Tearsheet

W.W. Grainger (GWW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1020.72 | Market Cap: $48.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

W.W. Grainger (GWW)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $1020.72
Market Cap: $48.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%
Key risks
GWW key risks include [1] significant pricing pressure from competitors and large customers in the fragmented MRO market, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%
4 Key risks
GWW key risks include [1] significant pricing pressure from competitors and large customers in the fragmented MRO market, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GWW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The search results show information for W.W. Grainger (GWW) for the requested period of August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. While the precise 0.9% movement is not directly attributed to specific events, several key points from this period can explain general stock performance and analyst sentiment.

1. W.W. Grainger's stock experienced underperformance compared to the broader market and its sector peers in 2025. On a year-to-date basis, the stock declined by 3.8% as of August 29, 2025, while the S&P 500 Index climbed around 10.6%.

2. Q2 2025 results, released on August 1, 2025, showed a 5.6% year-over-year sales growth and adjusted EPS rose 2.2% annually to $9.97. However, the company trimmed its full-year adjusted EPS guidance due to tariff-related pressures, leading to cautious investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GWW Return23%29%9%51%28%-2%226%
Peers Return25%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GWW Win Rate50%67%42%67%75%42% 
Peers Win Rate48%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GWW Max Drawdown-38%-11%-14%-3%-2%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FAST, MSM, WCC, FERG, AIT. See GWW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGWWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven33 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven136 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven149 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-39.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven355 days1,480 days

Compare to FAST, GPC, AIT, PATK, DNOW


In The Past

W.W. Grainger's stock fell -16.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/18/2022. A -16.9% loss requires a 20.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About W.W. Grainger (GWW)

Better Bets than W.W. Grainger (GWW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GWW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
GWW_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020GWWW.W. GraingerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
43.0%64.2%-4.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
GWW_3312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312020GWWW.W. GraingerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
43.0%64.2%-4.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for W.W. Grainger

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GWWFASTMSMWCCFERGAITMedian
NameW.W. Gra.Fastenal MSC Indu.WESCO In.Ferguson.Applied . 
Mkt Price1,020.0541.8786.10250.39225.00256.73237.69
Mkt Cap48.848.14.812.244.19.728.1
Rev LTM17,7507,9983,77022,94231,1594,66412,874
Op Inc LTM2,4941,6163131,2112,7895141,414
FCF LTM1,2329652412501,647455710
FCF 3Y Avg1,5101,0693865961,765407832
CFO LTM2,0481,2103343301,993484847
CFO 3Y Avg2,0411,2794816902,145434984

Growth & Margins

GWWFASTMSMWCCFERGAITMedian
NameW.W. Gra.Fastenal MSC Indu.WESCO In.Ferguson.Applied . 
Rev Chg LTM4.8%6.9%-1.3%5.3%4.9%4.0%4.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.3%5.5%0.9%3.6%1.6%5.5%4.5%
Rev Chg Q6.1%11.7%2.7%12.9%5.1%9.2%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%2.9%0.7%3.2%1.3%2.2%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM14.1%20.2%8.3%5.3%9.0%11.0%10.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.9%20.4%10.4%5.8%8.9%11.0%10.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%0.1%-0.2%-0.1%0.2%0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM11.5%15.1%8.9%1.4%6.4%10.4%9.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.0%16.9%12.4%3.1%7.1%9.6%10.8%
FCF/Rev LTM6.9%12.1%6.4%1.1%5.3%9.8%6.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.9%14.2%9.9%2.7%5.9%9.0%8.9%

Valuation

GWWFASTMSMWCCFERGAITMedian
NameW.W. Gra.Fastenal MSC Indu.WESCO In.Ferguson.Applied . 
Mkt Cap48.848.14.812.244.19.728.1
P/S2.67.01.40.41.42.11.8
P/EBIT18.134.717.98.5-18.418.1
P/E26.345.925.815.922.524.525.2
P/CFO22.246.515.431.222.120.422.2
Total Yield4.3%3.9%3.9%7.1%4.4%4.4%4.4%
Dividend Yield0.5%1.7%0.0%0.8%0.0%0.4%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.5%2.7%7.4%7.4%-5.1%5.1%
D/E0.10.00.10.6-0.10.1
Net D/E0.00.00.10.6-0.00.0

Returns

GWWFASTMSMWCCFERGAITMedian
NameW.W. Gra.Fastenal MSC Indu.WESCO In.Ferguson.Applied . 
1M Rtn10.5%5.5%0.4%1.2%-4.5%6.7%3.3%
3M Rtn2.5%-10.7%-4.7%17.0%0.6%-0.9%-0.1%
6M Rtn-1.7%1.9%6.9%42.2%5.8%13.9%6.4%
12M Rtn-8.1%10.1%10.4%35.8%23.7%1.7%10.3%
3Y Rtn87.6%88.6%18.1%114.1%-112.7%88.6%
1M Excs Rtn9.7%4.7%-0.3%0.5%-5.3%6.0%2.6%
3M Excs Rtn0.4%-12.2%-7.7%15.3%-2.8%-3.5%-3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-14.1%-10.5%-5.5%29.8%-6.6%1.5%-6.0%
12M Excs Rtn-21.0%-2.1%-3.3%21.4%11.0%-12.4%-2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn8.2%6.3%-53.6%38.7%-35.9%8.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
High-Touch Solutions North America (N.A.)13,26712,18210,1869,221 
Endless Assortment2,9162,7872,5762,178 
Other net sales295259260398 
Single Segment    11,486
Total16,47815,22813,02211,79711,486


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
High-Touch Solutions North America (N.A.)2,3341,9831,3341,182 
Endless Assortment233223232166 
Other net sales-29-19-329 
Total2,5652,2151,5471,019 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,100,352
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.4%
Average Daily Volume294,908
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.73
Basic Shares Quantity47,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/31/20252.4%-0.4%0.8%
8/1/2025-10.3%-9.3%-2.3%
5/1/20252.8%1.9%6.4%
1/31/2025-5.6%-7.2%-11.1%
10/31/20240.9%8.7%9.8%
8/1/2024-3.5%-2.6%-0.7%
4/25/2024-1.1%-4.0%-0.2%
2/2/20245.4%3.0%7.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131415
# Negative11109
Median Positive3.9%5.2%7.9%
Median Negative-3.6%-4.4%-3.3%
Max Positive13.0%11.4%20.2%
Max Negative-10.3%-9.3%-14.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022729202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0LeRoy Jonny MSVP, Chief Technology Officer9112025Sell992.362726,7942,226,856Form
1Berardinelli Krantz Nancy LSr. VP & CLO5272025Sell1075.20280301,0563,622,349Form
2Thomson Laurie RVP, Controller3122025Sell1020.07235239,717567,159Form