U-Haul (UHAL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $53.35 | Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors
U-Haul (UHAL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $53.35Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Urbanization & Population Mobility, and Real Estate & Flexible Living. Themes include DIY Moving & Relocation Services, and Self-Storage Solutions. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.5% | |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Urbanization & Population Mobility, and Real Estate & Flexible Living. Themes include DIY Moving & Relocation Services, and Self-Storage Solutions. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 48x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.5% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -30% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UHAL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
U-Haul (UHAL) experienced a decline of -6.4% in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. This period saw the company navigate mixed financial results, increased operational costs, and changes in investor sentiment.
Here are five key points that likely contributed to this stock movement:
**1. Lower than Expected Earnings Per Share (EPS) in Q3 CY2025 and Q4 FY2025.**
U-Haul's Q3 CY2025 GAAP profit of $0.49 per share was 24.6% below analysts' consensus estimates. Additionally, the Q4 FY2025 loss widened to $82.3 million (an EPS of -$0.41), significantly missing the forecast of -$0.22, raising investor concerns about profitability despite revenue growth.
**2. Increased Depreciation and Reduced Gains on Equipment Disposal.**
Profitability in both Q4 FY2025 and Q1 FY2026 was negatively impacted by sharply higher depreciation expenses on the rental fleet and reduced gains from the disposal of retired rental equipment. This reflected U-Haul's ongoing investment in newer vehicles and an older fleet age. For instance, reduced gains from equipment disposal accounted for $32.7 million of a decrease in moving and storage earnings in Q3 fiscal 2025, while fleet depreciation increased by $34.2 million.
**3. Declining Operating Margin.**
In Q3 CY2025, U-Haul's operating margin decreased to 12.7%, down from 18.4% in the same quarter last year. This suggests less efficiency due to operating expenses like marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead growing faster than revenue.
**4. Higher Operating Expenses and Capital Expenditures.**
Increased personnel and liability costs, alongside significant capital expenditures for new rental equipment and real estate acquisitions, weighed on profitability. Capital expenditures for new rental equipment jumped to $1.86 billion for the year in fiscal 2025.
**5. U-Haul Reaches New 1-Year Lows.**
In November 2025, U-Haul shares dropped to new 52-week lows, trading as low as $51.99 on November 11 and $50.49 on November 18. This indicates a bearish technical outlook and high valuation, despite some analyst "Buy" ratings and average price targets significantly higher than the trading price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UHAL Return | 21% | 60% | -17% | 19% | -4% | -23% | 43% |
| Peers Return | 25% | 135% | -15% | 21% | -19% | 5% | 157% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UHAL Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 68% | 35% | 50% | 47% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UHAL Max Drawdown | -36% | -2% | -38% | -19% | -17% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -3% | -28% | -4% | -27% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ODFL, JBHT, KNX, CAR, LSTR. See UHAL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UHAL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 831 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 230 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 204 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 301.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 605 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ODFL, JBHT, KNX, CAR, LSTR
In The Past
U-Haul's stock fell -40.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/5/2021. A -40.5% loss requires a 68.1% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| U-Haul Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can U-Haul Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| U-Haul vs T-Mobile US: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| U-Haul vs United Rentals: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does U-Haul Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than UHAL Stock: Pay Less Than U-Haul To Get More From TMUS, UNH | |||
| Better Bet Than UHAL Stock: Pay Less Than U-Haul To Get More From UAL, LDOS | |||
| Better Bet Than UHAL Stock: Pay Less Than U-Haul To Get More From MGRC | |||
| UHAL Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| U-Haul Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -2.9% in 2025 and 3.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | October 31st, 2025 | ||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | August 29th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UHAL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 08312025 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.4% | -6.4% | -15.3% |
| 12312022 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.1% | 19.3% | -19.1% |
| 05312022 | UHAL | U-Haul | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.6% | 7.8% | -7.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 08312025 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.4% | -6.4% | -15.3% |
| 12312022 | UHAL | U-Haul | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -8.1% | 19.3% | -19.1% |
| 05312022 | UHAL | U-Haul | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 25.6% | 7.8% | -7.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for U-Haul
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 136.87 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.4 |
| Rev LTM | 6,725 |
| Op Inc LTM | 511 |
| FCF LTM | 69 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 157 |
| CFO LTM | 1,536 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,541 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.4 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 18.1 |
| P/E | 29.4 |
| P/CFO | 7.9 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 10.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -16.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -11.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -32.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -79.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5292025 | 10-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5302024 | 10-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6022023 | 10-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5252022 | 10-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2092022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |