Bloomin Brands (BLMN)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $9.725 | Market Cap: $832.7 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Bloomin Brands (BLMN)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $9.725
Market Cap: $832.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 15%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 225%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0%

Key risks
BLMN key risks include [1] challenges executing the turnaround of its flagship Outback Steakhouse brand and [2] a substantial debt load that limits financial flexibility.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -70%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -135%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 225%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.0%
6 Key risks
BLMN key risks include [1] challenges executing the turnaround of its flagship Outback Steakhouse brand and [2] a substantial debt load that limits financial flexibility.

BLMN in ETFs

Weight = BLMN's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.03%
FNDA0.13%
AVUV0.09%
IWN0.06%
SCHA0.02%
VTWO0.02%
+4 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/6/2026

Bloomin Brands (BLMN) stock has gained about 15% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Performance and Elevated Full-Year Guidance. Bloomin Brands (BLMN) reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 5, 2026, for the quarter ended June 28, 2026. The company announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.39, significantly exceeding analyst estimates of $0.29 by 34.48%. Revenue also surpassed expectations, reaching $1.02 billion, a 2.0% beat against forecasts. Following these results, Bloomin Brands raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance from an initial range of $0.75-$0.90 to $0.90-$1.00, signaling increased confidence in its future profitability. This strong financial performance and positive outlook led to a substantial premarket surge of 30% in the stock price.

2. Continued Traction in the Outback Steakhouse Turnaround. The company consistently highlighted ongoing success in its multi-year Outback Steakhouse turnaround strategy throughout the period. Both the fiscal Q2 and Q3 2026 earnings reports emphasized progress, with CEO Mike Spanos noting five consecutive quarters of year-over-year improvement in Outback guest scores. This strategic initiative has translated into tangible benefits, including U.S. comparable sales rising 230 basis points in fiscal Q2 2026, despite a decline in traffic, and a reduction in the 2026 turnaround investment to $36 million from $50 million due to better mix trends. This demonstrates effective company-specific execution driving operational improvements.

Show more
Updated on 11/6/2026

Bloomin Brands (BLMN) stock has gained about 15% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Performance and Elevated Full-Year Guidance. Bloomin Brands (BLMN) reported robust fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 5, 2026, for the quarter ended June 28, 2026. The company announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.39, significantly exceeding analyst estimates of $0.29 by 34.48%. Revenue also surpassed expectations, reaching $1.02 billion, a 2.0% beat against forecasts. Following these results, Bloomin Brands raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance from an initial range of $0.75-$0.90 to $0.90-$1.00, signaling increased confidence in its future profitability. This strong financial performance and positive outlook led to a substantial premarket surge of 30% in the stock price.

2. Continued Traction in the Outback Steakhouse Turnaround. The company consistently highlighted ongoing success in its multi-year Outback Steakhouse turnaround strategy throughout the period. Both the fiscal Q2 and Q3 2026 earnings reports emphasized progress, with CEO Mike Spanos noting five consecutive quarters of year-over-year improvement in Outback guest scores. This strategic initiative has translated into tangible benefits, including U.S. comparable sales rising 230 basis points in fiscal Q2 2026, despite a decline in traffic, and a reduction in the 2026 turnaround investment to $36 million from $50 million due to better mix trends. This demonstrates effective company-specific execution driving operational improvements.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets. Several investment firms revised their outlooks on BLMN favorably within the specified period. UBS Group, for instance, raised its price target for Bloomin Brands to $11.50 from $9.00 on November 2, 2026, maintaining a "Neutral" rating. Similarly, JPMorgan upgraded the stock to "Neutral" and increased its price target to $13.00, while Piper Sandler adjusted its price target to $12.00 from $9.00. These upgrades and increased price targets by major analysts reflected growing confidence in the company's strategic plans and financial trajectory, contributing to investor optimism.

4. Fiscal Q3 2026 Earnings Beat and Further Raised Full-Year Outlook. On November 6, 2026, Bloomin Brands announced fiscal Q3 2026 results for the quarter ended September 27, 2026, surpassing analyst expectations for both the top and bottom lines. The adjusted loss per share of -$0.17 beat the consensus estimate of -$0.23 by approximately 28.5%. Revenue reached $944.35 million, exceeding the $925.23 million consensus estimate by 2.1%. Despite a slight dip in share price immediately after the announcement due to a weaker Q4 outlook, the company again raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a midpoint of $1.00, up from the previously raised guidance, which exceeded the analyst consensus of $0.96. This continued outperformance relative to analyst expectations for the full year reinforced positive sentiment.

5. Strategic Acquisition of Outback Restaurants. On November 2, 2026, Bloomin Brands strategically agreed to acquire 61 Outback Steakhouse restaurants from a franchisee, Out West Restaurant Group, which filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. This move consolidates ownership of key brand assets and demonstrates the company's commitment to strengthening its core operations and expanding its directly owned portfolio. The agreement also included providing up to $5.5 million in non-interest-bearing debtor-in-possession financing to facilitate the transition. This proactive, company-specific initiative was viewed positively as a strategic step for growth and operational control.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.6% change in BLMN stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 225.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)731202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)8.669.7512.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,9663,9950.7%
Net Income Margin (%)0.5%1.8%225.8%
P/E Multiple34.011.7-65.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8586-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution12.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BLMN12.6% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%13.7%
Sector (XLY)1.3%37.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 59.8% change in BLMN stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 757.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)430202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)6.109.7559.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,9563,9951.0%
Net Income Margin (%)0.2%1.8%757.6%
P/E Multiple63.111.7-81.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8586-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution59.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BLMN59.8% 
Market (SPY)2.6%16.9%
Sector (XLY)-0.5%31.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 42.8% change in BLMN stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 41.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511062026Change
Stock Price ($)6.839.7542.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,9343,9951.6%
P/S Multiple0.10.241.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8586-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution42.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BLMN42.8% 
Market (SPY)8.7%20.8%
Sector (XLY)-1.4%32.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -53.1% change in BLMN stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -70.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)1031202311062026Change
Stock Price ($)20.789.75-53.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4,1413,995-3.5%
Net Income Margin (%)6.0%1.8%-70.4%
P/E Multiple7.411.758.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)89863.4%
Cumulative Contribution-53.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BLMN-53.1% 
Market (SPY)81.9%28.8%
Sector (XLY)58.2%33.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BLMN Return8%-2%46%-54%-47%58%-40%
Peers Return27%-18%25%2%-2%4%33%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BLMN Win Rate50%33%50%33%42%55% 
Peers Win Rate57%35%58%50%47%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BLMN Max Drawdown-45%-34%-21%-60%-51%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-34%-26%-27%-34%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: YUM, CMG, DRI, BJRI, PZZA. See BLMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventBLMNS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-47.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven91.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven484 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-17.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven43 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven53 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-78.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven372.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven322 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven15 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-30.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven436 days62 days

Compare to CMG, YUM, DRI, BJRI, CBRL

In The Past

Bloomin Brands's stock fell -47.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 91.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventBLMNS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-47.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven91.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven484 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.9%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven53 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-78.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven372.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven322 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-30.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven44.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven436 days62 days

Compare to CMG, YUM, DRI, BJRI, CBRL

In The Past

Bloomin Brands's stock fell -47.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 91.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Bloomin Brands (BLMN)

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) is a prominent restaurant company that develops, owns, and operates a diverse portfolio of full-service dining establishments. The company's business model centers on creating and managing distinct restaurant concepts, serving a broad spectrum of dining preferences from casual to fine dining experiences across its U.S. and International segments.

The company's primary products are the dining experiences offered at its various restaurant brands. These include Outback Steakhouse, known for its casual steakhouse fare; Carrabba's Italian Grill, offering casual Italian cuisine; Bonefish Grill, focusing on seafood; and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar, positioned as a contemporary fine dining steakhouse. Through these concepts, Bloomin' Brands provides a range of culinary options, from everyday meals to special occasion dining.

Bloomin' Brands serves a wide customer base across the United States and internationally. Its restaurants cater to individuals and groups seeking various dining experiences, from families looking for casual meals to patrons desiring upscale dining. As of late 2021, the company operated nearly 1,500 owned and franchised restaurants across 47 U.S. states and 17 countries and Guam, establishing a significant footprint in the global restaurant market.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe Bloomin' Brands:

  • It's like Darden Restaurants (the parent company of Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse), but its portfolio of restaurant chains includes Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, and Bonefish Grill.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Outback Steakhouse Services: Offers casual steakhouse dining experiences.
  • Carrabba's Italian Grill Services: Provides casual Italian dining experiences.
  • Bonefish Grill Services: Delivers upscale casual dining experiences, primarily focusing on seafood.
  • Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar Services: Offers fine dining steakhouse and wine bar experiences.
  • Restaurant Franchising: Licenses its restaurant concepts to independent operators for domestic and international locations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) operates a portfolio of restaurant concepts, including Outback Steakhouse, Carrabba's Italian Grill, Bonefish Grill, and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar. As such, the company primarily sells its services directly to individual consumers rather than other businesses.

The customers Bloomin' Brands serves can be categorized into up to three groups based on the dining experience and price point offered by its various concepts:

  1. Casual Diners: These customers are drawn to restaurants like Outback Steakhouse and Carrabba's Italian Grill, seeking a relaxed, family-friendly atmosphere, and value-oriented meals. They often look for familiar flavors, consistent quality, and an accessible dining experience for everyday meals or casual gatherings.
  2. Upscale Casual Diners: This category of customers is attracted to concepts such as Bonefish Grill. They typically seek a slightly more refined and contemporary dining experience than casual diners, often with a focus on fresh, higher-quality ingredients (like seafood), a more sophisticated ambiance, and a menu that offers a step up in culinary experience without entering the fine dining realm.
  3. Fine Dining Patrons: Customers who frequent Fleming's Prime Steakhouse & Wine Bar fall into this category. They are seeking a premium, high-end dining experience, characterized by prime cuts of meat, an extensive wine list, impeccable service, and a luxurious atmosphere. This clientele often dines for special occasions, business entertainment, or when desiring a truly indulgent meal.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Michael Spanos, Chief Executive Officer

Michael Spanos was named Chief Executive Officer and a member of the Board of Directors in September 2024. He brings over 25 years of leadership, strategy, operations, and retail consumer products experience. Prior to Bloomin' Brands, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer at Delta Air Lines from 2023-2024. From 2019-2021, he was the President and CEO of Six Flags Entertainment. He also spent more than 25 years at PepsiCo and the Pepsi Bottling Group in various leadership roles, including President Greater China and CEO of the Asia, Middle East, and North Africa sector. Spanos is a graduate of the U.S. Naval Academy and served in the U.S. Marine Corps.

Eric Christel, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer

Eric Christel assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer around September 8, 2025. He brings nearly two decades of financial leadership across the food and beverage sector. His prior experience includes serving as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of The Campbell's Company's Snacks Division and several leadership roles at PepsiCo from 2007 to 2020. He has extensive experience in operating, financial planning & analysis (FP&A), strategy, and transformation in complex businesses, including both franchisee and franchisor models.

Kelly Lefferts, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary

Kelly Lefferts was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary in July 2019, having joined Bloomin' Brands in 1997 as Corporate Counsel. She oversees the legal, compliance, and employee relations teams. Before Bloomin' Brands, she was an attorney at Foley and Lardner, focusing on corporate and business matters, mergers and acquisitions, securities, executive compensation, and commercial lending. Lefferts was a founding member of the Board of Directors of the Restaurant Law Center and is involved with the Women's Foodservice Forum. She has experience in both public and private company spaces, including taking a formerly NYSE-listed company private and then public again after five years of private equity ownership.

Lissette Gonzalez, Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer

Lissette Gonzalez was appointed Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer in February 2025. She is responsible for overseeing Global Supply Chain, Operations & Training, Off-Premises Dining, Productivity, Customer Analytics, Customer Insights, Digital & Media, Revenue Growth Management, and IT teams. Gonzalez joined Bloomin' Brands in 2014, and previously spent 16 years at Office Depot in various supply chain roles. She holds a bachelor's degree in industrial engineering and a master's degree in engineering management from Florida International University. She was recognized as one of the Top 30 Global Supply Chain Leaders for 2023.

Pat Hafner, Executive Vice President, President of Outback Steakhouse

Pat Hafner was named Executive Vice President, President of Outback Steakhouse in January 2025, where he leads the Culinary team, and domestic operations and development for nearly 700 restaurants. He has a career of nearly 30 years with Bloomin' Brands, beginning as a server and cook at Outback Steakhouse in 1996. He advanced through various roles at Outback, including Manager, Managing Partner, Joint Venture Partner, and Regional Vice President. In 2018, he became Vice President of Operations for Carrabba's Italian Grill and was promoted to President of Carrabba's in April 2022.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) include a substantial debt load, significant challenges in its turnaround strategy within a highly competitive casual dining market, and ongoing inflationary pressures combined with macroeconomic headwinds impacting consumer spending and operating costs.

  1. High Debt Load and Financial Instability: Bloomin' Brands faces considerable financial risk due to its substantial debt load, high debt-to-equity ratio, and low interest coverage, with some analyses placing the company in a "distress zone" regarding potential financial instability. The company has undertaken measures such as suspending dividends and selling off a majority stake in its Brazil operations to reduce debt, highlighting the severity of this financial pressure.
  2. Challenging Turnaround and Intense Competition: The company is engaged in a critical turnaround strategy, particularly for its largest brand, Outback Steakhouse, which has experienced weak comparable sales and declining customer traffic. The casual dining sector is intensely competitive, with Bloomin' Brands needing to successfully redefine its brand positioning and value offerings to contend with numerous rival chains and the growing popularity of fast-casual concepts. The success of these initiatives is not guaranteed and carries significant execution risk.
  3. Inflationary Pressures and Macroeconomic Headwinds: Bloomin' Brands is highly vulnerable to adverse economic conditions, including persistent inflation in commodity prices (such as beef) and increasing labor costs. A tight labor market poses challenges in recruiting and retaining staff, contributing to higher operational expenses. Additionally, cautious consumer spending due to economic downturns, "inflation fatigue," and rising energy costs directly impact restaurant traffic and revenue, further squeezing already thin profit margins.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The rise of ghost kitchens and virtual restaurant brands presents an emerging threat. These operations utilize existing commercial kitchen spaces to prepare food exclusively for delivery, often running multiple distinct "virtual" brands from a single location. This business model bypasses the significant overhead associated with traditional dine-in restaurants, such as expensive real estate, front-of-house staff, and extensive dining room build-outs. By focusing solely on efficient food production and delivery, ghost kitchens can offer a broader range of cuisines, adapt more quickly to consumer trends, and potentially operate with lower price points or higher margins, directly competing with Bloomin' Brands' delivery and takeout offerings while disrupting the traditional full-service restaurant economic model.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bloomin' Brands (symbol: BLMN) operates within the full-service restaurant market, encompassing casual, upscale casual, and fine dining segments. The addressable market sizes for their main products and services are as follows:

Global Market

  • Full-Service Restaurants: The global full-service restaurants market was estimated at approximately US$1.6 trillion in 2024 and is expected to reach US$1.8 trillion by 2030.
  • Casual Dining: The global casual dining market size was valued at USD 333.02 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 575.5 billion by 2035.
  • Fine Dining: The Global Fine Dining Restaurants Market is projected to expand from USD 191.11 billion in 2025 to USD 289.87 billion by 2031.

U.S. Market

  • Full-Service Restaurants: The U.S. full-service restaurants market size is predicted to value at US$ 371.9 billion in 2025 and reach US$ 715.8 billion by 2032.
  • Casual Dining: null
  • Fine Dining: The market size of Fine Dining Restaurants in the U.S. is $17.2 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a multi-faceted turnaround strategy centered on its core brands, strategic investments, and operational enhancements. The following are key expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  1. Outback Steakhouse Turnaround Strategy and Restaurant Remodels: A primary driver for Bloomin' Brands is the comprehensive turnaround strategy focused on its largest brand, Outback Steakhouse. This initiative involves significant investments aimed at enhancing steak quality, improving the service model by lowering table-to-server ratios, and implementing restaurant remodels and refreshes. Management plans to invest approximately $50 million in turnaround initiatives for Outback in 2026, with an expectation to refresh nearly all Outback locations by the end of 2028. Positive traffic trends at Outback, seen for the first time since Q4 2021, indicate early success from these efforts.
  2. Enhanced Value Offerings and Menu Innovation: The company is focusing on delivering value to guests, which has proven effective in driving traffic. For instance, Outback's "Aussie 3-Course" value offering has successfully attracted customers, with a significant portion opting for higher-priced tiers. This strategy of providing appealing value propositions, coupled with ongoing menu innovation and new product offerings, is expected to continue to boost customer visits and average check sizes across its brands.
  3. Growth in Off-Premise Dining and Digital Capabilities: Bloomin' Brands is capitalizing on the sustained demand for off-premise dining. Investments in digital transformation, including revamped mobile apps for convenient ordering and curbside pickup, are enhancing the customer experience for takeout and delivery across brands like Outback, Carrabba's, and Fleming's. This focus on digital channels and off-premise sales, including catering, is a key component of their growth strategy. Outback is shifting its marketing resources to 60% digital in 2026, up from 33% in 2025, to support this.
  4. Strategic International Expansion: Particularly for Outback Steakhouse, international expansion represents a significant opportunity for continued growth as its domestic market matures. Bloomin' Brands maintains a global presence with its Outback Steakhouse concept across 17 countries and Guam, and adapting to local market demands is crucial for this segment's success.
  5. Carrabba's Italian Grill Expansion and Digital Investment: Carrabba's Italian Grill has demonstrated positive comparable restaurant sales and continues to focus on expanding its presence. The brand is actively investing in digital technologies to enhance the dining experience and has historically planned for new restaurant openings, indicating a continued growth mindset for this segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Bloomin' Brands repurchased 10.1 million shares for a total of $265.7 million during 2024.
  • The company repurchased $70.8 million in shares in 2023 and $109.2 million in shares in 2022.
  • A new $350.0 million share repurchase authorization was approved in February 2024, replacing a prior $57.5 million remaining authorization. This program is set to expire on August 13, 2025, with $96.8 million remaining as of August 2025.

Share Issuance

  • In February 2024, Bloomin' Brands delivered approximately 7.5 million shares of common stock and $3.3 million in cash to exchange for $83.6 million in principal amount of convertible senior notes due 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • In December 2024, Bloomin' Brands completed the sale of a 67% majority stake in its Brazil operations (Outback Steakhouse restaurants) to a fund managed by Vinci Partners for approximately $243 million.
  • The company retained a 33% interest in the Brazil operations and has an option to sell its remaining stake in 2028.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures are expected to be between $185 million and $195 million for 2026, with a focus on refreshing nearly all Outback locations by 2028.
  • Estimated capital expenditures for 2025 are between $190 million and $210 million.
  • The company plans approximately $75 million in investments over three years (2026-2028) for its turnaround strategy, including $25 million for food quality improvements, largely offset by $80 million in productivity initiatives.

Better Bets vs. Bloomin Brands (BLMN)

Peer Outperformance in Restaurants

BLMN has trailed 66% of its 35 Restaurants peers over 5Y. Restaurants ranks 8th of 22 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return.
Share of Restaurants constituents that BLMN has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
81%
of 43 industry peers · 52.3% return
3Y
22%
of 41 industry peers · -52.6% return
5Y
34%
of 35 industry peers · -47.6% return
No Restaurants peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten BLMN by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Restaurants is BLMN's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -12.6%33.7%41.0% CVSA 246% · GHC 109% · LRN 107%
Homebuilding 17 3.7%29.7%29.7% PHM 175% · TOL 159% · GRBK 150%
Automotive Retail 17 -2.1%18.9%11.3% MUSA 209% · PAG 115% · ORLY 111%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 19.8%56.9%7.0% RCL 250% · MAR 159% · HLT 147%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -4.3%3.3%5.3% HD 6% · LOW 5% · FND -62%
Home Furnishings 3 4.6%73.9%-1.2% SGI 50% · MHK -15%
Footwear 9 75.0%79.9%-15.7% DECK 23% · SHOO -11% · CROX -16%
Restaurants ← 36 2.4%-4.6%-24.2% EAT 363% · CAKE 158% · TXRH 110%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 33.4%75.8%-24.5% BBY -3% · GME -53%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -8.5%32.3%-25.5% FTDR 168% · HRB 146% · ADT 24%
Distributors 4 -5.4%-16.9%-26.0% ARMK 96% · GPC 4% · POOL -56%
Leisure Products 14 -16.4%-4.9%-34.4% GOLF 51% · HAS 50% · BC -14%
Leisure Facilities 12 18.9%0.4%-39.5% OSW 160% · LTH 143% · PLNT -37%
Household Appliances 18 34.2%20.6%-40.3% WHR -82%
Broadline Retail 12 -5.8%14.0%-45.7% EBAY 76% · AMZN 47% · OLLI 24%
Apparel Retail 27 -3.8%1.8%-48.8% ANF 223% · VSXY 110% · TJX 104%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 37 -13.2%-28.2%-48.8% GTX 197% · PATK 64% · ALV 41%
Casinos & Gaming 21 -25.8%-16.1%-51.8% RRR 22% · BYD 19% · LVS 3%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 15.8%17.8%-53.7% TPR 255% · RL 225% · KTB 59%
Other Specialty Retail 25 -0.1%-11.4%-57.7% ULTA 65% · ASO 53% · ARHS 26%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -59.8%-44.0%-70.5% GM 54% · TSLA -12% · F -12%
Consumer Electronics 11 -31.9%-29.8%-80.5% GRMN 122%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BLMNYUMCMGDRIBJRIPZZAMedian
NameBloomin .Yum Bran.Chipotle.Darden R.BJ's Res.Papa Joh. 
Mkt Price9.72161.1634.39226.4355.7219.7445.05
Mkt Cap0.844.343.525.71.20.713.4
Rev LTM3,9958,72412,71313,3661,4331,9146,360
Op Inc LTM1492,6501,9001,6274375888
FCF LTM1211,6791,5101,0224514572
FCF 3Y Avg891,5271,4451,0273948558
CFO LTM2922,0832,3481,782118781,037
CFO 3Y Avg2791,8492,1361,7221171191,001

Growth & Margins

BLMNYUMCMGDRIBJRIPZZAMedian
NameBloomin .Yum Bran.Chipotle.Darden R.BJ's Res.Papa Joh. 
Rev Chg LTM1.1%10.3%7.9%8.1%3.5%-8.3%5.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.0%7.8%10.1%7.5%2.1%-2.8%4.8%
Rev Chg Q1.7%12.3%9.6%5.1%6.4%-10.5%5.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.4%2.8%2.3%1.2%1.7%-2.7%1.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM10.8%8.7%-4.8%11.1%-3.4%-28.3%2.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-20.4%6.2%7.4%9.7%30.1%-13.7%6.8%
Op Mgn LTM3.7%30.4%14.9%12.2%3.0%3.9%8.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.2%31.3%16.5%12.0%2.8%5.3%8.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%-0.2%-0.5%0.0%-0.2%-0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.3%23.9%18.5%13.3%8.2%4.1%10.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.2%23.3%18.0%13.9%8.4%5.8%11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%19.2%11.9%7.6%3.1%0.7%5.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.3%19.3%12.2%8.3%2.8%2.3%5.6%

Valuation

BLMNYUMCMGDRIBJRIPZZAMedian
NameBloomin .Yum Bran.Chipotle.Darden R.BJ's Res.Papa Joh. 
Mkt Cap0.844.343.525.71.20.713.4
P/S0.25.13.41.90.80.31.4
P/Op Inc5.616.722.915.827.18.716.3
P/EBIT8.116.422.916.027.87.916.2
P/E11.720.031.621.828.625.123.4
P/CFO2.921.318.514.410.08.312.2
Total Yield8.5%6.8%3.2%7.3%3.5%11.1%7.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.8%0.0%2.7%0.0%7.1%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.6%3.7%2.8%4.9%4.7%3.3%4.2%
D/E2.40.30.10.30.41.40.3
Net D/E2.30.30.10.20.41.40.3

Returns

BLMNYUMCMGDRIBJRIPZZAMedian
NameBloomin .Yum Bran.Chipotle.Darden R.BJ's Res.Papa Joh. 
1M Rtn19.0%14.8%11.8%13.3%-6.1%2.0%12.5%
3M Rtn-11.2%7.4%4.9%6.8%-19.9%-19.3%-3.2%
6M Rtn19.8%7.1%5.8%17.3%30.5%-35.8%12.2%
12M Rtn52.0%11.3%12.5%31.6%60.6%-52.1%22.1%
3Y Rtn-52.7%36.1%-16.7%67.9%103.4%-67.3%9.7%
1M Excs Rtn15.7%13.7%6.2%14.8%-5.4%2.4%10.0%
3M Excs Rtn-10.9%12.3%7.8%5.6%-18.0%-16.4%-2.7%
6M Excs Rtn15.9%3.2%1.9%13.4%26.6%-39.7%8.3%
12M Excs Rtn21.4%-3.2%-5.5%16.6%42.5%-63.4%6.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-134.6%-40.6%-94.8%-10.3%31.0%-147.6%-67.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
U.S.3,8863,8574,0543,912
All other revenues38547361
International Franchise31394236
Total3,9563,9504,1684,009


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
U.S.180250378408
International Franchise30383934
Other income (loss) from operations2-170-3
Unallocated corporate operating expense-176-131-134-133
Total37140283306


Assets by Segment
$ Mil202520242015
U.S.2,5992,735 
Corporate388307 
International Franchise105103 
Other8016 
Assets of discontinued operations held for sale0223 
International  473
Unallocated  155
United States  2,405
Total3,1723,3853,033


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$9.75 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.8 
First Trading Date08/08/2012 
Distance from 52W High-17.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$9.20$7.95
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA6.0%22.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility67.5%80.3%
Downside Capture135.17116.17
Upside Capture144.12148.93
Correlation (S&P 500)16.2%21.1%
BLMN Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.601.160.671.151.231.26
Up Beta-17.44-3.38-1.642.111.441.58
Down Beta1.530.471.820.330.741.17
Up Capture444%239%158%207%186%53%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days14253566125351
Down Capture-112%169%44%41%108%107%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days7162758123394

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BLMN
BLMN35.0%80.3%0.69-
Sector ETF (XLY)-1.9%19.8%-0.2232.8%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4021.0%
Gold (GLD)1.6%28.7%0.0520.5%
Commodities (DBC)38.4%21.2%1.42-20.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.3%14.2%0.5127.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-26.9%43.6%-0.6011.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BLMN
BLMN-11.8%59.2%0.01-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.0%24.2%0.1239.6%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4835.1%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.749.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.30-0.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.9%-0.0433.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.1%51.6%0.2616.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BLMN
BLMN-3.1%56.3%0.17-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.8%22.3%0.5246.5%
Equity (SPY)15.0%18.0%0.7044.2%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.597.3%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.3311.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2443.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.1%66.3%1.0013.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020267.4%
Average Daily Volume2.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity85.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares14.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/202632.8%24.7%11.3%
5/6/202641.0%44.4%24.0%
2/25/2026-2.7%8.2%-4.3%
11/6/2025-11.5%-10.2%-3.2%
8/6/2025-30.7%-25.4%-17.7%
5/7/2025-8.4%6.3%-4.6%
2/26/2025-16.8%-30.8%-32.3%
11/8/2024-9.7%-20.0%-22.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111312
# Negative121011
Median Positive7.5%6.3%5.4%
Median Negative-7.8%-8.4%-4.6%
Max Positive41.0%44.4%24.0%
Max Negative-30.7%-30.8%-32.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/202632.8%24.7%11.3%
5/6/202641.0%44.4%24.0%
2/25/2026-2.7%8.2%-4.3%
11/6/2025-11.5%-10.2%-3.2%
8/6/2025-30.7%-25.4%-17.7%
5/7/2025-8.4%6.3%-4.6%
2/26/2025-16.8%-30.8%-32.3%
11/8/2024-9.7%-20.0%-22.8%
8/6/2024-7.2%-15.9%-4.1%
5/7/2024-4.0%-5.4%-18.8%
2/23/20242.9%2.2%3.5%
11/3/20230.3%-5.1%4.4%
8/1/2023-3.2%-6.5%4.4%
4/28/20235.1%3.5%6.5%
2/16/20238.2%11.3%3.4%
10/28/20224.0%1.9%0.4%
7/29/20223.1%5.3%8.8%
4/29/2022-0.0%-0.1%-1.3%
2/18/20227.6%11.0%-4.4%
11/2/2021-10.2%-4.5%-22.6%
7/30/2021-0.2%2.9%9.8%
4/29/20218.9%4.9%1.7%
2/18/20217.5%18.0%23.3%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111312
# Negative121011
Median Positive7.5%6.3%5.4%
Median Negative-7.8%-8.4%-4.6%
Max Positive41.0%44.4%24.0%
Max Negative-30.7%-30.8%-32.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/06/202610-Q
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/06/202610-Q
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/26/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/28/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/22/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K
09/30/202111/03/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202104/30/202110-Q
12/31/202002/24/202110-K
09/30/202010/30/202010-Q
06/30/202007/31/202010-Q
03/31/202005/21/202010-Q
12/31/201902/26/202010-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/6/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 U.S. comparable restaurant salesReported00.010.01 -1.0%Lower NewGuidance: 0.02 for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Diluted earnings per shareReported0.070.10.12-137.3% Higher NewGuidance: -0.26 for Q3 2026
Q4 2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per shareReported0.070.10.12-138.8% Higher NewGuidance: -0.25 for Q3 2026
2026 U.S. comparable restaurant salesReported0.010.010.02 -0.2%LoweredGuidance: 0.02 for 2026
2026 Diluted earnings per shareReported1.061.091.1120.6% RaisedGuidance: 0.9 for 2026
2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per shareReported0.9711.024.7% RaisedGuidance: 0.95 for 2026


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 U.S. comparable restaurant salesReported0.010.020.02 0Same NewGuidance: 0.02 for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Diluted earnings per shareReported-0.28-0.26-0.23  Lower NewGuidance: 0.27 for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per shareReported-0.27-0.25-0.22  Lower NewGuidance: 0.3 for Q2 2026
2026 U.S. comparable restaurant salesReported0.010.020.02   
2026 Diluted earnings per shareReported0.850.90.95   
2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per shareReported0.90.951   

Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 U.S. comparable restaurant salesReported0.010.020.02   
Q2 2026 Diluted earnings per shareReported0.240.270.29   
Q2 2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per shareReported0.270.30.32   

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 U.S. comparable restaurant salesReported00.010.01 -0.5%Lower NewActual: 0.01 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Diluted earnings per shareReported0.540.570.59352.0% Higher NewActual: 0.13 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per shareReported0.570.60.62133.3% Higher NewActual: 0.26 for Q4 2025
2026 U.S. comparable restaurant salesReported0.010.020.03 1.2%Higher NewActual: 0 for 2025
2026 Diluted earnings per shareReported0.70.780.850.0% Same NewActual: 0.78 for 2025
2026 Adjusted diluted earnings per shareReported0.750.830.9-26.7% Lower NewActual: 1.13 for 2025
2026 Capital expendituresReported185.00 Mil190.00 Mil195.00 Mil   

Insider Activity

Updated 4/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Lal, Rohit DirectBuy31220265.6910,00056,900171,588Form
2Kunkel, Julie T IRABuy30920266.461,0006,46039,183Form
3Kunkel, Julie T IRABuy111220256.371,5009,55532,267Form
4Hafner, Patrick MEVP, Pres Outback SteakhouseDirectSell111220256.414,25627,28151,280Form
5Christel, Eric CEVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectBuy111220256.38150,000957,000957,000Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Lal, Rohit DirectBuy31220265.6910,00056,900171,588Form
2Kunkel, Julie T IRABuy30920266.461,0006,46039,183Form
3Kunkel, Julie T IRABuy111220256.371,5009,55532,267Form
4Hafner, Patrick MEVP, Pres Outback SteakhouseDirectSell111220256.414,25627,28151,280Form
5Christel, Eric CEVP, Chief Financial OfficerDirectBuy111220256.38150,000957,000957,000Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 7, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Starboard Value LP$43.1 Mil0.9%23Hold13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Broad Bay Capital Management, LP$6.0 Mil0.7%28Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Starboard Value LP$43.1 Mil0.9%23Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/6/2026