Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)


Market Price (8/19/2026): $93.68 | Market Cap: $83.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Rail Transportation

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)


Market Price (8/19/2026): $93.68
Market Cap: $83.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Rail Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 5.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.9 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, Sustainable Resource Management, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%

Key risks
CP key risks include [1] challenges integrating the Kansas City Southern acquisition and satisfying related regulatory conditions, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 37%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 5.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
3 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 5.9 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, Automation & Robotics, Sustainable Resource Management, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -19%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -54%
8 Key risks
CP key risks include [1] challenges integrating the Kansas City Southern acquisition and satisfying related regulatory conditions, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 8/13/2026

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) stock has gained about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Robust Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance and Optimistic Guidance.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) reported stronger-than-expected results for fiscal Q2 2026 (period ending June 30, 2026), with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.92, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.89 by 3.4%. Quarterly revenue also increased by 12.6% year-over-year to $2.93 billion, exceeding estimates of $2.89 billion. Management further bolstered confidence by reaffirming expectations for accelerated volume and earnings growth in the second half of 2026.

2. Record-Breaking Canadian Grain Volumes.

CPKC achieved an all-time record for transporting Canadian grain and grain products in the 2025-2026 crop year, moving 30.66 million metric tonnes (MMT), an 11% increase over the previous crop year. This strong performance included setting quarterly records in fiscal Q1 and fiscal Q2 2026, and monthly records in April, May, and June 2026, indicating robust freight demand across its network.

Show more
Updated on 8/13/2026

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) stock has gained about 10% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Robust Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance and Optimistic Guidance.

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) reported stronger-than-expected results for fiscal Q2 2026 (period ending June 30, 2026), with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.92, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.89 by 3.4%. Quarterly revenue also increased by 12.6% year-over-year to $2.93 billion, exceeding estimates of $2.89 billion. Management further bolstered confidence by reaffirming expectations for accelerated volume and earnings growth in the second half of 2026.

2. Record-Breaking Canadian Grain Volumes.

CPKC achieved an all-time record for transporting Canadian grain and grain products in the 2025-2026 crop year, moving 30.66 million metric tonnes (MMT), an 11% increase over the previous crop year. This strong performance included setting quarterly records in fiscal Q1 and fiscal Q2 2026, and monthly records in April, May, and June 2026, indicating robust freight demand across its network.

3. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets.

During the specified period, several financial analysts reaffirmed positive outlooks and raised price targets for CP. For example, Wells Fargo & Company increased its price target from $90.00 to $100.00 in July, and Raymond James raised its target to C$140 from C$125 in July, citing strong rail traffic. The consensus rating remained a "Moderate Buy" with an average target price of $108.60, reflecting sustained investor confidence.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.0% change in CP stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 12.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268182026Change
Stock Price ($)86.7793.688.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,98415,4493.1%
Net Income Margin (%)27.2%25.0%-8.0%
P/E Multiple19.121.512.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)8978861.2%
Cumulative Contribution8.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CP8.0% 
Market (SPY)6.8%10.1%
Sector (XLI)5.1%28.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.6% change in CP stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 35.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268182026Change
Stock Price ($)74.0393.6826.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)15,02915,4492.8%
Net Income Margin (%)28.4%25.0%-11.8%
P/E Multiple15.821.535.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9108862.7%
Cumulative Contribution26.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CP26.6% 
Market (SPY)11.2%22.7%
Sector (XLI)11.3%46.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 28.5% change in CP stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 33.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258182026Change
Stock Price ($)72.9193.6828.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14,91715,4493.6%
Net Income Margin (%)28.0%25.0%-10.7%
P/E Multiple16.121.533.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9248864.2%
Cumulative Contribution28.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CP28.5% 
Market (SPY)22.4%28.0%
Sector (XLI)22.0%47.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.5% change in CP stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 51.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120238182026Change
Stock Price ($)80.4093.6816.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,21415,44951.3%
Net Income Margin (%)42.0%25.0%-40.3%
P/E Multiple17.521.522.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)9318865.1%
Cumulative Contribution16.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/18/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CP16.5% 
Market (SPY)73.6%45.8%
Sector (XLI)73.2%54.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CP Return5%5%7%-8%3%28%41%
Peers Return22%-12%10%-7%11%30%59%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CP Win Rate42%33%58%50%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate52%38%50%44%56%72% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CP Max Drawdown-22%-20%-17%-22%-17%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-28%-18%-18%-18%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: UNP, CNI, CSX, NSC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCPS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-14.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.4%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven35 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-16.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven100 days24 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-32.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven116 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven107 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.5%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-47.5%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven90.6%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven874 days15 days

Compare to UNP, CNI, CSX, NSC

In The Past

Canadian Pacific Kansas City's stock fell -14.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

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EventCPS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-32.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.0%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven116 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.4%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven107 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-33.5%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven50.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-47.5%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven90.6%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven874 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-27.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.6%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven36 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-60.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven152.0%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven555 days1085 days

Compare to UNP, CNI, CSX, NSC

In The Past

Canadian Pacific Kansas City's stock fell -14.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 16.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)

Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) is a major North American railway company that owns and operates an extensive transcontinental freight railway network across Canada and the United States. The company's core business involves providing essential rail and intermodal transportation services through its vast network, which spans approximately 13,000 miles.

CP transports a diverse range of commodities and goods for various industries. This includes bulk commodities such as grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulphur. It also handles a wide array of merchandise freight, supporting sectors like energy, chemicals, plastics, metals, minerals, automotive, and forest products, as well as general consumer goods.

Furthermore, the company plays a significant role in global supply chains by moving intermodal traffic, primarily retail goods shipped in overseas containers. Geographically, CP's services connect and serve key business centers in Quebec and British Columbia in Canada, and extend into the United States, covering the vital Northeast and Midwest regions, thereby facilitating trade across a substantial portion of North America.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP):

  • The FedEx or UPS of North American rail freight.
  • Like Amazon's vast logistics network, but for heavy industrial goods and containers moved by train on its own tracks across North America.

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  • Freight Rail Transportation: Provides the movement of various goods and commodities across a vast transcontinental railway network.
  • Bulk Commodity Transportation: Specializes in hauling large volumes of raw materials such as grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, and sulphur.
  • Merchandise Freight Transportation: Offers transport for a diverse range of manufactured and finished goods, including energy, chemicals, metals, automotive, and forest products.
  • Intermodal Transportation: Facilitates the movement of retail goods and consumer products in overseas containers, integrating rail with other shipping methods.

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Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) primarily sells its services to other companies (B2B) rather than individuals. Its major customers are businesses that require freight transportation for bulk commodities, merchandise, and intermodal traffic across Canada and the United States.

Based on the commodities transported and CP's network, major customers typically include companies in the following sectors:

  • Agricultural and Fertilizer Companies: Companies that produce, process, or distribute grain, potash, and other fertilizers.
    • Nutrien Ltd. (NTR): A leading global producer of potash, nitrogen, and phosphate products, with significant operations in CP's service areas.
  • Mining Companies: Businesses involved in the extraction and distribution of coal, metals, and other minerals.
    • Teck Resources Ltd. (TECK): A major Canadian mining company, particularly for metallurgical coal, which relies heavily on rail for transport to ports.
  • Automotive Manufacturers: Companies that produce and distribute vehicles and automotive parts.
    • General Motors (GM): Along with other major automotive manufacturers (e.g., Ford, Stellantis), they utilize freight rail for the movement of finished vehicles and components across North America.
  • Retail and Logistics Companies: Large retailers and their third-party logistics providers that use intermodal rail for transporting consumer goods in overseas containers.
    • Walmart Inc. (WMT): Representing large retail chains and their extensive supply chains that rely on intermodal rail for efficient distribution of goods.

It's important to note that a major freight railway like CP serves thousands of customers across these sectors, and the companies listed above are prominent examples of the types of businesses that are significant users of their rail services.

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Keith Creel, President and Chief Executive Officer

Keith Creel became the first President and CEO of Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) on April 14, 2023, following the combination of Canadian Pacific (CP) and Kansas City Southern. Prior to this, he served as President and Chief Executive Officer of CP, a position he assumed in January 2017. Mr. Creel joined CP in February 2013 as President and Chief Operating Officer. Before joining CP, he was Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer at Canadian National (CN), where he spent 11 years and held various senior leadership roles, including Executive Vice-President Operations and Senior Vice-President for both the Eastern and Western Regions. Mr. Creel began his railroad career in 1992 at Burlington Northern Railway as an intermodal ramp manager, and also held operating and management positions at Grand Trunk Western Railroad and Illinois Central Railroad before its merger with CN in 1999. He is a commissioned officer in the U.S. Army and served in the Persian Gulf War.

Nadeem Velani, Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer

Nadeem Velani serves as Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer of CPKC. He previously held the roles of Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer at Canadian Pacific (CP), having been appointed CFO in September 2016 after serving as Vice-President Investor Relations. Before joining CP in March 2013, Mr. Velani spent 15 years at Canadian National (CN), where he held various positions in Strategic and Financial Planning, Investor Relations, Sales and Marketing, and the Office of the President and CEO.

Mark Redd, Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer

Mark Redd is the Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer for Canadian Pacific Kansas City. He retained this role with the formation of CPKC following the merger.

John Brooks, Executive Vice-President and Chief Marketing Officer

John Brooks holds the position of Executive Vice-President and Chief Marketing Officer at Canadian Pacific Kansas City. He retained his role as Executive Vice-President and Chief Marketing Officer from Canadian Pacific after the merger.

James Clements, Executive Vice-President Strategic Planning and Corporate Services

James Clements is the Executive Vice-President, Strategic Planning and Corporate Services at Canadian Pacific Kansas City. He retained his role in strategic planning and technology with the merged company.

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Key Risks to Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)

  1. Trade Uncertainty and Macroeconomic Headwinds: Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) is significantly exposed to the shifting landscape of U.S. trade policy, including potential tariffs on goods from Canada and Mexico. This trade uncertainty, along with broader macroeconomic risks such as recessions and economic downturns, can directly impact freight volumes and revenue, as evidenced by the company moderating its financial outlook due to such factors.
  2. Operational Risks and Hazardous Materials Transportation: As a Class I railroad, CPKC faces inherent operational risks, including casualty incidents like train derailments. Such events can lead to substantial increases in casualty expenses and negatively impact earnings. Furthermore, the transportation of hazardous materials poses a significant risk, with the potential for substantial claims that could exceed insurance coverage in the event of an accident.
  3. Regulatory and Environmental Risks: CPKC operates in a highly regulated environment across Canada, the U.S., and Mexico. This exposes the company to extensive governmental legislation, including evolving environmental, climate, and sustainability regulations, as well as stringent safety standards. Changes in these regulations, particularly those related to hazardous materials and emissions, can result in increased operational costs and compliance burdens.
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Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) operates within substantial addressable markets across North America for its various freight transportation services.

Overall Rail Freight Market

  • The North America rail freight transportation market is projected to grow by USD 37.53 billion at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.3% between 2024 and 2029.
  • The North America railroad market generated approximately USD 94.3 billion in revenue in 2024.
  • The U.S. freight rail industry is a nearly $80 billion market.
  • The United States Rail Freight Transport Market was valued at USD 74.17 billion in 2026, with projections to reach USD 87.42 billion by 2031 at a CAGR of 3.34% over 2026-2031.
  • Canada's railroads market accounts for about 12.0% of North America's total market, valued at around $15 billion in 2024.
  • The Canadian rail freight transport market is expected to register a CAGR of 3.5% during the forecast period (2025-2030), moving more than USD 320 billion worth of goods annually.

Intermodal Traffic

  • The North American intermodal freight market is the largest globally, with an estimated value of $51 billion.
  • The North America intermodal freight transportation market generated a revenue of USD 15,278.8 million in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 31,588.0 million by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 10.9% from 2024 to 2030.
  • Globally, the intermodal freight transportation market was valued at USD 82.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 172.8 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of over 9% between 2024 and 2032.

Main Products or Services Addressable Markets

  • Grain: In 2018, U.S. Class I railroads earned $5.8 billion in gross revenue from transporting 147.2 million tons of grain. In 2025, U.S. Class I railroads moved a record 1.38 million grain carloads. CPKC originated 158,000 grain carloads in 2025, reflecting strong exports to Mexico.
  • Coal: Freight railroads in the U.S. moved 3.4 million carloads of coal in 2022, accounting for approximately 70% of U.S. coal deliveries to power plants. Coal remains the largest single carload commodity by volume, representing 27.3% of total non-intermodal U.S. rail shipments in January 2025.
  • Potash: Null. (Specific rail transportation market size for potash in North America is not readily available, though U.S. agriculture relies heavily on potash imports, with over 90% net-import reliance.)
  • Fertilizers: Over 60% of fertilizer moves by rail year-round in the United States. Freight railroads moved 2.3 million carloads of plastics, fertilizers, and other chemicals in 2022. The global Agricultural Fertilizer Transportation Services Market was estimated at USD 4.78 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 7.33 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 6.28%.
  • Sulphur: Null. (Specific rail transportation market size for sulphur in North America is not readily available.)
  • Energy, Chemicals and Plastics: The North America Chemical Logistics market was valued at more than USD 72.74 billion in 2024. Railways are expected to dominate the chemical logistics market with a 34.6% share in 2025 in North America and Europe, driven by their cost-efficiency, safety, and suitability for bulk chemical movement over long distances. The U.S. chemical industry transports approximately 1 billion tons of chemical products per year, with over 2.3 million freight rail cars of plastics, fertilizers, and other dry and liquid bulk chemical products moved across U.S. tracks in 2023.
  • Metals and Minerals: Mining & Minerals held 21.60% of the United States Rail Freight Transport market share in 2025.
  • Automotive: The North America Automotive Logistics Market was valued at USD 51.93 billion in 2025. Transportation, including rail, generated 51.45% of this market in 2025.
  • Forest Products: Null. (Specific rail transportation market size for forest products in North America is not readily available, though Canadian freight trains serve this sector.)

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Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives and market trends:

  1. Synergies and Network Expansion from the Kansas City Southern (KCS) Merger: The successful integration of the Kansas City Southern network, creating the first single-line railroad linking Canada, the U.S., and Mexico, is a primary revenue driver. CPKC aims to realize substantial synergies, including leveraging its expanded cross-border and intra-Mexico freight capabilities. Strategic capital projects, such as the Laredo Bridge expansion, are expected to significantly increase throughput at North America's busiest rail border crossing.
  2. Increased Volume in Key Segments (Grain, Intermodal, and Automotive): CPKC anticipates strong volume growth across its core business segments. This includes expected bumper grain harvests in Canada and the U.S. boosting agricultural shipments. In intermodal, growth is driven by services like the Mexico Midwest Express (MMX) and new contracts aimed at converting truck freight to rail, offering competitive transit times. The automotive sector benefits from the Mexico–U.S. corridor and rising EV plant shipments from Mexico, with CPKC also planning to enhance its car supply to meet this demand.
  3. Pricing Power and Strategic Customer Wins: The company has demonstrated the ability to implement higher pricing and secure successful contract renewals, often exceeding its long-term outlook. CPKC is also focused on forming strategic partnerships and multi-year agreements with major carriers to attract freight from trucking to rail, thereby capturing new revenue streams.
  4. Operational Efficiency and Service Enhancements: While contributing to cost control, improved operational efficiency and enhanced service offerings are also expected to drive revenue growth. By optimizing its network speed, improving terminal dwell times, and increasing train velocity, CPKC aims to offer superior service reliability. These improvements, stemming from the Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR) model and ongoing investments in capacity, safety, and power, are crucial for attracting and retaining customers by providing competitive and reliable transportation solutions.

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Share Repurchases

  • Canadian Pacific Kansas City completed its previous share repurchase program in 2025, buying back all 37,348,539 authorized shares at a weighted average price of $105.53 per share.
  • A new normal course issuer bid (NCIB) commenced on February 2, 2026, and is scheduled to run through February 1, 2027, permitting net new repurchases of up to 44,865,624 common shares, representing approximately 5% of outstanding shares.
  • In March 2021, Canadian Pacific temporarily suspended its normal course issuer bid program to manage leverage effectively after the Kansas City Southern acquisition.

Share Issuance

  • To fund the stock consideration of the Kansas City Southern merger, Canadian Pacific issued 44.5 million new shares in March 2021, leading Kansas City Southern shareholders to own 25% of the combined company.
  • Shares of CPKC underwent a 5-for-1 stock split on May 13, 2021.

Outbound Investments

  • Canadian Pacific (CP) acquired Kansas City Southern (KCS) in a stock and cash transaction with an enterprise value of approximately $29 billion in March 2021, which included the assumption of $3.8 billion of KCS's outstanding debt. The merger officially created Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) in April 2023.
  • The acquisition of Kansas City Southern was partly financed by raising approximately $8.6 billion in debt.
  • CPKC sold its stake in the Panama Canal Railway, generating a $333 million pre-tax gain.

Capital Expenditures

  • CPKC's capital expenditures were approximately $1.212 billion in 2021, $1.15 billion in 2022, $1.886 billion in 2023, $1.991 billion in 2024, and peaked at $2.288 billion in 2025.
  • For 2025, the company had a C$3.2 billion capital expenditure plan focused on track upgrades, locomotives, and terminal automation, including high-return expansion projects like the Mexico–U.S. automotive and intermodal corridor.
  • CPKC has targeted annual capital expenditures of approximately $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion for the 2024-2028 period, with a primary focus on safety, efficiency, and network expansion, such as the bridge expansion in Laredo and an $800 million investment in Tier 4 locomotives.

Better Bets vs. Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP)

Peer Outperformance in Rail Transportation

CP has trailed 83% of its 6 Rail Transportation peers over 5Y. Rail Transportation ranks 9th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return.
Share of Rail Transportation constituents that CP has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
33%
of 6 industry peers · 28.5% return
3Y
17%
of 6 industry peers · 22.0% return
5Y
17%
of 6 industry peers · 37.5% return
No Rail Transportation peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten CP by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Rail Transportation is CP's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 34.4%131.4%215.6% CDNL 3372% · STRL 2462% · FIX 2322%
Marine Transportation 4 54.2%63.4%163.0% MATX 224% · KEX 165% · SFL 161%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 14.4%56.3%127.2% CAT 348% · ALSN 267% · WAB 255%
Aerospace & Defense 54 13.2%77.2%95.6% DFNS 2733% · ATI 1147% · FTAI 1018%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -13.3%52.1%59.3% UBER 87% · CAR 59% · LYFT -64%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 13.4%57.6%59.2% CRS 1647% · PSIX 867% · GHM 841%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 46.9%13.3%52.4% R 301% · XPO 297% · CVLG 225%
Diversified Support Services 34 12.4%37.0%43.9% LIME 4409% · TH 429% · WLFC 380%
Rail Transportation ← 7 38.8%69.9%43.5% FSTR 123% · CSX 60% · UNP 49%
Trading Companies & Distributors 18 6.7%37.2%42.3% DXPE 572% · AIT 330% · URI 250%
Electrical Components & Equipment 40 24.1%42.2%35.9% POWL 2534% · BE 969% · ELVA 956%
Building Products 33 -4.2%19.8%32.1% GFF 444% · LMB 431% · PPIH 278%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 25.8%28.8%11.6% RCMT 812% · TTI 215% · CSW 163%
Office Services & Supplies 10 18.1%30.7%7.1% TILE 200% · PBI 168% · EBF 63%
Environmental & Facilities Services 28 -7.5%14.2%4.8% CECO 972% · ADUR 642% · NVRI 300%
Research & Consulting Services 13 -9.4%-20.9%-5.0% HURN 206% · CRAI 89% · GRNQ 87%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 -6.1%-17.7%-16.7% BLBD 201% · DE 75% · GENC 68%
Passenger Airlines 11 10.9%-3.7%-21.4% LTM 2330% · UAL 170% · SKYW 161%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -32.9%-12.8%-27.3% EXLS 48% · BR 7% · MMS -27%
Human Resource & Employment Services 21 13.5%-21.7%-31.5% BBSI 87% · ADP 42% · KFY 39%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -12.1%-23.4%-35.9% CHRW 86% · FDX 69% · EXPD 61%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -31.9%-19.0%-47.1% CIX 119% · MG 94% · BCO 52%
Airport Services 3 -69.5%-68.1%-56.0% JOBY -10% · ASLE -56% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CPUNPCNICSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
Mkt Price93.68298.74126.5550.24338.91126.55
Mkt Cap83.0177.376.893.276.183.0
Rev LTM15,44925,41017,76114,51212,54015,449
Op Inc LTM5,67910,1716,6695,1534,6055,679
FCF LTM2,4036,5043,5482,7961,6312,796
FCF 3Y Avg2,2495,8743,4522,5631,4532,563
CFO LTM5,50010,2637,0165,3223,7325,500
CFO 3Y Avg5,2149,5586,8505,1673,7155,214

Growth & Margins

CPUNPCNICSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
Rev Chg LTM3.6%4.2%3.6%2.5%3.0%3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.9%0.9%0.7%-1.1%-0.3%0.7%
Rev Chg Q12.6%11.5%11.3%10.1%11.4%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.1%2.9%2.8%2.6%2.9%2.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM4.7%3.4%4.3%4.3%-9.2%4.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg16.1%2.2%-2.0%-4.1%-1.3%-1.3%
Op Mgn LTM36.8%40.0%37.5%35.5%36.7%36.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg36.1%39.7%37.7%35.8%37.7%37.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.2%-0.2%0.7%-0.8%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM35.6%40.4%39.5%36.7%29.8%36.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.0%38.7%39.6%35.8%30.3%35.8%
FCF/Rev LTM15.6%25.6%20.0%19.3%13.0%19.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.1%23.8%19.9%17.7%11.8%17.7%

Valuation

CPUNPCNICSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
Mkt Cap83.0177.376.893.276.183.0
P/S5.47.04.36.46.16.1
P/Op Inc14.617.411.518.116.516.5
P/EBIT13.616.410.518.518.316.4
P/E21.524.216.128.928.924.2
P/CFO15.117.310.917.520.417.3
Total Yield5.6%6.0%9.1%4.5%5.1%5.6%
Dividend Yield1.0%1.8%2.9%1.1%1.6%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.0%4.0%4.9%3.6%2.4%3.6%
D/E0.30.20.30.20.20.2
Net D/E0.30.20.30.20.20.2

Returns

CPUNPCNICSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
1M Rtn-0.0%-1.0%-1.9%-1.0%0.0%-1.0%
3M Rtn9.0%10.6%12.4%9.4%6.9%9.4%
6M Rtn12.2%14.9%18.0%23.2%8.1%14.9%
12M Rtn28.5%38.8%39.2%41.6%23.3%38.8%
3Y Rtn22.0%41.9%19.2%69.9%70.3%41.9%
1M Excs Rtn-1.1%-2.5%-3.4%-3.1%-1.8%-2.5%
3M Excs Rtn5.0%5.2%9.1%5.2%2.4%5.2%
6M Excs Rtn-0.2%2.5%5.6%10.8%-4.3%2.5%
12M Excs Rtn8.0%19.1%19.7%21.0%3.6%19.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.2%-33.1%-56.4%-1.8%-5.0%-33.1%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Rail transportation15,07814,54612,5558,8147,995
Total15,07814,54612,5558,8147,995


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$93.68 
Market Cap ($ Bil)83.0 
First Trading Date12/30/1983 
Distance from 52W High-0.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$89.92$81.47
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA4.2%15.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility20.9%22.6%
Downside Capture-14.2637.80
Upside Capture26.6858.50
Correlation (SPY)-1.1%27.2%
CP Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.77-0.170.110.360.490.68
Up Beta-1.24-1.06-0.330.300.440.81
Down Beta-0.300.210.440.590.540.42
Up Capture-56%-5%15%41%45%39%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days13223267127369
Down Capture-106%-4%7%18%53%93%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days8203058123379

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CP
CP27.4%22.6%0.99-
Sector ETF (XLI)23.4%17.0%1.0647.4%
Equity (SPY)20.4%12.8%1.1727.1%
Gold (GLD)29.8%28.5%0.9117.3%
Commodities (DBC)40.2%20.2%1.56-8.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.1%13.9%0.6549.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-45.4%42.7%-1.309.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CP
CP6.2%24.4%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.7%17.6%0.6060.5%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.2%0.5954.0%
Gold (GLD)19.8%18.6%0.8715.0%
Commodities (DBC)9.8%19.6%0.3918.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.4%18.9%0.0252.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)7.1%52.6%0.3219.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CP
CP13.5%25.5%0.51-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.1%20.0%0.6267.4%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7263.3%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.619.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%18.1%0.3528.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.2054.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)59.9%66.0%1.0016.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-5.0%
Average Daily Volume2.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity886.4 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/7/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/2026-3.4%0.2% 
4/29/20263.2%2.0%6.0%
1/28/20265.7%10.8%22.0%
10/29/2025-0.8%-3.9%-1.1%
7/30/2025-2.9%1.0%0.7%
4/30/20250.4%1.9%12.7%
1/29/20251.2%-1.0%-1.2%
10/23/2024-0.4%-0.8%-4.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151513
# Negative9910
Median Positive1.6%2.4%6.0%
Median Negative-1.2%-3.6%-2.5%
Max Positive5.7%10.8%22.0%
Max Negative-6.6%-10.6%-8.5%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/2026-3.4%0.2% 
4/29/20263.2%2.0%6.0%
1/28/20265.7%10.8%22.0%
10/29/2025-0.8%-3.9%-1.1%
7/30/2025-2.9%1.0%0.7%
4/30/20250.4%1.9%12.7%
1/29/20251.2%-1.0%-1.2%
10/23/2024-0.4%-0.8%-4.6%
7/30/20242.1%-5.5%0.5%
4/24/2024-6.6%-10.6%-8.5%
1/30/20241.3%6.1%7.1%
10/25/20230.1%2.8%3.5%
7/27/2023-0.0%-2.6%-5.4%
4/26/20230.7%1.9%-0.6%
1/31/2023-1.2%-1.5%-0.8%
10/26/20220.5%0.4%11.3%
7/28/20220.8%1.0%5.7%
4/27/20223.9%3.2%-3.8%
1/27/2022-1.9%-3.6%-4.6%
10/20/20211.6%2.8%1.7%
7/28/20212.0%2.4%-1.2%
4/21/20213.5%5.4%13.4%
1/27/20215.1%6.2%7.8%
10/20/2020-0.8%-4.5%4.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151513
# Negative9910
Median Positive1.6%2.4%6.0%
Median Negative-1.2%-3.6%-2.5%
Max Positive5.7%10.8%22.0%
Max Negative-6.6%-10.6%-8.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/24/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/31/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/31/202410-Q
03/31/202404/24/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/24/202310-K
09/30/202210/27/202210-Q
06/30/202207/28/202210-Q
03/31/202204/28/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K
09/30/202110/20/202110-Q
06/30/202107/29/202110-Q
03/31/202104/22/202110-Q
12/31/202002/18/202110-K
09/30/202010/20/202010-Q
06/30/202007/22/202010-Q
03/31/202004/22/202010-Q
12/31/201902/20/202010-K
09/30/201910/24/201910-Q
06/30/201907/16/201910-Q

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 19, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
TCI Fund Management LTD$3.7 Bil8.1%10Hold13F
Rothschild & Co Wealth Management UK Ltd$414.1 Mil6.3%25Hold13F
Consulta Ltd$106.2 Mil5.3%13TRIM -40.7%13F
Maren Capital LLC$82.4 Mil4.3%19TRIM -17.8%13F
Wgi DM, LLC$34.9 Mil3.5%6Hold13F
Heathbridge Capital Management Ltd.$9.2 Mil3.3%29Hold13F
Partners Group Holding AG$38.6 Mil2.9%50Hold13F
Minneapolis Portfolio Management Group, LLC$26.8 Mil2.8%33Hold13F
Coleford Investment Management Ltd.$10.6 Mil2.6%24Hold13F
Ycg, LLC$26.6 Mil2.4%42TRIM -13.3%13F
Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment Management Ltd.$33.4 Mil2.4%33Hold13F
Walter Public Investments Inc.$8.9 Mil2.1%48TRIM -20.7%13F
Mirova US LLC$152.9 Mil1.7%42Hold13F
Locust Wood Capital Advisers, LLC$51.2 Mil1.4%27TRIM -26.7%13F
Skye Global Management LP$13.9 Mil0.3%44TRIM -8.3%13F
Woodbridge Co Ltd$11.0 Mil0.0%46New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Woodbridge Co Ltd$11.0 Mil0.0%46New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Prevatt Capital Ltd$20.6 Mil6.0%11ExitedDec 31, 202513F
DKRT Investments Corp.$5.3 Mil1.5%45ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Consulta Ltd$106.2 Mil5.3%13TRIM -40.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Locust Wood Capital Advisers, LLC$51.2 Mil1.4%27TRIM -26.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Walter Public Investments Inc.$8.9 Mil2.1%48TRIM -20.7%Mar 31, 202613F
Maren Capital LLC$82.4 Mil4.3%19TRIM -17.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Ycg, LLC$26.6 Mil2.4%42TRIM -13.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Skye Global Management LP$13.9 Mil0.3%44TRIM -8.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
TCI Fund Management LTD$3.7 Bil8.1%10Hold13F
Rothschild & Co Wealth Management UK Ltd$414.1 Mil6.3%25Hold13F
Mirova US LLC$152.9 Mil1.7%42Hold13F
Consulta Ltd$106.2 Mil5.3%13TRIM -40.7%13F
Maren Capital LLC$82.4 Mil4.3%19TRIM -17.8%13F
Locust Wood Capital Advisers, LLC$51.2 Mil1.4%27TRIM -26.7%13F
Partners Group Holding AG$38.6 Mil2.9%50Hold13F
Wgi DM, LLC$34.9 Mil3.5%6Hold13F
Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment Management Ltd.$33.4 Mil2.4%33Hold13F
Minneapolis Portfolio Management Group, LLC$26.8 Mil2.8%33Hold13F
Ycg, LLC$26.6 Mil2.4%42TRIM -13.3%13F
Skye Global Management LP$13.9 Mil0.3%44TRIM -8.3%13F
Woodbridge Co Ltd$11.0 Mil0.0%46New13F
Coleford Investment Management Ltd.$10.6 Mil2.6%24Hold13F
Heathbridge Capital Management Ltd.$9.2 Mil3.3%29Hold13F
Walter Public Investments Inc.$8.9 Mil2.1%48TRIM -20.7%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/18/2026