Petco Health and Wellness (WOOF)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.015 | Market Cap: $841.4 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail
Petco Health and Wellness (WOOF)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $3.015Market Cap: $841.4 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Other Specialty Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.4% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 348% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Nutritional Supplements, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.2 | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.8% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.4% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Nutritional Supplements, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -140% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.2 |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 348% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.3% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.8% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WOOF Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -21.6% movement in Petco Health and Wellness (WOOF) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Persistent Decline in Net and Comparable Sales: Petco consistently reported year-over-year decreases in both net sales and comparable sales, with a 2.3% decline in net sales and a 1.4% drop in comparable sales for Q2 2025, followed by a 3.1% decline in net sales for Q3 2025. This indicated ongoing challenges in achieving revenue growth.
2. Weak Underlying Financial Health: Despite some improvements in profitability, Petco's overall financial health was characterized as "WEAK" by analyses after its Q2 2025 earnings report. Specific concerns included short-term obligations exceeding liquid assets and broader issues with profitability and cash flow.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WOOF Return | - | - | -52% | -67% | 21% | -18% | -84% |
| Peers Return | 76% | 51% | -14% | 11% | 9% | -3% | 168% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WOOF Win Rate | - | 45% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 68% | 43% | 57% | 48% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WOOF Max Drawdown | - | - | -55% | -71% | -53% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -11% | -38% | -25% | -26% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WOOF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -90.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 976.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA
In The Past
Petco Health and Wellness's stock fell -90.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2021. A -90.7% loss requires a 976.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WOOF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 09302023 | WOOF | Petco Health and Wellness | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -44.3% | 14.4% | -63.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 09302023 | WOOF | Petco Health and Wellness | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -44.3% | 14.4% | -63.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Petco Health and Wellness
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.01 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.0 |
| Rev LTM | 9,512 |
| Op Inc LTM | 712 |
| FCF LTM | 623 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 554 |
| CFO LTM | 806 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 762 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.0 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 16.7 |
| P/E | 22.4 |
| P/CFO | 16.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -4.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -71.8% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8292025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6062025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3312025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12062024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9102024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6052024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4032024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9012023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6072023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3282023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12082022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9022022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3242022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12012021 | 10-Q 10/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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