DraftKings (DKNG)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $18.5 | Market Cap: $9.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming

DraftKings (DKNG)


Market Price (11/7/2026): $18.5
Market Cap: $9.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Casinos & Gaming

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.2 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Markets & Betting, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -182 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.9%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%

Short seller report

Key risks
DKNG key risks include [1] heightened regulatory scrutiny and investigations into its sportsbook and potential anti-competitive practices, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.2 Bil
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, Markets & Betting, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -182 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.9%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.6%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%
8 Short seller report
9 Key risks
DKNG key risks include [1] heightened regulatory scrutiny and investigations into its sportsbook and potential anti-competitive practices, Show more.

DKNG in ETFs

Weight = DKNG's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.02%
IWB0.01%
VB0.11%
IWP0.30%
VBK0.24%
SCHM0.21%
ESML0.13%
+11 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/6/2026

DraftKings (DKNG) stock has lost about 20% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. DraftKings' fiscal Q3 2026 earnings missed analyst expectations, coupled with a significant reduction in its fiscal year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance, primarily due to increased investment in its Predictions business. The company reported a fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $1.329 billion, which fell short of analysts' consensus estimates of approximately $1.38 billion to $1.39 billion. Furthermore, the net loss attributable to common stockholders widened significantly to $468.7 million in fiscal Q3 2026, compared to $256.8 million in the same period of 2025. Most critically, DraftKings dramatically lowered its fiscal year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $175 million to $275 million, a substantial cut from the previously maintained range of $700 million to $900 million. This reduction was largely attributed to an increased investment of $650 million to $700 million in its Predictions business. This news, released on November 5-6, 2026, caused the stock to drop by more than 25%.

2. The fiscal Q2 2026 results (ended June 30, 2026) revealed a year-over-year revenue decline and persistent profitability concerns. Reported on August 7, 2026, DraftKings announced fiscal Q2 2026 revenue of $1.44 billion, which missed analyst estimates of $1.51 billion and marked a 4.6% decrease year-over-year. Management attributed this underperformance partly to "customer-friendly sports outcomes" and "heavier promotional reinvestment". Despite beating adjusted earnings per share estimates (reporting $0.09 EPS versus an estimated $0.0218 to $0.28, depending on the source), the company remained unprofitable, raising questions about its path to sustained profitability.

Show more
Updated on 11/6/2026

DraftKings (DKNG) stock has lost about 20% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. DraftKings' fiscal Q3 2026 earnings missed analyst expectations, coupled with a significant reduction in its fiscal year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance, primarily due to increased investment in its Predictions business. The company reported a fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $1.329 billion, which fell short of analysts' consensus estimates of approximately $1.38 billion to $1.39 billion. Furthermore, the net loss attributable to common stockholders widened significantly to $468.7 million in fiscal Q3 2026, compared to $256.8 million in the same period of 2025. Most critically, DraftKings dramatically lowered its fiscal year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $175 million to $275 million, a substantial cut from the previously maintained range of $700 million to $900 million. This reduction was largely attributed to an increased investment of $650 million to $700 million in its Predictions business. This news, released on November 5-6, 2026, caused the stock to drop by more than 25%.

2. The fiscal Q2 2026 results (ended June 30, 2026) revealed a year-over-year revenue decline and persistent profitability concerns. Reported on August 7, 2026, DraftKings announced fiscal Q2 2026 revenue of $1.44 billion, which missed analyst estimates of $1.51 billion and marked a 4.6% decrease year-over-year. Management attributed this underperformance partly to "customer-friendly sports outcomes" and "heavier promotional reinvestment". Despite beating adjusted earnings per share estimates (reporting $0.09 EPS versus an estimated $0.0218 to $0.28, depending on the source), the company remained unprofitable, raising questions about its path to sustained profitability.

3. An elevated interest rate environment continued to exert macroeconomic pressure on growth stocks like DraftKings. Throughout the specified period, the Federal Reserve maintained higher interest rates, holding them at 3.75%-4.00% in October 2026. Rising interest rates generally increase borrowing costs for companies, dampen consumer spending, and reduce the present value of future earnings, making growth stocks, which are valued heavily on anticipated future profits, less appealing to investors compared to safer fixed-income alternatives. This broader market sentiment for high-growth, unprofitable companies contributed to valuation compression for DraftKings.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -21.2% change in DKNG stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)23.4818.51-21.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,2926,4081.8%
P/S Multiple1.81.4-22.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)494497-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution-21.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DKNG-21.2% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%8.4%
Sector (XLY)1.3%31.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -20.6% change in DKNG stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611062026Change
Stock Price ($)23.3218.51-20.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,0556,4085.8%
P/S Multiple1.91.4-24.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)496497-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-20.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DKNG-20.6% 
Market (SPY)2.6%2.1%
Sector (XLY)-0.5%23.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -39.5% change in DKNG stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -48.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511062026Change
Stock Price ($)30.5918.51-39.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)5,4106,40818.4%
P/S Multiple2.81.4-48.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)495497-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution-39.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DKNG-39.5% 
Market (SPY)8.7%13.4%
Sector (XLY)-1.4%22.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -33.0% change in DKNG stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -66.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202311062026Change
Stock Price ($)27.6218.51-33.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,0026,408113.5%
P/S Multiple4.31.4-66.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)462497-6.9%
Cumulative Contribution-33.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/6/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DKNG-33.0% 
Market (SPY)81.9%36.0%
Sector (XLY)58.2%40.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DKNG Return-41%-59%209%6%-7%-46%-60%
Peers Return-4%-43%18%35%-5%-13%-28%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DKNG Win Rate33%33%67%50%75%45% 
Peers Win Rate45%33%53%50%60%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DKNG Max Drawdown-63%-63%-19%-39%-48%-49% 
Peers Max Drawdown-45%-57%-37%-29%-42%-48% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FLUT, PENN, MGM, CZR, RSI. See DKNG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventDKNGS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-18.5%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.7%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven30 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-15.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven8 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-63.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven170.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven425 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-37.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven60.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven43 days140 days

Compare to FLUT, PENN, MGM, CZR, RSI

In The Past

DraftKings's stock fell -18.5% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 22.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventDKNGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-63.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven170.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven425 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-37.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven60.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven43 days140 days

Compare to FLUT, PENN, MGM, CZR, RSI

In The Past

DraftKings's stock fell -18.5% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 22.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About DraftKings (DKNG)

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DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) operates as a leading digital sports entertainment and gaming company, primarily serving the United States market. The company operates through two distinct segments: direct-to-consumer offerings and business-to-business services, covering a broad spectrum of the online gaming and entertainment industry.

For its direct-to-consumer segment, DraftKings provides a suite of popular online gaming experiences. This includes daily fantasy sports contests, a robust platform for legal sports betting, and various iGaming (online casino) opportunities. The primary customers for these services are individual users across the U.S. who engage in sports-related entertainment and online wagering.

In its business-to-business capacity, DraftKings specializes in the design, development, and licensing of sophisticated sports betting and casino gaming platform software. This technology is provided to other online and retail sportsbook operators and casino gaming product providers, enabling them to power their own gaming offerings. Through this segment, DraftKings serves other businesses within the regulated gaming industry.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for DraftKings (DKNG):

  • The Caesars Entertainment of online sports betting and gaming.

  • The ESPN for online sports betting and daily fantasy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): Offers daily and weekly fantasy sports contests where users draft virtual teams of athletes and compete for prizes based on their real-world performance.
  • Sports Betting: Provides a platform for users to place wagers on the outcomes of various professional and collegiate sporting events.
  • iGaming (Online Casino): Delivers a range of online casino-style games, including slots, table games, and live dealer options.
  • Gaming Platform Software Licensing: Designs, develops, and licenses its proprietary sports betting and casino gaming platform software to other businesses for their online and retail operations.

AI Analysis | Feedback

DraftKings (DKNG) primarily sells to individuals through its Business-to-Consumer segment. The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Daily Fantasy Sports Players: Individuals who participate in daily and weekly fantasy sports contests across various leagues and sports.
  • Sports Bettors: Individuals who place wagers on sporting events through DraftKings' online and retail sportsbook platforms.
  • iGaming/Casino Players: Individuals who play online casino games such as slots, table games, and live dealer games via DraftKings' iGaming platform.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Genius Sports (GENI)

Sportradar (SRAD)

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International Game Technology (IGT)

Light & Wonder (LNW)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Jason Robins, Chief Executive Officer

Jason Robins co-founded DraftKings in 2012 and has served as Chief Executive Officer since its inception, and as Chairman since April 2020. He oversees the company's long-term strategy and operations, including growth initiatives, capital strategy, and strategic partnerships. Robins co-founded DraftKings with Matthew Kalish and Paul Liberman, whom he met while working at Vistaprint. He led DraftKings in becoming a publicly traded company in April 2020 through a reverse merger. Robins has played a central role in expanding the company's platform and market presence and has led engagement with policymakers and regulators to advance fantasy sports, sports betting, and iGaming legislation across the United States. He holds approximately 88.8% of total voting power via Class B shares and serves concurrently as Chairman.

Alan Ellingson, Chief Financial Officer

Alan Ellingson was appointed Chief Financial Officer of DraftKings in May 2024. He was promoted from his previous role as Senior Vice President of Finance and Analytics. Ellingson has been with DraftKings for over four years (as of March 2024) and has extensive experience across the company's finance and analytics teams. He worked closely with the previous CFO, Jason Park, to develop DraftKings' finance and accounting department.

Matthew Kalish, President, DraftKings North America

Matthew Kalish co-founded DraftKings in 2012. He is accountable for all North America operations and revenue, bringing together all marketing, operations, and related analytics functions. Kalish previously served as Chief Revenue Officer from 2014 to December 2019. He played a pivotal role in DraftKings' growth, particularly after the repeal of PASPA, which enabled the company to launch the first legal online sports betting platform in New Jersey. Matthew Kalish is scheduled to step down from his executive role as President on March 31, 2026, but will continue to serve on the company's Board of Directors. He has also more recently founded HardScope, a creator media platform.

Paul Liberman, President, Global Product and Technology

Paul Liberman co-founded DraftKings in 2012 with Jason Robins and Matthew Kalish. He has held various leadership positions within the company, including Chief Technology Officer (2011–2013), Chief Marketing Officer, and Chief Operating Officer (2015–December 2019). Since December 2019, he has served as President, Global Product and Technology, leading product development and platform technology across Sportsbook, iGaming, and Daily Fantasy Sports. DraftKings initially operated out of Liberman's apartment.

R. Stanton Dodge, Chief Legal Officer

R. Stanton Dodge joined DraftKings as Chief Legal Officer in November 2017. In this role, he oversees DraftKings' legal, government affairs, and communications teams, and is instrumental in positioning the company for growth in new markets. Before joining DraftKings, Dodge worked at DISH Network for over 20 years, where his roles included Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary, responsible for all legal, government affairs, and corporate communications for DISH.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to DraftKings' business:

  1. Evolving Regulatory Landscape and Increased Taxation: DraftKings faces significant risks from the dynamic and often unpredictable regulatory environment in the online sports betting and iGaming industry. Changes in state and federal laws, particularly regarding taxation, can profoundly impact the company's profitability. For instance, new tax structures in states like Illinois could substantially increase DraftKings' effective tax rate, potentially from 35% to over 50% in some markets, a trend that may spread to other states. Furthermore, DraftKings' expansion into prediction markets introduces additional legal and regulatory uncertainties, as there is an ongoing jurisdictional tug-of-war between federal and state regulators on whether these markets are federally regulated financial derivatives or state-regulated gambling. Adverse rulings in this area could jeopardize DraftKings' existing state gaming licenses for its sportsbook, iGaming, and daily fantasy sports operations, potentially leading to increased compliance costs, financial losses, and negative publicity.
  2. Intense Competition and High Customer Acquisition Costs: DraftKings operates in a highly competitive digital sports entertainment and gaming market. It faces strong rivalry from established players like FanDuel, BetMGM, and Caesars, as well as emerging platforms. This intense competition necessitates aggressive promotional spending and high customer acquisition costs to attract and retain users, which in turn pressures profit margins and makes it challenging to maintain or grow market share. The industry's reliance on enticing players with sign-up bonuses and other promotions contributes to these elevated costs, making sustained high-velocity growth more difficult.
  3. Challenges in Achieving Consistent Profitability: Despite demonstrating strong revenue growth, DraftKings has historically struggled with consistent profitability, often experiencing swings between profit and loss. The company has reported negative operating and net margins in recent periods. This challenge is exacerbated by the high marketing and user acquisition costs necessary to compete, coupled with increasing state taxes. Additionally, the company's financial performance can be volatile and affected by unpredictable factors like unfavorable sports outcomes, which can lead to significant impacts on EBITDA and investor sentiment. Optimistic views on structurally higher margins need to account for the fact that the company has continued to show quarterly losses despite revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) operates in several significant addressable markets within the digital sports entertainment and gaming industry. The main products and services for which market sizes are available include Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS), Sports Betting, and iGaming.

Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS)

  • The global fantasy sports market size was estimated at USD 24,853.7 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 56,381.2 million by 2030, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.2% from 2025 to 2030.
  • North America represents the largest market for fantasy sports, with the North America fantasy sports market valued at USD 13.09 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow to USD 27.01 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 12.84% during the forecast period (2026-2031). The United States accounted for 84.10% of the North American market value in 2025.

Sports Betting

  • The U.S. online sports betting market size was valued at approximately $14 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $33 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of around 10.3% over the forecast period (2024-2032).
  • U.S. commercial sports betting revenue reached $16.96 billion in 2025.
  • Globally, the sports betting market size was valued at USD 98.67 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10.8% during 2025–2034.

iGaming (Online Casino)

  • The U.S. iGaming market is projected to reach $26.8 billion in gross revenue in 2025, a 15% increase from $23.4 billion in 2024.
  • U.S. iGaming revenue reached $10.74 billion in 2025.
  • The global iGaming market was valued at $63.53 billion in 2022 and reports suggest it could expand to $153.57 billion by 2030, driven by a CAGR of 11.7% from 2023 to 2030.

Combined Online Sports Betting and iGaming (North America)

  • DraftKings previously projected a North American total addressable market (TAM) exceeding $67 billion for online sports betting (OSB) and iGaming.
  • Management also expects to participate in a $55 billion to $80 billion industry gross revenue opportunity by 2030, likely encompassing both online sports betting and iGaming.

Business-to-Business (B2B) Platform Software

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for DraftKings (DKNG) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Expansion into new legalized states for Sportsbook and iGaming: DraftKings anticipates significant future potential from ongoing state legalization efforts for both Sportsbook and Casino operations, with major population centers like Texas and California representing substantial growth opportunities once regulations allow.
  2. Launch and growth of the "super app" and cross-promotion of products: The company's new "super app" consolidates its sportsbook, lottery, casino gaming, and predictions products into a single application. This integration is expected to enhance customer engagement, optimize operations, improve efficiency, and drive accelerated growth in iGaming through cross-promotion.
  3. Expansion of the "Predictions" feature: DraftKings is aggressively pushing its "Predictions" feature, which allows the company to offer sports event contracts in states without regulated online wagering. This strategic move aims to expand its reach to nearly the entire U.S. population and is considered a significant new growth opportunity.
  4. Customer acquisition, retention, and engagement: Continued efficient acquisition of new customers, coupled with deepening engagement among existing users, is a consistent driver of revenue growth. This is reflected in the growth of Monthly Unique Payers (MUPs) and Average Revenue per MUP (ARPMUP).
  5. Product innovation and optimization, including AI deployment: DraftKings plans to increase its deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) across its platform to enhance efficiency and operational capabilities. This focus on product innovation and optimization, along with improvements in structural sportsbook hold percentage and promotional deployment, is expected to contribute to future revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • DraftKings' Board of Directors authorized an inaugural share repurchase program of up to $1.0 billion on August 1, 2024.
  • The share repurchase program was subsequently increased to $2.0 billion.
  • The company repurchased $829.3 million of its Class A common stock in 2025 and $151.0 million in 2024.

Share Issuance

  • DraftKings issued $25.8 million in common stock in 2025, $9.2 million in 2024, and $16.8 million in 2023.
  • The number of shares outstanding increased by 2.89% in 2025 to 0.496 billion and by 4.18% in 2024 to 0.482 billion.
  • A $600 million Term B Loan was secured in 2025, maturing in 2032.

Outbound Investments

  • DraftKings acquired Golden Nugget Online Gaming (GNOG) in 2022 to strengthen its iGaming presence.
  • The company acquired the lottery app Jackpocket for $750 million in 2024 to cross-sell to a new customer base.
  • DraftKings acquired Railbird in October 2025 to expand into prediction markets.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures amounted to $146.5 million in 2025 and $105.9 million in 2024.
  • In 2023, capital expenditures were $101.3 million, and in 2022, they were $96.4 million.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes significant investments in technology and marketing to enhance user experience and brand awareness, as well as expanding Sportsbook and iGaming offerings into new jurisdictions.

Better Bets vs. DraftKings (DKNG)

Peer Outperformance in Casinos & Gaming

DKNG has trailed 55% of its 20 Casinos & Gaming peers over 5Y. Casinos & Gaming ranks 18th of 22 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Casinos & Gaming constituents that DKNG has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
29%
of 21 industry peers · -33.8% return
3Y
35%
of 20 industry peers · -48.5% return
5Y
45%
of 20 industry peers · -57.6% return
No Casinos & Gaming peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten DKNG by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Casinos & Gaming is DKNG's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -12.6%33.7%41.0% CVSA 246% · GHC 109% · LRN 107%
Homebuilding 17 3.7%29.7%29.7% PHM 175% · TOL 159% · GRBK 150%
Automotive Retail 17 -2.1%18.9%11.3% MUSA 209% · PAG 115% · ORLY 111%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 19.8%56.9%7.0% RCL 250% · MAR 159% · HLT 147%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -4.3%3.3%5.3% HD 6% · LOW 5% · FND -62%
Home Furnishings 3 4.6%73.9%-1.2% SGI 50% · MHK -15%
Footwear 9 75.0%79.9%-15.7% DECK 23% · SHOO -11% · CROX -16%
Restaurants 36 2.4%-4.6%-24.2% EAT 363% · CAKE 158% · TXRH 110%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 33.4%75.8%-24.5% BBY -3% · GME -53%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -8.5%32.3%-25.5% FTDR 168% · HRB 146% · ADT 24%
Distributors 4 -5.4%-16.9%-26.0% ARMK 96% · GPC 4% · POOL -56%
Leisure Products 14 -16.4%-4.9%-34.4% GOLF 51% · HAS 50% · BC -14%
Leisure Facilities 12 18.9%0.4%-39.5% OSW 160% · LTH 143% · PLNT -37%
Household Appliances 18 34.2%20.6%-40.3% WHR -82%
Broadline Retail 12 -5.8%14.0%-45.7% EBAY 76% · AMZN 47% · OLLI 24%
Apparel Retail 27 -3.8%1.8%-48.8% ANF 223% · VSXY 110% · TJX 104%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 37 -13.2%-28.2%-48.8% GTX 197% · PATK 64% · ALV 41%
Casinos & Gaming ← 21 -25.8%-16.1%-51.8% RRR 22% · BYD 19% · LVS 3%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 15.8%17.8%-53.7% TPR 255% · RL 225% · KTB 59%
Other Specialty Retail 25 -0.1%-11.4%-57.7% ULTA 65% · ASO 53% · ARHS 26%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -59.8%-44.0%-70.5% GM 54% · TSLA -12% · F -12%
Consumer Electronics 11 -31.9%-29.8%-80.5% GRMN 122%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DKNGFLUTPENNMGMCZRRSIMedian
NameDraftKin.Flutter .PENN Ent.MGM Reso.Caesars .Rush Str. 
Mkt Price18.5081.3117.4232.3029.2312.4123.87
Mkt Cap9.214.32.38.16.01.47.1
Rev LTM6,40817,2417,28317,72311,7191,4759,501
Op Inc LTM-404-4574521,0292,026160306
FCF LTM1675152551,400570172385
FCF 3Y Avg249632-851,367272104260
CFO LTM3831,3327342,3141,246212990
CFO 3Y Avg4051,3604702,4221,276139873

Growth & Margins

DKNGFLUTPENNMGMCZRRSIMedian
NameDraftKin.Flutter .PENN Ent.MGM Reso.Caesars .Rush Str. 
Rev Chg LTM17.4%11.7%6.7%2.6%3.1%38.7%9.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.3%-3.7%5.0%0.6%30.7%5.0%
Rev Chg Q16.2%2.1%7.1%-0.9%2.5%38.8%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.0%0.5%1.7%-0.2%0.6%7.9%1.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM-31.6%-179.6%100.9%-25.0%-1.7%124.1%-13.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg18.7%-162.3%360.4%-7.8%320.4%162.3%
Op Mgn LTM-6.3%-2.7%6.2%5.8%17.3%10.9%6.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-7.7%0.3%2.9%7.9%18.8%6.2%4.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.4%-1.9%1.1%-0.7%-0.4%0.8%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM6.0%7.7%10.1%13.1%10.6%14.4%10.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%8.9%6.7%13.9%11.1%11.8%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM2.6%3.0%3.5%7.9%4.9%11.6%4.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.5%4.2%-1.4%7.8%2.3%8.6%4.3%

Valuation

DKNGFLUTPENNMGMCZRRSIMedian
NameDraftKin.Flutter .PENN Ent.MGM Reso.Caesars .Rush Str. 
Mkt Cap9.214.32.38.16.01.47.1
P/S1.40.80.30.50.51.00.7
P/Op Inc-22.8-31.35.27.92.99.04.1
P/EBIT-22.8-31.26.17.13.39.04.7
P/E-24.3-16.0-256.311.7-11.238.1-13.6
P/CFO24.010.73.23.54.86.85.8
Total Yield-4.1%-6.2%-0.4%8.5%-8.9%2.7%-2.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.6%2.4%-1.7%14.6%4.9%5.8%3.6%
D/E0.20.94.73.64.10.02.3
Net D/E0.10.64.23.34.0-0.32.0

Returns

DKNGFLUTPENNMGMCZRRSIMedian
NameDraftKin.Flutter .PENN Ent.MGM Reso.Caesars .Rush Str. 
1M Rtn-3.4%7.2%10.8%7.7%-0.9%-38.7%3.2%
3M Rtn-23.0%-14.2%-13.7%-27.4%-3.1%-50.1%-18.6%
6M Rtn-27.5%-19.6%4.1%-16.7%4.2%-55.3%-18.2%
12M Rtn-33.9%-62.4%18.9%1.8%52.6%-25.0%-11.6%
3Y Rtn-48.5%-51.0%-26.2%-15.6%-33.0%178.9%-29.6%
1M Excs Rtn-5.9%0.7%11.5%8.6%0.0%-37.9%0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-22.9%-12.9%-6.8%-24.7%-2.0%-49.0%-17.9%
6M Excs Rtn-31.4%-23.5%0.1%-20.6%0.3%-59.2%-22.1%
12M Excs Rtn-46.9%-75.5%-6.6%-12.2%33.5%-38.6%-25.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-113.4%-129.3%-92.5%-89.0%-107.4%168.3%-99.9%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sportsbook3,8272,9032,1061,033 
iGaming1,8051,5081,217822 
Other42335734238653
Gaming software    97
Online gaming    1,146
Total6,0554,7683,6652,2401,296


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$18.51 
Market Cap ($ Bil)9.2 
First Trading Date07/25/2019 
Distance from 52W High-48.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$21.51$23.97
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-13.9%-22.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility64.9%56.1%
Downside Capture159.57107.97
Upside Capture144.6169.67
Correlation (S&P 500)16.4%16.7%
DKNG Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.490.771.000.230.681.22
Up Beta-4.19-3.05-1.37-0.590.391.22
Down Beta0.42-0.470.320.590.891.39
Up Capture170%122%148%17%33%79%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days14213261124381
Down Capture4%206%201%54%100%107%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days8223265127365

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DKNG
DKNG-33.8%56.1%-0.52-
Sector ETF (XLY)-1.9%19.8%-0.2222.2%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4012.7%
Gold (GLD)1.6%28.7%0.057.4%
Commodities (DBC)38.4%21.2%1.42-4.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.3%14.2%0.5121.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-26.9%43.6%-0.606.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DKNG
DKNG-15.8%62.5%-0.02-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.0%24.2%0.1251.0%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4846.2%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.741.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.303.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.9%-0.0434.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.1%51.6%0.2626.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DKNG
DKNG7.2%62.7%0.42-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.8%22.3%0.5247.5%
Equity (SPY)15.0%18.0%0.7042.3%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.592.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.337.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2432.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.1%66.3%1.0022.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity39.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020263.7%
Average Daily Volume14.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity496.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/20268.4%14.7%8.3%
5/8/20261.2%-0.3%-1.7%
2/13/2026-13.5%-11.3%-1.1%
11/7/20258.6%6.1%24.9%
8/7/2025-0.4%-4.9%2.6%
5/9/20252.5%3.6%2.4%
2/14/202515.2%-1.9%-16.6%
11/8/20243.0%5.5%9.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1297
# Negative6911
Median Positive8.5%6.1%9.0%
Median Negative-9.4%-7.5%-3.3%
Max Positive16.5%20.1%28.3%
Max Negative-27.8%-21.3%-17.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/7/20268.4%14.7%8.3%
5/8/20261.2%-0.3%-1.7%
2/13/2026-13.5%-11.3%-1.1%
11/7/20258.6%6.1%24.9%
8/7/2025-0.4%-4.9%2.6%
5/9/20252.5%3.6%2.4%
2/14/202515.2%-1.9%-16.6%
11/8/20243.0%5.5%9.0%
8/1/2024-9.8%-13.9%-2.8%
5/2/2024-2.8%2.3%-17.5%
2/15/20240.2%-7.2%-2.1%
11/2/202316.5%20.1%28.3%
8/3/20235.8%-7.5%-1.2%
5/4/202315.3%12.6%18.7%
2/16/202315.3%2.1%-3.3%
11/4/2022-27.8%-13.0%-5.4%
8/5/20229.8%13.3%-5.3%
5/6/2022-8.9%-21.3%-9.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1297
# Negative6911
Median Positive8.5%6.1%9.0%
Median Negative-9.4%-7.5%-3.3%
Max Positive16.5%20.1%28.3%
Max Negative-27.8%-21.3%-17.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/06/202610-Q
06/30/202608/07/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202611/06/202610-Q
06/30/202608/07/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202511/07/202510-Q
06/30/202508/07/202510-Q
03/31/202505/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/02/202410-Q
03/31/202405/03/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202311/03/202310-Q
06/30/202308/04/202310-Q
03/31/202305/05/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/06/202210-Q
12/31/202102/18/202210-K
09/30/202111/05/202110-Q
06/30/202108/06/202110-Q
03/31/202105/07/202110-Q
12/31/202002/26/202110-K
09/30/202011/13/202010-Q
06/30/202008/14/202010-Q
12/31/201910/05/2020S-1
12/31/201805/03/202110-K/A

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 11/6/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 11/6/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2026 Predictions Adjusted EBITDA InvestmentReported175.00 Mil200.00 Mil225.00 Mil   
2026 RevenueReported6.35 Bil6.45 Bil6.55 Bil-3.7% LoweredGuidance: 6.70 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported175.00 Mil225.00 Mil275.00 Mil-71.9% LoweredGuidance: 800.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Predictions Adjusted EBITDA InvestmentReported650.00 Mil675.00 Mil700.00 Mil   
2026 Core Business Adjusted EBITDAReported875.00 Mil900.00 Mil925.00 Mil   
2027 RevenueReported7.35 Bil7.55 Bil7.75 Bil12.7% Higher NewGuidance: 6.70 Bil for 2026
2027 Revenue GrowthReported 17.0%    
2027 Core Business RevenueReported6.70 Bil6.85 Bil7.00 Bil   
2027 Core Business Revenue GrowthReported4.0%6.5%9.0%   
2027 Predictions RevenueReported650.00 Mil700.00 Mil750.00 Mil   
2027 Adjusted EBITDAReported800.00 Mil900.00 Mil1.00 Bil12.5% Higher NewGuidance: 800.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Core Business Adjusted EBITDAReported1.15 Bil1.20 Bil1.25 Bil   
2027 Predictions Adjusted EBITDA InvestmentReported250.00 Mil300.00 Mil350.00 Mil   


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/8/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported6.50 Bil6.70 Bil6.90 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 6.70 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported700.00 Mil800.00 Mil900.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 800.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/13/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 RevenueReported6.50 Bil6.70 Bil6.90 Bil11.7% Higher NewActual: 6.00 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported700.00 Mil800.00 Mil900.00 Mil60.0% Higher NewActual: 500.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 10/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Moore, JocelynDirectSell820202624.0510,759258,75445,238Form
2Dodge, R StantonChief Legal OfficerDirectSell612202629.6862,5001,855,20216,511,539Form
3Bradbury, ErikChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell522202625.3386221,834966,795Form
4Levin, WoodrowDirectSell519202625.7134,234880,156766,672Form
5Moore, JocelynDirectSell316202625.602,15055,04035,994Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Moore, JocelynDirectSell820202624.0510,759258,75445,238Form
2Dodge, R StantonChief Legal OfficerDirectSell612202629.6862,5001,855,20216,511,539Form
3Bradbury, ErikChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell522202625.3386221,834966,795Form
4Levin, WoodrowDirectSell519202625.7134,234880,156766,672Form
5Moore, JocelynDirectSell316202625.602,15055,04035,994Form
6Liberman, PaulSee RemarksHeld by the Paul Liberman 2015 Revocable TrustSell312202625.16430,54710,832,56342,016,068Form
7Liberman, PaulSee RemarksHeld by the Paul Liberman 2020 Irrevocable TrustSell312202625.1653,8701,355,3695,374,101Form
8Bradbury, ErikChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell303202624.562,88370,800937,324Form
9Bradbury, ErikChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell220202622.507,268163,530826,560Form
10Sloan, HarryDirectBuy218202621.85100,0002,185,0007,652,285Form
11Dodge, R StantonChief Legal OfficerDirectSell122202632.0152,7771,689,23816,003,543Form
12Dodge, R StantonChief Legal OfficerDirectSell1202202533.8452,7771,785,99017,332,399Form
13Ellingson, Alan WayneChief Financial OfficerDirectSell1114202529.238,421246,1463,711,918Form
14Sloan, HarryDirectBuy1112202530.3025,000757,5007,566,274Form
15Wendt, Gregory Westin DirectBuy1112202530.2710,000302,700302,700Form
16Dodge, R StantonChief Legal OfficerDirectSell1107202529.0052,7771,530,53314,513,166Form
17Dodge, R StantonChief Legal OfficerDirectSell1022202534.5752,7771,824,53617,285,330Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 7, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Cadian Capital Management, LP$79.2 Mil9.6%23TRIM -33.7%13F
Spruce House Investment Management LLC$208.6 Mil7.4%11ADD +129.6%13F
Solel Partners LP$19.4 Mil4.1%19TRIM -23.9%13F
KCM Capital Inc$10.8 Mil2.0%31TRIM -28.6%13F
Cypress Point Investment Management LP$6.5 Mil1.5%32TRIM -50.8%13F
Mark Asset Management LP$6.6 Mil0.9%31ADD +482.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Mark Asset Management LP$6.6 Mil0.9%31ADD +482.1%13F
Spruce House Investment Management LLC$208.6 Mil7.4%11ADD +129.6%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Eminence Capital, LP$290.4 Mil4.6%39ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Two Creeks Capital Management, LP$38.6 Mil3.2%26ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Owl Creek Asset Management, L.P.$27.6 Mil3.3%30ExitedDec 31, 202513F
BWCP, LP$26.1 Mil4.3%29ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Cypress Point Investment Management LP$6.5 Mil1.5%32TRIM -50.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Cadian Capital Management, LP$79.2 Mil9.6%23TRIM -33.7%Mar 31, 202613F
KCM Capital Inc$10.8 Mil2.0%31TRIM -28.6%Mar 31, 202613F
Solel Partners LP$19.4 Mil4.1%19TRIM -23.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Spruce House Investment Management LLC$208.6 Mil7.4%11ADD +129.6%13F
Cadian Capital Management, LP$79.2 Mil9.6%23TRIM -33.7%13F
Solel Partners LP$19.4 Mil4.1%19TRIM -23.9%13F
KCM Capital Inc$10.8 Mil2.0%31TRIM -28.6%13F
Mark Asset Management LP$6.6 Mil0.9%31ADD +482.1%13F
Cypress Point Investment Management LP$6.5 Mil1.5%32TRIM -50.8%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/6/2026