Avis Budget (CAR)


Market Price (8/15/2026): $137.85 | Market Cap: $4.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Ground Transportation

Avis Budget (CAR)


Market Price (8/15/2026): $137.85
Market Cap: $4.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Online Marketplaces.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -109%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 587%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.9%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%

Key risks
CAR key risks include [1] its significant debt levels and [2] a class-action lawsuit alleging misleading statements regarding a $2.3 billion impairment charge tied to fleet management.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, CFO LTM is 2.9 Bil
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Online Marketplaces.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -109%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 587%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.9%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -96%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
8 Key risks
CAR key risks include [1] its significant debt levels and [2] a class-action lawsuit alleging misleading statements regarding a $2.3 billion impairment charge tied to fleet management.

CAR in ETFs

Weight = CAR's share of each fund

IWB0.00%
IJH0.06%
VB0.03%
IYT0.29%
IJK0.09%
MDYG0.09%
IVOO0.07%
MDY0.06%
+17 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/1/2026

Avis Budget (CAR) stock has lost about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Miss on Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings and Revenue.

Avis Budget Group (CAR) reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.98 for fiscal Q2 2026 (period ending June 30, 2026), substantially missing analyst expectations which ranged from $1.82 to $2.07 per share, representing a shortfall of 46.2% to 54.63%. Concurrently, the company's revenue for the quarter was $3.00 billion, a decline of 1.0% to 1.4% year-over-year, also falling short of analyst estimates which were around $3.09 billion to $3.10 billion. This considerable earnings and revenue miss led to a sharp stock decline, with shares dropping approximately 10.53% to $148.80 on July 29, 2026, following the announcement.

2. Weakening Travel Demand and Strategic Fleet Reduction.

The company experienced a deceleration in summer booking momentum, with mid-single-digit growth in early April eroding by early May, attributed to broader consumer uncertainty, higher travel costs, and geopolitical volatility. In response, Avis Budget accelerated vehicle dispositions, resulting in its Americas fleet being 5% smaller year-over-year in fiscal Q2 2026, marking the lowest Q2 fleet size since fiscal Q2 2021. This strategic move, aimed at protecting utilization and returns, led to a 2.1% decline in rental days for the Americas segment.

Show more
Updated on 8/1/2026

Avis Budget (CAR) stock has lost about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Miss on Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings and Revenue.

Avis Budget Group (CAR) reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.98 for fiscal Q2 2026 (period ending June 30, 2026), substantially missing analyst expectations which ranged from $1.82 to $2.07 per share, representing a shortfall of 46.2% to 54.63%. Concurrently, the company's revenue for the quarter was $3.00 billion, a decline of 1.0% to 1.4% year-over-year, also falling short of analyst estimates which were around $3.09 billion to $3.10 billion. This considerable earnings and revenue miss led to a sharp stock decline, with shares dropping approximately 10.53% to $148.80 on July 29, 2026, following the announcement.

2. Weakening Travel Demand and Strategic Fleet Reduction.

The company experienced a deceleration in summer booking momentum, with mid-single-digit growth in early April eroding by early May, attributed to broader consumer uncertainty, higher travel costs, and geopolitical volatility. In response, Avis Budget accelerated vehicle dispositions, resulting in its Americas fleet being 5% smaller year-over-year in fiscal Q2 2026, marking the lowest Q2 fleet size since fiscal Q2 2021. This strategic move, aimed at protecting utilization and returns, led to a 2.1% decline in rental days for the Americas segment.

3. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Downgrades.

Analyst sentiment for Avis Budget Group remained cautious throughout the period, culminating in a consensus "Reduce" rating with an average price target of $132.75 by late July. Notably, Jefferies Financial Group downgraded the stock from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating in May 2026, and Goldman Sachs Group issued a "sell" rating in July 2026. JPMorgan Chase & Co. also maintained an "underweight" rating in June 2026. The average analyst price target of $129.00 as of July 29, 2026, implied potential further downside.

4. Significant Insider Selling Activity.

A substantial insider selling event occurred on May 12, 2026, when Pentwater Capital Management LP, identified as a 10% owner of Avis Budget Group, sold 843,201 shares of company stock. This transaction amounted to over $223 million, significantly exceeding the $5 million threshold for consideration as a core reason for stock movement. This large sale by a major holder could have been interpreted by the market as a lack of confidence in the company's near-term prospects.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -23.7% change in CAR stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268142026Change
Stock Price ($)180.67137.85-23.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,85811,831-0.2%
P/S Multiple0.50.4-23.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)35350.0%
Cumulative Contribution-23.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAR-23.7% 
Market (SPY)8.0%3.4%
Sector (XLI)6.8%4.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 19.9% change in CAR stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268142026Change
Stock Price ($)114.99137.8519.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,40211,8313.8%
P/S Multiple0.40.415.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3535-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution19.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAR19.9% 
Market (SPY)12.5%6.2%
Sector (XLI)13.1%3.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -19.0% change in CAR stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258142026Change
Stock Price ($)170.24137.85-19.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,29011,8314.8%
P/S Multiple0.50.4-22.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3535-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution-19.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAR-19.0% 
Market (SPY)23.9%9.3%
Sector (XLI)24.0%8.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -34.1% change in CAR stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -35.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238142026Change
Stock Price ($)209.30137.85-34.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)13,08511,831-9.6%
P/S Multiple0.60.4-35.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)403512.2%
Cumulative Contribution-34.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/14/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAR-34.1% 
Market (SPY)75.6%30.1%
Sector (XLI)75.9%29.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CAR Return456%-21%14%-55%59%7%287%
Peers Return32%-17%44%-7%16%13%94%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAR Win Rate75%42%42%33%50%25% 
Peers Win Rate60%42%58%45%52%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAR Max Drawdown-43%-57%-36%-62%-42%-81% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-36%-30%-30%-29%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HTZ, UHAL, R, PAG, UBER. See CAR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/14/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCARS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-41.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven69.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven46 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-16.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven92 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-28.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven893 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-28.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven35 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven31 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-82.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven455.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven314 days140 days

Compare to HTZ, UHAL, R, PAG, UBER

In The Past

Avis Budget's stock fell -41.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 69.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCARS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-41.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven69.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven46 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-28.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.6%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven893 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-28.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven35 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven31 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-82.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven455.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven314 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-34.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.0%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven49 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-38.4%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven62.4%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven70 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-53.0%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven112.8%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven687 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-64.0%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven177.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven1865 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-45.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven84.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven212 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-46.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven88.3%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven226 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-97.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven3664.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven197 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-31.5%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.1%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven2094 days47 days

Compare to HTZ, UHAL, R, PAG, UBER

In The Past

Avis Budget's stock fell -41.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 69.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Avis Budget (CAR)

Avis Budget Group (CAR) is a leading global provider of mobility solutions, primarily specializing in vehicle rental and car-sharing services. The company operates several prominent brands: Avis, targeting premium commercial and leisure segments for car rentals; Budget, offering a wider range of car rental options; and Budget Truck, which provides local and one-way truck and cargo van rentals for consumers and light commercial sectors. Additionally, Avis Budget Group owns and operates Zipcar, a well-known car-sharing network.

Beyond its core rental offerings, Avis Budget Group provides a comprehensive array of ancillary products and services designed to enhance the customer experience. These include various optional insurance coverages, fuel service options, roadside assistance, electronic toll collection, and the rental of moving accessories and travel conveniences like navigation units and child safety seats. Serving both individual consumers and businesses, the company maintains an extensive global footprint with approximately 10,400 locations worldwide, catering to diverse needs across travel, moving, and short-term vehicle access markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Avis Budget is like Hertz for broader mobility, offering not just cars but also trucks and car-sharing services.

Avis Budget is like the U-Haul of general vehicle rentals, providing cars, trucks, and car-sharing options globally.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Avis Budget (CAR) provides the following major products and services:

  • Car Rentals: Offers vehicle rental solutions to premium commercial and leisure segments globally under brands like Avis, Budget, Payless, and others.
  • Truck Rentals: Provides local and one-way truck and cargo van rentals through the Budget Truck brand, serving consumer and light commercial sectors.
  • Car Sharing: Operates Zipcar, a car sharing network for flexible, on-demand vehicle access.
  • Optional Insurance and Coverages: Sells various insurance products and coverages such as supplemental liability, personal accident, and cargo insurance.
  • Fuel and Roadside Assistance Services: Offers fuel service options and roadside assistance for renters.
  • Convenience and Mobility Enhancements: Provides electronic toll collection, curbside delivery, tablet rentals, satellite radio access, portable navigation units, and child safety seat rentals.
  • Moving Accessories Rental: Rents automobile towing equipment and other moving accessories like hand trucks and furniture pads.
  • Business Intelligence Solution: An online portal designed to provide corporate travel insights for businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Avis Budget Group (CAR) sells primarily to a diverse range of individual customers, though a significant portion of its business is facilitated through corporate accounts and partnerships. Its major customer categories include:

  • Leisure Travelers: Individuals and families renting cars for personal travel, vacations, weekend trips, and other recreational purposes. This category forms a significant part of the customer base for brands like Avis, Budget, Payless, and their international counterparts, catering to diverse needs from economy to luxury vehicles.

  • Business Travelers: Individuals renting vehicles for corporate travel, business meetings, client visits, and other professional engagements. While these rentals are often arranged and paid for by their employers (businesses), the direct user and primary customer at the point of service is the individual traveler. The Avis brand, in particular, caters to the premium commercial segment, and the company offers specific solutions like its Business Intelligence portal for corporate clients.

  • Local Users and Temporary Needs: This category encompasses individuals requiring vehicles for short-term, specific local needs. This includes individuals renting trucks and cargo vans through Budget Truck for moving homes or transporting goods, as well as those utilizing car-sharing services like Zipcar for urban mobility, errands, or when their personal vehicle is unavailable. It also covers light commercial usage by individuals or very small businesses for operational purposes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Brian Choi, Chief Executive Officer

Brian Choi was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Avis Budget Group in July 2025. Prior to this role, he served as the company's Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer since August 2020. Effective January 1, 2024, he also took on the newly established position of Executive Vice President & Chief Transformation Officer. Mr. Choi served on the Board of Directors of Avis Budget Group from January 2016 to 2020. Before joining Avis Budget Group, he was a partner at SRS Investment Management, LLC and its affiliates, where he held various roles from 2008 to 2020. Earlier in his career, he worked as an analyst in the Leveraged Finance Group at Lehman Brothers. He holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics from Harvard University.

Daniel Cunha, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Daniel Cunha was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Avis Budget Group, effective July 1, 2025. He joined the company from Orion Services Group, a commercial field services company backed by private equity, where he served as Chief Financial Officer for the year prior to his appointment at Avis Budget Group. From 2019 to 2023, Mr. Cunha was the Chief Financial Officer of Ocean Spray. He also previously held the position of Chief Financial Officer of Heinz North America. Mr. Cunha began his career at McKinsey. He holds a degree in Mechanical Aeronautical Engineering from Instituto Tecnológico de Aeronáutica and an MBA from Harvard Business School.

Ned Linnen, Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Ned Linnen has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer of Avis Budget Group since January 2015. He joined the company in 2001 and has held progressively responsible positions, including Senior Vice President of Human Resources for North America, Vice President of Labor Relations, Vice President of International Human Resources, Vice President of Domestic Human Resources, and Field Human Resources Director. Before his tenure at Avis Budget Group, Mr. Linnen held various human resources roles at Kraft Foods Inc. and Nabisco, Inc. He earned a Master of Science degree in Organizational Development from Misericordia University and a Bachelor of Science degree in Human Resources and Psychology from King's College.

Anna Pawlak-Kuliga, President, International

Anna Pawlak-Kuliga is the President, International at Avis Budget Group.

Ravi Simhambhatla, Executive Vice President and Chief Digital and Innovation Officer

Ravi Simhambhatla serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Digital and Innovation Officer at Avis Budget Group.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Key Risks to Avis Budget (CAR)

  1. Intensified Market Competition and Alternative Transportation: Avis Budget Group operates within a highly dynamic and competitive mobility sector. The company faces significant pressure on pricing and market share from traditional car rental competitors like Enterprise and Hertz, as well as from the growing popularity of ride-sharing services (e.g., Uber and Lyft) and car-sharing networks (including other players that compete with its own Zipcar brand). This continuous evolution of transportation options and aggressive market strategies by competitors can adversely affect rental volumes and profitability.
  2. Economic Sensitivity and Fleet Cost Volatility: The financial performance of Avis Budget Group is highly susceptible to broader economic conditions. Economic downturns or uncertainty directly reduce travel demand, impacting rental volumes and revenue, making the business cyclical. Furthermore, fleet costs represent the company's largest expense, and the business is significantly exposed to the volatility of new vehicle acquisition prices, the availability of vehicles, and fluctuations in used car market values. Unpredictable vehicle resale values can lead to substantial non-cash impairment charges, as seen in late 2024 with a $2.3 billion impairment due to accelerated fleet rotations.
  3. High Debt Load and Interest Rate Sensitivity: As a capital-intensive business, Avis Budget Group carries a substantial amount of outstanding debt, primarily used to finance its extensive vehicle fleet. This high debt load makes the company particularly vulnerable to increases in interest rates, which can significantly raise financing costs and negatively impact overall profitability. The company's liquidity position can also be sensitive to these financial factors.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Autonomous Vehicles and Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS): The ongoing development and limited deployment of autonomous vehicle fleets by technology companies (e.g., Waymo, Cruise) and automotive manufacturers represent a fundamental shift in personal transportation. If these services scale and become widely available, consumers may opt for on-demand autonomous rides or subscription-based mobility services instead of traditional car rentals for business or leisure travel, thereby reducing demand for Avis Budget's core offerings.
  • Direct-to-Consumer Car Subscription Services from Automotive Manufacturers (OEMs): Several automotive manufacturers are exploring and launching direct-to-consumer vehicle subscription or flexible access programs. These services allow consumers to use vehicles with varying terms, often including insurance and maintenance, directly from the manufacturer. Should this trend gain significant traction and widespread adoption, it could bypass the traditional car rental market by offering an alternative, flexible vehicle access solution that competes directly with Avis Budget's offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Avis Budget Group's main products and services are as follows:

Car Rental

  • Global: The global car rental market size was estimated at USD 149.87 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 278.03 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 10.5% from 2025 to 2030.
  • U.S.: The United States car rental market is estimated to be valued at USD 37.27 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 54.94 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 5.7% from 2025 to 2032.

Truck Rental

  • Global: The global truck rental market size is calculated at USD 140.37 billion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 269.57 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 7.52% from 2025 to 2034.
  • U.S.: The US truck rental market size was estimated at USD 21.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 23.71 billion in 2025 to USD 63.12 billion by 2035, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.2% during the forecast period 2025 - 2035.

Car Sharing (Zipcar)

  • Global: The global car sharing market size is expected to be worth around USD 39.7 Billion by 2035 from USD 11.6 Billion in 2025, growing at a CAGR of 13.1% during the forecast period 2026 to 2035.
  • U.S.: The U.S. car sharing market size was valued at USD 3.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to register a CAGR of 4.8% between 2025 and 2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Avis Budget Group (CAR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several strategic initiatives aimed at optimizing its core rental business, expanding its market reach, and diversifying its service offerings.

One key driver is the company's focus on strategic fleet management and pricing optimization. Avis Budget is prioritizing fleet utilization over growth, coupled with proprietary pricing systems to enhance profitability and revenue per day (RPD). Initiatives such as the "Avis First" premium product, which has shown an RPD over $100 and high customer satisfaction, aim to create value and improve the customer experience, thereby supporting higher revenue generation.

Another significant growth driver is the expansion into international markets. The company is investing $500 million to grow its presence in Southeast Asia and Eastern Europe, with a goal of increasing international rental locations by 15% by the end of 2026. This geographic expansion is designed to tap into new customer bases and revenue streams.

The growth of loyalty programs and enhanced customer retention, particularly through its Avis Preferred and Budget Fastbreak programs, is also expected to contribute to revenue. These programs boasted a combined membership exceeding 40 million globally as of Q1 2025, fostering repeat business and increasing customer lifetime value.

Lastly, diversification through rideshare partnerships, such as those with Uber and Lyft, has proven to be a successful strategy. This segment provides a flexible fleet for rideshare drivers and has grown to contribute over $2.8 billion in annual revenue, showcasing the company's ability to adapt to new trends in the mobility sector. This diversification is anticipated to continue supporting revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Avis Budget Group authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program as of November 2025.
  • The company's outstanding shares significantly decreased from 69.7 million in 2020 to 35.2 million by December 2025, reflecting substantial share repurchases over this period.
  • Quarterly stock buybacks amounted to 3.00 million shares for the period ending December 31, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • No large-scale share issuances were reported in the last 3-5 years, with the overall trend indicating a reduction in outstanding shares due to repurchases.
  • Minor share issuances occurred through equity compensation, such as an EVP receiving 2,335 common shares from restricted stock unit conversions in July 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • Pentwater Capital Management LP, a ten-percent owner, purchased 425,000 common shares for approximately $40 million on February 20, 2026.
  • In December 2025, Avis Budget generated $183 million in cash proceeds from monetizing tax credits related to selling electric vehicles to a joint venture.

Outbound Investments

  • Avis Budget Group completed a $1.2 billion acquisition of RideTronic, indicating a strategic pivot toward redefining transportation through technology and expansion.
  • The company is investing $500 million to expand its global presence, with plans to increase international rental locations by 15% by the end of 2026, focusing on Southeast Asia and Eastern Europe.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were $218 million for the full year ended December 31, 2025.
  • For the full year ended December 31, 2023, capital expenditures were $273 million.
  • Primary focus areas for capital expenditures include fleet modernization, digital transformation (including over $300 million allocated to research and development in 2024), electrification of the fleet to 30% of North American and European vehicles by the end of 2025, and the installation of over 5,000 charging stations.

Better Bets vs. Avis Budget (CAR)

Peer Outperformance in Passenger Ground Transportation

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Share of Passenger Ground Transportation constituents that CAR has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
insufficient peer history
3Y
insufficient peer history
5Y
insufficient peer history
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Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Passenger Ground Transportation is CAR's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 37.1%137.7%208.8% CDNL 2932% · STRL 2391% · FIX 2274%
Marine Transportation 4 53.9%62.6%157.2% MATX 217% · SFL 174% · KEX 140%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 16.5%58.5%110.2% CAT 327% · ALSN 250% · WAB 246%
Aerospace & Defense 55 20.5%88.2%91.1% DFNS 4465% · ATI 1073% · FTAI 1000%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 16.6%58.2%58.0% CRS 1470% · PSIX 953% · EROC 861%
Passenger Ground Transportation ← 3 -12.9%44.7%57.7% UBER 80% · CAR 58% · LYFT -67%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 47.9%18.3%55.4% PAMT 646% · XPO 286% · R 276%
Trading Companies & Distributors 18 8.7%38.7%42.9% DXPE 580% · AIT 318% · URI 239%
Rail Transportation 7 35.6%70.6%40.5% FSTR 112% · CSX 58% · UNP 44%
Diversified Support Services 33 12.9%36.6%37.9% LIME 4210% · TH 411% · WLFC 372%
Electrical Components & Equipment 40 31.1%49.1%35.3% POWL 2482% · VRT 987% · BE 983%
Building Products 33 -2.8%18.0%29.2% GFF 458% · LMB 429% · PPIH 288%
Office Services & Supplies 10 18.3%26.7%6.2% TILE 186% · PBI 156% · EBF 55%
Industrial Conglomerates 18 23.0%30.8%0.0% RCMT 719% · CSW 172% · TTI 171%
Environmental & Facilities Services 28 -8.2%18.4%-4.1% CECO 1079% · ADUR 667% · NVRI 293%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -9.3%-21.0%-4.4% HURN 219% · CRAI 97% · BAH 6%
Passenger Airlines 11 19.4%-1.7%-20.2% LTM 2224% · UAL 170% · SKYW 157%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 -7.8%-15.6%-24.4% BLBD 185% · DE 69% · GENC 52%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -32.9%-14.3%-28.8% EXLS 45% · BR 7% · MMS -28%
Human Resource & Employment Services 21 12.4%-22.1%-34.1% BBSI 74% · ADP 42% · KFY 37%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -9.4%-3.1%-35.0% CHRW 82% · FDX 66% · EXPD 59%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -24.9%-25.4%-40.3% CIX 107% · MG 86% · BCO 55%
Airport Services 3 -68.3%-66.1%-56.3% JOBY -17% · ASLE -56% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CARHTZUHALRPAGUBERMedian
NameAvis Bud.Hertz Gl.U-Haul Ryder Sy.Penske A.Uber Tec. 
Mkt Price137.852.2474.21263.96219.8575.95106.90
Mkt Cap4.90.714.510.214.4154.712.3
Rev LTM11,8318,9066,08912,85332,91855,22712,342
Op Inc LTM5722484351,0811,2446,700826
FCF LTM-11,400-10,185-1,23468759210,116-321
FCF 3Y Avg-9,918-8,518-1,59467097,803-794
CFO LTM2,9061,4291,8262,45189410,4242,139
CFO 3Y Avg3,3091,8881,6222,4171,0558,0792,153

Growth & Margins

CARHTZUHALRPAGUBERMedian
NameAvis Bud.Hertz Gl.U-Haul Ryder Sy.Penske A.Uber Tec. 
Rev Chg LTM4.8%3.4%3.0%1.1%0.6%16.7%3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.9%-0.3%1.7%1.5%4.7%16.4%1.6%
Rev Chg Q-0.9%9.7%3.2%5.2%6.0%12.2%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%2.4%0.9%1.3%1.5%2.9%1.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM436.5%127.6%-40.1%-2.7%-11.1%48.6%22.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg86.4%-236.1%-31.8%-4.0%-4.9%208.0%-4.4%
Op Mgn LTM4.8%2.8%7.1%8.4%3.8%12.1%6.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.3%-2.9%12.2%8.5%4.1%8.9%6.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.7%-0.5%-0.2%-0.1%0.5%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM24.6%16.0%30.0%19.1%2.7%18.9%19.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg28.3%21.1%27.5%19.1%3.3%16.7%20.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-96.4%-114.4%-20.3%5.3%1.8%18.3%-9.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-84.5%-95.7%-27.2%-0.0%2.2%16.1%-13.6%

Valuation

CARHTZUHALRPAGUBERMedian
NameAvis Bud.Hertz Gl.U-Haul Ryder Sy.Penske A.Uber Tec. 
Mkt Cap4.90.714.510.214.4154.712.3
P/S0.40.12.40.80.42.80.6
P/Op Inc8.52.933.49.411.623.110.5
P/EBIT-47.71.031.49.59.421.69.5
P/E-7.7-2.5228.120.515.416.115.8
P/CFO1.70.58.04.116.214.86.0
Total Yield-13.1%-39.3%0.7%6.3%9.0%6.2%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%1.5%2.5%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-209.0%-811.9%-13.1%-1.9%6.5%4.8%-7.5%
D/E6.029.70.60.80.60.10.7
Net D/E5.928.80.40.80.60.10.7

Returns

CARHTZUHALRPAGUBERMedian
NameAvis Bud.Hertz Gl.U-Haul Ryder Sy.Penske A.Uber Tec. 
1M Rtn-14.3%17.9%7.0%-0.2%10.4%4.5%5.8%
3M Rtn-8.2%-59.5%52.5%14.8%37.6%1.1%8.0%
6M Rtn16.5%-55.6%49.3%24.5%31.4%8.5%20.5%
12M Rtn-12.9%-57.3%27.3%47.7%25.0%-16.9%6.0%
3Y Rtn-35.3%-87.2%27.2%183.3%38.7%72.3%33.0%
1M Excs Rtn-15.2%16.4%-0.7%-6.7%4.7%-0.8%-0.7%
3M Excs Rtn-11.1%-65.4%45.6%10.9%28.2%-2.1%4.4%
6M Excs Rtn4.4%-70.2%38.2%14.0%13.1%-7.3%8.7%
12M Excs Rtn-34.9%-78.8%5.3%26.1%2.7%-36.8%-16.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-109.3%-160.7%-43.9%102.5%-30.4%-2.1%-37.1%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment11,65211,78912,00811,9949,313
Total11,65211,78912,00811,9949,313


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20052004200320001997
Real Estate Services1,1841,0691,272430274
Hospitality449714633  
Vehicle Services439625442  
Timeshare289    
Travel Distribution100466459  
Mortgage Services-181183   
Corporate & Other -6-35  
Marketing Services 341   
Financial Services  363  
Diversified Services   144 
Insurance/Wholesale   177 
Mortgage   180 
Move.com   -94 
Relocation   142 
Travel Services   564212
Membership Services    258
Other Services    193
Total2,2803,3923,1341,543938


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20152014200720062005
Americas13,380    
International4,1773,745   
Corporate and Other77175   
North America 12,626   
Truck Rental 423517502 
Domestic car Rental  6,4216,400 
International car Rental  1,043798 
Corporate & Other    1,190
Hospitality    3,387
Real Estate Services    5,297
Timeshare    4,723
Travel Distribution    6,905
Vehicle Services    12,638
Total17,63416,9697,9817,70034,140


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$137.85 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.9 
First Trading Date01/12/1990 
Distance from 52W High-80.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$161.89$157.35
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA-14.8%-12.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility54.6%98.9%
Downside Capture70.82150.01
Upside Capture17.64100.72
Correlation (SPY)2.0%9.1%
CAR Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.54-0.160.040.580.701.49
Up Beta-2.35-0.87-1.44-0.460.391.45
Down Beta4.970.34-0.41-1.42-0.181.05
Up Capture-55%-86%-6%209%93%427%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days10213167126361
Down Capture56%63%132%145%130%111%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days12223259126390

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAR
CAR-14.6%98.7%0.37-
Sector ETF (XLI)23.7%17.0%1.088.3%
Equity (SPY)21.5%12.8%1.259.1%
Gold (GLD)30.0%28.5%0.913.1%
Commodities (DBC)38.1%20.1%1.49-4.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.4%13.9%0.7313.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-48.7%42.8%-1.449.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAR
CAR11.2%87.1%0.48-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.2%17.6%0.6332.3%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.2%0.6032.8%
Gold (GLD)19.5%18.6%0.852.9%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%19.6%0.388.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0227.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.2%52.8%0.3418.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAR
CAR14.1%79.6%0.51-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.4%20.0%0.6343.3%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7339.9%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.601.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.7%18.0%0.3417.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2035.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.0%66.1%1.0013.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 71520262.3%
Average Daily Volume0.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity35.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares15.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/2026-6.9%-15.1% 
4/29/2026-0.5%-12.0%-3.9%
2/18/2026-21.5%-24.7%-18.5%
10/27/2025-6.1%-14.8%-13.6%
7/29/2025-15.4%-21.9%-23.0%
5/7/20250.6%5.3%22.4%
2/11/2025-6.8%5.0%-38.1%
10/31/202410.9%14.2%27.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9118
# Negative151315
Median Positive10.7%5.3%25.0%
Median Negative-6.8%-14.8%-11.2%
Max Positive108.3%70.9%51.6%
Max Negative-22.9%-36.9%-38.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/2026-6.9%-15.1% 
4/29/2026-0.5%-12.0%-3.9%
2/18/2026-21.5%-24.7%-18.5%
10/27/2025-6.1%-14.8%-13.6%
7/29/2025-15.4%-21.9%-23.0%
5/7/20250.6%5.3%22.4%
2/11/2025-6.8%5.0%-38.1%
10/31/202410.9%14.2%27.6%
8/5/20242.8%-1.0%-11.2%
5/1/202420.1%27.1%20.0%
2/12/2024-22.9%-36.9%-32.8%
11/1/202314.0%15.4%19.3%
7/31/20232.9%1.8%-0.5%
5/1/2023-3.1%-8.3%-5.3%
2/13/202310.7%2.1%-15.1%
10/31/2022-6.7%1.5%-5.4%
8/1/2022-4.7%3.3%-6.4%
5/2/20221.7%-19.0%-33.2%
2/14/2022-12.0%-22.5%44.6%
11/1/2021108.3%70.9%47.7%
8/3/2021-16.6%-4.5%3.7%
5/3/2021-6.4%-7.5%-2.7%
2/16/2021-6.3%19.3%51.6%
10/29/2020-8.3%-12.0%-4.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9118
# Negative151315
Median Positive10.7%5.3%25.0%
Median Negative-6.8%-14.8%-11.2%
Max Positive108.3%70.9%51.6%
Max Negative-22.9%-36.9%-38.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/29/202610-Q
03/31/202604/29/202610-Q
12/31/202502/19/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/30/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-K
09/30/202411/01/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/02/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202311/02/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/03/202210-Q
12/31/202102/17/202210-K
09/30/202111/02/202110-Q
06/30/202108/04/202110-Q
03/31/202105/04/202110-Q
12/31/202002/17/202110-K
09/30/202010/30/202010-Q
06/30/202007/29/202010-Q
03/31/202005/01/202010-Q
12/31/201902/20/202010-K
09/30/201911/01/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 8/11/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Simhambhatla, RaviEVP, CDIO - see remarksDirectSell8112026138.794,702652,5752,610,577Form
2Simhambhatla, RaviEVP, CDIO - see remarksDirectSell4302026184.093,469638,6082,554,433Form
3Linnen, Edward PEVP, Chief HR OfficerDirectSell4302026182.329,4831,728,9006,915,601Form
4Pentwater, Capital Management LPPentwater Merger Arbitrage Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026264.60843,201223,110,985922,131,000Form
5Pentwater, Capital Management LPOceana Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026264.98184,70748,943,4711,221,564,182Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Simhambhatla, RaviEVP, CDIO - see remarksDirectSell8112026138.794,702652,5752,610,577Form
2Simhambhatla, RaviEVP, CDIO - see remarksDirectSell4302026184.093,469638,6082,554,433Form
3Linnen, Edward PEVP, Chief HR OfficerDirectSell4302026182.329,4831,728,9006,915,601Form
4Pentwater, Capital Management LPPentwater Merger Arbitrage Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026264.60843,201223,110,985922,131,000Form
5Pentwater, Capital Management LPOceana Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026264.98184,70748,943,4711,221,564,182Form
6Pentwater, Capital Management LPPentwater Credit Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026272.6434,9159,519,2831,252,618,786Form
7Pentwater, Capital Management LPLMA SPC for and on behalf of the MAP 98 Segregated PortfolioSell4282026272.085,5881,520,3791,249,320,169Form
8Pentwater, Capital Management LPPentwater Equity Opportunities Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026272.64393,918107,398,1901,203,716,203Form
9Pentwater, Capital Management LPCrown Managed Accounts SPC acting for and on behalf of Crown/PW Segregated PortfolioSell4282026272.64193,52052,761,4811,180,044,924Form
10Pentwater, Capital Management LPPentwater Merger Arbitrage Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026279.181,036,251289,304,6721,325,314,242Form
11Pentwater, Capital Management LPPentwater Merger Arbitrage Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026438.743,3471,468,4632,710,140,854Form
12Pentwater, Capital Management LPOceana Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026702.2458,52941,101,4055,453,294,579Form
13Pentwater, Capital Management LPPentwater Credit Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026637.1326,58316,936,7633,938,400,553Form
14Pentwater, Capital Management LPLMA SPC for and on behalf of the MAP 98 Segregated PortfolioSell4282026672.7819,13212,871,6954,889,807,787Form
15Pentwater, Capital Management LPOceana Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026615.23174,054107,083,8123,803,098,932Form
16Pentwater, Capital Management LPPentwater Equity Opportunities Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026614.80218,560134,370,6403,799,949,552Form
17Pentwater, Capital Management LPCrown Managed Accounts SPC acting for and on behalf of Crown/PW Segregated PortfolioSell4282026614.80107,37466,013,4793,799,735,558Form
18Pentwater, Capital Management LPPentwater Merger Arbitrage Master Fund Ltd.Sell4282026615.371,039,421639,625,3533,804,260,157Form
19Pentwater, Capital Management LPSee footnoteBuy224202694.26425,00040,060,075375,820,059Form
20Krominga, Lynn DirectSell224202691.541,950  Form
21Linnen, Edward PEVP, Chief HR OfficerDirectSell8182025156.8310,0001,568,2836,416,629Form
22Hees, Bernardo See footnoteSell8062025156.59402,20062,980,57218,246,045Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 15, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
SRS Investment Management, LLC$2.5 Bil26.9%29Hold13F
Par Capital Management Inc$29.2 Mil0.8%45Hold13F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$13.5 Mil0.4%44New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$13.5 Mil0.4%44New13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
SRS Investment Management, LLC$2.5 Bil26.9%29Hold13F
Par Capital Management Inc$29.2 Mil0.8%45Hold13F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$13.5 Mil0.4%44New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/14/2026