MGM Resorts International (MGM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.54 | Market Cap: $9.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming
MGM Resorts International (MGM)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.54Market Cap: $9.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Casinos & Gaming
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Digital Content & Streaming, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Digital Content & Streaming, and Markets & Betting. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MGM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, MGM Resorts International (MGM) stock moved by -10.5% due to several key factors:
1. Significant Net Loss in Q3 2025 Driven by Impairment Charge: MGM Resorts International reported a net loss of $285 million attributable to the company for the third quarter of 2025, a stark contrast to a net income of $185 million in the prior year's quarter. This loss was primarily a result of a $256 million non-cash goodwill impairment charge linked to the decision to withdraw the application for a commercial gaming license for Empire City, along with approximately $93 million in other non-cash write-offs related to Empire City.
2. Missed Q3 2025 Earnings Expectations: The company's adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the third quarter of 2025 came in at $0.24, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $0.37. This earnings miss likely contributed to negative investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MGM Return | -5% | 42% | -25% | 33% | -22% | 2% | 7% |
| Peers Return | 62% | -20% | -18% | 10% | -1% | 3% | 20% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MGM Win Rate | 42% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 43% | 40% | 50% | 45% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MGM Max Drawdown | -78% | -10% | -39% | -1% | -25% | -26% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -64% | -34% | -43% | -11% | -26% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LVS, WYNN, CZR, PENN, FLUT. See MGM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MGM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 400 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -79.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 383.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 327 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 792 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5177.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to LVS, WYNN, CZR, PENN, FLUT
In The Past
MGM Resorts International's stock fell -46.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -46.1% loss requires a 85.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MGM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | MGM | MGM Resorts International | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 84.1% | 222.1% | -10.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | MGM | MGM Resorts International | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 84.1% | 222.1% | -10.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MGM Resorts International
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
