Ferguson Enterprises (FERG)


Market Price (8/20/2026): $243.75 | Market Cap: $47.2 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG)


Market Price (8/20/2026): $243.75
Market Cap: $47.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.4 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%

Key risks
FERG key risks include [1] high susceptibility to cyclical construction and housing markets, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%
1 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -56%
5 Key risks
FERG key risks include [1] high susceptibility to cyclical construction and housing markets, Show more.

FERG in ETFs

Weight = FERG's share of each fund

SPY0.07%
IVV0.07%
VTI0.06%
ITOT0.06%
IWB0.07%
RSP0.18%
VTV0.17%
VYM0.18%
+27 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/12/2026

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) stock has lost about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Valuation premium and subsequent profit-taking. Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) was trading at a trailing earnings multiple of roughly 27x to 30x, significantly above its 5-year median, making it appear overvalued. For instance, on August 11, 2026, it was assessed as 10.3% overvalued with a GF Value™ of $239.19 against a market price of $263.78. This elevated valuation led to profit-taking by short-term traders and institutional investors, especially after a recent run-up driven by positive catalysts like the S&P 500 inclusion on August 5, 2026, resulting in a "sell-the-news" response despite solid operational performance.

2. Increased debt and integration risks from a major acquisition. The company's announcement in August 2026 of an agreement to acquire FloWorks for approximately $1.6 billion, a deal roughly four times its typical annual M&A spend, raised concerns about increased leverage. Total debt rose to $4.9 billion, and the acquisition was expected to increase leverage to about 1.8x, introducing potential pressure from higher interest expenses, such as a 5.600% coupon on 2036 notes, and heightened operational integration and capital deployment risks.

Show more
Updated on 8/12/2026

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) stock has lost about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Valuation premium and subsequent profit-taking. Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) was trading at a trailing earnings multiple of roughly 27x to 30x, significantly above its 5-year median, making it appear overvalued. For instance, on August 11, 2026, it was assessed as 10.3% overvalued with a GF Value™ of $239.19 against a market price of $263.78. This elevated valuation led to profit-taking by short-term traders and institutional investors, especially after a recent run-up driven by positive catalysts like the S&P 500 inclusion on August 5, 2026, resulting in a "sell-the-news" response despite solid operational performance.

2. Increased debt and integration risks from a major acquisition. The company's announcement in August 2026 of an agreement to acquire FloWorks for approximately $1.6 billion, a deal roughly four times its typical annual M&A spend, raised concerns about increased leverage. Total debt rose to $4.9 billion, and the acquisition was expected to increase leverage to about 1.8x, introducing potential pressure from higher interest expenses, such as a 5.600% coupon on 2036 notes, and heightened operational integration and capital deployment risks.

3. Significant decline in operating cash flow. Despite reporting adjusted diluted earnings per share of $3.39 for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), which beat consensus estimates, Ferguson's operating cash flow substantially decreased to $716 million. This represented a decline of approximately $400 million year-over-year, mainly due to increased investment in working capital to support growth and the timing of tax payments. The fiscal Q2 2026 results were reported on August 10, 2026.

4. Analyst downgrade and reduced price target. On July 6, 2026, Goldman Sachs downgraded Ferguson from a "buy" rating to "neutral" and concurrently lowered its price objective for the stock from $315.00 to $265.00. This significant reduction in outlook from a major financial institution contributed to negative investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.8% change in FERG stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268192026Change
Stock Price ($)266.68243.19-8.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31,15932,8895.6%
Net Income Margin (%)6.3%7.1%13.8%
P/E Multiple26.820.0-25.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1961941.3%
Cumulative Contribution-8.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FERG-8.8% 
Market (SPY)7.0%38.0%
Sector (XLI)4.2%55.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.9% change in FERG stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -20.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268192026Change
Stock Price ($)250.56243.19-2.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)31,15932,8895.6%
Net Income Margin (%)6.3%7.1%13.8%
P/E Multiple25.120.0-20.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1961941.3%
Cumulative Contribution-2.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FERG-2.9% 
Market (SPY)11.4%50.4%
Sector (XLI)10.3%66.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 10.6% change in FERG stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 34.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120258192026Change
Stock Price ($)219.95243.1910.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)30,21132,8898.9%
Net Income Margin (%)5.3%7.1%34.3%
P/E Multiple27.120.0-26.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1981942.4%
Cumulative Contribution10.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FERG10.6% 
Market (SPY)22.7%48.1%
Sector (XLI)20.9%62.1%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FERG  
Market (SPY)73.9%51.7%
Sector (XLI)71.6%60.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FERG Return----19%30%11%17%
Peers Return33%-9%63%24%-1%16%183%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FERG Win Rate---20%67%62% 
Peers Win Rate65%37%70%65%50%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FERG Max Drawdown-----20%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-26%-14%-21%-27%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WSO, CNM, GWW, AIT, FAST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/19/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventFERGS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-18.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven37 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-10.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.2%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven110 days18 days

Compare to WSO, CNM, GWW, AIT, FAST

In The Past

Ferguson Enterprises's stock fell -18.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

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Compare to WSO, CNM, GWW, AIT, FAST

In The Past

Ferguson Enterprises's stock fell -18.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ferguson Enterprises (FERG)

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) is a leading distributor of plumbing and heating products across North America. The company provides a comprehensive range of expertise, solutions, and products primarily to residential and non-residential customers. Its core offerings include critical components for infrastructure, standard plumbing supplies, appliances, fire suppression systems, and HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) solutions.

Beyond these foundational categories, Ferguson also supplies specialist water and wastewater treatment products to contractors, and offers pipe, valves, and fittings (PVF) solutions to industrial clients. The company distinguishes itself through customized services such as virtual design, fabrication, pre-assembly, installation, and comprehensive project management. Additionally, it provides robust after-sales support, including warranty services, credit management, and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) support.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Ferguson Enterprises:

  • Grainger for plumbing, HVAC, and infrastructure supplies.

  • The professional's Home Depot for plumbing, HVAC, and specialized construction materials.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Plumbing Products: Distribution of various components for plumbing systems.
  • Heating Products: Distribution of products for heating systems.
  • Infrastructure Products: Materials and solutions for large-scale infrastructure projects.
  • Appliances: Supply of residential and non-residential appliances.
  • Fire Protection Products: Distribution of equipment and systems for fire safety.
  • HVAC Products: Supply of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems and components.
  • Water and Wastewater Treatment Products: Specialist products for water purification and wastewater management.
  • Pipe, Valves, and Fittings: Components used primarily in industrial fluid handling and process systems.
  • Virtual Design Services: Custom design solutions leveraging virtual tools for project planning.
  • Fabrication Services: Custom manufacturing and assembly of specialized components.
  • Valve Actuation Services: Solutions and support for automated valve systems.
  • Pre-Assembly and Kitting Services: Preparing and packaging multiple product components for streamlined installation.
  • Installation Services: Professional setup and integration of sold products.
  • Project Management Services: Comprehensive oversight and coordination for customer projects from start to finish.
  • After-Sales Support: Services encompassing warranty, credit, project-based billing, returns, maintenance, and repair and operations support.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) sells primarily to other companies, rather than individuals. Based on the company description, its major customer categories are:

  • Residential, Commercial, and Infrastructure Contractors: This broad category includes businesses involved in building, renovation, and maintenance projects. Specifically, this encompasses plumbing contractors, HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) contractors, fire protection contractors, general contractors, and those specializing in water and wastewater treatment infrastructure projects.

  • Industrial Customers: These are businesses that purchase pipe, valves, and fittings solutions for their various industrial operational needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Kevin Murphy, President & Chief Executive Officer

Kevin Murphy was appointed CEO of Ferguson Enterprises in August 2017 and assumed the CEO role for Ferguson plc in 2019. He joined Ferguson in 1999 as an operations manager following the acquisition of his family's business, Midwest Pipe and Supply, by Ferguson. Throughout his tenure, he progressed through various leadership positions, including general manager, area manager, business group manager for Waterworks, vice president of Waterworks, and Chief Operating Officer from 2007 to 2017. Mr. Murphy holds a B.S. in Business and Marketing from Miami University. He also serves as an independent director of Pool Corporation.

Bill Brundage, Chief Financial Officer

Bill Brundage was appointed CFO of Ferguson Enterprises in March 2017 and subsequently became Group Chief Financial Officer and an Executive Director in November 2020. He joined Ferguson in 2003 as a manager of finance. Prior to his current role, he served as corporate controller, vice president of finance (2008-2016), and senior vice president of finance (2016-2017). Before joining Ferguson, Mr. Brundage spent five years as a senior associate at PricewaterhouseCoopers. He is a graduate of the University of Virginia and is a certified public accountant.

Alex Hutcherson, Chief Operating Officer

Alex Hutcherson was appointed Chief Operating Officer in August 2017. He began his career with Ferguson in 1988 as a Trainee. Over his more than 29 years with the company, he has held numerous positions, including Branch Manager, General Manager, and Area Manager. In 2012, Mr. Hutcherson was promoted to Vice President of HVAC, and in 2016, he became Senior Vice President of HVAC. He is a graduate of Old Dominion University.

Bill Thees, Chief Operating Officer

Bill Thees was named Chief Operating Officer in February 2025. He started his career at Ferguson in 1990 as a trainee in the Orlando, FL Waterworks location. Throughout his tenure, he has held various key positions, including Branch Manager, General Manager, and District Manager. Mr. Thees took leadership of the Waterworks Business in 2007 and was promoted to Vice President in 2009. Prior to his current role, he served as Senior Vice President of Business and Sales from August 2018 to July 2024, and then Senior Vice President from August 2024 to February 2025.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Ferguson Enterprises' business include its sensitivity to macroeconomic conditions, the level of its debt, and intense competition within its markets.

  1. Macroeconomic Sensitivity: Ferguson's financial performance is closely linked to the health of the construction industry, which is inherently cyclical and sensitive to broader economic fluctuations. A downturn in either residential or non-residential construction markets could significantly impact the company's sales and overall operations.
  2. Debt Level: The company has been noted to have a significant level of debt, which could heighten its sensitivity to any deceleration in revenue or earnings growth. Servicing and eventually reducing this debt is dependent on the company's sustained profitability and strong cash generation. Additionally, rising interest rates could adversely affect free cash flow.
  3. Competition: Ferguson operates in highly competitive markets where both new and existing competitors are continually expanding their capabilities. The company must consistently innovate and adapt to maintain its market position against rivals, some of whom may possess greater resources or more advanced technological solutions. This competitive landscape also includes large retailers like The Home Depot Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Ferguson Enterprises Addressable Market Sizes

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) operates within several substantial addressable markets in North America:

  • Plumbing Products: The North America plumbing fixtures market size was valued at USD 29.15 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 45.76 billion by 2030. Additionally, the North America plumbing parts market was valued at USD 11.28 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 15.79 billion by 2029.
  • Heating Products: The North America heating appliances market size was USD 19.95 billion in 2025. The U.S. heating equipment market is projected to grow from USD 18.50 billion in 2023 to USD 34.79 billion by 2032.
  • Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC): The North America HVAC system market was valued at USD 48.89 billion in 2024, and is expected to reach USD 65.36 billion by 2030. The North America HVAC services market size was estimated at USD 39.41 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 50.36 billion by 2030.
  • Appliances: The North America home appliances market size was valued at USD 171.83 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 315.22 billion by 2034.
  • Fire Protection Systems: The North America fire protection system market size was valued at USD 29.09 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to grow to USD 43.34 billion by 2033.
  • Water and Wastewater Treatment Products (Infrastructure): The North America water and wastewater treatment market was approximately USD 152.3 billion in 2024. Specifically, the U.S. water and wastewater treatment market size was valued at USD 121.85 billion in 2024 and is expected to be worth around USD 238.36 billion by 2034.
  • Pipe, Valves, and Fittings (PVF): The North America pipe fittings market was valued at USD 5.70 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 8.76 billion by 2030. The broader North America piping and fittings market size is forecast to increase by USD 16.6 billion between 2024 and 2029.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:

  1. Growth and Market Share Gains in Non-Residential End Markets: Ferguson anticipates continued robust performance in its non-residential sectors. The company has demonstrated strong growth in these markets, with non-residential revenue increasing significantly, and expects to continue outperforming in this segment.
  2. Strategic Acquisitions to Consolidate Fragmented Markets: Acquisitions are a consistent component of Ferguson's growth strategy. The company has a robust M&A pipeline and actively acquires businesses to expand its reach and consolidate the highly fragmented distribution markets in which it operates, contributing to overall revenue growth.
  3. Organic Growth through Market Outperformance and Value-Added Solutions: Ferguson focuses on achieving organic growth by outperforming the broader market, even in challenging conditions. This includes effective pricing strategies, increasing sales volume, and delivering value-added solutions and expertise to its customers, encompassing virtual design, fabrication, installation, and project management services.
  4. Capitalizing on Multi-Year Structural Tailwinds: The company is strategically positioned to leverage long-term industry trends, such as increased infrastructure spending and the demand for essential water and air solutions. Ferguson aims to capitalize on these multi-year structural tailwinds, particularly in non-residential megaprojects, driving sustained demand for its specialized products and services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Ferguson completed a multi-year US$4.49 billion share repurchase program, including US$248.45 million in buybacks in the latest tranche as of February 2026.
  • The company repurchased $0.9 billion of its outstanding shares during calendar year 2025, with an approximate balance of $0.6 billion remaining under the current share repurchase program at December 31, 2025.
  • Ferguson has an active $4.0 billion share repurchase program.

Share Issuance

  • Ferguson's shares outstanding have shown a decline over the last few years, indicating net repurchases rather than significant issuances. For instance, shares outstanding declined by 2.11% in 2025 from 2024, and by 1.79% in 2024 from 2023.

Inbound Investments

  • Vanguard Group Inc. acquired 181,954 shares of Ferguson Enterprises Inc. on February 27, 2026, at $260.76 per share, increasing its total holdings to 19,600,288 shares.
  • Quantitative Investment Management LLC acquired a new position of 8,632 shares in Ferguson in the third quarter (likely 2025), valued at approximately $1,938,000.
  • Institutional investors collectively own approximately 81.98% of Ferguson's stock.

Outbound Investments

  • Ferguson has a strong track record of acquisitions, completing approximately 50 in the last five years to strengthen its geographic footprint and capabilities.
  • In the fiscal year ending July 31, 2025, Ferguson closed nine acquisitions with aggregate annualized revenues of approximately $300 million.
  • During the fiscal year ending July 31, 2024, the company closed eight acquisitions with aggregate annualized revenues of approximately $350 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Ferguson projects capital expenditures between $350 million and $400 million for fiscal year 2026, aimed at enhancing operational capabilities and future growth.
  • In calendar year 2025, the company invested $0.4 billion in capital expenditures.
  • For the three months ended October 31, 2025, capital expenditures totaled $118 million, primarily allocated to strategic projects such as new market distribution centers, the branch network, and new technology.

Better Bets vs. Ferguson Enterprises (FERG)

Peer Outperformance in Building Products

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Share of Building Products constituents that FERG has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
78%
of 36 industry peers · 6.3% return
3Y
insufficient peer history
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Building Products is FERG's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 31.4%131.6%210.1% CDNL 3233% · STRL 2335% · FIX 2227%
Marine Transportation 4 71.1%64.1%165.0% MATX 218% · SFL 167% · KEX 163%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 11.6%58.6%122.8% CAT 334% · ALSN 260% · WAB 251%
Aerospace & Defense 55 17.3%84.8%88.8% DFNS 2609% · ATI 1117% · FTAI 999%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -9.7%56.6%65.8% UBER 95% · CAR 66% · LYFT -62%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 11.2%56.3%50.3% CRS 1580% · PSIX 869% · GHM 780%
Trading Companies & Distributors 18 5.9%36.1%47.9% DXPE 545% · AIT 314% · URI 251%
Rail Transportation 7 37.9%71.4%46.4% FSTR 114% · CSX 61% · UNP 51%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 42.5%11.5%45.9% XPO 283% · R 278% · CVLG 218%
Diversified Support Services 34 12.0%37.8%40.3% LIME 4287% · TH 391% · WLFC 363%
Electrical Components & Equipment 40 27.8%40.6%35.9% POWL 2456% · BE 933% · ELVA 917%
Building Products ← 33 -4.5%21.5%33.4% GFF 438% · LMB 435% · PPIH 281%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 24.1%24.2%11.1% RCMT 788% · TTI 192% · CSW 155%
Office Services & Supplies 10 17.0%28.8%5.6% TILE 200% · PBI 166% · EBF 59%
Environmental & Facilities Services 28 -6.7%15.9%3.2% CECO 935% · ADUR 630% · NVRI 306%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -5.4%-17.8%-2.8% HURN 219% · CRAI 96% · GRNQ 71%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 -6.9%-15.5%-18.0% BLBD 202% · DE 76% · GENC 67%
Passenger Airlines 11 9.1%-5.7%-24.1% LTM 2416% · UAL 163% · SKYW 155%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -30.8%-9.6%-25.2% EXLS 54% · BR 10% · G -25%
Human Resource & Employment Services 21 12.3%-20.6%-34.5% BBSI 87% · ADP 46% · KFY 38%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -13.1%-24.2%-35.9% CHRW 84% · FDX 70% · EXPD 61%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -28.4%-16.1%-44.8% CIX 118% · MG 101% · BCO 50%
Airport Services 3 -67.1%-67.5%-57.1% JOBY -22% · ASLE -57% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FERGWSOCNMGWWAITFASTMedian
NameFerguson.Watsco Core & M.W.W. Gra.Applied .Fastenal  
Mkt Price243.19319.6445.291,306.95346.1951.44281.41
Mkt Cap47.112.28.561.712.859.029.9
Rev LTM32,8897,2847,64618,8454,9678,7498,198
Op Inc LTM3,2126647282,7455491,7751,252
FCF LTM1,2656976081,5104611,156926
FCF 3Y Avg1,5806247261,5594241,059893
CFO LTM1,6877336552,1754841,3991,066
CFO 3Y Avg1,9496577672,1454491,2851,026

Growth & Margins

FERGWSOCNMGWWAITFASTMedian
NameFerguson.Watsco Core & M.W.W. Gra.Applied .Fastenal  
Rev Chg LTM8.9%-3.0%0.5%7.8%8.8%12.5%8.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.3%0.6%5.0%5.6%4.1%6.6%4.5%
Rev Chg Q14.8%2.1%-0.1%10.3%10.4%14.7%10.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%0.6%-0.0%2.5%2.6%3.6%2.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM25.0%-11.3%0.8%2.8%10.2%13.6%6.5%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg5.3%-5.0%-2.1%3.3%5.2%5.9%4.3%
Op Mgn LTM9.8%9.1%9.5%14.6%11.1%20.3%10.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.1%9.7%9.9%15.0%11.0%20.3%10.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.5%0.1%0.3%0.2%0.0%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM5.1%10.1%8.6%11.5%9.7%16.0%9.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.4%8.9%10.6%12.2%9.6%16.1%10.1%
FCF/Rev LTM3.8%9.6%8.0%8.0%9.3%13.2%8.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.2%8.4%10.0%8.9%9.1%13.3%9.0%

Valuation

FERGWSOCNMGWWAITFASTMedian
NameFerguson.Watsco Core & M.W.W. Gra.Applied .Fastenal  
Mkt Cap47.112.28.561.712.859.029.9
P/S1.41.71.13.32.66.72.1
P/Op Inc14.718.411.722.523.333.320.4
P/EBIT14.818.411.622.322.833.220.3
P/E20.025.619.033.030.843.728.2
P/CFO27.916.613.028.426.442.227.2
Total Yield6.4%8.0%5.3%3.8%3.8%4.1%4.7%
Dividend Yield1.4%4.1%0.0%0.8%0.6%1.8%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.7%7.4%3.1%4.5%2.4%3.7%
D/E0.10.00.30.00.00.00.0
Net D/E0.10.00.30.00.00.00.0

Returns

FERGWSOCNMGWWAITFASTMedian
NameFerguson.Watsco Core & M.W.W. Gra.Applied .Fastenal  
1M Rtn6.2%-13.8%3.3%-4.5%3.2%15.6%3.3%
3M Rtn7.8%-16.6%-3.9%5.3%13.2%18.4%6.5%
6M Rtn-5.8%-22.5%-20.3%15.7%24.3%13.1%3.7%
12M Rtn6.3%-22.3%-30.5%32.4%32.6%5.3%5.8%
3Y Rtn16.2%0.5%44.1%90.5%139.4%92.3%67.3%
1M Excs Rtn4.7%-16.9%1.8%-6.5%-1.0%12.3%0.4%
3M Excs Rtn4.9%-21.5%-4.2%0.4%9.7%13.9%2.7%
6M Excs Rtn-17.8%-34.5%-32.4%3.7%12.3%1.1%-8.3%
12M Excs Rtn-12.7%-40.7%-49.7%15.2%13.3%-12.5%-12.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-55.5%-75.8%-30.3%15.6%56.3%19.8%-7.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment30,76229,63529,73428,566
Total30,76229,63529,73428,566


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$243.19 
Market Cap ($ Bil)47.3 
First Trading Date08/01/2024 
Distance from 52W High-8.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$236.48$239.48
DMA Trendindeterminateindeterminate
Distance from DMA2.8%1.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility32.4%31.5%
Downside Capture80.14123.26
Upside Capture100.85103.05
Correlation (SPY)44.1%48.8%
FERG Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.560.820.701.071.11-0.01
Up Beta-0.230.380.421.451.36-0.05
Down Beta0.381.100.901.211.09-0.18
Up Capture74%101%30%67%95%47%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days11202557128251
Down Capture95%72%108%105%108%96%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days11223768123248

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FERG
FERG6.9%31.5%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLI)21.8%17.1%0.9962.4%
Equity (SPY)20.7%12.8%1.1948.8%
Gold (GLD)35.0%28.8%1.0418.6%
Commodities (DBC)41.4%20.2%1.60-13.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.3%13.9%0.7832.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.7%42.7%-1.2715.8%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FERG
FERG3.0%33.1%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.2%17.6%0.5860.2%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5951.7%
Gold (GLD)20.4%18.6%0.8910.0%
Commodities (DBC)9.8%19.6%0.391.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.4%18.9%0.0340.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.2%52.6%0.3221.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FERG
FERG1.5%33.1%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.0%20.0%0.6160.2%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7251.7%
Gold (GLD)12.5%16.2%0.6310.0%
Commodities (DBC)7.9%18.1%0.351.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2040.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.0%66.0%1.0021.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-7.4%
Average Daily Volume1.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity193.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/19/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/20262.8%-4.6% 
5/5/2026-3.1%-6.4%-13.0%
2/24/20264.2%2.3%-9.8%
12/9/2025-8.0%-8.3%-6.3%
6/3/202517.2%18.6%23.3%
3/11/2025-5.2%-1.8%-10.1%
12/10/2024-10.5%-14.7%-21.7%
9/17/20245.0%1.5%1.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive432
# Negative455
Median Positive4.6%2.3%12.6%
Median Negative-6.6%-6.4%-10.1%
Max Positive17.2%18.6%23.3%
Max Negative-10.5%-14.7%-21.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/10/20262.8%-4.6% 
5/5/2026-3.1%-6.4%-13.0%
2/24/20264.2%2.3%-9.8%
12/9/2025-8.0%-8.3%-6.3%
6/3/202517.2%18.6%23.3%
3/11/2025-5.2%-1.8%-10.1%
12/10/2024-10.5%-14.7%-21.7%
9/17/20245.0%1.5%1.9%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive432
# Negative455
Median Positive4.6%2.3%12.6%
Median Negative-6.6%-6.4%-10.1%
Max Positive17.2%18.6%23.3%
Max Negative-10.5%-14.7%-21.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/2026Annual
10/31/202512/09/202510-Q
07/31/202509/26/202510-K
04/30/202506/03/202510-Q
01/31/202503/11/2025Quarterly
10/31/202412/10/202410-Q
07/31/202409/25/2024Annual
04/30/202406/05/202410-Q
01/31/202403/06/2024Quarterly
10/31/202312/06/202310-Q
07/31/202309/26/202310-K
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202303/08/202310-Q
10/31/202212/08/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/10/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202502/27/2026Annual
10/31/202512/09/202510-Q
07/31/202509/26/202510-K
04/30/202506/03/202510-Q
01/31/202503/11/2025Quarterly
10/31/202412/10/202410-Q
07/31/202409/25/2024Annual
04/30/202406/05/202410-Q
01/31/202403/06/2024Quarterly
10/31/202312/06/202310-Q
07/31/202309/26/202310-K
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202303/08/202310-Q
10/31/202212/08/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/11/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net sales growth 5.0%    
2026 Adjusted operating margin9.5%9.65%9.8% 0.0%RaisedGuidance: 9.6% for 2026
2026 Interest expense 200.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 200.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures375.00 Mil400.00 Mil425.00 Mil6.7% RaisedGuidance: 375.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted effective tax rate 26.0%  0AffirmedGuidance: 26.0% for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net sales      
2026 Adjusted operating margin9.4%9.6%9.8% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 9.6% for 2026
2026 Interest expense 200.00 Mil 0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 200.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures350.00 Mil375.00 Mil400.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 375.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted effective tax rate 26.0%  0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 26.0% for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net sales     Higher NewGuidance: 0.05 for 2025
2026 Adjusted operating margin9.4%9.6%9.8% 0.1%RaisedGuidance: 9.5% for 2025
2026 Interest expense 200.00 Mil 5.3% RaisedGuidance: 190.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital expenditures350.00 Mil375.00 Mil400.00 Mil7.1% RaisedGuidance: 350.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted effective tax rate 26.0%  0AffirmedGuidance: 26.0% for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 5/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Winckler, RichardChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell10172025241.798320,069384,938Form
2Graham, Ian TSee RemarksDirectSell10172025239.33606145,0321,846,165Form
3Winckler, RichardChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell10152025232.701,034240,612339,277Form
4Paisley, James ASee RemarksDirectSell10152025236.973,000710,906523,938Form
5Stirrup, AllisonChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell10152025234.23969226,9691,184,734Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Winckler, RichardChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell10172025241.798320,069384,938Form
2Graham, Ian TSee RemarksDirectSell10172025239.33606145,0321,846,165Form
3Winckler, RichardChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell10152025232.701,034240,612339,277Form
4Paisley, James ASee RemarksDirectSell10152025236.973,000710,906523,938Form
5Stirrup, AllisonChief Human Resources OfficerDirectSell10152025234.23969226,9691,184,734Form
6Murphy, Kevin MichaelSee RemarksDirectSell10152025234.138,8002,060,34937,444,741Form
7Schlicher, JakeSVP of Strategic DevelopmentDirectSell10152025233.523,000700,5492,720,698Form
8Graham, Ian TSee RemarksDirectSell10152025233.224,8641,134,3821,811,886Form
9Camposano, Robert Anthony JRSenior VP - WaterworksDirectSell10152025233.231,600373,1741,925,347Form
10Thees, William T JRSenior Vice PresidentDirectSell10152025234.552,308541,3416,964,728Form
11Brundage, WilliamChief Financial OfficerDirectSell10152025233.323,000699,96912,280,023Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 20, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
MBB Public Markets I LLC$123.1 Mil14.7%24ADD +12.8%13F
Foxhaven Asset Management, LP$320.6 Mil10.1%14TRIM -8.3%13F
59 North Capital Management, LP$332.9 Mil9.9%17ADD +13.7%13F
Lionstone Capital Management LLC$37.6 Mil9.1%12Hold13F
GFI Investment Counsel Ltd.$61.3 Mil8.4%24New13F
Manchester Global Management (UK) Ltd$57.8 Mil7.7%23TRIM -10.2%13F
Crow's Nest Holdings LP$28.2 Mil6.6%11TRIM -37.9%13F
Durable Capital Partners LP$511.3 Mil5.3%37ADD +40.4%13F
Rivermont Capital Management LP$24.0 Mil5.1%20ADD +24.1%13F
Soroban Capital Partners LP$559.4 Mil4.0%27TRIM -19.5%13F
Dudley & Shanley, Inc.$24.3 Mil4.0%38Hold13F
Eminence Capital, LP$150.6 Mil3.5%33ADD +29.2%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$140.0 Mil2.9%41Hold13F
2Xideas AG$6.8 Mil2.7%47TRIM -14.0%13F
One Madison Group LLC$18.7 Mil2.2%28New13F
Wilson Asset Management (International) PTY LTD$7.5 Mil2.1%43New13F
XN LP$57.2 Mil2.1%23ADD +15.5%13F
Albar Capital Partners LLP$10.4 Mil1.7%36New13F
Egerton Capital (UK) LLP$147.9 Mil1.6%24TRIM -37.1%13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$22.5 Mil1.3%49TRIM -60.7%13F
Skye Global Management LP$49.0 Mil1.1%44ADD +59.1%13F
Paradice Investment Management LLC$5.6 Mil1.1%23New13F
D1 Capital Partners L.P.$81.5 Mil0.7%44New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
D1 Capital Partners L.P.$81.5 Mil0.7%44New13F
GFI Investment Counsel Ltd.$61.3 Mil8.4%24New13F
One Madison Group LLC$18.7 Mil2.2%28New13F
Albar Capital Partners LLP$10.4 Mil1.7%36New13F
Wilson Asset Management (International) PTY LTD$7.5 Mil2.1%43New13F
Paradice Investment Management LLC$5.6 Mil1.1%23New13F
Skye Global Management LP$49.0 Mil1.1%44ADD +59.1%13F
Durable Capital Partners LP$511.3 Mil5.3%37ADD +40.4%13F
Eminence Capital, LP$150.6 Mil3.5%33ADD +29.2%13F
Rivermont Capital Management LP$24.0 Mil5.1%20ADD +24.1%13F
XN LP$57.2 Mil2.1%23ADD +15.5%13F
59 North Capital Management, LP$332.9 Mil9.9%17ADD +13.7%13F
MBB Public Markets I LLC$123.1 Mil14.7%24ADD +12.8%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Makena Capital Management LLC$19.4 Mil2.3%26ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$22.5 Mil1.3%49TRIM -60.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Crow's Nest Holdings LP$28.2 Mil6.6%11TRIM -37.9%Mar 31, 202613F
Egerton Capital (UK) LLP$147.9 Mil1.6%24TRIM -37.1%Mar 31, 202613F
Soroban Capital Partners LP$559.4 Mil4.0%27TRIM -19.5%Mar 31, 202613F
2Xideas AG$6.8 Mil2.7%47TRIM -14.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Manchester Global Management (UK) Ltd$57.8 Mil7.7%23TRIM -10.2%Mar 31, 202613F
Foxhaven Asset Management, LP$320.6 Mil10.1%14TRIM -8.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Soroban Capital Partners LP$559.4 Mil4.0%27TRIM -19.5%13F
Durable Capital Partners LP$511.3 Mil5.3%37ADD +40.4%13F
59 North Capital Management, LP$332.9 Mil9.9%17ADD +13.7%13F
Foxhaven Asset Management, LP$320.6 Mil10.1%14TRIM -8.3%13F
Eminence Capital, LP$150.6 Mil3.5%33ADD +29.2%13F
Egerton Capital (UK) LLP$147.9 Mil1.6%24TRIM -37.1%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$140.0 Mil2.9%41Hold13F
MBB Public Markets I LLC$123.1 Mil14.7%24ADD +12.8%13F
D1 Capital Partners L.P.$81.5 Mil0.7%44New13F
GFI Investment Counsel Ltd.$61.3 Mil8.4%24New13F
Manchester Global Management (UK) Ltd$57.8 Mil7.7%23TRIM -10.2%13F
XN LP$57.2 Mil2.1%23ADD +15.5%13F
Skye Global Management LP$49.0 Mil1.1%44ADD +59.1%13F
Lionstone Capital Management LLC$37.6 Mil9.1%12Hold13F
Crow's Nest Holdings LP$28.2 Mil6.6%11TRIM -37.9%13F
Dudley & Shanley, Inc.$24.3 Mil4.0%38Hold13F
Rivermont Capital Management LP$24.0 Mil5.1%20ADD +24.1%13F
Kinetic Partners Management, LP$22.5 Mil1.3%49TRIM -60.7%13F
One Madison Group LLC$18.7 Mil2.2%28New13F
Albar Capital Partners LLP$10.4 Mil1.7%36New13F
Wilson Asset Management (International) PTY LTD$7.5 Mil2.1%43New13F
2Xideas AG$6.8 Mil2.7%47TRIM -14.0%13F
Paradice Investment Management LLC$5.6 Mil1.1%23New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/19/2026