Lucid Group (LCID)
Market Price (10/31/2026): $0 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
Lucid Group (LCID)
Market Price (10/31/2026): $0Market Cap: $-Sector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -67% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, and Advanced Battery Components. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -178% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.0 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -259% Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 251% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -264%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -330% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -338% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% Key risksLCID key risks include [1] a significant cash burn rate and negative gross margins, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 67% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -67% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Battery Technology & Metals. Themes include EV Manufacturing, and Advanced Battery Components. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -121%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -178% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -4.0 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -259% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 251% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -264%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -330% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -338% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 26% |
| Key risksLCID key risks include [1] a significant cash burn rate and negative gross margins, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Lucid Group (LCID) stock has lost about 55% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Lucid Group reported significantly lower vehicle production in fiscal Q3 2026 (quarter ended September 30, 2026), alongside a deliberate strategy to reduce inventory rather than boost output. The company produced 2,954 vehicles in fiscal Q3 2026, marking a 38% sequential decline from the 4,774 units produced in fiscal Q2 2026. Deliveries of 3,806 vehicles in fiscal Q3 2026 were also down 6.7% year-over-year from fiscal Q3 2025. This production cut was part of an "operating reset" initiated by CEO Silvio Napoli, including the elimination of a second shift at its AMP-1 plant in June 2026, aimed at achieving $1.4 billion in cash flow improvements by reducing inventory and aligning production with near-term demand. Furthermore, Lucid had suspended its fiscal year 2026 production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 vehicles in May 2026, making the achievement of the original target impossible given the current run rate.
2. The company continued to experience substantial financial losses and significant cash burn, raising concerns about its long-term viability without continued external funding. In its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings reported on August 4, 2026, Lucid posted an EPS of -$2.78, missing the consensus estimate of -$2.36. The company recorded a negative net margin of 249.21% and a negative return on equity of 1,391.51%. Lucid utilized approximately $2.41 billion in operating cash during the first half of fiscal 2026, highlighting a significant rate of cash expenditure. On October 6, 2026, Lucid drew an additional $400 million from a delayed draw term loan facility provided by an affiliate of its majority owner, Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF), underscoring the ongoing reliance on capital infusions.
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Lucid Group (LCID) stock has lost about 55% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Lucid Group reported significantly lower vehicle production in fiscal Q3 2026 (quarter ended September 30, 2026), alongside a deliberate strategy to reduce inventory rather than boost output. The company produced 2,954 vehicles in fiscal Q3 2026, marking a 38% sequential decline from the 4,774 units produced in fiscal Q2 2026. Deliveries of 3,806 vehicles in fiscal Q3 2026 were also down 6.7% year-over-year from fiscal Q3 2025. This production cut was part of an "operating reset" initiated by CEO Silvio Napoli, including the elimination of a second shift at its AMP-1 plant in June 2026, aimed at achieving $1.4 billion in cash flow improvements by reducing inventory and aligning production with near-term demand. Furthermore, Lucid had suspended its fiscal year 2026 production guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 vehicles in May 2026, making the achievement of the original target impossible given the current run rate.
2. The company continued to experience substantial financial losses and significant cash burn, raising concerns about its long-term viability without continued external funding. In its fiscal Q2 2026 earnings reported on August 4, 2026, Lucid posted an EPS of -$2.78, missing the consensus estimate of -$2.36. The company recorded a negative net margin of 249.21% and a negative return on equity of 1,391.51%. Lucid utilized approximately $2.41 billion in operating cash during the first half of fiscal 2026, highlighting a significant rate of cash expenditure. On October 6, 2026, Lucid drew an additional $400 million from a delayed draw term loan facility provided by an affiliate of its majority owner, Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF), underscoring the ongoing reliance on capital infusions.
3. Analyst sentiment deteriorated sharply, leading to multiple downgrades and significant cuts to price targets during the period. Several prominent firms revised their outlooks for Lucid Group. William Blair downgraded the stock to "market perform" on August 3, 2026. Citigroup reduced its price target from $14.00 to $11.00 on August 19, 2026. On October 12, 2026, Royal Bank of Canada cut its price target from $7.00 to $4.00. Most notably, Morgan Stanley slashed its price target from $5.00 to $3.00 and maintained an "underweight" rating on October 15, 2026, which contributed to a 10.6% drop in the stock price that day. The consensus rating among analysts shifted to "Reduce," with an average price target around $8.67.
4. Broader macroeconomic headwinds and a general slowdown in the Electric Vehicle (EV) market amplified concerns for growth-oriented companies like Lucid. The global EV market experienced a deceleration in growth, with sales increasing only about 2% year-over-year in the first half of fiscal 2026, a stark contrast to the approximate 25% annual growth seen in fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2025. In the U.S., EV sales in fiscal Q3 2026 were down 39.5% from a record fiscal Q3 2025, which was driven by consumers rushing to utilize expiring federal tax credits. This broader market cooling, combined with persistent profitability challenges across the EV industry, created a more challenging operating environment, particularly for companies still in their growth and scaling phases.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -54.9% change in LCID stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -52.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.69 | 3.02 | -54.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,401 | 1,547 | 10.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.6 | 0.7 | -52.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 328 | 382 | -14.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -54.9% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LCID | -54.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.2% | 22.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.6% | 23.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -68.3% change in LCID stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -67.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.53 | 3.02 | -68.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,354 | 1,547 | 14.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.3 | 0.7 | -67.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 325 | 382 | -14.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -68.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LCID | -68.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.5% | 25.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 6.1% | 27.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -87.3% change in LCID stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -90.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 23.79 | 3.02 | -87.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 929 | 1,547 | 66.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 7.8 | 0.7 | -90.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 306 | 382 | -20.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -87.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LCID | -87.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 35.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.1% | 33.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -94.6% change in LCID stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -94.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10302026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 55.90 | 3.02 | -94.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 753 | 1,547 | 105.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 14.2 | 0.7 | -94.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 191 | 382 | -49.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -94.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/30/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LCID | -94.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 82.9% | 30.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 46.6% | 34.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LCID Return | 280% | -82% | -38% | -28% | -65% | -71% | -97% |
| Peers Return | 58% | -58% | 38% | 14% | 39% | -11% | 29% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LCID Win Rate | 50% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 33% | 54% | 54% | 62% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LCID Max Drawdown | -70% | -86% | -71% | -53% | -70% | -74% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -66% | -38% | -40% | -30% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TSLA, RIVN, GM, F.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/30/2026 (YTD)
About Lucid Group (LCID)
Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID) is an automotive and technology company specializing in the electric vehicle (EV) sector. The company's core business revolves around developing advanced EV technologies, which it then integrates into the design, engineering, and manufacturing of its own electric vehicles.
Lucid's primary products include luxury electric vehicles, alongside the proprietary EV powertrains and battery systems that power these vehicles. The company targets the premium segment of the consumer electric vehicle market, catering to customers who seek high-performance, technologically sophisticated luxury EVs. As of late 2021, Lucid Group primarily served the United States market through its network of retail studios.
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- The luxury Tesla.
- The Mercedes-Benz of electric vehicles.
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- Electric Vehicles (EVs): Lucid designs, engineers, and builds premium electric vehicles.
- EV Powertrains: The company develops advanced electric vehicle powertrains.
- Battery Systems: Lucid engineers and builds high-performance battery systems for EVs.
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Lucid Group (LCID) primarily sells its electric vehicles and related technologies to individuals.
The company serves the following categories of customers:
- High-Net-Worth Individuals: Customers with significant disposable income who are able to afford premium, high-performance luxury electric vehicles.
- Luxury EV Enthusiasts and Early Adopters: Consumers who prioritize cutting-edge electric vehicle technology, advanced performance, and distinctive design within the luxury automotive market.
- Environmentally Conscious Luxury Buyers: Individuals who seek sustainable and zero-emission transportation options, but also demand the exclusivity, premium features, and high-performance associated with luxury brands.
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| Supplier Name | Symbol |
|---|---|
| LG Energy Solution | KRX: 373220 |
| Mobileye Global Inc. | NASDAQ: MBLY |
| Pirelli & C. S.p.A. | BIT: PC |
| Qualcomm | NASDAQ: QCOM |
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Silvio Napoli, Chief Executive Officer
Silvio Napoli assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer of Lucid Group in June 2026, having been announced as the incoming CEO in April 2026. Before joining Lucid, Mr. Napoli served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of the Schindler Group, an industrial company, where he oversaw large-scale international operations and led strategic and operational transformation across global markets. His extensive background includes manufacturing, supply chain, commercial execution, organizational performance, and business transformation, focusing on helping industrial businesses transition to more technology-enabled and service-oriented models. He holds an MBA from Harvard Business School, which he earned as a Fulbright scholar.
Alexander De Bock, Chief Financial Officer
Alexander De Bock was named Lucid Group's incoming Chief Financial Officer in July 2026. Prior to Lucid, he served as CFO of Metalsa, a chassis manufacturer, since June 2026, and was CFO of TI Automotive from April 2025 to February 2026. At TI Automotive, which was under Apollo Global Management's ownership, he played a key role in a turnaround effort, concentrating on cost transformation, restructuring, and enhancing financial rigor. His career spans over two decades in automotive finance leadership, including nearly 13 years at WABCO Holdings, a commercial-vehicle systems supplier, where he advanced to CFO.
Marc Winterhoff, Chief Operating Officer
Marc Winterhoff joined Lucid as Chief Operating Officer in December 2023. He also served as interim CEO from February 2025 until June 2026, when Silvio Napoli assumed the CEO role. Before Lucid, Mr. Winterhoff was a senior partner at Roland Berger, a European management consulting firm, where he specialized in operational leadership for automotive manufacturers, managing cost efficiency, and developing sales and service strategies. He previously held director positions at Arthur D. Little and a leadership role at LHS Communications. Mr. Winterhoff holds a master's degree in electrical and electronics engineering and management from the Technische Universität Darmstadt.
Raja Ramana Macha, Chief Technology Officer
Raja Ramana Macha was appointed Chief Technology Officer of Lucid Group in July 2026. Before joining Lucid, he served as CTO at Eaton, where he was responsible for leading global innovation initiatives across various sectors, including the automotive industry.
Faisal Sultan, President of Middle East
Faisal Sultan is the President of Lucid Motors Middle East, where he oversees the company's strategy for regional expansion and operations, growth objectives, and relationships with key partners. He joined Lucid in 2019 and previously held the position of Head of Global Operations, where he developed business strategies and oversaw global functions. Before his tenure at Lucid, Mr. Sultan was the Senior Director of Automotive Industry Development at Industrial Clusters in Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy, Industry and Mineral Resources, leading the development and implementation of the country's Automotive Development Policy. He brings 23 years of diverse automotive experience from roles at Lucid, Industrial Clusters, FCA, Magna International, Ford Motor Company, and General Motors, spanning industrial development, manufacturing, operations, engineering, and program management across multiple continents.
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Key Risks to Lucid Group (LCID)
- Weak Demand and Sales Execution: Lucid has consistently struggled with lower-than-expected vehicle deliveries, indicating a significant challenge in generating sufficient customer demand for its luxury electric vehicles. The company has had to reduce production to align with demand and clear existing inventory, underscoring persistent hurdles in sales execution. This issue is compounded by a cooling broader electric vehicle market and intense competition, particularly in the premium segment where Lucid operates.
- High Cash Burn and Liquidity Risk: The company has reported substantial and persistent operating losses, along with significant negative free cash flow, leading to ongoing concerns about its financial stability. Lucid's demanding reinvestments have drained its resources, and its debt has exceeded its cash on hand, leading to a "short cash runway" and reliance on external funding to sustain operations. Analysts have highlighted a "high-risk turnaround" with a staggering quarterly net loss and deeply negative gross margins, raising questions about its long-term viability.
- Operational Execution and Production Challenges: Lucid has faced difficulties in its production ramp-up and operational execution, including supply chain disruptions and quality control issues with new models like the Gravity SUV. The company's new CEO has acknowledged past execution failures, missed commitments, and launching products before they were ready, leading to an "operational reset" and a focus on improving quality and efficiency. These operational hurdles directly impact the company's ability to meet delivery targets and can erode consumer confidence.
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The aggressive and well-resourced entry of traditional luxury automotive manufacturers (such as Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Audi, and Porsche) into the high-end electric vehicle market poses a clear emerging threat. These established players are rapidly developing and launching competitive luxury EV models, leveraging their extensive manufacturing capabilities, global distribution networks, deep pockets, and strong brand loyalty to potentially capture significant market share and scale production faster than newer entrants like Lucid.
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Lucid Group Inc. (LCID) operates in several addressable markets with substantial growth potential, primarily focusing on luxury electric vehicles, EV powertrains, and EV battery systems.
Luxury Electric Vehicle Market
The global luxury electric vehicle market, a primary focus for Lucid with its Lucid Air sedan and upcoming Lucid Gravity SUV, was valued at approximately USD 208.25 billion in 2026. This market is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated USD 531.36 billion by 2034, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.4% during this forecast period. Regionally, Europe held the largest share of this market in 2025, accounting for 37.68%. The U.S. market for luxury electric vehicles is also substantial, estimated to reach USD 56.66 billion in 2026, representing about 27.2% of global revenue.
EV Powertrain Market
Lucid Group also designs and builds EV powertrains, which it supplies to other automakers. The global electric powertrain market size is projected to be USD 236.35 billion in 2026. This market is expected to experience robust growth, reaching USD 691.53 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 30.8% from 2026 to 2030. In 2025, Europe was identified as the largest regional market for electric powertrains, while Asia-Pacific is recognized as the fastest-growing region.
EV Battery Systems Market
The company develops and builds battery systems for electric vehicles. The global EV battery systems market is valued at approximately US$152.76 billion in 2026. This market is forecast to expand to US$690.66 billion by 2036, growing at a CAGR of 16.3% over the forecast period. Asia-Pacific held a dominant position in the global battery systems for electric vehicle market in 2024, capturing over 42.9% of the market share.
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Lucid Group (LCID) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives, including the launch and ramp-up of new vehicle models, expansion into international markets, the introduction of a more affordable vehicle platform, and strategic partnerships for new mobility services.
One primary driver of revenue growth is the **launch and increased production of the Lucid Gravity SUV**. The Lucid Gravity, a three-row SUV, began production in December 2024, with deliveries rolling out in 2025. Orders for the Lucid Gravity opened in November 2024, with initial trims including the Grand Touring and a projected starting price under $80,000 for the Touring model. This expansion into the SUV market is anticipated to significantly broaden Lucid's addressable market beyond its luxury sedan, the Lucid Air. Demand for the Gravity has already shown a surge, contributing to reaccelerated order intake momentum in North America in March.
Another significant driver is **Lucid's expansion into new international markets**, particularly in Europe and the establishment of manufacturing capabilities in Saudi Arabia. Lucid is expanding its presence in Europe, with plans to open additional studios in Germany in 2024, adding to its existing footprint in key European markets like Germany, Switzerland, the Netherlands, and Norway. The company has plans to expand into as many as 12 European countries. Concurrently, Lucid is developing its first international manufacturing plant in Saudi Arabia, which is expected to have a peak annual production capacity of 150,000 vehicles. This facility will serve both the Saudi Arabian market and other global markets, potentially generating up to $3.4 billion in value for Lucid over 15 years.
The introduction of a **mid-size vehicle platform targeting a more accessible price point** is also a crucial expected driver. Lucid plans to enter the mid-range market with models like the Earth and Cosmos, built on a midsize platform, with prices expected to start around $50,000. Production for this mid-size platform is slated to begin in late 2026 or 2027. This strategy aims to capture a larger customer base by offering more affordable electric vehicles, thereby increasing sales volume.
Finally, **strategic partnerships, particularly in the robotaxi and autonomous vehicle sector**, are expected to contribute to future revenue growth. Lucid has expanded its partnership with Uber, securing a commitment for a minimum of 35,000 robotaxis and a $500 million investment. This collaboration, alongside ongoing robotaxi testing and validation with partners like Nuro, is highlighted as a significant revenue growth driver, with the midsize platform ramp and the Uber robotaxi fleet revenue stream commencing in 2027.
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Share Repurchases
- Lucid Group has not made any share repurchases over the last 3-5 years.
Share Issuance
- In April 2026, Lucid Group announced a registered public offering of common stock for gross proceeds of $300 million.
- The company received $1.0 billion in March 2024 from Ayar Third Investment Company, an affiliate of the Public Investment Fund (PIF), through a private placement of convertible preferred stock.
- In August 2024, Lucid Group announced a further $1.5 billion in funding from Ayar Third Investment Co., which included $750 million in convertible preferred stock and the remainder as an unsecured loan.
Inbound Investments
- Ayar Third Investment Company, an affiliate of the Public Investment Fund (PIF), committed a new investment of $550 million of convertible preferred stock in April 2026, alongside an additional $200 million investment from Uber, bringing Uber's total investments to $500 million.
- Lucid Group drew $400 million from its Delayed Draw Term Loan facilities with Ayar Third Investment Company on October 6, 2026, increasing the aggregate principal outstanding to approximately $2.1 billion, with about $400 million in remaining borrowing capacity.
- In July 2021, Lucid Group went public through a SPAC merger valued at $11.75 billion, with the Public Investment Fund owning 60% of Lucid.
Outbound Investments
- In June 2023, Lucid signed an agreement to develop and supply electric motors, powertrains, and battery systems for Aston Martin's upcoming electric vehicles. This $450 million deal included $132 million in cash for Lucid, a 3.7% stake in Aston Martin valued at $100 million for Lucid, and a guarantee for Aston Martin to purchase at least $225 million in powertrain components.
- Lucid Group acquired select facilities and assets in Phoenix and Coolidge, Arizona, from Nikola Corp. in April 2025, expanding its manufacturing, product development, and warehousing footprint by over 884,000 square feet.
Capital Expenditures
- Lucid's capital expenditures are projected at $1.0 billion for 2026.
- The company identified approximately $500 million in capital expenditure reductions as part of a $1.4 billion cash savings plan in 2026.
- Capital expenditures are focused on expanding its U.S. manufacturing facility (AMP-1) by approximately 3 million square feet, totaling over 3.85 million sq ft, to prepare for the production of the Lucid Gravity SUV and future growth, and ongoing construction at its AMP-2 factory in Saudi Arabia for international expansion.
Peer Outperformance in Automobile Manufacturers
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education Services | 14 | -13.1% | 42.5% | 73.9% | CVSA 237% · LRN 121% · GHC 109% |
| Homebuilding | 17 | -1.8% | 44.3% | 33.8% | PHM 172% · CVCO 158% · TOL 155% |
| Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | 21 | 19.2% | 47.8% | 24.3% | RCL 276% · MAR 160% · HLT 151% |
| Home Furnishings | 3 | -2.9% | 63.7% | 3.1% | SGI 51% · MHK -21% |
| Automotive Retail | 17 | -7.4% | 17.7% | 1.2% | MUSA 237% · PAG 126% · ORLY 112% |
| Home Improvement Retail | 5 | -10.9% | 16.5% | -1.2% | HD 1% · LOW -1% · FND -65% |
| Footwear | 9 | 82.4% | 68.5% | -6.8% | DECK 24% · SHOO 8% · CROX -7% |
| Restaurants | 35 | 2.2% | -2.8% | -13.3% | EAT 406% · CAKE 212% · TXRH 125% |
| Specialized Consumer Services | 10 | -7.2% | 47.5% | -17.9% | HRB 163% · FTDR 135% · ADT 34% |
| Distributors | 4 | -13.1% | -14.0% | -25.2% | ARMK 117% · GPC 7% · POOL -57% |
| Leisure Products | 14 | -15.7% | -6.7% | -34.0% | GOLF 79% · HAS 51% · BC -10% |
| Household Appliances | 18 | 17.8% | 18.9% | -35.9% | |
| Apparel Retail | 26 | -0.2% | 4.7% | -37.8% | ANF 316% · TJX 130% · ROST 113% |
| Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods | 29 | 5.8% | 32.8% | -40.9% | RL 241% · TPR 239% · KTB 67% |
| Leisure Facilities | 12 | -9.5% | 1.8% | -41.5% | OSW 185% · LTH 160% · PLNT -33% |
| Broadline Retail | 12 | -0.8% | 30.9% | -41.6% | EBAY 73% · AMZN 43% · OLLI 33% |
| Automotive Parts & Equipment | 39 | -12.9% | -1.4% | -45.5% | MOD 1080% · GTX 220% · PATK 65% |
| Computer & Electronics Retail | 3 | 17.1% | 65.7% | -47.2% | BBY -1% · GME -47% |
| Casinos & Gaming | 20 | -23.8% | -17.3% | -47.5% | BYD 20% · RRR 14% · LVS 2% |
| Other Specialty Retail | 24 | -14.9% | -11.3% | -59.7% | ULTA 74% · ASO 45% · DKS 30% |
| Automobile Manufacturers ← | 8 | -14.5% | -41.5% | -70.4% | GM 68% · TSLA 8% · F -2% |
| Consumer Electronics | 11 | -32.4% | -34.2% | -79.0% | GRMN 110% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Lucid Stock Surges 18% In A Single Day, Should You Buy The Stock? | 01/22/2026 | |
| How Does Lucid Stock Compare With Peers? | 01/22/2026 | |
| Lucid Earnings Notes | 12/29/2026 | |
| Lucid Stock (-5.4%): Analyst Downgrades & Cash Burn Fears Fuel Sell-Off | 12/24/2025 | |
| With Lucid Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Lucid (LCID) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Lucid (LCID) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| 55 Stocks Hit 52-Week Lows On Monday | 09/15/2026 | |
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | 04/20/2026 | |
| Lucid Stock (+18%): Saudi Production Catalyst Ignites Squeeze | 01/22/2026 | |
| Does Lucid Stock Lead the Pack? | 01/22/2026 | |
| Buy or Sell Lucid Stock? | 01/22/2026 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 48.8 |
| Rev LTM | 103,570 |
| Op Inc LTM | -3,431 |
| FCF LTM | -448 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 657 |
| CFO LTM | 6,172 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 7,231 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -33.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -23.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 0.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -16.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -13.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -31.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -28.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $3.02 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/18/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -83.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.06 | $6.86 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -25.6% | -56.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 68.0% | 85.5% |
| Downside Capture | 667.41 | 401.29 |
| Upside Capture | 122.28 | 148.02 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 33.7% | 35.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.25 | 3.21 | 2.24 | 1.97 | 2.31 | 1.60 |
| Up Beta | 3.73 | 3.05 | 0.78 | 1.87 | 2.61 | 1.35 |
| Down Beta | 6.48 | 3.78 | -2.53 | 0.44 | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Up Capture | 202% | 115% | 253% | 103% | 147% | 185% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 15 | 25 | 51 | 103 | 332 |
| Down Capture | 436% | 553% | 398% | 280% | 185% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 25 | 37 | 72 | 145 | 408 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LCID | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCID | -83.4% | 85.5% | -1.72 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | -2.9% | 19.3% | -0.29 | 33.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 10.9% | 12.8% | 0.52 | 35.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | -2.0% | 28.6% | -0.08 | 15.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 48.2% | 20.6% | 1.79 | -6.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 10.2% | 13.7% | 0.45 | 14.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.3% | 43.5% | -0.71 | 25.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LCID | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCID | -58.4% | 84.2% | -0.68 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 4.5% | 24.1% | 0.14 | 43.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.2% | 17.1% | 0.53 | 36.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 16.2% | 19.0% | 0.68 | 7.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.2% | 19.5% | 0.35 | 4.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 0.9% | 18.9% | -0.06 | 30.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.8% | 51.6% | 0.28 | 27.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LCID | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LCID | -29.5% | 87.9% | -0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.4% | 22.2% | 0.51 | 38.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.2% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 31.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.4% | 16.5% | 0.56 | 5.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 5.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 25.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 61.7% | 66.2% | 1.01 | 20.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 10/14/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/5/2026 | -0.2% | -17.6% | |
| 8/4/2026 | -13.9% | -13.9% | -39.5% |
| 5/5/2026 | -1.0% | -3.8% | -9.1% |
| 2/24/2026 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% |
| 1/5/2026 | -0.8% | -3.7% | -11.2% |
| 11/5/2025 | 5.4% | 3.9% | -18.0% |
| 8/5/2025 | -9.7% | -6.2% | -33.2% |
| 5/6/2025 | -3.4% | 13.7% | -8.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| # Negative | 14 | 17 | 17 |
| Median Positive | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -11.1% | -13.2% |
| Max Positive | 12.2% | 25.7% | 27.3% |
| Max Negative | -14.1% | -23.7% | -39.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/5/2026 | -0.2% | -17.6% | |
| 8/4/2026 | -13.9% | -13.9% | -39.5% |
| 5/5/2026 | -1.0% | -3.8% | -9.1% |
| 2/24/2026 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.7% |
| 1/5/2026 | -0.8% | -3.7% | -11.2% |
| 11/5/2025 | 5.4% | 3.9% | -18.0% |
| 8/5/2025 | -9.7% | -6.2% | -33.2% |
| 5/6/2025 | -3.4% | 13.7% | -8.6% |
| 2/25/2025 | -6.1% | -23.7% | -12.6% |
| 1/6/2025 | -4.5% | -11.1% | -13.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 4.2% | 2.3% | 8.0% |
| 8/5/2024 | 3.0% | -3.3% | 27.3% |
| 5/6/2024 | -14.1% | -7.9% | -8.5% |
| 2/21/2024 | 0.5% | -13.9% | -24.2% |
| 11/7/2023 | -0.5% | -8.1% | 1.9% |
| 8/7/2023 | 12.2% | 5.6% | -4.2% |
| 5/8/2023 | -5.6% | -7.0% | -17.0% |
| 2/22/2023 | 0.8% | -7.8% | -19.9% |
| 11/8/2022 | -2.5% | -11.8% | -37.8% |
| 8/3/2022 | -9.7% | -11.4% | -25.2% |
| 5/5/2022 | -3.7% | -16.8% | 1.6% |
| 2/28/2022 | 10.0% | -14.1% | -3.7% |
| 11/15/2021 | 2.2% | 25.7% | -7.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 6 | 5 |
| # Negative | 14 | 17 | 17 |
| Median Positive | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -11.1% | -13.2% |
| Max Positive | 12.2% | 25.7% | 27.3% |
| Max Negative | -14.1% | -23.7% | -39.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 10/26/2026Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 10/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Cash Flow Improvements | Reported | 1.40 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.40 Bil for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Updated 10/5/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winitzer, Ori | Direct | Sell | 10052026 | 4.12 | 1,000 | 4,120 | 268,884 | Form | |
| 2 | Winitzer, Ori | Direct | Sell | 9032026 | 4.80 | 1,000 | 4,800 | 318,062 | Form | |
| 3 | Winitzer, Ori | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 7.46 | 1,000 | 7,460 | 501,782 | Form | |
| 4 | Winitzer, Ori | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 6.38 | 1,000 | 6,380 | 155,627 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Winitzer, Ori | Direct | Sell | 10052026 | 4.12 | 1,000 | 4,120 | 268,884 | Form | |
| 2 | Winitzer, Ori | Direct | Sell | 9032026 | 4.80 | 1,000 | 4,800 | 318,062 | Form | |
| 3 | Winitzer, Ori | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 7.46 | 1,000 | 7,460 | 501,782 | Form | |
| 4 | Winitzer, Ori | Direct | Sell | 6032026 | 6.38 | 1,000 | 6,380 | 155,627 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 31, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
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Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Automobile Manufacturers Resources |
| MotorTrend |
| Car and Driver |
| The Drive |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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