Tearsheet

Chewy (CHWY)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $32.85 | Market Cap: $13.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Chewy (CHWY)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $32.85
Market Cap: $13.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -94%
 
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
  
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -94%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CHWY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025, Chewy (CHWY) experienced a stock decline of 20.1% due to several key factors:

1. Mixed Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Report. Chewy reported its Q3 2025 financial results on December 10, 2025, which, despite exceeding revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) analyst expectations, showed a miss on basic EPS against some consensus estimates. For instance, some reports indicated a reported EPS of $0.14 against a consensus estimate of $0.31, representing a miss of $0.17. This divergence in reported versus expected EPS likely created investor uncertainty.

2. Cautious Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Guidance. Following the Q3 earnings, Chewy issued what was perceived as conservative guidance for Q4 2025. Although the company projected overall strong full-year 2025 net sales growth and stable adjusted EBITDA margins, the cautious near-term outlook for the upcoming quarter tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to the stock's decline.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CHWY Return210%-34%-37%-36%42%2%18%
Peers Return-30%19%24%-4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CHWY Win Rate83%42%33%33%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate64%33%62%53%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CHWY Max Drawdown-21%-42%-60%-55%-37%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-19%-16%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, EBAY, NSIT, WOOF, TSCO. See CHWY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCHWYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven606.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-26.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven7 days148 days

Compare to AMZN, EBAY, NSIT, WOOF, TSCO


In The Past

Chewy's stock fell -85.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -85.8% loss requires a 606.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Chewy (CHWY)

Better Bets than Chewy (CHWY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CHWY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Chewy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CHWYAMZNEBAYNSITWOOFTSCOMedian
NameChewy Amazon.c.eBay Insight .Petco He.Tractor . 
Mkt Price32.74226.1985.3682.893.0751.9767.43
Mkt Cap16.82,406.039.42.61.127.522.1
Rev LTM12,584670,03810,4708,2725,99815,39911,527
Op Inc LTM20276,1902,2383401061,488914
FCF LTM48713,4811,409333130952720
FCF 3Y Avg38921,6771,76253060769650
CFO LTM636121,1371,9123652571,8281,232
CFO 3Y Avg53796,9772,2445692301,5991,084

Growth & Margins

CHWYAMZNEBAYNSITWOOFTSCOMedian
NameChewy Amazon.c.eBay Insight .Petco He.Tractor . 
Rev Chg LTM10.0%10.9%2.7%-6.7%-3.9%4.3%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.5%11.3%1.5%-7.6%0.2%4.5%3.0%
Rev Chg Q8.3%13.3%6.1%-4.0%-3.1%7.2%6.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%3.0%1.5%-1.0%-0.8%1.7%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM1.6%11.4%21.4%4.1%1.8%9.7%6.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.9%7.9%21.2%4.6%1.2%9.9%6.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.3%-1.0%0.0%0.4%-0.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM5.1%18.1%18.3%4.4%4.3%11.9%8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.6%15.8%22.1%6.3%3.8%10.6%8.5%
FCF/Rev LTM3.9%2.0%13.5%4.0%2.2%6.2%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.3%3.5%17.4%5.9%1.0%5.1%4.3%

Valuation

CHWYAMZNEBAYNSITWOOFTSCOMedian
NameChewy Amazon.c.eBay Insight .Petco He.Tractor . 
Mkt Cap16.82,406.039.42.61.127.522.1
P/S1.33.54.00.40.22.01.6
P/EBIT-27.415.112.6-20.217.7
P/E81.233.119.225.0-494.127.326.1
P/CFO26.419.321.99.74.216.517.9
Total Yield1.2%3.0%6.5%4.0%-0.2%3.7%3.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.1%6.0%10.7%-2.9%4.4%
D/E-0.10.20.5-0.20.2
Net D/E-0.00.10.3-0.20.1

Returns

CHWYAMZNEBAYNSITWOOFTSCOMedian
NameChewy Amazon.c.eBay Insight .Petco He.Tractor . 
1M Rtn-2.4%-3.6%2.2%-8.0%3.7%-5.8%-3.0%
3M Rtn-5.5%-0.9%-5.7%-33.2%-11.3%-13.9%-8.5%
6M Rtn-21.4%6.6%11.1%-36.7%24.3%1.7%4.1%
12M Rtn1.5%-0.6%35.8%-47.8%-31.0%-7.4%-4.0%
3Y Rtn-20.0%155.7%113.8%-15.0%-69.5%28.0%6.5%
1M Excs Rtn-0.4%-7.0%-2.1%-9.2%1.3%-6.4%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn-14.6%-5.5%-8.4%-35.5%-14.7%-15.6%-14.7%
6M Excs Rtn-35.7%-7.6%-3.2%-51.0%10.1%-12.6%-10.1%
12M Excs Rtn-8.8%-12.6%23.9%-62.2%-45.7%-20.3%-16.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-94.1%82.1%35.9%-89.6%-143.7%-47.5%-68.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sale of pet products and services11,148    
Consumables 7,1456,1024,9683,597
Hardgoods 1,2161,3061,154705
Other 1,7581,4821,025545
Total11,14810,1198,8917,1464,847


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sale of pet products and services40    
Total40    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,938,960
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-15.5%
Average Daily Volume5,978,649
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.83
Basic Shares Quantity414,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/10/20251.5%  
9/10/2025-16.6%-9.3%-9.1%
6/11/2025-11.0%-9.3%-17.4%
3/26/2025-1.1%-0.4%7.2%
12/4/2024-0.4%-6.7%7.0%
8/28/202411.1%5.0%14.6%
5/29/202427.1%31.5%71.8%
3/20/2024-10.3%-11.8%-9.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive6711
# Negative161511
Median Positive8.2%15.1%7.2%
Median Negative-8.1%-8.6%-14.9%
Max Positive27.1%31.5%71.8%
Max Negative-16.6%-13.7%-36.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251210202510-Q 11/2/2025
7312025910202510-Q 8/3/2025
4302025611202510-Q 5/4/2025
1312025326202510-K 2/2/2025
103120241204202410-Q 10/27/2024
7312024828202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024529202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024320202410-K 1/28/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/30/2023
7312023830202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023531202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023322202310-K 1/29/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/30/2022
7312022830202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022601202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022329202210-K 1/30/2022