T3 Defense (DFNS)
Market Price (3/10/2026): $1.465 | Market Cap: $11.9 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
T3 Defense (DFNS)
Market Price (3/10/2026): $1.465Market Cap: $11.9 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -58%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 41% | ||
| Key risksDFNS key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Drone Technology, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -58%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 117% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 41% |
| Key risksDFNS key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Dilutive Financing Structure Post-IPO. On February 25, 2026, T3 Defense announced a private placement of up to $20 million, which included the issuance of newly created convertible preferred shares and warrants. This type of financing, particularly for a recently public company, can lead to significant dilution of existing shareholders' equity, contributing to downward pressure on the stock price as the market accounts for a potentially larger number of outstanding shares in the future.
2. Legal Challenge Introduces Uncertainty. The company disclosed on March 6, 2026, that it received a summons and complaint in a New York lawsuit over a success fee claim. This legal action introduces unforeseen risks and potential financial liabilities, which can negatively impact investor sentiment and the company's valuation.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DFNS | ||
| Market (SPY) | -0.7% | 6.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 11.2% | 23.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DFNS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 5.4% | 6.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 12.9% | 23.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DFNS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 15.2% | 6.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 26.7% | 23.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DFNS | ||
| Market (SPY) | 77.5% | 6.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 76.7% | 23.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DFNS Return | - | - | - | - | - | -29% | -29% |
| Peers Return | -9% | -8% | 40% | 22% | 69% | 11% | 165% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -2% | 79% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DFNS Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 48% | 60% | 62% | 60% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DFNS Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -24% | -7% | -12% | -9% | -2% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TDG, HEI, KTOS, MRCY, AIR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
DFNS has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.
| Event | XLI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 273 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 312 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TDG, HEI, KTOS, MRCY, AIR
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About T3 Defense (DFNS)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for T3 Defense (DFNS):
- Lockheed Martin for autonomous defense.
- Tesla for military robotics and AI.
- Boston Dynamics for military applications.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Integrated Defense Systems: Develops and manufactures advanced combat platforms, weapon systems, and battle management solutions for multi-domain operations.
- Cyber & Electronic Warfare Solutions: Provides specialized software and hardware for offensive and defensive cyber operations, intelligence gathering, and electronic countermeasure applications (Service: Cybersecurity & Electronic Warfare).
- Autonomous Unmanned Platforms: Designs and produces a range of unmanned aerial (UAV), ground (UGV), and maritime (USV/UUV) vehicles for surveillance, reconnaissance, and mission support.
- Secure Communication & Networking: Offers highly secure, resilient communication systems and advanced networking infrastructure critical for military command and control.
- Defense Modernization Services: Delivers strategic consulting, operational training, and technological integration services to modernize defense capabilities for government clients (Service: Professional Consulting & Training).
AI Analysis | Feedback
Information regarding the major customers of a public company named T3 Defense (symbol: DFNS) is not readily available through standard financial databases or public records. It appears that "T3 Defense" with the symbol "DFNS" may be a hypothetical company or one for which specific customer data is not publicly disclosed under this designation.
However, based on the company's name "T3 Defense," it can be inferred that it operates in the defense sector. Companies in this industry primarily sell to other organizations, specifically governments and other defense contractors, rather than directly to individuals.
If T3 Defense were a typical defense contractor, its major customers would most likely fall into the following categories, as it sells primarily to other companies and government entities:
Major Customers:
- Government Entities: These are overwhelmingly the primary customers for defense companies, procuring defense systems, equipment, and services for their armed forces.
- United States Department of Defense (DoD)
- Defense Ministries/Armed Forces of NATO Member Countries (e.g., UK Ministry of Defence, German Bundeswehr)
- Defense Ministries/Armed Forces of Allied Nations (e.g., Japan Self-Defense Forces, Republic of Korea Armed Forces, Australian Defence Force)
- Other Defense Prime Contractors (B2B): T3 Defense might act as a sub-contractor or supplier, providing specialized components, subsystems, or services to larger prime contractors who then integrate them into their major platforms and sell to government clients. Examples of such prime contractors include:
- Lockheed Martin (Symbol: LMT)
- Raytheon Technologies (Symbol: RTX)
- Northrop Grumman (Symbol: NOC)
- The Boeing Company (Symbol: BA) (specifically its Defense, Space & Security division)
- General Dynamics (Symbol: GD)
- BAE Systems (Symbol: BAESY)
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Menny Shalom, Chief Executive Officer
Menny Shalom is a seasoned entrepreneur with over 20 years of leadership experience spanning fintech, defense tech, and enterprise software. He has previously served as CEO of Nukkleus Inc. (the former name of T3 Defense), Motomova, and Hold Me Ltd. Additionally, he founded Wayerz and Mipso. Mr. Shalom holds advanced degrees in Law, Accounting, and Business from the Hebrew University and Columbia University.
Morel Levi, Chief Financial Officer
Morel Levi was appointed Chief Financial Officer of T3 Defense (formerly Nukkleus Inc.) on December 8, 2025. Prior to this role, he served as the Financial Controller at Nukk Picolo Ltd., a subsidiary of the company. His professional background includes experience at Blender Financial Technologies Ltd. and EY Israel.
Ilanit Halperin, Director of Finance
Ilanit Halperin is the Director of Finance at T3 Defense (formerly Nukkleus Inc.). She is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA) in Israel with approximately 28 years of experience, including 11 years as a partner at a top-six international accounting firm. Her expertise covers Israeli GAAP, IFRS, and US GAAP, and she has extensive experience in public offerings both in Israel and internationally.
Yair Ohayon, CMO & IR Manager
Yair Ohayon leads marketing and investor relations for T3 Defense (formerly Nukkleus Group), where he oversees the company's global communications strategy and capital markets positioning. He has a track record of working with numerous startups and technology companies at various stages, assisting them in securing funding and venture partnerships. Mr. Ohayon is recognized for leading large marketing teams, managing investor communications, and driving brand visibility.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to T3 Defense (DFNS) primarily revolve around its financial health, the successful execution of its acquisition-focused strategy, and inherent sector-specific challenges.
- Significant Financial Health Challenges: T3 Defense faces substantial financial difficulties, evidenced by a low GF Score of 48, which signals considerable financial strain. The company has struggled with profitability, reporting a negative Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -35.29 and a net margin of 0%. Additionally, the firm exhibits potential liquidity issues with current and quick ratios at 0.3, and a negative equity position indicated by a debt-to-equity ratio of -0.06. An Altman Z-Score of 0 further suggests financial distress. The company generates less than $1 million in revenue.
- Acquisition and Integration Risks: As a federated holding company focused on acquiring and operating mission-critical defense businesses, T3 Defense's strategy inherently carries risks related to its ability to successfully integrate acquired entities and ensure their operational performance. There are also risks concerning the company's capacity to identify and complete future acquisitions on acceptable terms, and the availability of sufficient working capital to fund these strategic initiatives and ongoing business plans.
- Sector-Specific Risks: Operating within the technology and defense sectors, T3 Defense is exposed to risks from rapid technological changes and intense competitive pressures. The business is also susceptible to broader market factors such as shifts in defense spending, evolving procurement practices, changes in regulatory requirements, and geopolitical developments, all of which can significantly impact its operations and financial performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rapid advancement and adoption of commercial space technologies, particularly large constellations of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites offered by companies such as SpaceX (Starlink) or OneWeb, pose a clear emerging threat to T3 Defense. If T3 Defense traditionally relies on providing bespoke, high-cost satellite hardware and services for military communication, navigation, or earth observation, the emergence of these commercial solutions is disruptive. These LEO constellations are providing increasingly robust, high-bandwidth, and resilient services at a fraction of the cost and development time of traditional government-contracted systems. As military clients increasingly explore and adopt these more agile and cost-effective commercial alternatives, T3 Defense's market share in this domain could be significantly eroded, mirroring how Netflix's superior and more convenient delivery model disrupted Blockbuster's traditional brick-and-mortar business.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For T3 Defense (DFNS), the addressable markets for their main products and services are as follows:
Military Drones (UAVs)
- Global: The global military drone market was valued between approximately USD 15.23 billion and USD 21.81 billion in 2024. Projections indicate this market could reach up to USD 98.24 billion by 2033.
- U.S.: The U.S. military drone market was estimated between approximately USD 3.94 billion and USD 16.36 billion in 2024-2025. This market is projected to reach up to USD 31.56 billion by 2033.
Defense Electronics
- Global: The global defense electronics market was valued between approximately USD 173.44 billion and USD 202.31 billion in 2024. Forecasts suggest the market could reach between USD 266.74 billion and USD 324.61 billion by 2032-2035.
- U.S.: The U.S. defense electronics market was valued at approximately USD 52.05 billion in 2024. The North American defense electronics market is expected to exceed USD 125 billion by 2034.
Defense Cybersecurity
- Global: The global defense cybersecurity market was valued between approximately USD 19.14 billion and USD 38.8 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach between USD 63.38 billion and USD 96.5 billion by 2032-2034.
- U.S.: The U.S. cyber defense market was valued between approximately USD 65.1 billion and USD 84.9 billion in 2024. Projections indicate this market could reach between USD 149.07 billion and USD 167.9 billion by 2032-2033.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for T3 Defense (DFNS) over the next 2-3 years:- Strategic Acquisitions: T3 Defense operates as a holding company focused on acquiring and scaling mission-critical defense businesses embedded in long-cycle national security programs. The company employs a disciplined and repeatable M&A framework, targeting businesses that operate at constrained or execution-critical points within the industrial base. Recent acquisitions, such as Nimbus Drones Technologies (UAV and counter-UAS), Star 26 Capital (defense AI and manufacturing), and Tiltan Software Engineering (defense AI leadership), are integral to this strategy, directly contributing to revenue growth by expanding its portfolio of defense-focused entities.
- Expansion of Scarce Industrial Capacity and Program-Level Access: The company's strategy involves acquiring and scaling "bottleneck defense suppliers" to alleviate industrial capacity constraints and enhance military readiness. By strengthening critical industrial capabilities, T3 Defense aims to improve OEM reliability and accelerate delivery timelines for defense forces. This approach allows them to secure more business by becoming a crucial supplier in existing and new defense programs.
- Long-Term Defense Contracts: T3 Defense's subsidiaries are engaged in long-term contracts for national security programs, including participation in Israel's national missile defense and air-defense architecture like Iron Dome. These multi-year contracts provide significant revenue visibility and operational continuity, forming a stable foundation for future growth through extensions, expanded scopes, and new contract wins.
- Increased Global Defense Spending: The accelerating global defense spending creates a favorable market environment for T3 Defense. The company is strategically positioned to capitalize on this trend by addressing production delays and critical supply chain choke points that increasingly occur at the specialized supplier level below prime contractors. This broader market expansion provides a tailwind for the company's growth initiatives.
- Growth in Defense AI and Technology Solutions: Through acquisitions like Star 26 Capital and Tiltan Software Engineering, T3 Defense has expanded its focus on Defense AI. This emphasis on cutting-edge technology solutions within the defense sector represents a significant growth area, enabling the company to offer advanced products and services that cater to the evolving needs of national security, thereby driving future revenue.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Outbound Investments
- T3 Defense Inc. (formerly Nukkleus Inc.) completed the acquisition of Tiltan on December 30, 2025, adding 30 years of Defense AI Leadership to its portfolio.
- The company strategically acquired Star 26 Capital on January 13, 2026, expanding its capabilities in Defense AI and Defense Manufacturing.
- T3 Defense Inc. acquired Nimbus Drones Technologies, an Israeli UAV and Counter-UAS Company, on January 16, 2026, as part of its strategy to acquire and scale defense businesses.
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to DFNS.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | LZ | LegalZoom.com | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -5.0% |
| 02132026 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.1% | 1.1% | -3.0% |
| 02132026 | TREX | Trex | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -5.9% |
| 02132026 | PCTY | Paylocity | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.6% | -0.6% | -4.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 100.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 15.8 |
| Rev LTM | 2,157 |
| Op Inc LTM | 150 |
| FCF LTM | 47 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 32 |
| CFO LTM | 62 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 62 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 15.8 |
| P/S | 8.2 |
| P/EBIT | 19.7 |
| P/E | 43.3 |
| P/CFO | 43.6 |
| Total Yield | 1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 14.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 42.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 95.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 9.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 24.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 14.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/23/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 05/08/2025 | 10-KT |
| 09/30/2024 | 02/10/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 09/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 07/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 06/20/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 05/19/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 04/10/2023 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/22/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/23/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/14/2022 | 10-Q |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.