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Canadian National Railway (CNI)


Market Price (3/30/2026): $101.41 | Market Cap: $62.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Rail Transportation

Canadian National Railway (CNI)


Market Price (3/30/2026): $101.41
Market Cap: $62.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Rail Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 5.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 38%
  Key risks
CNI key risks include [1] significant operational disruptions tied to the 2026 expiration of key union contracts, Show more.
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 7.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.4 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Automation & Robotics, Sustainable Infrastructure, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 5.4%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 38%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 7.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.4 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers, Automation & Robotics, Sustainable Infrastructure, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.4%
7 Key risks
CNI key risks include [1] significant operational disruptions tied to the 2026 expiration of key union contracts, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Canadian National Railway (CNI) stock has gained about 5% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fourth-Quarter 2025 Financial Performance.

Canadian National Railway reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increasing by 14% and full-year adjusted EPS up 7%. The company achieved a strong operating ratio of 60.1% for the quarter and generated $3.3 billion in free cash flow for the full year.

2. Enhanced Shareholder Returns.

The company demonstrated a commitment to returning capital to shareholders by increasing its quarterly dividend by 3% to $0.915 per share. Additionally, Canadian National Railway authorized a new share buyback program, allowing for the repurchase of up to 24 million shares.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 7.1% change in CNI stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253292026Change
Stock Price ($)94.67101.437.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,19817,3040.6%
Net Income Margin (%)26.9%27.3%1.6%
P/E Multiple12.713.23.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6226151.1%
Cumulative Contribution7.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNI7.1% 
Market (SPY)-5.3%29.3%
Sector (XLI)3.9%51.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.9% change in CNI stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 2.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120253292026Change
Stock Price ($)94.91101.436.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,14317,3040.9%
Net Income Margin (%)26.6%27.3%2.5%
P/E Multiple13.013.21.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6276152.0%
Cumulative Contribution6.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNI6.9% 
Market (SPY)0.6%29.0%
Sector (XLI)5.5%45.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.3% change in CNI stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820253292026Change
Stock Price ($)98.19101.433.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17,04617,3041.5%
Net Income Margin (%)26.1%27.3%4.5%
P/E Multiple13.913.2-4.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)6296152.2%
Cumulative Contribution3.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNI3.3% 
Market (SPY)9.8%47.0%
Sector (XLI)18.4%52.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.2% change in CNI stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233292026Change
Stock Price ($)105.91101.43-4.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16,31817,3046.0%
Net Income Margin (%)30.0%27.3%-9.1%
P/E Multiple14.713.2-10.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)68261510.9%
Cumulative Contribution-4.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CNI-4.2% 
Market (SPY)69.4%48.7%
Sector (XLI)65.1%56.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CNI Return14%-1%8%-18%-0%3%3%
Peers Return20%-11%10%-4%12%5%32%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNI Win Rate50%42%58%42%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate50%35%50%46%58%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNI Max Drawdown-8%-12%-11%-18%-9%-3% 
Peers Max Drawdown-6%-23%-12%-9%-11%-4% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: UNP, CP, CSX, NSC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven28.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven109 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-48.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven372 days1,480 days

Compare to UNP, CP, CSX, NSC

In The Past

Canadian National Railway's stock fell -23.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/30/2022. A -23.5% loss requires a 30.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Canadian National Railway (CNI)

Canadian National Railway Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail and related transportation business. The company's portfolio of goods includes petroleum and chemicals, grain and fertilizers, coal, metals and minerals, forest products, intermodal, and automotive products serving exporters, importers, retailers, farmers, and manufacturers. It operates a network of 19,500 route miles of track spanning Canada and the United States. The company also provides vessels and docks, transloading and distribution, automotive logistics, and freight forwarding and transportation management services. Canadian National Railway Company was incorporated in 1919 and is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.

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1. The FedEx or UPS of North American heavy freight, moving goods by rail.

2. Like a major shipping line such as Maersk, but for land-based rail freight across Canada and the U.S.

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  • Rail Transportation: Moving a diverse portfolio of goods including petroleum, chemicals, grain, fertilizers, coal, metals, minerals, forest products, intermodal, and automotive products across its extensive rail network.
  • Vessels and Docks Services: Providing marine terminal and dock facilities for the handling and transfer of goods.
  • Transloading and Distribution Services: Facilitating the transfer of goods between different modes of transport and managing their distribution.
  • Automotive Logistics: Offering specialized logistics solutions for the transportation and handling of automotive products.
  • Freight Forwarding and Transportation Management: Coordinating the shipment of goods through various carriers and managing the overall transportation process for clients.

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Canadian National Railway (CNI) primarily sells its services to other companies, making it a business-to-business (B2B) enterprise. Due to the competitive nature of the freight transportation industry, railway companies like CNI typically do not publicly disclose the names of their individual major customers.

However, based on the types of goods transported and the industries served as described in its portfolio, CNI's major customers are companies operating in the following sectors:

  • Resource and Heavy Industry Companies: This category includes businesses involved in the extraction, production, and processing of raw materials such as petroleum, chemicals, grain, fertilizers, coal, metals, minerals, and forest products. Examples would be oil and gas companies, mining corporations, chemical manufacturers, large-scale agricultural enterprises, and lumber companies.
  • Manufacturing Companies: Particularly those in the automotive sector, but also other large-scale manufacturers that rely on rail for transporting raw materials, components, and finished goods across long distances.
  • Retailers, Distributors, and Logistics Providers: Large retail chains, importers, and exporters, as well as third-party logistics (3PL) providers, utilize CNI's intermodal services to move consumer goods and other freight in shipping containers across its network.

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  • Wabtec Corporation (WAB)
  • Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)
  • The Greenbrier Companies (GBX)
  • Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN)

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Tracy Robinson, President and Chief Executive Officer

Tracy Robinson was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of CN on February 28, 2022, becoming the first female CEO of a Canadian railway. Before joining CN, she served as Executive Vice-President of TC Energy, and President of Canadian Natural Gas Pipelines and Coastal GasLink. Her extensive experience in the railway industry includes 27 years at Canadian Pacific Railway, where she held executive roles in commercial, finance, and operating functions, such as General Manager of Transportation Services, Vice President and Treasurer, and Vice President of Marketing and Sales, where she was involved in pioneering crude oil transportation by rail. Ms. Robinson holds a Master of Business Administration from the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business.

Ghislain Houle, Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer

Ghislain Houle was appointed Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer in July 2016. He joined CN in September 1997 as Chief of Internal Audit and has since held various senior financial leadership positions, including Vice-President and Corporate Comptroller and Vice-President – Financial Planning. His current responsibilities encompass financial management, strategic planning, strategic acquisitions, and investor relations. Prior to his tenure at CN, Mr. Houle worked as a Senior Manager in tax and audit at a major accounting firm. He also serves as a Director of Gildan Activewear Inc. He holds a bachelor of commerce degree from Laval University and an MBA from McGill University.

Patrick Whitehead, Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer

Patrick Whitehead was appointed Executive Vice-President and Chief Operating Officer in October 2023. He initially joined CN in 2021 as a General Manager in Chicago and previously served as Senior Vice-President, Network Operations. Mr. Whitehead brings over 30 years of railroad experience, with more than 25 years in management roles within Transportation and Mechanical operations. Before his time at CN, he was Vice-President, Transportation for Norfolk Southern Railway.

Janet Drysdale, Executive Vice-President and Chief Commercial Officer

Janet Drysdale was named Executive Vice-President and Chief Commercial Officer in October 2025. With nearly 30 years of experience at CN, she has held various executive positions across investor relations, finance, corporate and business development, sustainability, and stakeholder relations. She began her career at CN in sales and marketing roles. Ms. Drysdale holds a bachelor's degree from Queen's University and an MBA from McGill University.

Dominique Malenfant, Executive Vice-President and Chief Information and Technology Officer

Dominique Malenfant was appointed Executive Vice-President and Chief Information and Technology Officer in April 2025. He possesses over two decades of global leadership experience in areas such as digital strategy, cybersecurity, AI, technology innovation, supply chain optimization, product management, and software engineering. Before joining CN, Mr. Malenfant served as Senior Vice-President, Engineering and Chief Technology Officer at Wabtec, and held leadership positions at GE Transportation and Bombardier Transport Canada Participation, Inc.

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Here are the key risks to Canadian National Railway (CNI):

  1. Economic Volatility, Freight Demand, and Trade Policy: Canadian National Railway is significantly exposed to macroeconomic conditions, including recessions and trade policy shifts. A persistent drop in freight demand, particularly in key segments like metals, minerals, forest products, and intermodal shipments, directly impacts the company's carloads and revenue. Geopolitical landscapes, trade policy uncertainty, and tariffs on Canadian goods, especially from the U.S., can force customers to reduce shipments or alter supply chains, thereby hurting CNI's volumes. Such economic volatility has already led the company to revise its earnings guidance.
  2. Operational Disruptions and High Operating Expenses: The company faces ongoing challenges from operational disruptions, including supply chain issues, labor problems, and extreme weather events like wildfires, which can cause significant network interruptions. Furthermore, Canadian National Railway is grappling with persistently high operating expenses. These escalating costs, driven by increases in labor, fringe benefits, purchased services, and materials, strain profitability and operational efficiency. This contributes to financial pressure and impacts the company's financial stability.
  3. Cybersecurity Risks: As a critical national infrastructure (CNI) provider, Canadian National Railway is increasingly reliant on digital technologies, making it vulnerable to cyberattacks. The railway's operational technology (OT) and industrial control systems (ICS) can be targeted by sophisticated cyber threats, including state-sponsored actors and large-scale cybercrime. Vulnerabilities in supply chains, which are increasingly a focus for regulators, also pose a significant risk, as third-party systems or products can be exploited to compromise the railway's network or disrupt its services. Many of these operational systems may be older legacy systems, which can present known vulnerabilities and be challenging to update or patch, increasing exposure to malicious actors.

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Canadian National Railway (CNI) primarily operates in the North American rail and related transportation business, serving a broad range of industries across Canada and the United States. The addressable markets for its main products and services are substantial within the North American region.

Overall North American Transportation and Logistics Markets

  • The broader North America Transportation Industry was valued at approximately USD 1.1 trillion.
  • The North America logistics market generated a revenue of USD 936.9 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach US$ 1,408.8 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% from 2025 to 2030. Another estimate for the North America logistics market size was USD 1,478.0 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 1,768.0 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 2.0% during 2025-2033.
  • The North America freight and logistics market was valued at USD 1,641.37 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 2,073.27 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 3.97% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

North American Rail Freight Market

  • The North America railroad market, which includes both freight and passenger rail, generated a revenue of USD 94,326.3 million in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 129,684.6 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.3% from 2025 to 2030. Rail freight holds the largest share within this market.
  • More specifically for rail freight, the North America rail freight transportation market size is forecast to increase by USD 37.53 billion at a CAGR of 7.3% between 2024 and 2029.
  • The North America Railroads Market was valued at USD 82.0 billion in 2024, with projections to reach USD 136.0 billion by 2035 at a 4.71% CAGR.
  • Canadian railways transported over 375.1 million tons of freight in 2023.
  • Railways moved USD 184.5 billion of transborder freight between the U.S. and North American partners (Canada and Mexico) in 2025.

Intermodal Transportation Market (North America)

  • The intermodal freight transportation market in North America generated a revenue of USD 15,278.8 million in 2023. It is expected to reach a projected revenue of US$ 31,588.0 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 10.9% from 2024 to 2030.
  • North America was the largest revenue-generating market for intermodal freight transportation in 2023.
  • North America dominated the global intermodal freight transportation market with a market share of 40.38% in 2025.

Addressable Markets for Main Products and Services by Commodity (North America)

While specific market values for rail transport of each commodity are not consistently reported in USD, the importance and volume of these goods in North American rail freight indicate significant addressable markets:

  • Petroleum and Chemicals: This is a significant end-user segment for rail freight transportation in North America. Railroads are essential for moving large amounts of raw materials for fertilizers, such as anhydrous ammonia, potassium compounds, and urea, carrying millions of tons annually.
  • Grain and Fertilizers (Agriculture Products): The agriculture products segment is a key end-user for rail freight. U.S. railroads move 1.6 million carloads of grain and 1.7 million carloads of food annually. Rail grain movements from Canada to the U.S. exceeded 6.9 million metric tonnes in 2024. U.S. grain rail carloads rose to approximately 1.11 million in 2025.
  • Coal: Coal is a major commodity for rail freight in North America. In May 2025, coal maintained its lead among commodities in weekly U.S. rail traffic, and U.S. coal exports were projected to reach 95 million short tons in 2025.
  • Metals and Minerals: This is an end-user segment for rail freight. Canadian railways saw large increases in loadings of iron ores in June 2022.
  • Forest Products: Forest products are explicitly mentioned in Canadian National Railway's portfolio; however, a specific market size for rail transport of forest products in North America was not readily available in the search results.
  • Automotive Products: The North America Automotive Logistics Market was valued at USD 51.93 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 64.23 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 3.61%. Transportation services accounted for 51.45% of this market in 2025. Rail transport plays a role in moving automotive and equipment.
  • Transloading and Distribution, Automotive Logistics, and Freight Forwarding and Transportation Management Services: These fall under the broader North American logistics market, which is valued in the trillions of USD, as detailed above. The North America third-party logistics market alone was valued at US$ 315.07 billion in 2022 and is expected to reach US$ 497.56 billion by 2030.

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Canadian National Railway (CNI) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of targeted segment expansion, strategic pricing, enhanced operational efficiency, and focused market share initiatives.

The key drivers include:

  1. Targeted Growth in High-Performing Segments: CNI anticipates revenue growth from specific commodity segments that have shown strong performance. Notably, intermodal shipments increased by 10.5% in Q4 2025, contributing significantly to revenue per ton-mile. The petroleum and chemicals segment saw a 4% rise in revenue, while grain and fertilizers experienced a 6% increase in revenue, supported by record shipments. The automotive sector also contributed with a 4% revenue increase in Q4 2025.
  2. Strategic Pricing Power and Revenue Management: Despite a challenging macroeconomic environment and "flattish volume expectations" for 2026, CNI aims for "same-store pricing ahead of rail inflation" to contribute to its top-line growth. The company's consistent track record of increasing dividends for 30 consecutive years reflects confidence in its long-term financial health, which is often underpinned by pricing capability.
  3. Enhanced Operational Efficiency and Strategic Infrastructure Investments: CNI is focused on improving its operating ratio and overall efficiency, which, while not a direct revenue driver, optimizes profitability and allows for more competitive service offerings, indirectly supporting revenue. The company plans to invest approximately C$2.8 billion in its capital program for 2026, a decrease from 2025, with these investments geared towards improving network resilience, efficiency, and sustainability, including modernization of its locomotive fleet and capacity expansion.
  4. Market Share Gains Through Commercial Efforts: CNI actively pursues market share wins through "boots-on-the-ground sales" and focused commercial efforts, particularly in segments like chemicals and plastics. This strategy aims to grow the customer base and capture additional volumes within existing markets.

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Share Repurchases

  • Canadian National Railway authorized a new share repurchase program on January 30, 2026, to buy back and cancel up to 24 million common shares (3.9% of outstanding shares) between February 4, 2026, and February 3, 2027.
  • In 2025, the company repurchased approximately 15 million shares for roughly C$2 billion.
  • Under a program announced in January 2024 (expiring February 3, 2026), Canadian National had repurchased 15,250,222 shares at a weighted-average price of C$134.44 as of January 22, 2026, returning C$2,050 million to shareholders.

Outbound Investments

  • Canadian National Railway acquired the Iowa Northern Railway, a Class III shortline, in 2023.
  • The acquisition of Iowa Northern Railway by CN was approved by the Surface Transportation Board (STB) on January 14, 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • For 2026, Canadian National plans approximately C$2.8 billion in capital spending, a reduction of C$500 million from 2025.
  • In 2025, the company invested approximately C$3.4 billion in capital projects, with C$2.9 billion dedicated to maintenance and strategic infrastructure and over C$500 million allocated to upgrading and expanding its rolling stock.
  • In 2024, Canadian National invested approximately C$3.5 billion CAD, which included C$1.7 billion for maintaining the safety and integrity of its network. Significant projects included a C$75 million siding extension in the Greater Chicago area and improvements in the Greater Vancouver area.

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CNIUNPCPCSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
Mkt Price101.43238.7978.2339.67283.25101.43
Mkt Cap62.4141.570.273.763.670.2
Rev LTM17,30424,51015,07814,09212,18015,078
Op Inc LTM6,5879,8465,6094,7184,6055,609
FCF LTM3,3915,4992,1691,7112,1572,169
FCF 3Y Avg3,4405,3892,0712,5621,5602,562
CFO LTM7,0499,2905,3094,6134,3615,309
CFO 3Y Avg6,9049,0054,9055,1253,8645,125

Growth & Margins

CNIUNPCPCSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
Rev Chg LTM1.5%1.1%3.7%-3.1%0.5%1.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.4%-0.5%20.7%-1.7%-1.5%-0.5%
Rev Chg Q2.4%-0.6%1.3%-0.9%-1.7%-0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%-0.1%0.3%-0.2%-0.4%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM38.1%40.2%37.2%33.5%37.8%37.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg38.1%39.3%35.9%36.2%38.0%38.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.4%0.2%-0.8%-0.6%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM40.7%37.9%35.2%32.7%35.8%35.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg40.5%37.1%34.8%35.5%31.8%35.5%
FCF/Rev LTM19.6%22.4%14.4%12.1%17.7%17.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.2%22.2%14.7%17.7%12.8%17.7%

Valuation

CNIUNPCPCSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
Mkt Cap62.4141.570.273.763.670.2
P/S3.65.84.75.25.25.2
P/EBIT8.713.511.016.014.313.5
P/E13.219.817.025.522.119.8
P/CFO8.915.213.216.014.614.6
Total Yield11.1%7.3%7.0%4.9%4.5%7.0%
Dividend Yield3.5%2.3%1.1%1.0%0.0%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.1%3.8%3.0%3.9%2.7%3.8%
D/E0.30.20.30.30.30.3
Net D/E0.30.20.30.30.20.3

Returns

CNIUNPCPCSXNSCMedian
NameCanadian.Union Pa.Canadian.CSX Norfolk . 
1M Rtn-9.0%-9.9%-10.4%-7.1%-10.0%-9.9%
3M Rtn3.4%2.8%5.2%8.3%-2.2%3.4%
6M Rtn10.6%2.7%7.0%17.1%-3.9%7.0%
12M Rtn6.8%5.3%13.8%37.9%25.4%13.8%
3Y Rtn-6.7%29.0%5.7%40.0%45.1%29.0%
1M Excs Rtn0.4%-2.2%-2.1%0.8%-1.7%-1.7%
3M Excs Rtn11.5%10.2%13.6%16.0%5.3%11.5%
6M Excs Rtn14.8%7.6%9.8%21.4%0.6%9.8%
12M Excs Rtn-7.5%-8.8%-3.5%22.8%11.1%-3.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-66.4%-24.0%-55.9%-15.8%-10.7%-24.0%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment17,04616,82817,10714,47713,819
Total17,04616,82817,10714,47713,819


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$101.43 
Market Cap ($ Bil)62.4 
First Trading Date11/26/1996 
Distance from 52W High-9.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$103.56$97.64
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA-2.1%3.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility26.3%23.0%
Downside Capture0.220.46
Upside Capture71.8960.42
Correlation (SPY)30.4%46.1%
CNI Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.160.390.400.420.560.66
Up Beta0.360.400.450.120.600.73
Down Beta0.020.580.380.550.430.46
Up Capture55%85%92%60%53%33%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days16263564124385
Down Capture-145%-25%-14%29%70%92%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days5142357124362

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CNI
CNI4.0%23.0%0.10-
Sector ETF (XLI)20.5%19.2%0.8451.4%
Equity (SPY)14.5%18.9%0.5946.1%
Gold (GLD)50.2%27.7%1.4612.0%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.6%0.8522.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.4%16.4%-0.1548.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-23.7%44.2%-0.4920.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CNI
CNI-0.1%22.4%-0.05-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.3%17.2%0.5660.1%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5455.3%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.7%0.9615.6%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.5022.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.0%18.8%0.0747.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%56.6%0.2920.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CNI
CNI7.1%22.6%0.29-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.0%19.8%0.5867.4%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6764.5%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.8%0.707.8%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%17.6%0.3931.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1952.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.4%66.8%1.0615.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-16.9%
Average Daily Volume2.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity615.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/04/202640-F
09/30/202510/31/20256-K
06/30/202507/22/20256-K
03/31/202505/01/20256-K
12/31/202402/04/202540-F
09/30/202410/22/20246-K
06/30/202407/23/20246-K
03/31/202404/23/20246-K
12/31/202301/31/202440-F
09/30/202310/24/20236-K
06/30/202307/25/20236-K
03/31/202304/24/20236-K
09/30/202210/25/20226-K
06/30/202207/26/20226-K
03/31/202204/26/20226-K
09/30/202110/19/20216-K