MGM Resorts International (MGM)


Market Price (9/25/2026): $33.69 | Market Cap: $8.6 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming

MGM Resorts International (MGM)


Market Price (9/25/2026): $33.69
Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 16%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 4.0 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Digital Content & Streaming, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.08

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 284%

Key risks
MGM key risks include [1] the significant operational and financial fallout from its recent major cyberattack and [2] a high debt burden with substantial peak payments due in 2026.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 2.5 Bil
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 16%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 4.0 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Digital Content & Streaming, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.08
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 284%
8 Key risks
MGM key risks include [1] the significant operational and financial fallout from its recent major cyberattack and [2] a high debt burden with substantial peak payments due in 2026.

MGM in ETFs

Weight = MGM's share of each fund

SPY0.01%
VOO0.01%
IVV0.01%
VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
RSP0.16%
VB0.09%
+21 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/16/2026

MGM Resorts International (MGM) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Uncertainty and Shareholder Scrutiny Surrounding Barry Diller's Unsolicited Buyout Bid.

On June 1, 2026, People Inc., controlled by Barry Diller and MGM Resorts International's largest single stockholder, made an unsolicited offer to acquire the remaining MGM stock for $48.30 per share. This bid is currently under board review and has prompted investigations by securities law firms into potential breaches of fiduciary duty on behalf of current shareholders. The stock has been observed trading below this offer, around $40.73, signaling market apprehension or uncertainty regarding the bid's prospects or fairness.

2. Year-over-Year Decline in Key Profitability Metrics Despite Revenue Beat in Fiscal Q2 2026.

While MGM Resorts International reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.59 and revenue of $4.45 billion for fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026), both exceeding analyst estimates, the company experienced a year-over-year decline in crucial profitability measures. Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $610 million in Q2 2026 from $648 million in the prior year quarter, and adjusted diluted EPS fell from $0.79 to $0.59 over the same period. This reduction in profitability metrics, despite strong top-line performance, likely raised investor concerns about underlying cost pressures or operational efficiency.

Show more
Updated on 9/16/2026

MGM Resorts International (MGM) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Uncertainty and Shareholder Scrutiny Surrounding Barry Diller's Unsolicited Buyout Bid.

On June 1, 2026, People Inc., controlled by Barry Diller and MGM Resorts International's largest single stockholder, made an unsolicited offer to acquire the remaining MGM stock for $48.30 per share. This bid is currently under board review and has prompted investigations by securities law firms into potential breaches of fiduciary duty on behalf of current shareholders. The stock has been observed trading below this offer, around $40.73, signaling market apprehension or uncertainty regarding the bid's prospects or fairness.

2. Year-over-Year Decline in Key Profitability Metrics Despite Revenue Beat in Fiscal Q2 2026.

While MGM Resorts International reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.59 and revenue of $4.45 billion for fiscal Q2 2026 (ending June 30, 2026), both exceeding analyst estimates, the company experienced a year-over-year decline in crucial profitability measures. Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA decreased to $610 million in Q2 2026 from $648 million in the prior year quarter, and adjusted diluted EPS fell from $0.79 to $0.59 over the same period. This reduction in profitability metrics, despite strong top-line performance, likely raised investor concerns about underlying cost pressures or operational efficiency.

3. Broader Macroeconomic Headwinds Dampening Consumer Discretionary Spending.

The period since May 31, 2026, has been characterized by a "risk-off tone across markets" influenced by factors such as rising oil prices, surging long-term Treasury yields, and geopolitical tensions. These macroeconomic conditions tend to adversely affect consumer discretionary and travel-related sectors, including the hospitality and gaming industry. Slowing economic momentum can translate into reduced discretionary spending on entertainment and travel, directly impacting MGM's business. Gaming executives have also cited economic uncertainty, inflation, and interest rate concerns as significant operational challenges.

4. Persistent Margin Pressures Driven by Elevated Labor Costs.

The casino and hospitality industry continues to face considerable margin pressure from increasing operating costs, particularly labor expenses. Average hourly earnings in the leisure and hospitality sector rose approximately 40% from $16.66 in 2019 to around $23.28 by December 2025. With labor costs potentially representing about 30% of revenue for casino properties, these sustained wage increases exert a significant constraint on profitability and could be a contributing factor to the year-over-year decline in MGM's Adjusted EBITDA.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.3% change in MGM stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -63.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269232026Change
Stock Price ($)43.6737.85-13.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,71517,7610.3%
Net Income Margin (%)1.0%2.4%132.8%
P/E Multiple61.422.6-63.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2562540.9%
Cumulative Contribution-13.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MGM-13.3% 
Market (SPY)1.8%17.0%
Sector (XLY)-8.3%21.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.7% change in MGM stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 104.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820269232026Change
Stock Price ($)36.8637.852.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,53817,7611.3%
Net Income Margin (%)1.2%2.4%104.3%
P/E Multiple47.922.6-52.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2672545.3%
Cumulative Contribution2.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MGM2.7% 
Market (SPY)12.5%21.2%
Sector (XLY)-4.9%18.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.6% change in MGM stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120259232026Change
Stock Price ($)39.6937.85-4.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,21217,7613.2%
Net Income Margin (%)3.1%2.4%-23.5%
P/E Multiple20.122.612.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2732547.6%
Cumulative Contribution-4.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MGM-4.6% 
Market (SPY)20.3%27.5%
Sector (XLY)-3.8%30.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.9% change in MGM stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/23/2026 was primarily driven by a -46.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239232026Change
Stock Price ($)43.9837.85-13.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,82417,76119.8%
Net Income Margin (%)2.5%2.4%-5.1%
P/E Multiple42.422.6-46.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)36125442.1%
Cumulative Contribution-13.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MGM-13.9% 
Market (SPY)77.0%51.0%
Sector (XLY)32.8%50.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MGM Return42%-25%33%-22%5%7%24%
Peers Return-23%-26%45%-9%2%-14%-35%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%107%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MGM Win Rate67%33%67%42%67%56% 
Peers Win Rate42%40%52%43%58%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%56% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MGM Max Drawdown-24%-44%-33%-30%-36%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-52%-33%-36%-42%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: LVS, CZR, WYNN, DKNG, PENN. See MGM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/23/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMGMS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-32.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven93 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-22.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.9%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven665 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-31.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven948 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-11.3%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven12 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-40.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven67.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven253 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-77.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven346.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven323 days140 days

Compare to LVS, CZR, WYNN, DKNG, PENN

In The Past

MGM Resorts International's stock fell -32.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 48.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMGMS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-32.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven93 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-22.4%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.9%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven665 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-31.1%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven948 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-40.3%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven67.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven253 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-77.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven346.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven323 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven16 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-26.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven63 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-32.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.8%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven119 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-47.9%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven92.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven589 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-44.3%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven79.5%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven192 days125 days

Compare to LVS, CZR, WYNN, DKNG, PENN

In The Past

MGM Resorts International's stock fell -32.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 48.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About MGM Resorts International (MGM)

MGM Resorts International (MGM) is a leading global hospitality and entertainment company primarily focused on owning and operating an extensive portfolio of casino, hotel, and entertainment resorts. The company's operations are divided into three main segments: its iconic Las Vegas Strip Resorts, various Regional Operations across the United States, and its presence in Macau through MGM China. Headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, MGM has been a prominent player in the resort industry since its incorporation in 1986.

The company offers a comprehensive array of resort amenities and services. Its core offerings include traditional casino gaming with slots and table games, luxury hotel accommodations, extensive convention and meeting facilities, diverse dining experiences, live entertainment venues, and retail outlets. MGM also owns and operates golf courses. In addition to its physical resorts, MGM has embraced the digital gaming landscape, providing online sports betting and iGaming services through its BetMGM platform.

MGM caters to a wide and varied customer base, reflecting the diverse appeal of its resort offerings. Its primary customers include high-value premium gaming customers, leisure and wholesale travel guests seeking vacation experiences, business travelers utilizing its convention facilities, and various group customers such as those attending conventions, trade associations, and small meetings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe MGM Resorts International:

  • A Hilton or Marriott, but with a huge casino and entertainment complex built into its luxury resorts.

  • A Disney World for adults, substituting theme park rides for high-stakes gambling and world-class entertainment.

  • It's like a combination of a luxury hotel brand and a major online sports betting company like DraftKings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Casino Gaming: MGM Resorts provides a full range of gaming options, including traditional slots, table games, and online sports betting and iGaming through BetMGM.
  • Hotel Accommodation: The company offers lodging and hospitality services through its portfolio of luxury hotels and resorts.
  • Entertainment & Events: MGM Resorts hosts diverse entertainment, including live shows, concerts, and other events across its properties.
  • Dining & Nightlife: Guests can access numerous dining establishments, bars, and nightlife venues within MGM's resorts.
  • Convention & Meeting Services: The company offers extensive facilities and services for conventions, trade shows, and business meetings.
  • Retail & Resort Amenities: MGM Resorts provides various retail shopping experiences and additional resort amenities such as golf courses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

MGM Resorts International sells primarily to individuals and groups. Its major customer categories are:

  • Premium gaming customers
  • Leisure and wholesale travel customers
  • Business travelers and group customers (including conventions, trade associations, and small meetings)

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Light & Wonder, Inc. (LNW)
  • International Game Technology PLC (IGT)
  • Aristocrat Leisure Limited (ALL.AX)
  • Everi Holdings Inc. (EVRI)
  • Entain Plc (ENT.L)

AI Analysis | Feedback

William J. Hornbuckle, Chief Executive Officer and President

  • Appointed CEO and President of MGM Resorts International in July 2020, having served as Acting CEO since March 2020.
  • Possesses over 40 years of experience in the gaming and hospitality industry.
  • Oversees all aspects of MGM Resorts' strategy, operations, and hospitality and gaming development projects, and led the company through the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Led the strategy and execution of the company's sale of MGM Growth Properties to Vici Properties and the acquisition of the remaining share of CityCenter and of The Cosmopolitan of Las Vegas.

Jonathan Halkyard, Chief Financial Officer

  • Appointed Chief Financial Officer of MGM Resorts International in January 2021.
  • Previously served as Chief Executive Officer of Extended Stay America from 2018 to 2019.
  • Prior to his CEO role at Extended Stay America, he was its Chief Financial Officer for nearly three years and Chief Operating Officer for two years.
  • Served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of NV Energy from 2012 to September 2013, during which time he led the sale of the company to MidAmerican Energy Holdings, a Berkshire Hathaway company.
  • Held various leadership positions at Caesars Entertainment for 13 years, including Chief Financial Officer from 2006 to 2012.

Ayesha Molino, Chief Operating Officer

  • Appointed Chief Operating Officer of MGM Resorts in January 2026.
  • Oversees the company's Las Vegas and regional properties, as well as multiple corporate departments including Sales, Revenue Management, Human Resources, Government Affairs, Public Relations, and Community Affairs.
  • Previously served simultaneously as Chief Public Affairs Officer and President and COO of ARIA and Vdara.

John M. McManus, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer and Secretary

  • Responsible for the oversight of the company's legal affairs, as well as the Technology, Corporate Communications, Corporate Security, Risk Management, and Compliance departments.
  • Joined MGM in 2001 and has served as counsel in various capacities at the parent company and its operating subsidiaries.

Gary Fritz, Chief Commercial Officer and President of MGM Digital

  • Accountable for evaluating and leading all strategic digital gaming initiatives globally, capitalizing on the intersection of the digital and gaming spheres.
  • Serves as a strategic advisor to MGM Resorts' President and Chief Executive Officer and is a member of the Executive Committee.
  • He is also a member of the Board of Directors for BetMGM and LeoVegas.
  • Has a history of leading multinational companies on global strategy and expansion plans, including Rakuten, TripAdvisor, Expedia, and McKinsey & Company.
  • From 2016-2020, Mr. Fritz was the Head of Gaming for IAC.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The key risks to MGM Resorts International (MGM) are:

  1. Cybersecurity Incidents: MGM Resorts International faces significant risks from cybersecurity incidents. A major cyberattack in September 2023 disrupted operations, affecting crucial systems like slot machines, ATMs, digital room keys, and payment systems, leading to approximately $100 million in revenue losses in the third quarter of 2023. This incident also exposed sensitive guest data, resulted in regulatory scrutiny, erosion of customer trust, and led to ongoing class-action lawsuits. The company had also experienced a data breach in 2019, indicating a persistent vulnerability to such threats.

  2. Substantial Financial Commitments and High Indebtedness: The company operates with significant financial commitments, including substantial indebtedness and rent payments. MGM Resorts International's balance sheet carries a high debt load, with a debt-to-equity ratio reported at an alarming 11.64. These commitments could adversely affect operations and financial results, particularly if economic conditions or credit market fluctuations impact the company's ability to service debt and make planned expenditures. A prolonged downturn in travel or gaming demand could make these substantial interest and lease payments a serious drag on profitability.

  3. Macau Regulatory and Geopolitical Risks: MGM Resorts International's significant operations in Macau expose it to specific regulatory and geopolitical risks. These include the potential for termination or non-renewal of gaming concessions by the Macau government, which could severely impact revenue. Changes in U.S.-China relations or other geopolitical events could also adversely affect the company's operations in Macau, a region critical for its international growth strategy, as evidenced by MGM China's increased net revenues.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The emergence of highly immersive virtual reality (VR) and metaverse platforms offering alternative, compelling social gaming, entertainment, and hospitality experiences. As these technologies mature and gain wider adoption, they could reduce the incentive for consumers to travel to physical casino resorts for aspects such as gaming, live entertainment, and social interaction, potentially diverting customer spending and reducing demand for MGM's core physical offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for MGM Resorts International's main products and services are sizable across its operating regions. Here's an overview of the market sizes for their primary offerings:

Casino/Gaming

  • Global Casino Gaming Market: The global casino gaming market was projected to reach $245.40 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $280.70 billion by 2029. Another estimate indicates the global casino market size was valued at USD 308.52 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 542.41 billion by 2033. Land-based casinos represented the largest segment in the global casino market in 2024, holding a 70.1% market share.
  • U.S. Casino Gaming Market: The U.S. casino gaming market size is estimated to grow by USD 9.5 billion, accelerating at a CAGR of 3.22% between 2023 and 2028. North America dominated the casino market worldwide, accounting for 45.9% of the global market share in 2024. The U.S. casino market is anticipated to reach a value of USD 199.4 billion by 2035. Land-based casino gaming in the U.S. was valued at USD 63.5 billion in 2024.
  • Macau Gaming Market: Macau's gross gaming revenue (GGR) reached $30.9 billion in 2025, the highest annual total since before the COVID-19 pandemic. It is projected to rise to $32.3 billion in 2026.
  • Global Online Gambling Market (including sports betting and iGaming): The global online gambling market size was valued at USD 95.5 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow to USD 257 billion by 2034. Another estimate states the global online gambling market size was USD 99.7 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 179.7 billion by 2034. The sports betting segment generated over USD 36.9 billion in 2024.
  • U.S. Online Gambling Market (including sports betting and iGaming): The U.S. online gambling market size was estimated at USD 12.68 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.8% from 2025 to 2030. The U.S. online gambling market was valued at USD 5.95 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 14.79 billion by 2031. Sports betting led with a 49.21% share of the U.S. online gambling market in 2025. The U.S. iGaming market is projected to reach a gross revenue of $26.8 billion in 2025. Online casino gaming in the U.S. is projected to be valued at USD 37.05 billion in 2024, and grow to USD 72.9 billion by 2035.

Hotel and Hospitality

  • Global Hotel Market: The global hotel market was valued at USD 1071 billion based on a five-year historical analysis. Another source indicates the global hotels market size was valued at USD 2,080.57 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 3,931.42 billion by 2034. It was also valued at US$ 1,575.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach US$ 2,694.9 billion by 2036.
  • U.S. Hotel Market: The U.S. hotels market size was estimated at USD 263.21 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 7.1% from 2025 to 2030, reaching USD 395.69 billion by 2030. The USA Hotel Market was valued at USD 260 billion based on a five-year historical analysis.
  • Global Hospitality Market: The global hospitality market size was $5.52 trillion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $7.47 trillion in 2030.
  • U.S. Hospitality Market: The U.S. hospitality market stands at USD 247.81 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 305.53 billion by 2031. The U.S. hospitality market size is estimated at USD 247.45 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 313.87 billion by 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

MGM Resorts International (MGM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Growth of BetMGM and MGM Digital: The company anticipates significant growth from its online sports betting and iGaming venture, BetMGM, and its broader MGM Digital segment. BetMGM North America achieved a 39% increase in net revenue from operations in the fourth quarter of 2025 and saw its EBITDA improve by $176 million to $71 million in the quarter. The venture provided adjusted EBITDA guidance of $300 million to $350 million for 2026 and aims to reach $500 million in adjusted EBITDA by 2027. MGM Digital also demonstrated impressive 35% growth in net revenues. Furthermore, MGM expects 2-4 additional states to legalize iGaming in the coming years, which is projected to further boost digital gaming revenues.

  2. Recovery and Enhanced Performance of Las Vegas Strip Resorts: After experiencing some headwinds in 2025, MGM projects a path to growth in its Las Vegas Strip Resorts for 2026. This growth is anticipated to be fueled by robust group and convention business, with bookings pacing ahead of the prior year, supported by a strong calendar of major events including Formula 1 and the Super Bowl. The completion of renovations at properties like MGM Grand is expected to bring full room inventory back online in 2026, contributing to increased capacity and revenue. The company is also focusing on investments in luxury offerings and AI-driven guest engagement to attract high-end clientele and enhance customer experience.

  3. Sustained Strong Performance and Market Share in MGM China: MGM China continues to be a significant revenue driver, with net revenues growing 21% and segment-adjusted EBITDAR increasing by 31% in the fourth quarter of 2025, setting a new record for the quarter. MGM China maintained a market share of over 16% for the full year 2025, a record annual level, demonstrating its strong position in the premium mass customer segment. The company is targeting a 15% market share in Macau, indicating continued focus on this profitable segment.

  4. Consistent Performance in Regional Operations: MGM's regional operations have consistently delivered strong results, closing out 2025 with a record-breaking year, including the best-ever annual slot win performance. The regional segment saw a 2% rise in net revenues in the fourth quarter of 2025 and stable EBITDAR, indicating a reliable and ongoing contribution to the company's overall revenue base. The company anticipates continued solid performance from its regional properties.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years) for MGM Resorts International (MGM)

Share Repurchases

  • MGM Resorts International aggressively repurchased shares, investing approximately $8.9 billion from 2021 to April 30, 2025, which reduced shares outstanding by about 45%.
  • In 2024, the company repurchased over 33 million shares for $1.4 billion.
  • A new $2 billion share repurchase program was authorized on April 30, 2025, with $1.6 billion remaining as of December 31, 2025.

Outbound Investments

  • MGM is committed to its integrated resort project in Japan, updating its equity commitment to JPY428 billion, with JPY392 billion remaining to be funded for a 43.5% ownership stake. Preliminary construction for the Osaka integrated resort began in 2024 and continued in 2025.
  • The company acquired a majority ownership of Push Gaming, a digital gaming developer, in August 2023, as part of its strategy to enhance its digital gaming portfolio.
  • MGM completed the sale of operations of The Mirage and Gold Strike Tunica, generating significant cash inflows. In 2025, it announced the sale of Northfield Park operations.

Capital Expenditures

  • In 2024, MGM made $1.2 billion in capital expenditures, focusing on broad improvements at properties like the Bellagio, renovating suites, adding new food and beverage offerings, and refreshing premium gaming spaces.
  • For 2025, domestic capital expenditures were approximately $750 million to $800 million, including around $600 million for maintenance and the remainder for growth initiatives.
  • Capital expenditures are primarily focused on maintaining and enhancing existing assets to uphold brand standards and competitive position, as well as growth capital to boost revenues from existing assets or create new revenue streams.

Better Bets vs. MGM Resorts International (MGM)

Peer Outperformance in Casinos & Gaming

MGM has outperformed 60% of its 20 Casinos & Gaming peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are MCRI, RRR and BYD. Casinos & Gaming ranks 12th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Casinos & Gaming constituents that MGM has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
78%
of 23 industry peers · 8.9% return
3Y
77%
of 22 industry peers · 3.6% return
5Y
60%
of 20 industry peers · -15.1% return
Casinos & Gaming peers with revenue growth within 4pp of MGM's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
MGM MGM Resorts International 6.4% 22.6x 8.9%3.6%-15.1% —
MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort 4.4% 18.3x 13.8%94.7%95.6% +111pp
RRR Red Rock Resorts 5.9% 17.4x -14.6%36.0%27.0% +42pp
BYD Boyd Gaming 3.7% 3.0x -14.9%21.6%17.2% +32pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Casinos & Gaming is MGM's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -17.2%74.5%65.4% LINC 282% · PRDO 219% · CVSA 218%
Homebuilding 18 -9.0%32.7%49.1% GRBK 215% · PHM 162% · TOL 138%
Specialty Stores 7 6.6%42.4%13.4% SIG 32% · ASO 20% · FIVE 18%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -25.7%-3.5%-0.2% HVT 9% · LOW 1% · HD 0%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 14.9%42.5%-2.6% RCL 163% · MAR 141% · HLT 130%
Automotive Retail 18 -21.1%-2.4%-7.6% MUSA 215% · PAG 121% · ORLY 106%
Distributors 4 -11.6%-25.4%-13.7% ARMK 146% · GPC 21% · LKQ -48%
Home Furnishings 4 -8.3%20.7%-17.1% SGI 34% · LZB 1% · MHK -35%
Footwear 10 54.6%47.3%-18.3% WEYS 166% · DECK 21% · SHOO 16%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -18.0%11.5%-18.8% HRB 97% · FTDR 75% · SCI 38%
Restaurants 35 -8.8%-18.3%-24.1% EAT 308% · CAKE 137% · RAVE 120%
Casinos & Gaming ← 21 -15.7%-23.5%-38.4% MCRI 96% · RRR 27% · BYD 17%
Leisure Products 13 -25.3%-19.0%-39.2% GOLF 74% · HAS 12% · MCFT -23%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -15.8%-13.8%-40.7% MOD 1598% · GTX 266% · CAAS 83%
Apparel Retail 26 -4.4%17.3%-43.2% ANF 231% · URBN 134% · ROST 113%
Household Appliances 18 -8.5%6.4%-43.5% FLXS 195% · KEQU 157% · HBB 149%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 28 -12.9%7.2%-44.4% RL 218% · TPR 218% · ELA 208%
Leisure Facilities 11 -21.6%-8.3%-44.6% OSW 127% · JAKK 116% · ESCA 21%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -9.7%40.9%-47.7% BBY 9% · GME -48% · UPBD -65%
Broadline Retail 15 0.0%14.8%-57.7% DDS 300% · EBAY 63% · AMZN 46%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -77.7%-49.0%-72.1% GM 67% · TSLA 47% · F 28%
Consumer Electronics 11 -16.0%-15.9%-74.8% AXIL 2247% · GRMN 85% · SONO -52%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -35.5%-45.2%-79.5% TLF 108% · BBW 66% · WINA 57%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MGMLVSCZRWYNNDKNGPENNMedian
NameMGM Reso.Las Vega.Caesars .Wynn Res.DraftKin.PENN Ent. 
Mkt Price37.8539.1929.6181.4521.2515.5633.73
Mkt Cap9.625.66.08.410.52.19.0
Rev LTM17,76113,71911,6487,4136,2237,1609,531
Op Inc LTM1,1533,2102,0611,258-1823651,206
FCF LTM1,4952,70060679249758699
FCF 3Y Avg1,4251,826249833312-104572
CFO LTM2,4633,7321,2971,4596716511,378
CFO 3Y Avg2,4763,1621,3031,3804544541,342

Growth & Margins

MGMLVSCZRWYNNDKNGPENNMedian
NameMGM Reso.Las Vega.Caesars .Wynn Res.DraftKin.PENN Ent. 
Rev Chg LTM3.2%18.1%2.4%6.4%15.0%6.1%6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.4%29.4%0.7%16.4%28.0%3.1%11.4%
Rev Chg Q1.0%-0.7%3.0%6.9%-4.6%5.2%2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%-0.2%0.7%1.6%-1.1%1.3%0.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM-22.3%26.3%-6.2%-1.0%45.3%49.8%12.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg67.3%123.7%-6.8%82.1%45.0%622.0%74.7%
Op Mgn LTM6.5%23.4%17.7%17.0%-2.9%5.1%11.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.5%23.1%19.4%17.8%-6.9%3.0%13.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%-1.2%-0.4%0.1%-3.5%0.5%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM13.9%27.2%11.1%19.7%10.8%9.1%12.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.3%25.7%11.4%19.3%8.1%6.6%12.8%
FCF/Rev LTM8.4%19.7%5.2%10.7%8.0%0.8%8.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.2%14.6%2.1%11.6%5.4%-1.6%6.8%

Valuation

MGMLVSCZRWYNNDKNGPENNMedian
NameMGM Reso.Las Vega.Caesars .Wynn Res.DraftKin.PENN Ent. 
Mkt Cap9.625.66.08.410.52.19.0
P/S0.51.90.51.11.70.30.8
P/Op Inc8.38.02.96.6-57.85.76.2
P/EBIT10.68.33.26.4-57.8-4.04.8
P/E22.614.8-13.018.6-63.2-2.36.3
P/CFO3.96.94.75.715.73.25.2
Total Yield4.4%10.4%-7.7%7.5%-1.6%-43.6%1.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.7%0.0%2.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.3%5.9%3.9%8.4%2.0%-3.8%4.9%
D/E3.10.64.11.50.25.32.3
Net D/E2.80.54.01.20.14.92.0

Returns

MGMLVSCZRWYNNDKNGPENNMedian
NameMGM Reso.Las Vega.Caesars .Wynn Res.DraftKin.PENN Ent. 
1M Rtn-13.4%-16.6%-0.2%-18.1%-18.2%-14.8%-15.7%
3M Rtn-19.6%-17.4%0.0%-21.3%-13.4%-23.7%-18.5%
6M Rtn1.0%-26.8%10.4%-19.7%-0.8%6.1%0.1%
12M Rtn8.9%-24.6%12.2%-35.5%-50.9%-21.2%-22.9%
3Y Rtn3.6%-9.1%-35.6%-8.3%-23.5%-30.4%-16.3%
1M Excs Rtn-14.1%-17.3%-0.9%-18.8%-18.9%-15.5%-16.4%
3M Excs Rtn-24.3%-22.1%-4.7%-26.0%-18.1%-28.4%-23.2%
6M Excs Rtn-15.5%-45.3%-5.0%-37.9%-26.4%-10.0%-21.0%
12M Excs Rtn-5.4%-39.4%-0.1%-49.9%-66.7%-34.0%-36.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.1%-88.3%-115.0%-86.6%-105.0%-106.6%-96.7%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Las Vegas Strip Resorts8,4428,8168,7998,3984,737
MGM China4,4624,0223,1546741,211
Regional Operations3,7723,7203,6703,8163,392
MGM Digital654552432133 
Corporate and other208130109106340
Total17,53817,24116,16413,1279,680


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20222021202020192015
Las Vegas Strip Resorts3,1421,7382321,643 
Gain on REIT transactions, net2,278 1,4922,678 
Regional Operations1,2951,218344970 
Property transactions, net1,03768-94-276 
Income (loss) from unconsolidated affiliates621671481 
Preopening and start-up expenses-2-5-0-7 
MGM China-20325-194735540
Corporate and other-737-560-531-332 
Triple net lease rent expense-1,951-833-711-75 
Depreciation and amortization-3,482-1,151-1,211-1,305 
Gain on consolidation of CityCenter, net 1,562   
Gain related to sale of Harmon land - unconsolidated affiliate 50   
CEO transition expense  -44  
October 1 litigation settlement  -49  
Restructuring  -26-92 
Elimination    -2,386
Wholly owned domestic resorts    1,690
Total1,4392,279-6423,940-156


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320122011
Wholly owned domestic resorts13,26213,33713,15213,44214,237
MGM China7,8958,8439,2049,0989,040
Corporate and other4,1004,5453,7763,7454,489
Elimination-42-23-22  
Total25,21526,70326,11026,28527,766


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$37.85 
Market Cap ($ Bil)9.6 
First Trading Date01/12/1990 
Distance from 52W High-25.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$43.00$39.91
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-12.0%-5.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility21.9%37.9%
Downside Capture121.7893.23
Upside Capture-12.7886.29
Correlation (SPY)13.1%28.6%
MGM Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.840.340.280.540.811.28
Up Beta1.080.10-0.320.000.331.30
Down Beta-1.370.010.040.971.211.38
Up Capture20%-7%39%59%68%117%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days7142258113373
Down Capture230%127%73%58%93%107%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days14284269137373

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MGM
MGM9.8%37.8%0.32-
Sector ETF (XLY)-7.3%19.5%-0.5132.1%
Equity (SPY)16.2%13.0%0.8828.9%
Gold (GLD)13.9%29.3%0.44-1.4%
Commodities (DBC)46.6%20.7%1.75-8.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%13.7%0.0819.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.2%44.8%-0.4610.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MGM
MGM-0.9%39.9%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.6%24.1%0.1558.0%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5758.5%
Gold (GLD)18.6%18.8%0.803.5%
Commodities (DBC)10.5%19.5%0.419.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.8%18.9%-0.0645.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.5%52.6%0.4124.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MGM
MGM5.1%45.7%0.28-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.1%22.2%0.5060.6%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7360.3%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.603.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%18.1%0.3821.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2050.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)64.2%66.2%1.0415.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 81520268.4%
Average Daily Volume1.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity254.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/31/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/2026-0.4%-2.9%-6.2%
4/29/2026-0.8%-2.7%11.2%
2/5/20263.3%-5.8%-1.8%
10/29/2025-1.6%2.6%13.6%
7/30/2025-3.8%-7.4%4.5%
4/30/2025-1.9%0.9%0.6%
2/12/202517.5%11.4%-7.6%
10/30/2024-11.0%-9.6%-7.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive71013
# Negative181512
Median Positive3.7%3.9%6.9%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.8%-9.2%
Max Positive17.5%18.3%39.8%
Max Negative-13.2%-16.3%-18.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/2026-0.4%-2.9%-6.2%
4/29/2026-0.8%-2.7%11.2%
2/5/20263.3%-5.8%-1.8%
10/29/2025-1.6%2.6%13.6%
7/30/2025-3.8%-7.4%4.5%
4/30/2025-1.9%0.9%0.6%
2/12/202517.5%11.4%-7.6%
10/30/2024-11.0%-9.6%-7.4%
7/31/2024-13.2%-15.2%-12.9%
5/1/20242.8%0.7%1.1%
2/13/2024-6.3%-7.4%-6.3%
11/8/2023-1.1%5.1%7.2%
8/2/2023-7.1%-7.1%-10.7%
5/1/2023-0.2%-5.6%-14.7%
2/8/20236.4%6.6%3.0%
11/2/2022-10.5%-4.4%5.6%
8/3/20223.7%0.8%-5.1%
5/2/2022-2.7%-16.3%-18.5%
2/9/2022-3.0%-6.9%-17.3%
11/3/2021-2.7%-5.4%-17.5%
8/4/20216.4%8.8%14.2%
4/28/2021-3.8%-0.6%4.2%
2/10/2021-3.2%-3.9%6.9%
10/29/2020-3.4%2.6%32.7%
7/31/20201.4%18.3%39.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive71013
# Negative181512
Median Positive3.7%3.9%6.9%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.8%-9.2%
Max Positive17.5%18.3%39.8%
Max Negative-13.2%-16.3%-18.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/01/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/29/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202410/30/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202405/01/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/02/202310-Q
03/31/202305/01/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/02/202210-Q
12/31/202102/25/202210-K
09/30/202111/03/202110-Q
06/30/202108/06/202110-Q
03/31/202105/03/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/03/202010-Q
06/30/202008/03/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/27/202010-K
09/30/201911/05/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Taylor, Daniel J grantor trustSell526202638.446,675  Form
2Iac, Inc.DirectBuy325202637.13450,00016,708,5002,481,113,856Form
3Iac, Inc.DirectBuy325202637.30550,00020,515,0002,475,688,655Form
4Meister, Keith A See FootnotesSell309202634.2737,5001,285,125183,275,206Form
5Iac, Inc.DirectBuy1209202536.301,098,74839,884,5522,389,351,305Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Taylor, Daniel J grantor trustSell526202638.446,675  Form
2Iac, Inc.DirectBuy325202637.13450,00016,708,5002,481,113,856Form
3Iac, Inc.DirectBuy325202637.30550,00020,515,0002,475,688,655Form
4Meister, Keith A See FootnotesSell309202634.2737,5001,285,125183,275,206Form
5Iac, Inc.DirectBuy1209202536.301,098,74839,884,5522,389,351,305Form
6McManus, JohnCHIEF LEGAL ADMIN OFC AND SECYDirectSell915202536.1260,0002,167,1701,138,523Form
7Meister, Keith A See FootnotesSell911202535.42242,0008,571,640190,753,631Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 25, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Goldentree Asset Management LP$176.6 Mil10.5%29Hold13F
Corvex Management LP$197.9 Mil7.9%25Hold13F
Mudita Advisors LLP$35.0 Mil7.1%28ADD +9.9%13F
Nokomis Capital, L.L.C.$15.5 Mil4.7%47TRIM -35.3%13F
Helikon Investments Ltd$106.4 Mil4.0%17Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Mudita Advisors LLP$35.0 Mil7.1%28ADD +9.9%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Nokomis Capital, L.L.C.$15.5 Mil4.7%47TRIM -35.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Corvex Management LP$197.9 Mil7.9%25Hold13F
Goldentree Asset Management LP$176.6 Mil10.5%29Hold13F
Helikon Investments Ltd$106.4 Mil4.0%17Hold13F
Mudita Advisors LLP$35.0 Mil7.1%28ADD +9.9%13F
Nokomis Capital, L.L.C.$15.5 Mil4.7%47TRIM -35.3%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/23/2026