Waste Management (WM)


Market Price (7/31/2026): $226.32 | Market Cap: $726.9 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Waste Management (WM)


Market Price (7/31/2026): $226.32
Market Cap: $726.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 6.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.6 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.9 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 28x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 160x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 112x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 255x

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 677%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%

Key risks
WM key risks include [1] increased operating and capital costs driven by evolving environmental regulations for contaminants like PFAS and [2] revenue volatility from fluctuating market prices for recyclable commodities.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, CFO LTM is 6.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.6 Bil
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.9 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -21%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 28x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 160x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 112x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 255x
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 677%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.8%
8 Key risks
WM key risks include [1] increased operating and capital costs driven by evolving environmental regulations for contaminants like PFAS and [2] revenue volatility from fluctuating market prices for recyclable commodities.

WM in ETFs

Weight = WM's share of each fund

SPY0.14%
VOO0.13%
IVV0.14%
VTI0.12%
ITOT0.12%
IWB0.13%
RSP0.21%
VTV0.33%
+27 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/30/2026

Waste Management (WM) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Results. Waste Management reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.02 for fiscal Q2 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.98. However, revenue for the quarter reached $6.68 billion, which, while up 4.0% year-over-year, slightly missed analysts' expectations of approximately $6.70 billion to $6.71 billion. This combination of an EPS beat and a slight revenue miss created a balanced financial picture for investors.

2. Revised Full-Year Revenue Guidance Due to Softer Volumes. The company narrowed its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $26.275 billion to $26.475 billion, representing a reduction of approximately 0.6% from its previous outlook. This revision was primarily attributed to softer solid waste collection and disposal volumes, which are now expected to decline by about 1% for the full year, and delays in pipeline connections for some renewable natural gas plants.

Show more
Updated on 7/30/2026

Waste Management (WM) stock has remained largely at the same level since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Fiscal Q2 2026 Financial Results. Waste Management reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.02 for fiscal Q2 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.98. However, revenue for the quarter reached $6.68 billion, which, while up 4.0% year-over-year, slightly missed analysts' expectations of approximately $6.70 billion to $6.71 billion. This combination of an EPS beat and a slight revenue miss created a balanced financial picture for investors.

2. Revised Full-Year Revenue Guidance Due to Softer Volumes. The company narrowed its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $26.275 billion to $26.475 billion, representing a reduction of approximately 0.6% from its previous outlook. This revision was primarily attributed to softer solid waste collection and disposal volumes, which are now expected to decline by about 1% for the full year, and delays in pipeline connections for some renewable natural gas plants.

3. Strong Profitability and Cash Flow, Bolstered by Strategic Investments. Despite top-line volume challenges, Waste Management demonstrated robust profitability and cash flow. The company expanded its adjusted operating EBITDA margin by 40 basis points to 30.9% in fiscal Q2 2026 and subsequently raised its full-year fiscal 2026 adjusted operating EBITDA margin outlook by 20 basis points to a range of 31.0% to 31.2%. Furthermore, Waste Management generated $1.10 billion in free cash flow during fiscal Q2 2026, a 34.5% increase from the prior year, and maintained its full-year free cash flow growth target of 29%. Growth in its recycling and renewable energy businesses, with a 32.5% increase in combined adjusted operating EBITDA, significantly contributed to this financial strength.

4. Balanced Analyst Sentiment and Valuation. While analysts maintained a consensus "Buy" rating for Waste Management with a 2026 price target of approximately $258.93, the stock was trading near its 52-week high of $248.13 as of July 29, 2026. Some fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St community clustered between $238.76 and $268.70, suggesting that the stock's valuation was already reflecting much of its positive performance. This balance between strong operational execution and a cautious revenue outlook, coupled with an already premium valuation, contributed to the stock largely stabilizing during the period.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.1% change in WM stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -87.5% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120267302026Change
Stock Price ($)228.80226.33-1.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)25,20425,6671.8%
Net Income Margin (%)10.7%11.1%3.5%
P/E Multiple34.0254.8648.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4033,212-87.5%
Cumulative Contribution-1.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WM-1.1% 
Market (SPY)14.0%-45.9%
Sector (XLI)10.3%-14.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.9% change in WM stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 644.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257302026Change
Stock Price ($)217.90226.333.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)24,78425,6673.6%
Net Income Margin (%)10.3%11.1%7.4%
P/E Multiple34.2254.8644.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4033,212-87.5%
Cumulative Contribution3.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WM3.9% 
Market (SPY)9.1%-26.7%
Sector (XLI)15.3%-7.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.5% change in WM stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 652.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257302026Change
Stock Price ($)225.21226.330.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)22,92225,66712.0%
Net Income Margin (%)11.7%11.1%-4.8%
P/E Multiple33.9254.8652.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4023,212-87.5%
Cumulative Contribution0.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WM0.5% 
Market (SPY)21.1%-21.8%
Sector (XLI)22.2%-2.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.6% change in WM stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 752.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020237302026Change
Stock Price ($)165.63226.3336.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)19,92925,66728.8%
Net Income Margin (%)11.3%11.1%-1.9%
P/E Multiple29.9254.8752.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4073,212-87.3%
Cumulative Contribution36.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WM36.6% 
Market (SPY)73.2%9.9%
Sector (XLI)73.1%18.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
WM Return44%-4%16%14%11%9%119%
Peers Return43%1%23%22%0%4%129%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%95%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WM Win Rate75%42%50%67%58%71% 
Peers Win Rate72%45%58%62%57%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%43% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WM Max Drawdown-7%-17%-12%-12%-18%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-22%-16%-12%-25%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RSG, CLH, ACM, CWST, WM. See WM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/30/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventWMS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-11.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven39 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-13.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven43 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-29.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven357 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-21.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven179 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-11.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.9%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven79 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-31.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.0%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven220 days1085 days

Compare to RSG, CLH, ACM, CWST, WM

In The Past

Waste Management's stock fell -4.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventWMS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-29.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven41.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven357 days140 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-21.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven179 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-31.1%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.0%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven220 days1085 days

Compare to RSG, CLH, ACM, CWST, WM

In The Past

Waste Management's stock fell -4.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 5.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Waste Management (WM)

```html

Waste Management, Inc. (WM) is a prominent environmental services company operating across North America. Its core business revolves around providing comprehensive waste management solutions, encompassing the entire lifecycle of waste and recyclable materials—from initial collection to processing, recycling, and final disposal. The company plays a crucial role in maintaining environmental health by managing various waste streams effectively.

WM's main services include the collection and transportation of waste and recyclable materials. It operates a vast network of essential infrastructure, including numerous solid waste and hazardous waste landfills, transfer stations, and material recovery facilities (MRFs) for processing recyclables. Beyond traditional waste services, WM also develops and operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities, converting waste into renewable energy. Additionally, it offers specialized solutions such as materials processing and recycling brokerage, construction and remediation services, disposal of industrial by-products like fly ash, in-plant waste management consulting, and specific disposal services for oil and gas exploration and production operations.

The company serves a broad and diverse customer base throughout North America. Its primary markets include residential households, commercial businesses, industrial facilities, and municipal entities. This extensive customer reach underscores Waste Management's position as a vital partner for communities and industries seeking reliable, integrated, and environmentally responsible waste and recycling solutions.

```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Waste Management (WM):

  • A utility company, but for waste and recycling services.

  • The UPS or FedEx for trash and recyclables.

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html
  • Waste Collection and Transportation: Services for picking up and transporting various waste and recyclable materials from customer sites to processing or disposal facilities.
  • Waste Disposal and Landfill Management: Operation of solid waste, hazardous waste, and specialized landfills for the secure and environmentally compliant disposal of diverse waste streams.
  • Recycling and Materials Processing: Services including operating Material Recovery Facilities (MRFs) to sort and process recyclable materials, and providing recycling brokerage.
  • Landfill Gas-to-Energy: Development and operation of facilities that convert landfill gas, a byproduct of landfills, into renewable energy.
  • Environmental Consulting and Specialized Services: Offers construction and remediation, in-plant waste management solutions, and specialized disposal services for industrial byproducts like fly ash and oil & gas operations.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Waste Management (WM) serves a broad range of customers, encompassing individuals, businesses, and governmental entities. The company's major customers can be categorized as follows:
  • Residential Customers: These include individual households and homeowners who receive waste collection and recycling services.
  • Commercial Customers: This category comprises various businesses, such as offices, retail stores, restaurants, and other commercial establishments that require waste management and recycling solutions.
  • Industrial and Municipal Customers: This segment includes large-scale industrial operations, manufacturing facilities, construction sites, and municipal governments (cities, towns, and other local authorities) often under long-term contracts for waste disposal, recycling, and specialized environmental services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Waste Management (WM)

  • High Debt Load and Acquisition Integration Risks: Waste Management carries a significant debt load, which increased substantially following the acquisition of Stericycle, Inc.. This presents a major financial risk, particularly in an environment of higher interest rates, and has elevated the company's debt-to-equity ratio above that of its industry peers. The integration of an acquisition of Stericycle's size is also complex, with a specific risk that if Selling, General, and Administrative (SG&A) expenses for the Healthcare Solutions segment do not decline towards targeted synergy levels, the anticipated financial benefits and margin expansion may not be realized.
  • Commodity Price Volatility in Recycling Operations: The financial performance of Waste Management's recycling segment is highly vulnerable to the volatile market prices and demand for recycled commodities. Fluctuations in these prices can negatively impact the company's operating income and cash flows, as demonstrated by past instances where lower recycled commodity prices directly led to a reduction in revenue guidance.
  • Extensive and Evolving Regulatory and Environmental Compliance: Waste Management's diverse operations are subject to extensive and complex environmental, health, and safety laws and regulations across federal, state, provincial, and local levels. Changes in these regulations, including those pertaining to emerging contaminants or extended producer responsibility, have the potential to restrict operations, increase operating costs, raise tax liabilities, decrease revenues, or necessitate substantial additional capital expenditures. The company also faces the risk of incurring significant environmental liabilities if its operations are alleged to cause environmental damage.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The increasing global adoption of circular economy principles and zero-waste initiatives represents a clear emerging threat. This movement aims to drastically reduce the generation of waste materials, promote extensive reuse, repair, and advanced recycling, thereby diminishing the fundamental need for traditional waste collection, transfer, and landfill disposal services that constitute a significant portion of Waste Management's core business model and asset base.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Waste Management, Inc. (symbol: WM) operates in several substantial addressable markets across North America.

The overall North America waste management market was valued at approximately USD 196.4 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 207.21 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow to USD 319.14 billion by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% from 2025 to 2033. Another source indicates the North America waste management market generated revenue of USD 495.1 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 760.2 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.6% from 2026 to 2033. This market is segmented by waste type, including municipal solid waste, industrial waste, hazardous waste, e-waste, and organic waste.

For hazardous waste management, North America held the largest revenue share, accounting for approximately 33.1% of the global hazardous waste management market in 2025. The North America hazardous waste management market is projected to reach USD 29,779.5 million by 2033. The global hazardous waste management market size was valued at USD 18.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 31.68 billion by 2034, with North America holding 34% of this global market share. The U.S. hazardous waste management market alone generated USD 4,660.1 million in revenue in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 7,257.5 million by 2033.

The North America waste recycling services market size was valued at USD 17.13 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 20.19 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 3.34% during this period. The U.S. dominates North America's waste recycling services market, accounting for about 80% of the share, with a market size valued at USD 13.8 billion in 2024 and projected to reach USD 21.92 billion by 2032.

The North America recycled plastics market was valued at USD 8,162.8 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 11,287.2 million by 2033, demonstrating a CAGR of 3.48% from 2025 to 2033. Another report indicates the North America recycled plastics market size was USD 17.48 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 25.98 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 4.50% from 2026 to 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Waste Management (WM)

Over the next 2-3 years, Waste Management (WM) is anticipated to drive revenue growth through several strategic initiatives and market dynamics:

  • Disciplined Pricing and Core Business Growth: Waste Management expects continued revenue growth from its core collection and disposal business, driven by disciplined pricing strategies and sustained, albeit sometimes modest, volume increases. The company has projected core price growth in the range of 5.4% to 6.5% for 2025 and 2026, alongside expected positive collection and disposal volume growth.
  • Integration and Expansion of WM Healthcare Solutions (Stericycle Acquisition): The acquisition of Stericycle in 2024, with full integration expected in 2025, is a significant driver. This expansion into regulated medical waste and secure information destruction services is projected to diversify revenue streams, contribute substantial revenue growth (estimated to be about 40% of WM's projected revenue growth for 2025), and generate significant synergies (up to $250 million by 2027).
  • Investments in Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Facilities: Waste Management is aggressively investing in renewable natural gas (RNG) infrastructure, aiming to have 20 RNG facilities operational by the end of 2026. These projects convert organic waste into clean energy, creating new, high-margin revenue streams and aligning with the company's sustainability goals.
  • Recycling Automation and Infrastructure Modernization: The company is investing over $1 billion through 2026 to enhance its recycling capabilities, including the addition of 20 new or fully automated Material Recovery Facilities (MRFs). This investment is aimed at improving operational efficiency, increasing resource recovery rates, and boosting revenue from its recycling processing and sales segments.
  • Expansion into High-Margin Niche Services and Cross-Selling: Waste Management is focused on expanding into higher-margin niche services beyond traditional solid waste. This includes leveraging existing relationships with municipal and industrial customers to cross-sell a broader range of specialized services, thereby reducing dependence on conventional disposal volumes and capturing new growth opportunities.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • In December 2025, Waste Management announced a new $3 billion share repurchase authorization, superseding the prior $1.5 billion authorization from 2023.
  • The company plans to repurchase approximately $2 billion of its shares during 2026, with repurchases expected to resume after its fourth quarter 2025 financial results.
  • Share repurchases amounted to $262 million in 2024, a decrease from $1.30 billion in 2023, as the company prioritized debt reduction following a major acquisition.

Outbound Investments

  • Waste Management completed the acquisition of Stericycle for approximately $7.2 billion to $7.7 billion in November 2024, significantly expanding its presence in regulated medical waste and secure information destruction.
  • In 2025, the company invested about $400 million in tuck-in acquisitions for solid waste and recycling businesses.
  • For 2026, Waste Management expects to return to its typical range of $100 million to $200 million for tuck-in acquisitions.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $3.23 billion in 2024, an increase from $2.90 billion in 2023.
  • In 2025, the company spent just under $2.6 billion on capital to support the business, along with an additional $633 million on sustainability growth investments.
  • Projected capital expenditures for 2026 are between $2.65 billion and $2.75 billion, including approximately $200 million directed towards high-return sustainability projects such as renewable natural gas facilities and recycling growth initiatives.

Better Bets vs. Waste Management (WM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WMRSGCLHACMCWSTMedian
NameWaste Ma.Republic.Clean Ha.AECOM Casella . 
Mkt Price226.33211.33317.1571.7689.50211.33
Mkt Cap727.065.316.79.25.716.7
Rev LTM25,66716,6956,24415,9861,87715,986
Op Inc LTM4,7523,3477391,073931,073
FCF LTM3,5732,594458410102458
FCF 3Y Avg2,6172,30635864585645
CFO LTM6,5174,498903554342903
CFO 3Y Avg5,7684,130796763297796

Growth & Margins

WMRSGCLHACMCWSTMedian
NameWaste Ma.Republic.Clean Ha.AECOM Casella . 
Rev Chg LTM7.2%3.2%5.1%-0.4%14.9%5.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.7%5.8%5.3%5.8%19.0%5.8%
Rev Chg Q4.0%2.6%11.9%0.8%9.6%4.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%0.6%3.1%0.2%2.2%1.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM11.0%1.7%13.5%9.7%-9.6%9.7%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg10.6%10.4%4.7%13.3%-3.1%10.4%
Op Mgn LTM18.5%20.0%11.8%6.7%4.9%11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.7%19.8%11.4%6.1%6.2%11.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%0.0%0.6%-0.0%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM25.4%26.9%14.5%3.5%18.2%18.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg24.5%25.7%13.4%4.8%18.3%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM13.9%15.5%7.3%2.6%5.4%7.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%14.3%6.0%4.1%5.2%6.0%

Valuation

WMRSGCLHACMCWSTMedian
NameWaste Ma.Republic.Clean Ha.AECOM Casella . 
Mkt Cap727.065.316.79.25.716.7
P/S28.33.92.70.63.03.0
P/Op Inc153.019.522.78.661.322.7
P/EBIT160.420.621.98.578.721.9
P/E254.830.138.118.3796.338.1
P/CFO111.614.518.616.716.616.7
Total Yield0.6%4.5%2.6%7.0%0.1%2.6%
Dividend Yield0.2%1.1%0.0%1.6%0.0%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.8%3.4%2.6%5.3%1.3%2.6%
D/E0.00.20.20.30.20.2
Net D/E0.00.20.20.20.20.2

Returns

WMRSGCLHACMCWSTMedian
NameWaste Ma.Republic.Clean Ha.AECOM Casella . 
1M Rtn1.5%-0.5%6.2%3.3%-7.7%1.5%
3M Rtn-2.3%1.3%1.4%-14.3%12.9%1.3%
6M Rtn2.3%-1.0%22.9%-25.8%-13.4%-1.0%
12M Rtn-1.1%-7.7%37.3%-35.4%-17.4%-7.7%
3Y Rtn44.7%44.8%90.8%-14.8%10.9%44.7%
1M Excs Rtn2.4%0.3%7.0%4.1%-6.9%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-5.5%-2.5%-0.7%-16.3%10.4%-2.5%
6M Excs Rtn-8.0%-8.9%16.0%-32.4%-20.9%-8.9%
12M Excs Rtn-19.1%-29.9%16.3%-52.4%-36.2%-29.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.9%-20.7%23.7%-78.9%-58.0%-24.9%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
East Tier11,48210,95510,5339,9208,922
West Tier10,90010,3379,8979,4798,703
Other Ancillary3,1632,9152,7112,4132,041
Healthcare Solutions2,951471   
Recycling Processing and Sales1,8661,8901,5761,7601,760
Renewable Energy481321276315220
Corporate and Other5248464947
Intercompany Elimination-5,691-4,874-4,613-4,238-3,762
Total25,20422,06320,42619,69817,931


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
East Tier2,9042,7602,4462,1781,955
West Tier2,8892,6932,3832,1821,939
Renewable Energy1359979132108
Other Ancillary-16-9-80-18
Recycling Processing and Sales-8086-44128217
Healthcare Solutions-88-69   
Corporate and Other-1,436-1,497-1,281-1,255-1,236
Total4,3084,0633,5753,3652,965


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
East Tier16,09915,32814,32814,74114,269
West Tier12,24511,78611,32211,91611,476
Healthcare Solutions9,0029,406   
Corporate and Other3,8883,7853,3923,0482,372
Recycling Processing and Sales2,7182,6862,282  
Renewable Energy1,9761,5441,077  
Other Ancillary801779783  
Elimination of intercompany investments and advances-894-747-361-310-295
Other   1,9721,275
Total45,83544,56732,82331,36729,097


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$226.33 
Market Cap ($ Bil)91.3 
First Trading Date09/30/1991 
Distance from 52W High-7.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$225.02$221.76
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA0.6%2.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility24.7%20.4%
Downside Capture-136.73-52.00
Upside Capture-125.63-42.92
Correlation (SPY)-45.5%-20.9%
WM Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.77-0.86-0.64-0.33-0.290.14
Up Beta-0.85-0.71-0.27-0.36-0.260.23
Down Beta0.14-0.05-0.14-0.00-0.180.16
Up Capture-72%-99%-55%-27%-17%3%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days11182865129402
Down Capture-141%-143%-161%-64%-60%8%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days10233560123345

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WM
WM-2.4%20.4%-0.22-
Sector ETF (XLI)18.1%16.9%0.81-2.8%
Equity (SPY)17.8%12.9%1.01-23.0%
Gold (GLD)23.3%28.1%0.73-8.9%
Commodities (DBC)29.4%19.7%1.194.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.7%13.9%0.6232.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-46.2%42.9%-1.32-14.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WM
WM11.0%19.0%0.45-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.2%17.6%0.5933.8%
Equity (SPY)12.7%17.1%0.5728.1%
Gold (GLD)17.4%18.4%0.766.3%
Commodities (DBC)9.0%19.5%0.357.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.9%0.0540.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)14.5%53.3%0.455.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WM
WM14.9%19.7%0.66-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.7%20.0%0.6053.0%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.7149.5%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.1%0.594.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.2%18.0%0.3212.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2055.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)57.8%66.2%0.989.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 6302026-2.2%
Average Daily Volume1.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity3,212.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/31/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/2026-1.2%  
4/28/20261.3%-1.3%-5.7%
1/28/2026-3.7%-2.2%4.0%
10/27/2025-4.5%-8.0%1.2%
7/28/20253.4%1.2%-1.2%
4/28/2025-0.1%2.5%3.5%
1/30/20256.1%7.3%11.1%
10/28/20245.2%2.9%9.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121216
# Negative13128
Median Positive2.8%3.3%4.6%
Median Negative-1.2%-2.4%-2.4%
Max Positive6.1%10.5%11.9%
Max Negative-8.0%-8.0%-7.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/2026-1.2%  
4/28/20261.3%-1.3%-5.7%
1/28/2026-3.7%-2.2%4.0%
10/27/2025-4.5%-8.0%1.2%
7/28/20253.4%1.2%-1.2%
4/28/2025-0.1%2.5%3.5%
1/30/20256.1%7.3%11.1%
10/28/20245.2%2.9%9.2%
7/24/2024-8.0%-6.8%-3.3%
4/25/2024-1.2%-2.6%-1.8%
2/13/2024-0.2%2.4%5.8%
10/24/20236.1%6.3%11.1%
7/25/2023-4.0%-5.4%-7.8%
4/27/20232.7%3.8%-0.2%
2/1/2023-0.2%-2.2%-3.1%
10/26/2022-3.1%-5.2%-0.6%
7/27/20222.8%5.4%11.9%
4/26/20225.3%2.0%1.1%
2/2/2022-1.1%-3.1%2.0%
10/26/2021-1.2%-1.2%2.3%
7/27/20210.2%0.4%3.9%
4/27/20210.8%4.8%5.0%
2/18/20211.1%-0.3%9.2%
11/2/20202.6%10.5%10.9%
7/30/2020-0.2%-0.4%4.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121216
# Negative13128
Median Positive2.8%3.3%4.6%
Median Negative-1.2%-2.4%-2.4%
Max Positive6.1%10.5%11.9%
Max Negative-8.0%-8.0%-7.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/09/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202410/28/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/13/202410-K
09/30/202310/25/202310-Q
06/30/202307/26/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/09/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202504/29/202510-Q
12/31/202402/19/202510-K
09/30/202410/28/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/13/202410-K
09/30/202310/25/202310-Q
06/30/202307/26/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-K
09/30/202210/26/202210-Q
06/30/202207/27/202210-Q
03/31/202204/26/202210-Q
12/31/202102/15/202210-K
09/30/202110/26/202110-Q
06/30/202107/27/202110-Q
03/31/202104/27/202110-Q
12/31/202002/22/202110-K
09/30/202011/02/202010-Q
06/30/202007/30/202010-Q
03/31/202005/06/202010-Q
12/31/201902/13/202010-K
09/30/201910/23/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/29/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted Operating EBITDA8.15 Bil8.20 Bil8.25 Bil   
2026 Free Cash Flow3.75 Bil3.80 Bil3.85 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.80 Bil for 2026
2026 Revenue26.27 Bil26.38 Bil26.48 Bil   
2026 Adjusted Operating EBITDA Margin31.0%31.1%31.2%   

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Free Cash Flow3.75 Bil3.80 Bil3.85 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.80 Bil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue26.43 Bil26.52 Bil26.62 Bil   
2026 Adjusted operating EBITDA8.15 Bil8.20 Bil8.25 Bil   
2026 Adjusted operating EBITDA margin30.8%30.9%31.0%   
2026 Free cash flow3.75 Bil3.80 Bil3.85 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 3.80 Bil for 2026
2026 Dividends and share repurchases 3.50 Bil    
2026 Share repurchases 2.00 Bil    

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/27/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Adjusted Operating EBITDA7.47 Bil7.55 Bil7.62 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 7.55 Bil for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow2.80 Bil2.85 Bil2.90 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 2.85 Bil for 2025
2025 Revenue 25.27 Bil -0.4% LoweredGuidance: 25.38 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted Operating EBITDA Margin29.6%29.9%30.2% 0.2%RaisedGuidance: 29.75% for 2025
2026 Free Cash Flow 3.80 Bil    

Insider Activity

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Carrasco, RafaelSVP of Enterprise StrategyDirectSell6082026220.472,655585,3353,425,969Form
2Morris, John JPresident & COODirectSell3092026245.077,9791,955,41424,177,626Form
3Reed, David LEVP & CFODirectSell3032026242.65215,0962,109,503Form
4Stith, Kimberly GSVP - Chief HR OfficerDirectSell3032026243.13215,1061,148,469Form
5Watson, Michael JSr. VP-Chief Customer OfficerDirectSell3032026241.8117,2514,171,51110,675,135Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Carrasco, RafaelSVP of Enterprise StrategyDirectSell6082026220.472,655585,3353,425,969Form
2Morris, John JPresident & COODirectSell3092026245.077,9791,955,41424,177,626Form
3Reed, David LEVP & CFODirectSell3032026242.65215,0962,109,503Form
4Stith, Kimberly GSVP - Chief HR OfficerDirectSell3032026243.13215,1061,148,469Form
5Watson, Michael JSr. VP-Chief Customer OfficerDirectSell3032026241.8117,2514,171,51110,675,135Form
6Hemmer, Tara JSVP & Chief Sustainability OffDirectSell3032026241.834,8181,165,13719,084,638Form
7Reed, David LEVP & CFODirectSell2272026229.67378,4982,008,628Form
8Carroll, John AVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell2272026229.47378,4911,884,518Form
9Smith, Donald JSr. VP - OperationsDirectSell2172026233.4812,1942,847,0551,406,484Form
10Carrasco, RafaelSVP of Enterprise StrategyDirectSell2162026234.507,3521,724,0523,644,087Form
11Carroll, John AVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell2112026234.711,021239,6341,950,237Form
12Fish, James C JRChief Executive OfficerDirectSell2102026230.875,7061,317,31650,810,385Form
13Fish, James C JRChief Executive OfficerDirectSell2102026230.3630,3907,000,73252,014,353Form
14Fish, James C JRChief Executive OfficerDirectSell2102026230.00657151,11058,922,090Form
15Desantis, Christopher PSVP Operations - EastDirectSell2022026218.8521547,0532,092,397Form
16Hemmer, Tara JSVP & Chief Sustainability OffDirectSell2022026219.71690151,59618,397,125Form
17Watson, Michael JSr. VP-Chief Customer OfficerDirectSell2022026219.79687150,99610,715,926Form
18Smith, Donald JSr. VP - OperationsDirectSell2022026219.59690151,5142,937,169Form
19Stith, Kimberly GSVP - Chief HR OfficerDirectSell2022026219.6515734,4851,048,995Form
20Morris, John JPresident & COODirectSell2022026219.49690151,44523,404,783Form
21Carrasco, RafaelSVP of Enterprise StrategyDirectSell2022026219.01690151,1145,013,415Form
22Boettcher, Charles CEVP, Chief Legal OfficerDirectSell2022026219.32689151,11112,316,880Form
23Reed, David LEVP & CFODirectSell2022026218.6227059,0281,933,200Form
24Carroll, John AVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell2022026219.5722048,3062,048,664Form
25Varkey, JohnsonSVP-Chief Information OfficerDirectSell2022026219.6342894,0042,245,501Form
26Carrasco, RafaelSVP of Enterprise StrategyDirectSell11202025217.061,380299,5433,373,056Form
27Menke, Sean E ASM Assets, LPBuy11042025196.422,000392,8401,436,617Form
28Stith, Kimberly GSVP - Chief HR OfficerDirectSell9042025225.1910022,520920,926Form
29Carrasco, RafaelSVP of Enterprise StrategyDirectSell6022025240.001,941465,8404,060,738Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 31, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Gates Foundation Trust$6.4 Bil20.1%22Hold13F
Ycg, LLC$50.7 Mil4.6%42TRIM -10.1%13F
Westchester Capital Management, Inc.$20.8 Mil4.2%45Hold13F
Mirova US LLC$313.0 Mil3.6%42Hold13F
HFR Wealth Management, LLC$13.1 Mil3.2%49Hold13F
Partners Group Holding AG$40.0 Mil3.0%50Hold13F
Locust Wood Capital Advisers, LLC$94.6 Mil2.6%27TRIM -8.1%13F
TSP Capital Management Group, LLC$9.5 Mil2.3%45Hold13F
Blue Whale Capital LLP$46.8 Mil2.2%26New13F
Fundsmith Investment Services LTD.$16.2 Mil0.4%24Hold13F
Skye Global Management LP$13.1 Mil0.3%44New13F
Woodbridge Co Ltd$19.0 Mil0.1%46New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Blue Whale Capital LLP$46.8 Mil2.2%26New13F
Woodbridge Co Ltd$19.0 Mil0.1%46New13F
Skye Global Management LP$13.1 Mil0.3%44New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
KADENSA CAPITAL Ltd$20.4 Mil2.1%43ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Ycg, LLC$50.7 Mil4.6%42TRIM -10.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Locust Wood Capital Advisers, LLC$94.6 Mil2.6%27TRIM -8.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Gates Foundation Trust$6.4 Bil20.1%22Hold13F
Mirova US LLC$313.0 Mil3.6%42Hold13F
Locust Wood Capital Advisers, LLC$94.6 Mil2.6%27TRIM -8.1%13F
Ycg, LLC$50.7 Mil4.6%42TRIM -10.1%13F
Blue Whale Capital LLP$46.8 Mil2.2%26New13F
Partners Group Holding AG$40.0 Mil3.0%50Hold13F
Westchester Capital Management, Inc.$20.8 Mil4.2%45Hold13F
Woodbridge Co Ltd$19.0 Mil0.1%46New13F
Fundsmith Investment Services LTD.$16.2 Mil0.4%24Hold13F
HFR Wealth Management, LLC$13.1 Mil3.2%49Hold13F
Skye Global Management LP$13.1 Mil0.3%44New13F
TSP Capital Management Group, LLC$9.5 Mil2.3%45Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/30/2026