W.W. Grainger (GWW)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $1238.84 | Market Cap: $58.6 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
W.W. Grainger (GWW)
Market Price (5/22/2026): $1238.84Market Cap: $58.6 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 2.1 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.2 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.5%, Dist 3Y High is -3.5% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.6% | Key risksGWW key risks include [1] significant pricing pressure from competitors and large customers in the fragmented MRO market, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 2.1 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 3.2 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.5%, Dist 3Y High is -3.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -7.6% |
| Key risksGWW key risks include [1] significant pricing pressure from competitors and large customers in the fragmented MRO market, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong First Quarter 2026 Financial Performance and Upgraded Outlook.
W.W. Grainger significantly exceeded analyst expectations in its first quarter 2026 earnings report, released on May 7, 2026. The company reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $11.65, an 18.2% increase year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate of $10.20 by $1.45. Net sales also rose 10.1% to $4.74 billion, exceeding the $4.57 billion consensus. Following these robust results, Grainger raised its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting net sales of $19.2 billion to $19.6 billion (up from $18.7 billion to $19.1 billion) and diluted adjusted EPS of $44.25 to $46.25 (up from $42.25 to $44.75).
2. Enhanced Shareholder Returns.
The company demonstrated a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, which positively impacted investor sentiment. In the first quarter of 2026, Grainger generated $739 million in operating cash flow and returned $345 million to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share repurchases. Additionally, the board announced a 10% increase in the quarterly dividend to $2.49 per share.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 15.2% change in GWW stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1075.73 | 1239.26 | 15.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 17,750 | 18,378 | 3.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.7% | 9.7% | -0.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.7 | 32.9 | 10.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 47 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 15.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GWW | 15.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.6% | 38.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.4% | 49.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.4% change in GWW stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 972.87 | 1239.26 | 27.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 17,750 | 18,378 | 3.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.7% | 9.7% | -0.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.9 | 32.9 | 22.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 47 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GWW | 27.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 39.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 10.7% | 54.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 22.3% change in GWW stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1013.26 | 1239.26 | 22.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 17,168 | 18,378 | 7.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.1% | 9.7% | -12.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.8 | 32.9 | 27.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49 | 47 | 2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 22.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GWW | 22.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 35.5% | 44.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 31.7% | 54.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 83.3% change in GWW stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 61.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 676.00 | 1239.26 | 83.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,672 | 18,378 | 17.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.6% | 9.7% | -9.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.3 | 32.9 | 61.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 50 | 47 | 6.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 83.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| GWW | 83.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.6% | 48.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 78.3% | 62.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| GWW Return | 29% | 9% | 51% | 28% | -3% | 24% | 224% |
| Peers Return | 35% | -1% | 37% | 3% | 21% | 21% | 176% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| GWW Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 42% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 44% | 60% | 47% | 60% | 72% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| GWW Max Drawdown | -17% | -17% | -15% | -14% | -19% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -17% | -24% | -17% | -23% | -23% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FAST, MSM, WCC, FERG, AIT. See GWW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/21/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | GWW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -11.4% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -12.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 591 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.1% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 175 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -18.8% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.2% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 47 days | 62 days |
In The Past
W.W. Grainger's stock fell -9.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 11.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | GWW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 64 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.7% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 591 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -21.3% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.1% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 175 days | 6 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -23.9% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.5% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 316 days | 15 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -32.7% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 48.5% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
W.W. Grainger's stock fell -9.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 11.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About W.W. Grainger (GWW)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for W.W. Grainger (GWW):
- Amazon for businesses needing industrial and maintenance supplies.
- The Home Depot or Lowe's, but exclusively for businesses and government entities.
- Staples or Office Depot for industrial and maintenance products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
W.W. Grainger (GWW) provides the following major products and services:
- Safety and Security Supplies: Products designed to ensure workplace safety and security.
- Material Handling and Storage Equipment: Equipment used for moving, protecting, storing, and controlling materials throughout a manufacturing, warehousing, distribution, consumption, or disposal process.
- Pumps and Plumbing Equipment: Devices and systems for moving fluids and for water distribution and waste removal.
- Cleaning and Maintenance Supplies: Products used for the upkeep, cleanliness, and general maintenance of facilities.
- Metalworking and Hand Tools: Tools used for shaping or working with metal, as well as general hand-operated implements.
- Inventory Management Services: Services that help businesses track, control, and optimize their stock levels.
- Technical Support Services: Assistance and expertise provided for various products and equipment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlW.W. Grainger (GWW) sells primarily to other companies and institutions, distributing maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) products and services.
Due to the nature of its business as a broad MRO distributor serving a vast and diverse client base, W.W. Grainger does not publicly disclose specific major customer company names. Instead, its customer base can be described by the following categories of organizations it serves:
- Businesses
- Corporations
- Government entities
- Other institutions
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D.G. Macpherson, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
D.G. Macpherson joined W.W. Grainger in 2008, having previously served as a Partner and Managing Director at the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) from 2002 to 2008, where he consulted with Grainger on strategic and operational initiatives. Earlier in his career, he was an operations manager for Rain Bird Sprinkler Manufacturing Company and a test engineer with the U.S. Air Force.
Deidra C. Merriwether, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Deidra Merriwether was appointed CFO in 2021. Before becoming CFO, she held various leadership roles at Grainger, including Senior Vice President and President, North American Sales and Services, and Senior Vice President, Direct Sales and Strategic Initiatives. Prior to joining Grainger, Merriwether worked in various capacities at Sears Holdings, PricewaterhouseCoopers, and Eli Lilly, where she started as an engineer and production leader. She departed Sears Holdings as Chief Operating Officer in 2013.
Paige Robbins, Senior Vice President and President, Grainger Business Unit
Paige Robbins joined Grainger in 2010. Before her tenure at Grainger, she was a Partner and Managing Director at the Boston Consulting Group (BCG), where she focused on industrial companies and provided expertise in areas such as growth, customer segmentation, pricing, profit improvement, supply chain, and merger and acquisition strategies.
Jonny LeRoy, Senior Vice President and Chief Technology Officer
Jonny LeRoy became part of the Grainger team in 2020. Prior to joining Grainger, he had a 15-year career at ThoughtWorks, a global software consultancy, where he served as the Head of Technology for North America. His professional background is rooted in software development and technology consulting.
Nancy Berardinelli-Krantz, Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer
Nancy Berardinelli-Krantz joined W.W. Grainger in January 2023. Before coming to Grainger, she held the position of Senior Vice President and Deputy Chief Legal Officer at Eaton Corporation. Her previous experience includes senior leadership roles at The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company and work at the international law firm of Jones Day. She is also a veteran of the United States Army, Judge Advocate General’s Corps, where she served as a trial attorney and a trial defense counsel.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to W.W. Grainger's business operations include intense industry competition, economic and market volatility, and supply chain disruptions.
Intense Industry Competition
W.W. Grainger operates within a highly competitive maintenance, repair, and operating (MRO) industry. This sector features a diverse range of competitors, including traditional distributors like Fastenal and MSC Industrial Direct, manufacturers, and online retailers such as Amazon Business. This intense competition can exert pressure on Grainger's profitability, market share, and necessitates continuous innovation to maintain its market standing.
Economic and Market Volatility
W.W. Grainger is significantly exposed to economic and market volatility, including factors like inflation, economic downturns, and fluctuating commodity prices. These conditions can lead to increased operating expenses, reduced customer spending on MRO supplies, and compressed profit margins. Management has noted a "muted demand environment" and "sluggish U.S. MRO market conditions," which could impede the company's growth trajectory.
Supply Chain Disruptions
The company's reliance on a global network of suppliers creates vulnerabilities within its supply chain. Disruptions stemming from geopolitical events, natural disasters, or transportation issues can adversely impact product sourcing, delivery, and inventory levels. Such interruptions can lead to increased costs, operational inefficiencies, and potential customer dissatisfaction.
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The clear emerging threat to W.W. Grainger is the expanding presence and capabilities of large online marketplaces, most notably **Amazon Business**. Amazon Business directly competes with Grainger's core MRO distribution business by offering a vast catalog of products, competitive pricing, and robust e-commerce infrastructure, appealing to businesses seeking convenient and cost-effective procurement solutions. This model challenges traditional B2B distributors by leveraging scale, advanced logistics, and a disruptive digital-first approach to capture market share, particularly in the "Endless Assortment" segment of Grainger's business.
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W.W. Grainger (GWW) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Strategic Price Increases: The company anticipates that pricing actions will contribute significantly to overall revenue growth. Price is projected to add more than 3% to total revenue growth in 2026, with approximately 2.5% to 3% stemming from prior year adjustments and ongoing pricing strategies. Grainger aims for price-cost neutrality amidst inflationary pressures, implementing strategic price adjustments to offset rising operational expenses and manage margin compression.
- Continued Growth in the Endless Assortment Segment: The Endless Assortment segment, which includes Zoro.com and MonotaRO.com, is identified as a crucial driver for future growth. This segment demonstrated substantial top-line improvement with daily organic constant currency sales rising 15.6%. For 2026, daily organic constant currency sales growth for the Endless Assortment segment is projected to be between 12.5% and 15%. The company has set ambitious targets for its e-commerce platforms within this segment, aiming for high-teens sales growth in local currency for both Zoro and MonotaRO through 2025.
- Market Share Gains within the High-Touch Solutions North America Segment: W.W. Grainger expects daily constant currency sales growth in its High-Touch Solutions segment to be between 5% and 7.5%. The company's strategy for this segment, which targets larger businesses, focuses on capturing market share by providing advanced MRO solutions and differentiated services. Grainger projects this segment to outgrow the U.S. market by 400 to 500 basis points annually through 2025.
- Leveraging Advanced Digital Capabilities, Data, and AI: W.W. Grainger is increasingly relying on its digital capabilities, data assets, and customer integrations to gain market share, particularly in a slow-growth environment. The company has made significant progress with artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning, utilizing these data assets to support its strategic growth engines and enhance share within the High-Touch Solutions segment. In 2026, AI will be leveraged on the SellerInsights platform to provide actionable insights, identify new customer contacts, and improve leader coaching opportunities.
- Expansion of Supply Chain Capacity and Product Assortment: To support its growth initiatives, Grainger is investing in new supply chain capacity to enhance its service leadership and next-day fulfillment model. This includes plans for a new Northwest facility outside Portland to begin full outbound operations in late 2026, and a Houston facility to start inbound operations in 2027. Furthermore, the company expanded its high-touch product assortment by a net of over 85,000 SKUs in 2025, marking the largest net increase in nearly a decade, contributing to improved customer retention and market share.
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Share Repurchases
- W.W. Grainger repurchased $1.201 billion of its common stock in 2024 and $850 million in 2023.
- For 2025, the company had $1.045 billion in annual share buybacks.
- In April 2024, the board authorized the repurchase of up to 5 million shares of outstanding common stock, replacing previous authorizations, with no expiration date.
Outbound Investments
- In October 2025, Grainger agreed to sell its U.K.-based Cromwell business to AURELIUS, a private equity investor, and announced the proposed closure of its Zoro U.K. business.
- The company expected to record a one-time, non-cash after-tax loss of $190 million to $205 million, primarily in the third quarter of 2025, related to its exit from the U.K. market.
- The most recent acquisition within the last 3-5 years was Merrick Place, a real estate development services provider, acquired in October 2021 for $163 million.
Capital Expenditures
- W.W. Grainger's capital expenditures were $684 million in 2025 and $541 million in 2024.
- For 2025, the company's capital expenditure forecast was updated to a range of $625 million to $675 million.
- These investments primarily focus on expanding supply chain capabilities, including new distribution centers in the U.S. and Japan, and enhancing technology platforms to support future growth.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | GEO | GEO | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | RUN | Sunrun | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04172026 | RSG | Republic Services | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.1% |
| 04102026 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.3% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| 04102026 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -1.0% |
| 03312020 | GWW | W.W. Grainger | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 43.0% | 64.2% | -4.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 264.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.4 |
| Rev LTM | 13,410 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,498 |
| FCF LTM | 801 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 854 |
| CFO LTM | 939 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,015 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 5.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.4 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/Op Inc | 20.0 |
| P/EBIT | 20.4 |
| P/E | 28.3 |
| P/CFO | 26.1 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 28.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 32.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 79.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 14.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-Touch Solutions North America (N.A.) | 13,720 | 13,267 | 12,182 | 10,186 | 9,221 |
| Endless Assortment | 3,134 | 2,916 | 2,787 | 2,576 | 2,178 |
| Other net sales | 314 | 295 | 259 | 260 | 398 |
| Total | 17,168 | 16,478 | 15,228 | 13,022 | 11,797 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High-Touch Solutions North America (N.A.) | 2,385 | 2,334 | 1,983 | 1,334 | 1,182 |
| Endless Assortment | 260 | 233 | 223 | 232 | 166 |
| Other operating earnings | -8 | ||||
| Other net sales | -2 | 9 | -19 | -329 | |
| Total | 2,637 | 2,565 | 2,215 | 1,547 | 1,019 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1,239.26 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 59.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/17/1984 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -3.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1,144.80 | $1,044.44 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 8.3% | 18.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 24.2% | 24.8% |
| Downside Capture | 28.17 | 72.12 |
| Upside Capture | 54.38 | 67.55 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 44.1% | 42.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.78 | 0.77 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| Up Beta | 1.21 | 1.04 | 0.88 | 0.58 | 0.80 | 0.72 |
| Down Beta | -1.44 | 1.11 | 1.82 | 1.39 | 1.37 | 0.59 |
| Up Capture | 53% | 50% | 52% | 78% | 65% | 59% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 20 | 31 | 62 | 128 | 390 |
| Down Capture | -124% | 62% | 27% | 44% | 87% | 93% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 23 | 33 | 63 | 124 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GWW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWW | 14.6% | 24.8% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 20.3% | 15.5% | 1.00 | 52.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.8% | 12.1% | 1.67 | 42.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 37.5% | 26.8% | 1.16 | 10.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 43.5% | 18.6% | 1.80 | -4.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.0% | 13.4% | 0.59 | 34.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.2% | 41.8% | -0.65 | 11.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GWW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWW | 22.9% | 24.6% | 0.81 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 11.9% | 17.4% | 0.53 | 64.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.0% | 0.64 | 53.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.3% | 18.0% | 0.87 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.4% | 0.44 | 9.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 46.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.3% | 55.6% | 0.37 | 13.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with GWW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GWW | 20.3% | 28.5% | 0.69 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.8% | 20.0% | 0.61 | 63.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 56.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.2% | 16.0% | 0.68 | 0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 17.9% | 0.35 | 19.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 45.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.3% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 9.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/8/2026 | -0.4% | 3.4% | |
| 2/3/2026 | 5.4% | 8.8% | 5.0% |
| 10/31/2025 | 2.4% | -0.4% | 0.8% |
| 8/1/2025 | -10.3% | -9.3% | -2.3% |
| 5/1/2025 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 6.4% |
| 1/31/2025 | -5.6% | -7.2% | -11.1% |
| 10/31/2024 | 0.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% |
| 8/1/2024 | -3.5% | -2.6% | -0.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 15 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -4.8% | -2.8% |
| Max Positive | 13.0% | 11.4% | 20.2% |
| Max Negative | -10.3% | -9.3% | -11.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/29/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/3/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 18.70 Bil | 18.90 Bil | 19.10 Bil | 5.6% | Raised | Guidance: 17.90 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 4.2% | 5.45% | 6.7% | 26.7% | 1.2% | Raised | Guidance: 4.3% for 2025 |
| 2026 Daily, organic constant currency sales growth | 6.5% | 7.75% | 9.0% | 63.2% | 3.0% | Raised | Guidance: 4.75% for 2025 |
| 2026 Gross Profit Margin | 39.2% | 39.35% | 39.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | Raised | Guidance: 39.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Operating Margin | 15.4% | 15.65% | 15.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% | Raised | Guidance: 15.1% for 2025 |
| 2026 EPS | 42.2 | 43.5 | 44.8 | 10.5% | Raised | Guidance: 39.4 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Free Cash Flow | 2.12 Bil | 2.23 Bil | 2.33 Bil | 3.5% | Raised | Guidance: 2.15 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 550.00 Mil | 600.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | -7.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 650.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Share Repurchases | 950.00 Mil | 1.00 Bil | 1.05 Bil | -9.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.10 Bil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/31/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 17.80 Bil | 17.90 Bil | 18.00 Bil | -0.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 18.05 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Revenue Growth | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | -16.5% | -0.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 5.15% for 2025 |
| 2025 Operating Margin | 15.0% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | Raised | Guidance: 14.9% for 2025 |
| 2025 EPS | 39 | 39.4 | 39.8 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 39.4 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Free Cash Flow | 2.10 Bil | 2.15 Bil | 2.20 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.15 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 625.00 Mil | 650.00 Mil | 675.00 Mil | 8.3% | Raised | Guidance: 600.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Share Repurchases | 1.05 Bil | 1.10 Bil | 1.15 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.10 Bil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leroy, Jonny M | SVP, Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 5142026 | 1231.06 | 854 | 1,051,327 | 1,913,070 | Form |
| 2 | Thomson, Laurie R | VP, Controller | Direct | Sell | 5142026 | 1231.69 | 313 | 385,519 | 491,444 | Form |
| 3 | Robbins, Paige K | Sr. VP | Direct | Sell | 5142026 | 1232.29 | 1,457 | 1,795,450 | 2,750,476 | Form |
| 4 | Merriwether, Deidra C | Sr. VP & CFO | Direct | Sell | 4022026 | 1114.28 | 1,488 | 1,658,042 | 11,745,579 | Form |
| 5 | Merriwether, Deidra C | Sr. VP & CFO | Direct | Sell | 3252026 | 1064.73 | 2,339 | 2,490,393 | 10,897,467 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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