its Brazil operations (Outback Steakhouse restaurants) to a fund managed by Vinci Partners for approximately $243 million.
  • The company retained a 33% interest in the Brazil operations and has an option to sell its remaining stake in 2028.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures are expected to be between $185 million and $195 million for 2026, with a focus on refreshing nearly all Outback locations by 2028.
  • Estimated capital expenditures for 2025 are between $190 million and $210 million.
  • The company plans approximately $75 million in investments over three years (2026-2028) for its turnaround strategy, including $25 million for food quality improvements, largely offset by $80 million in productivity initiatives.

Better Bets vs. Bloomin Brands (BLMN)

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BLMNCMGYUMDRIBJRICBRLMedian
NameBloomin .Chipotle.Yum Bran.Darden R.BJ's Res.Cracker . 
Mkt Price5.8334.59161.43191.8936.9027.8535.75
Mkt Cap0.545.545.022.10.80.611.4
Rev LTM3,95611,9268,21412,7641,3993,3616,085
Op Inc LTM1102,0132,5291,509487810
FCF LTM971,4481,63999441-21545
FCF 3Y Avg1181,3941,4639922436555
CFO LTM2772,1142,0101,7351111231,006
CFO 3Y Avg3462,0011,7671,6671061781,006

Growth & Margins

BLMNCMGYUMDRIBJRICBRLMedian
NameBloomin .Chipotle.Yum Bran.Darden R.BJ's Res.Cracker . 
Rev Chg LTM0.1%5.4%8.8%8.5%3.1%-4.1%4.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.4%11.4%6.3%7.3%2.9%-0.3%4.6%
Rev Chg Q0.3%4.9%6.5%5.9%3.2%-7.9%4.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%1.2%1.9%1.5%0.8%-2.2%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM2.8%16.9%30.8%11.8%3.4%0.2%7.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.2%17.0%31.7%11.9%2.5%1.8%8.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.1%-0.0%-0.0%0.1%-0.9%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.0%17.7%24.5%13.6%7.9%3.7%10.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.5%18.1%23.2%14.0%7.8%5.2%11.3%
FCF/Rev LTM2.4%12.1%20.0%7.8%2.9%-0.6%5.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.9%12.6%19.2%8.4%1.8%1.0%5.6%

Valuation

BLMNCMGYUMDRIBJRICBRLMedian
NameBloomin .Chipotle.Yum Bran.Darden R.BJ's Res.Cracker . 
Mkt Cap0.545.545.022.10.80.611.4
P/S0.13.85.51.70.60.21.1
P/EBIT13.422.617.515.315.0-60.315.2
P/E60.329.628.920.016.0-155.124.4
P/CFO1.821.522.412.77.15.19.9
Total Yield9.4%3.4%5.2%8.1%6.3%3.1%5.7%
Dividend Yield7.7%0.0%1.8%3.1%0.0%3.7%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.0%2.3%3.8%4.5%2.9%1.7%3.3%
D/E4.00.10.30.30.61.80.5
Net D/E3.90.10.30.30.61.80.4

Returns

BLMNCMGYUMDRIBJRICBRLMedian
NameBloomin .Chipotle.Yum Bran.Darden R.BJ's Res.Cracker . 
1M Rtn5.8%6.4%0.6%-4.4%10.4%0.3%3.2%
3M Rtn-23.2%-14.3%3.3%-7.7%-18.1%-12.9%-13.6%
6M Rtn-19.7%-15.4%16.0%5.3%18.3%-29.4%-5.1%
12M Rtn-14.0%-30.5%13.5%1.7%15.6%-30.3%-6.2%
3Y Rtn-72.9%-0.5%26.8%38.8%33.0%-72.4%13.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.0%3.0%-1.3%-5.8%6.2%-1.2%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn-15.8%-12.6%5.4%-3.3%-13.9%-4.6%-8.6%
6M Excs Rtn-24.5%-17.7%11.9%3.0%16.4%-32.4%-7.4%
12M Excs Rtn-42.5%-58.3%-13.1%-24.8%-12.8%-52.8%-33.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-141.5%-66.5%-38.8%-29.0%-39.5%-140.3%-53.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
U.S.2,7352,704   
Corporate307292   
Assets of discontinued operations held for sale223288   
International Franchise103104   
Other1637   
Total3,3853,424   


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$5.83 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.5 
First Trading Date08/08/2012 
Distance from 52W High-43.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$6.04$7.09
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-3.5%-17.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility63.1%71.5%
Downside Capture0.620.75
Upside Capture-11.4888.08
Correlation (SPY)18.7%25.6%
BLMN Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.961.081.091.231.401.22
Up Beta-4.400.97-0.210.491.571.49
Down Beta2.932.381.331.921.311.15
Up Capture10%41%104%67%98%35%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days12203260117340
Down Capture101%88%129%131%127%108%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days10223165133406

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BLMN
BLMN-16.3%71.7%0.06-
Sector ETF (XLY)17.3%19.7%0.6929.4%
Equity (SPY)18.7%13.7%1.0626.4%
Gold (GLD)53.7%27.6%1.55-0.0%
Commodities (DBC)25.2%16.2%1.378.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.8%14.0%0.7630.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-11.7%43.0%-0.1714.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BLMN
BLMN-23.7%52.3%-0.32-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.4%23.7%0.2342.3%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5039.7%
Gold (GLD)21.8%17.8%1.013.1%
Commodities (DBC)11.7%18.8%0.519.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.7%18.8%0.1036.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.6%56.6%0.3016.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BLMN
BLMN-7.9%52.3%0.06-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.4%22.0%0.5248.6%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.9%0.6747.2%
Gold (GLD)14.2%15.9%0.743.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.8%17.6%0.4217.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2245.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.9%1.0713.6%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7.3 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3152026-17.9%
Average Daily Volume3.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity85.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/25/2026-2.7%8.2%-4.3%
11/6/2025-11.5%-10.2%-3.2%
8/6/2025-30.7%-23.8%-17.7%
5/7/2025-8.4%6.3%-4.6%
2/26/2025-16.8%-30.8%-32.3%
11/8/2024-9.7%-20.0%-22.8%
8/6/2024-7.2%-15.9%-4.1%
5/7/2024-4.0%-5.4%-18.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101312
# Negative141112
Median Positive6.3%6.3%5.4%
Median Negative-8.4%-10.2%-4.5%
Max Positive8.9%18.0%23.3%
Max Negative-30.7%-30.8%-32.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 U.S. comparable restaurant sales00.010.01-50.0%-0.5%Lower NewGuidance: 0.01 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Diluted earnings per share0.540.560.59352.0% Higher NewGuidance: 0.12 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per share0.570.590.62133.3% Higher NewGuidance: 0.26 for Q4 2025
2026 U.S. comparable restaurant sales0.010.010.03500.0%1.2%Higher NewGuidance: 0 for 2025
2026 Diluted earnings per share0.70.780.850.0% Same NewGuidance: 0.78 for 2025
2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per share0.750.820.9-26.7% Lower NewGuidance: 1.12 for 2025
2026 Capital expenditures185.00 Mil190.00 Mil195.00 Mil   

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 U.S. comparable restaurant sales0.010.010.01-300.0%1.5%Higher NewGuidance: -0.01 for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Diluted earnings per share0.10.120.15-164.1% Higher NewGuidance: -0.2 for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Adjusted diluted earnings per share0.230.260.28-304.0% Higher NewGuidance: -0.12 for Q3 2025
2025 Diluted earnings per share0.750.780.8-8.8% LoweredGuidance: 0.85 for 2025
2025 Adjusted diluted earnings per share1.11.121.157.1% RaisedGuidance: 1.05 for 2025
2025 Labor inflation 0.04 -12.5%-0.5%LoweredGuidance: 0.04 for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Christel, Eric CEVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectBuy111220256.38150,000957,000957,000Form
2Kunkel, Julie T IRABuy111220256.371,5009,55532,267Form
3Hafner, Patrick MEVP, Pres Outback SteakhouseDirectSell111220256.414,25627,28151,280Form
4Hafner, Patrick MEVP, Pres Outback SteakhouseDirectSell30620258.329,555  Form
5Spanos, MikeCEODirectBuy30620258.63118,0001,018,3401,018,340Form