Tearsheet

Maximus (MMS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.46 | Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Data Processing & Outsourced Services

Maximus (MMS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $88.46
Market Cap: $5.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Data Processing & Outsourced Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
Key risks
MMS key risks include [1] its high dependence on government contracts for revenue and [2] significant cybersecurity vulnerabilities, Show more.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
 
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Health Data Analytics, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Health Data Analytics, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.7%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -39%
5 Key risks
MMS key risks include [1] its high dependence on government contracts for revenue and [2] significant cybersecurity vulnerabilities, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MMS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Maximus (MMS) stock moved by approximately 1.1% from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results: Maximus reported robust financial performance for fiscal year 2025, with full-year revenue increasing 2.4% to $5.43 billion and adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) rising 20% year-over-year to $7.36, surpassing analyst expectations.

2. Optimistic Fiscal Year 2026 Guidance: The company provided a strong outlook for fiscal year 2026, projecting adjusted EPS in the range of $7.95 to $8.25. This forward-looking guidance instilled investor confidence in future growth and profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MMS Return-0%10%-6%16%-10%19%29%
Peers Return7%15%-1%15%18%-7%54%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MMS Win Rate50%67%42%58%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%62%50%62%62%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MMS Max Drawdown-33%-0%-29%-3%-16%-13% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-9%-21%-20%-9%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LDOS, BAH, ACN, IBM, CNDT. See MMS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMMSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven141 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven260 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-45.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven320 days1,480 days

Compare to HQY, EXLS, CNDT, MERC, BR


In The Past

Maximus's stock fell -41.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/19/2021. A -41.7% loss requires a 71.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Maximus (MMS)

Better Bets than Maximus (MMS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MMS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Maximus

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MMSLDOSBAHACNIBMCNDTMedian
NameMaximus Leidos Booz All.AccentureInternat.Conduent  
Mkt Price88.54181.3686.55273.74303.321.99134.95
Mkt Cap5.123.210.6170.5283.30.316.9
Rev LTM5,43117,33211,70669,67365,4023,07214,519
Op Inc LTM5282,0411,10610,22611,544-851,574
FCF LTM3661,33881910,87411,854-1301,078
FCF 3Y Avg3301,1496419,49511,753-93895
CFO LTM4291,50691011,47413,483-711,208
CFO 3Y Avg4201,31272810,04313,498-71,020

Growth & Margins

MMSLDOSBAHACNIBMCNDTMedian
NameMaximus Leidos Booz All.AccentureInternat.Conduent  
Rev Chg LTM2.4%6.5%2.4%7.4%4.5%-12.5%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.5%6.9%10.0%4.2%2.6%-7.7%4.9%
Rev Chg Q0.2%6.7%-8.1%7.3%9.1%-5.0%3.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.0%1.6%-2.1%1.7%2.1%-1.3%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM9.7%11.8%9.5%14.7%17.7%-2.8%10.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.3%10.3%8.7%14.4%16.4%0.2%9.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.1%-2.0%-0.7%0.6%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.9%8.7%7.8%16.5%20.6%-2.3%8.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%8.0%6.4%15.1%21.4%-0.3%8.0%
FCF/Rev LTM6.7%7.7%7.0%15.6%18.1%-4.2%7.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.3%7.0%5.6%14.3%18.6%-2.8%6.6%

Valuation

MMSLDOSBAHACNIBMCNDTMedian
NameMaximus Leidos Booz All.AccentureInternat.Conduent  
Mkt Cap5.123.210.6170.5283.30.316.9
P/S0.91.41.02.24.00.11.2
P/EBIT-11.810.914.623.2-2.711.8
P/E16.117.214.820.033.3-3.016.7
P/CFO12.016.113.513.419.5-6.213.4
Total Yield7.5%6.7%6.7%7.4%5.4%-33.9%6.7%
Dividend Yield1.3%0.9%0.0%2.4%2.4%0.0%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-6.0%4.1%5.2%6.4%-16.8%5.2%
D/E-0.20.30.10.32.00.3
Net D/E-0.20.3-0.00.21.40.2

Returns

MMSLDOSBAHACNIBMCNDTMedian
NameMaximus Leidos Booz All.AccentureInternat.Conduent  
1M Rtn13.0%-3.7%6.0%13.4%2.1%0.0%4.0%
3M Rtn0.4%-1.1%-14.2%14.2%17.7%-28.9%-0.3%
6M Rtn28.9%22.8%-14.2%-9.6%8.4%-26.6%-0.6%
12M Rtn28.1%22.0%-34.9%-21.8%35.9%-53.9%0.1%
3Y Rtn29.4%79.5%-12.2%9.1%141.5%-47.2%19.2%
1M Excs Rtn12.3%-4.5%5.3%12.7%1.3%-0.7%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-1.7%-4.2%-15.3%13.7%13.7%-34.1%-2.9%
6M Excs Rtn16.5%10.4%-26.5%-22.0%-4.0%-39.0%-13.0%
12M Excs Rtn17.8%8.9%-45.3%-33.2%23.7%-63.8%-12.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-39.4%6.6%-81.6%-69.8%58.4%-117.8%-54.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Program Operations2,5702,501   
Clinical Services1,8911,486   
Employment and Other469521   
Technology Solutions375397   
Outside the United States (U.S.)  764699 
United states (U.S.) Federal Services  2,2601,893 
United states (U.S.) Services  1,6081,662 
Total5,3064,9054,6314,254 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,135,349
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.1%
Average Daily Volume831,206
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.77
Basic Shares Quantity56,324,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/20/20255.5%10.9% 
8/7/20254.6%14.4%18.3%
5/8/202512.8%11.7%6.0%
2/6/2025-7.7%-11.4%-5.7%
11/20/2024-6.9%-10.0%-9.4%
8/7/2024-0.2%0.4%-0.2%
5/8/2024-0.5%3.8%1.5%
2/7/20241.1%6.3%10.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111613
# Negative13811
Median Positive1.1%2.9%5.4%
Median Negative-1.1%-2.8%-6.0%
Max Positive12.8%14.4%18.3%
Max Negative-7.7%-11.4%-16.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251120202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241121202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231116202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221122202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021