W.W. Grainger (GWW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1020.72 | Market Cap: $48.8 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
W.W. Grainger (GWW)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1020.72Market Cap: $48.8 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16% | Key risksGWW key risks include [1] significant pricing pressure from competitors and large customers in the fragmented MRO market, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 24% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -16% |
| Key risksGWW key risks include [1] significant pricing pressure from competitors and large customers in the fragmented MRO market, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
GWW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The search results show information for W.W. Grainger (GWW) for the requested period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. While the precise 0.9% movement is not directly attributed to specific events, several key points from this period can explain general stock performance and analyst sentiment.
1. W.W. Grainger's stock experienced underperformance compared to the broader market and its sector peers in 2025. On a year-to-date basis, the stock declined by 3.8% as of August 29, 2025, while the S&P 500 Index climbed around 10.6%.
2. Q2 2025 results, released on August 1, 2025, showed a 5.6% year-over-year sales growth and adjusted EPS rose 2.2% annually to $9.97. However, the company trimmed its full-year adjusted EPS guidance due to tariff-related pressures, leading to cautious investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GWW Return | 23% | 29% | 9% | 51% | 28% | -2% | 226% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | � | 25% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GWW Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 48% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GWW Max Drawdown | -38% | -11% | -14% | -3% | -2% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FAST, MSM, WCC, FERG, AIT. See GWW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GWW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -16.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 33 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 136 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 149 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 355 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to FAST, GPC, AIT, PATK, DNOW
In The Past
W.W. Grainger's stock fell -16.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/18/2022. A -16.9% loss requires a 20.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to GWW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | GWW | W.W. Grainger | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 43.0% | 64.2% | -4.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| 03312020 | GWW | W.W. Grainger | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 43.0% | 64.2% | -4.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for W.W. Grainger
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 237.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 28.1 |
| Rev LTM | 12,874 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,414 |
| FCF LTM | 710 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 832 |
| CFO LTM | 847 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 984 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 28.1 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 18.1 |
| P/E | 25.2 |
| P/CFO | 22.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 88.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 8.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-Touch Solutions North America (N.A.) | 13,267 | 12,182 | 10,186 | 9,221 | |
| Endless Assortment | 2,916 | 2,787 | 2,576 | 2,178 | |
| Other net sales | 295 | 259 | 260 | 398 | |
| Single Segment | 11,486 | ||||
| Total | 16,478 | 15,228 | 13,022 | 11,797 | 11,486 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-Touch Solutions North America (N.A.) | 2,334 | 1,983 | 1,334 | 1,182 | |
| Endless Assortment | 233 | 223 | 232 | 166 | |
| Other net sales | -2 | 9 | -19 | -329 | |
| Total | 2,565 | 2,215 | 1,547 | 1,019 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/31/2025 | 2.4% | -0.4% | 0.8% |
| 8/1/2025 | -10.3% | -9.3% | -2.3% |
| 5/1/2025 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 6.4% |
| 1/31/2025 | -5.6% | -7.2% | -11.1% |
| 10/31/2024 | 0.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% |
| 8/1/2024 | -3.5% | -2.6% | -0.7% |
| 4/25/2024 | -1.1% | -4.0% | -0.2% |
| 2/2/2024 | 5.4% | 3.0% | 7.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% |
| Median Negative | -3.6% | -4.4% | -3.3% |
| Max Positive | 13.0% | 11.4% | 20.2% |
| Max Negative | -10.3% | -9.3% | -14.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10282022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | LeRoy Jonny M | SVP, Chief Technology Officer | 9112025 | Sell | 992.36 | 27 | 26,794 | 2,226,856 | Form |
| 1 | Berardinelli Krantz Nancy L | Sr. VP & CLO | 5272025 | Sell | 1075.20 | 280 | 301,056 | 3,622,349 | Form |
| 2 | Thomson Laurie R | VP, Controller | 3122025 | Sell | 1020.07 | 235 | 239,717 | 567,159 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |