Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 6.0%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 8.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.4 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Renewable Fuel Production.

Key risks
DAL key risks include [1] significant operational disruption and financial liability from cyber incidents and failures within its critical technology infrastructure.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 6.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 8.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 3.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 42%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Renewable Fuel Production.
4 Key risks
DAL key risks include [1] significant operational disruption and financial liability from cyber incidents and failures within its critical technology infrastructure.

DAL in ETFs

Weight = DAL's share of each fund

SPY0.09%
VOO0.08%
IVV0.09%
VTI0.07%
ITOT0.08%
IWB0.08%
RSP0.22%
VTV0.21%
+27 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/10/2026

Delta Air Lines (DAL) stock has gained about 30% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Delta Air Lines exceeded financial expectations for fiscal Q2 2026 and provided an optimistic outlook.

The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.56, surpassing analyst estimates ranging from $1.48 to $1.51. Record adjusted revenue reached $17.7 billion, a 14% increase year-over-year, also beating the anticipated $17.5 billion. Additionally, Delta affirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $6.50 to $7.50 and free cash flow of $3 billion to $4 billion. The positive momentum is expected to continue into fiscal Q3 2026, with forecast EPS of $2.00 to $2.50, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.86.

2. Robust demand for premium services and loyalty programs drove revenue growth.

Broad demand strength and growing brand preference were key contributors to record revenue in fiscal Q2 2026. Premium and corporate sales significantly increased by approximately 25%, while loyalty revenue saw a 19% rise. The strong performance of the Delta American Express partnership continued, with card spending growing double-digits for seven consecutive quarters, and an expected $9 billion in remuneration for the year, up 10% over 2025. Domestic unit revenue grew 12% year-over-year, and international unit revenue increased by 8%.

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Updated on 7/10/2026

Delta Air Lines (DAL) stock has gained about 30% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Delta Air Lines exceeded financial expectations for fiscal Q2 2026 and provided an optimistic outlook.

The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.56, surpassing analyst estimates ranging from $1.48 to $1.51. Record adjusted revenue reached $17.7 billion, a 14% increase year-over-year, also beating the anticipated $17.5 billion. Additionally, Delta affirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $6.50 to $7.50 and free cash flow of $3 billion to $4 billion. The positive momentum is expected to continue into fiscal Q3 2026, with forecast EPS of $2.00 to $2.50, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.86.

2. Robust demand for premium services and loyalty programs drove revenue growth.

Broad demand strength and growing brand preference were key contributors to record revenue in fiscal Q2 2026. Premium and corporate sales significantly increased by approximately 25%, while loyalty revenue saw a 19% rise. The strong performance of the Delta American Express partnership continued, with card spending growing double-digits for seven consecutive quarters, and an expected $9 billion in remuneration for the year, up 10% over 2025. Domestic unit revenue grew 12% year-over-year, and international unit revenue increased by 8%.

3. Delta demonstrated strong pricing power in a more favorable industry landscape.

Despite facing its highest quarterly fuel expense in history at $4.4 billion (an average of $3.93 per gallon, up 75% year-over-year), Delta successfully implemented airfare increases. These fare increases, up 15-20% for fiscal Q2 and projected for fiscal Q3, covered about 60% of the fuel cost surge. CEO Ed Bastian noted a changed industry landscape where discount carriers have less influence on pricing, partly due to the contraction of the ultra-low-cost carrier sector, such as Spirit Airlines ceasing operations in May. This allowed Delta to maintain higher fares, supporting profitability.

4. Enhanced shareholder returns and a strengthened balance sheet increased investor confidence.

Reflecting strong financial health and management confidence, Delta announced a 15% increase to its dividend payment, commencing in fiscal Q3 2026. The company also continued to fortify its investment-grade balance sheet by reducing adjusted net debt to $13.6 billion by the end of fiscal Q2 2026, a decrease of $709 million from the end of 2025. Analyst optimism remained high, with numerous firms raising their price targets, and the stock maintaining a consensus "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" rating.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 32.1% change in DAL stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 69.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267122026Change
Stock Price ($)66.1487.3932.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)63,36468,2877.8%
Net Income Margin (%)7.9%5.8%-26.8%
P/E Multiple8.614.569.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)648654-0.9%
Cumulative Contribution32.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DAL32.1% 
Market (SPY)16.1%49.6%
Sector (XLI)12.5%59.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.9% change in DAL stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 49.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257122026Change
Stock Price ($)68.8687.3926.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)62,92068,2878.5%
Net Income Margin (%)7.4%5.8%-21.4%
P/E Multiple9.714.549.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)649654-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution26.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DAL26.9% 
Market (SPY)11.0%57.2%
Sector (XLI)17.6%58.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 80.3% change in DAL stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 69.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257122026Change
Stock Price ($)48.4887.3980.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)61,93468,28710.3%
Net Income Margin (%)5.9%5.8%-2.1%
P/E Multiple8.514.569.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)644654-1.5%
Cumulative Contribution80.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DAL80.3% 
Market (SPY)23.2%53.4%
Sector (XLI)24.6%54.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 90.4% change in DAL stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 64.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)63020237122026Change
Stock Price ($)45.8987.3990.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)53,99368,28726.5%
Net Income Margin (%)3.5%5.8%64.8%
P/E Multiple15.514.5-6.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)639654-2.3%
Cumulative Contribution90.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DAL90.4% 
Market (SPY)76.3%60.5%
Sector (XLI)76.6%62.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DAL Return-3%-16%23%52%16%29%129%
Peers Return1%-27%-4%58%-7%15%20%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DAL Win Rate50%50%42%58%67%57% 
Peers Win Rate43%47%43%63%48%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DAL Max Drawdown-35%-37%-37%-30%-48%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-43%-46%-34%-48%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: UAL, AAL, LUV, ALK, JBLU. See DAL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventDALS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-44.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven80.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven232 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-20.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven42 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-33.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven152 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-18.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.2%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven76 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-30.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven260 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-63.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven174.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1685 days140 days

Compare to UAL, AAL, LUV, ALK, JBLU

In The Past

Delta Air Lines's stock fell -44.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 80.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventDALS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-44.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven80.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven232 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-20.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven42 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-33.8%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.1%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven152 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-30.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.8%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven260 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-63.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven174.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven1685 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-21.9%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.1%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven14 days15 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-73.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven276.1%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven399 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-22.9%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.7%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven69 days47 days

Compare to UAL, AAL, LUV, ALK, JBLU

In The Past

Delta Air Lines's stock fell -44.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 80.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Delta Air Lines (DAL)

Delta Air Lines (DAL) is a major global air carrier providing scheduled transportation services for both passengers and cargo. The company operates an extensive domestic network centered around core hubs in Atlanta, Minneapolis-St. Paul, Detroit, and Salt Lake City, along with strategic coastal hubs in cities like Boston, Los Angeles, and New York. Internationally, Delta maintains a significant presence and hubs in key global cities such as Amsterdam, London-Heathrow, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, and Seoul-Incheon, connecting customers worldwide. Its primary customers include individuals and businesses seeking domestic and international travel, as well as cargo shipping solutions.

Beyond its core air travel operations, Delta Air Lines diversifies its offerings through two main segments: Airline and Refinery. The Airline segment encompasses the passenger and cargo services, sold via its website, app, reservation systems, and various travel agencies. Additionally, Delta provides comprehensive aircraft maintenance, engineering support, repair, and overhaul services. The company also offers vacation packages to third-party consumers and manages aircraft charters and programs. Operating with a large fleet of approximately 1,200 aircraft, Delta serves as a multifaceted provider within the aviation and travel sectors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Delta Air Lines:

  • A flying version of FedEx or UPS, but for people.
  • The Amazon of air travel, connecting passengers to destinations worldwide.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Scheduled Passenger Air Transportation: Provides regular flights for individuals to various domestic and international destinations.
  • Scheduled Cargo Air Transportation: Offers regular services for shipping goods and freight globally.
  • Aircraft Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) Services: Delivers engineering support, repair, and maintenance services for aircraft.
  • Vacation Packages: Sells bundled travel arrangements, including flights and accommodations, to consumers.
  • Aircraft Charter Services: Provides on-demand private aircraft for specific client needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Delta Air Lines (DAL) primarily sells its services to individuals and businesses for transportation purposes.

The company serves the following major customer categories:

  • Leisure Travelers: Individuals and families traveling for personal reasons, such as vacations, holidays, or visiting friends and relatives.
  • Business Travelers: Individuals traveling for professional purposes, often on behalf of their employers, for meetings, conferences, training, or project assignments.
  • Cargo Shippers: Businesses and freight forwarders that utilize Delta's network and fleet to transport goods and packages domestically and internationally.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Airbus SE (AIR)
  • The Boeing Company (BA)
  • RTX Corporation (RTX)
  • Rolls-Royce Holdings plc (RR.)
  • GE Aerospace (GE)
  • Safran S.A. (SAF)
  • Viasat, Inc. (VSAT)
  • Gogo Inc. (GOGO)
  • Amadeus IT Group S.A. (AMS)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ed Bastian, Chief Executive Officer

Ed Bastian has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Delta Air Lines since May 2, 2016. He joined Delta in 1998 as Vice President – Finance and Controller, progressing through various financial leadership roles, including Chief Financial Officer in 2005 and President in 2007. Before his tenure at Delta, Bastian was a partner at Price Waterhouse (now PricewaterhouseCoopers) in its New York audit practice. He also held senior finance positions at Frito-Lay International and PepsiCo International. Bastian briefly departed Delta in early 2004 to become Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Acuity Brands, but returned to Delta six months later.

Erik Snell, Chief Financial Officer

Erik Snell is appointed as the Chief Financial Officer of Delta Air Lines, effective April 1, 2026. Prior to this role, he served as Delta's Chief Customer Experience Officer. Snell is a veteran of Delta, having worked with the airline for two decades.

Peter Carter, President

Peter Carter will assume the role of President of Delta Air Lines, effective April 1, 2026. In his expanded responsibilities as President, he will oversee the airline's enterprise strategy, international portfolio, and sustainability efforts. Before this promotion, Carter served as Delta's Chief External Affairs Officer, leading the company's sustainability and innovation efforts, international teams, and legal and government affairs functions.

Dan Janki, Chief Operating Officer

Dan Janki is transitioning to the role of Chief Operating Officer for Delta Air Lines, effective April 1, 2026. Previously, Janki served as Delta's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, a position he held since July 2021. Before joining Delta, Janki had an extensive career at General Electric (GE), where he held various senior leadership positions for over 25 years. His roles at GE included President & CEO of GE Power Portfolio and Senior Vice President of GE. He also served as Senior Vice President, Treasurer and Global Business Operations of GE. Janki is also a member of the Board of Directors at Cornerstone Building Brands and has served on the board of directors of Wheels Up since August 2023.

Allison Ausband, Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer

Allison Ausband is the Executive Vice President and Chief People Officer for Delta Air Lines, leading global talent management, total rewards, and human resources service delivery. She began her career at Delta in May 1985 as a flight attendant. Ausband has held various leadership roles at Delta, including Executive Vice President and Chief Customer Experience Officer, where she oversaw the end-to-end customer experience, and Senior Vice President of In-Flight Service. She was also Vice President – Reservation Sales and Customer Care.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Delta Air Lines (DAL):

  1. Global Economic Downturns and Geopolitical Instability: Delta Air Lines' business is highly sensitive to the overall health of the global economy and geopolitical events. Economic slowdowns or recessions can significantly reduce both leisure and business travel demand, directly impacting revenue. Geopolitical conflicts, acts of terrorism, or widespread health crises (like pandemics) can lead to flight restrictions, reduced passenger confidence, and severe disruptions to international and domestic air travel, negatively affecting the airline's operations and financial performance.
  2. Volatile Fuel Prices: As a major operating expense for airlines, fluctuations in crude oil and jet fuel prices directly and substantially impact Delta's profitability. Despite hedging strategies, sudden or sustained increases in fuel costs can erode margins and challenge financial stability.
  3. Intense Competition, High Operating Costs, and Regulatory Risks: The airline industry is characterized by intense competition from other legacy carriers, as well as low-cost and ultra-low-cost operators, which can put downward pressure on fares and yields. Delta also faces a relatively high operating cost structure, including significant labor costs and potential for union disputes. Furthermore, the company is subject to various regulatory risks, including potential changes to environmental regulations or policies that could impact key revenue streams, such as its high-margin American Express partnership.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Delta Air Lines (DAL) operates in several addressable markets for its main products and services, including passenger air transportation, air cargo, aircraft maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO), and vacation packages.

Passenger Air Transportation

  • The global passenger air transport market size is projected to reach approximately $870.78 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to $925.84 billion in 2026.
  • Global air travel is forecasted to reach 9.8 billion passengers in 2025.
  • In the United States, the aviation market size is projected to reach USD 84.98 billion in 2024 and grow to USD 122.82 billion by 2035. Commercial aviation contributes significantly to the U.S. GDP, equivalent to $1.54 trillion in 2025.

Air Cargo Services

  • The global air cargo market size was valued at approximately USD 172.74 billion in 2024 and is projected to increase to USD 273.50 billion by 2032. Another estimate places the global air cargo market size at USD 186.24 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 275.16 billion by 2033.
  • For the United States, the air freight market size was valued at USD 64.06 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 91.81 billion by 2034. North America held a significant share of the global air cargo market, valued at USD 55.45 billion in 2024.

Aircraft Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul (MRO) Services

  • The global aircraft MRO market size was estimated at USD 90.85 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 120.96 billion by 2030. Another source indicates the global aircraft MRO market size is estimated at USD 120.3 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach approximately USD 172.73 billion by 2035.
  • In North America, the aircraft MRO market size is expected to grow from USD 26.76 billion in 2025 to USD 33.94 billion by 2031.

Vacation Packages and Travel Services

  • The broader global online travel market was valued at USD 622.6 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 1,438.4 billion by 2034. The global online travel booking service market was valued at USD 519.1 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 1.13 trillion by 2030.
  • The global Travel and Tourism Market is estimated to be valued at USD 7,550 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 12,280 billion by 2032.
  • In the U.S., the packaged travel segment grew to $14.5 billion in 2022. The U.S. tourism market as a whole is projected to reach USD 2.7 trillion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 5.6 trillion by 2033.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Delta Air Lines (DAL) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next two to three years:

  • Enhanced Monetization of Premium Products and Services: Delta is strategically focusing on its premium offerings, such as Delta Premium Select and other premium cabins, to drive higher-margin revenue. This involves optimizing pricing strategies, potentially introducing new subcategories of premium products, and actively reducing complimentary upgrades to ensure customers pay for premium experiences. The airline has nearly completed the rollout of Delta Premium Select on long-haul international flights and aims to grow high-margin revenue streams.
  • Expansion and Monetization of the SkyMiles Loyalty Program and American Express Partnership: The SkyMiles loyalty program and its co-branded American Express card partnership are significant revenue contributors. Delta expects continued growth in SkyMiles acquisitions, increased customer engagement, and record remuneration from the American Express partnership, which is projected to achieve high single-digit growth in 2026, working towards a $10 billion goal within the next few years.
  • Strategic Network Optimization and International Growth: The company plans to optimize its network, particularly through robust international expansion. This includes implementing its largest-ever transatlantic schedule with new routes and increased frequencies to European cities for the summer 2025 season, and rebuilding its Latin and Pacific franchises. This expansion is aimed at capturing increased market share in high-demand international travel.
  • Sustained Demand from High-End Consumers and Corporate Travel Recovery: Delta is capitalizing on the continued strong demand from higher-income leisure travelers and the ongoing recovery in corporate travel. This focus on premium and corporate segments is a key engine of profitability, with executives noting that the strength in the consumer sector is at the higher end of the curve. Corporate sales saw an 8% increase in Q3 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • On April 29, 2025, Delta Air Lines' Board of Directors authorized a $1 billion share repurchase program, slated for completion by June 30, 2028.
  • This program, combined with the quarterly dividend, is part of a plan to return over $2 billion to shareholders over the next three years.
  • For fiscal year 2025, Delta prioritized debt reduction, and management did not repurchase shares, in line with a capital allocation framework introduced in November 2024 that focuses on reinvestment, debt reduction, and then shareholder returns.

Outbound Investments

  • In December 2021, Delta invested approximately $1.2 billion in Latam, Aeromexico, and Virgin Atlantic as these partners emerged from bankruptcy or restructuring, resulting in equity stakes of 20% in Aeromexico, 10% in Latam, and 49% in Virgin Atlantic.
  • Delta invested US$60 million in Joby Aviation in February 2024, with potential for expansion to US$200 million, to establish urban air transport services.
  • In September 2023, Delta contributed to a $500 million credit facility for Wheels Up, a private aviation company, which included a $350 million term loan and a $100 million revolving credit facility.

Capital Expenditures

  • Delta's capital expenditures were $3.247 billion in 2021, $6.366 billion in 2022, $5.323 billion in 2023, $5.14 billion in 2024, and $4.501 billion in 2025.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are $5.5 billion, which includes approximately 50 aircraft deliveries.
  • The primary focus of these expenditures is fleet expansion and modernization, including orders for aircraft such as the Airbus A321neo, A330-900neo, A350-900, Boeing 787-10, and 737 MAX 10, aimed at improving fuel efficiency, supporting sustainability goals, and enhancing the premium customer experience.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

DALUALAALLUVALKJBLUMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.American.Southwes.Alaska A.JetBlue . 
Mkt Price87.39126.0016.9548.4349.425.7648.92
Mkt Cap57.240.811.224.15.62.117.7
Rev LTM68,28760,46555,99428,88414,4029,16242,439
Op Inc LTM5,5165,0771,799981415-3881,390
FCF LTM3,4103,207-6-401-477-1,164-204
FCF 3Y Avg2,2822,652249-557-205-1,25022
CFO LTM8,1349,5203,6972,4011,211-883,049
CFO 3Y Avg7,3388,8153,3122,0601,321552,686

Growth & Margins

DALUALAALLUVALKJBLUMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.American.Southwes.Alaska A.JetBlue . 
Rev Chg LTM10.3%4.7%3.3%4.7%13.9%-0.5%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.0%7.4%2.3%5.2%12.6%-2.0%6.1%
Rev Chg Q18.7%10.6%10.8%12.8%5.2%4.7%10.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.8%2.4%2.5%2.9%1.1%1.1%2.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM-4.6%-9.3%-38.9%99.8%-55.9%-252.7%-24.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg3.1%11.6%-20.9%113.3%-5.3%-184.2%-1.1%
Op Mgn LTM8.1%8.4%3.2%3.4%2.9%-4.2%3.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.2%9.3%5.2%1.9%6.1%-2.0%5.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%-0.0%0.2%1.9%-1.0%-0.5%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM11.9%15.7%6.6%8.3%8.4%-1.0%8.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.5%15.2%6.1%7.4%10.7%0.6%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.0%5.3%-0.0%-1.4%-3.3%-12.7%-0.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%4.5%0.5%-2.0%-1.7%-13.5%-0.6%

Valuation

DALUALAALLUVALKJBLUMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.American.Southwes.Alaska A.JetBlue . 
Mkt Cap57.240.811.224.15.62.117.7
P/S0.80.70.20.80.40.20.5
P/Op Inc10.48.06.224.613.6-5.59.2
P/EBIT10.07.05.520.818.3-8.28.5
P/E14.511.155.529.577.4-3.022.0
P/CFO7.04.33.010.04.7-24.34.5
Total Yield7.1%9.0%1.8%5.0%1.3%-33.4%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.2%0.0%0.0%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.5%10.5%4.0%-3.0%-4.8%-66.0%0.5%
D/E0.30.83.10.31.24.41.0
Net D/E0.30.42.50.10.93.40.6

Returns

DALUALAALLUVALKJBLUMedian
NameDelta Ai.United A.American.Southwes.Alaska A.JetBlue . 
1M Rtn5.5%9.1%13.2%6.5%4.4%15.0%7.8%
3M Rtn29.5%30.7%49.7%23.0%25.1%21.5%27.3%
6M Rtn21.8%7.4%6.0%9.7%-1.1%11.0%8.6%
12M Rtn56.5%43.7%38.7%32.9%-5.9%31.2%35.8%
3Y Rtn89.8%128.1%-8.1%39.5%-9.1%-31.2%15.7%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%12.4%17.7%10.1%7.0%14.5%11.2%
3M Excs Rtn18.5%18.0%38.1%10.0%12.9%5.8%15.4%
6M Excs Rtn13.5%-1.4%-3.5%5.1%-10.2%5.1%1.8%
12M Excs Rtn53.9%36.2%26.7%21.9%-21.6%15.2%24.3%
3Y Excs Rtn16.2%56.1%-77.8%-31.5%-78.2%-108.6%-54.7%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Airline58,28757,00154,66945,60526,670
Refinery6,9617,7677,57210,7066,054
Intersegment Sales/Other-1,884-3,125-4,193-5,729-2,825
Total63,36461,64358,04850,58229,899


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Airline5,6655,9575,1362,8841,888
Refinery15738385777-2
Total5,8225,9955,5213,6611,886


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Airline78,82672,97971,52969,35570,417
Refinery2,5522,4182,1743,0392,099
Intersegment Sales/Other-61-25-59-106-57
Total81,31775,37273,64472,28872,459


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$87.39 
Market Cap ($ Bil)57.0 
First Trading Date02/23/2007 
Distance from 52W High-6.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$79.88$68.39
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA9.4%27.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility41.7%40.0%
Downside Capture87.47160.04
Upside Capture152.43175.81
Correlation (SPY)49.3%55.4%
DAL Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.101.531.511.761.771.61
Up Beta2.232.722.372.502.212.08
Down Beta2.061.641.311.181.421.40
Up Capture133%235%166%235%309%307%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days13263561126373
Down Capture-20%20%54%137%132%108%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days8152863125374

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DAL
DAL75.3%41.5%1.45-
Sector ETF (XLI)22.7%16.7%1.0554.8%
Equity (SPY)22.1%12.5%1.3153.2%
Gold (GLD)23.5%27.8%0.7513.4%
Commodities (DBC)23.6%18.7%0.99-32.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.4%13.9%0.6731.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.5%42.8%-1.1729.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DAL
DAL15.4%41.0%0.46-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.7%17.6%0.6163.1%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6160.2%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.793.3%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%19.5%0.271.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0542.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.8%53.4%0.4428.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DAL
DAL10.6%42.1%0.38-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.6%20.0%0.6465.7%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7557.9%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.1%0.590.9%
Commodities (DBC)6.0%18.0%0.2613.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2147.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.6%66.2%0.9917.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity29.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 615202625.7%
Average Daily Volume9.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity654.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/10/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/10/20260.0%  
4/8/20263.7%9.3%11.8%
1/13/2026-2.4%-5.0%0.5%
10/9/20254.3%8.0%1.5%
7/10/202512.0%9.6%6.2%
4/9/202523.4%13.8%35.3%
1/10/20259.0%7.7%7.8%
10/10/2024-1.1%10.8%18.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101215
# Negative15129
Median Positive4.1%8.6%9.1%
Median Negative-2.6%-3.9%-5.0%
Max Positive23.4%13.8%35.3%
Max Negative-9.0%-11.8%-15.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/10/20260.0%  
4/8/20263.7%9.3%11.8%
1/13/2026-2.4%-5.0%0.5%
10/9/20254.3%8.0%1.5%
7/10/202512.0%9.6%6.2%
4/9/202523.4%13.8%35.3%
1/10/20259.0%7.7%7.8%
10/10/2024-1.1%10.8%18.9%
7/11/2024-4.0%-2.3%-15.2%
4/10/2024-2.3%-1.6%10.5%
1/12/2024-9.0%-11.8%-4.0%
10/12/2023-2.3%-7.9%-6.9%
7/13/2023-0.5%1.5%-6.2%
4/13/2023-1.1%6.5%-1.5%
1/13/2023-3.5%-1.4%-2.5%
10/13/20224.0%11.3%21.5%
7/13/2022-4.5%4.9%9.1%
4/13/20226.2%12.7%-5.0%
1/13/20222.1%-4.4%4.2%
10/13/2021-5.8%-7.1%0.4%
7/14/2021-1.6%-1.6%-0.1%
4/15/2021-2.8%-5.1%-8.7%
1/14/20212.5%0.5%7.0%
10/13/2020-2.7%-3.5%13.5%
7/14/2020-2.6%-2.2%10.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101215
# Negative15129
Median Positive4.1%8.6%9.1%
Median Negative-2.6%-3.9%-5.0%
Max Positive23.4%13.8%35.3%
Max Negative-9.0%-11.8%-15.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/10/202610-Q
03/31/202604/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/09/202510-Q
06/30/202507/10/202510-Q
03/31/202504/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/11/202510-K
09/30/202410/10/202410-Q
06/30/202407/11/202410-Q
03/31/202404/10/202410-Q
12/31/202302/12/202410-K
09/30/202310/12/202310-Q
06/30/202307/13/202310-Q
03/31/202304/13/202310-Q
12/31/202202/10/202310-K
09/30/202210/13/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/10/202610-Q
03/31/202604/08/202610-Q
12/31/202502/11/202610-K
09/30/202510/09/202510-Q
06/30/202507/10/202510-Q
03/31/202504/09/202510-Q
12/31/202402/11/202510-K
09/30/202410/10/202410-Q
06/30/202407/11/202410-Q
03/31/202404/10/202410-Q
12/31/202302/12/202410-K
09/30/202310/12/202310-Q
06/30/202307/13/202310-Q
03/31/202304/13/202310-Q
12/31/202202/10/202310-K
09/30/202210/13/202210-Q
06/30/202207/13/202210-Q
03/31/202204/13/202210-Q
12/31/202102/11/202210-K
09/30/202110/13/202110-Q
06/30/202107/14/202110-Q
03/31/202104/15/202110-Q
12/31/202002/12/202110-K
09/30/202010/14/202010-Q
06/30/202007/15/202010-Q
03/31/202004/22/202010-Q
12/31/201902/13/202010-K
09/30/201910/10/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/11/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/10/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Operating Margin11.0%12.0%13.0% 5.0%Higher NewGuidance: 7.0% for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Earnings Per Share22.252.580.0% Higher NewGuidance: 1.25 for Q2 2026
2026 Earnings Per Share6.577.5   
2026 Free Cash Flow3.00 Bil3.50 Bil4.00 Bil   

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/8/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Revenue Growth11.0%12.5%  6.5%Higher NewActual: 6.0% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Operating Margin6.0%7.0%  1.8%Higher NewActual: 5.25% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 EPS11.25 78.6% Higher NewActual: 0.7 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Pre-tax Profit 1.00 Bil    

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/13/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Earnings Per Share0.50.70.9-60.0% Lower NewGuidance: 1.75 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Total Revenue YoY0.050.060.07 3.0%Higher NewGuidance: 0.03 for Q4 2025
Q1 2026 Operating Margin4.5%5.25%6.0% -6.0%Lower NewGuidance: 11.25% for Q4 2025
2026 Earnings Per Share6.577.516.7% Higher NewGuidance: 6 for 2025
2026 Earnings Per Share YoY 0.2    
2026 Free Cash Flow3.00 Bil3.50 Bil4.00 Bil-6.7% Lower NewGuidance: 3.75 Bil for 2025
2026 Gross Leverage 2 -20.0% Lower NewGuidance: 2.5 for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/9/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue Growth2.0%3.0%4.0% 1.0%RaisedGuidance: 2.0% for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 Operating Margin10.5%11.25%12.0% 1.2%RaisedGuidance: 10.0% for Q3 2025
Q4 2025 EPS1.61.751.916.7% RaisedGuidance: 1.5 for Q3 2025
2025 EPS 6 4.3% RaisedGuidance: 5.75 for 2025
2025 Free Cash Flow3.50 Bil3.75 Bil4.00 Bil7.1% RaisedGuidance: 3.50 Bil for 2025
2025 Gross Leverage 2.5    

Insider Activity

Updated 6/23/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Ausband, Allison CEVP & Chief People OfficerDirectSell528202680.905,000404,50010,424,289Form
2Bellemare, AlainEVP & Pres. - InternationalDirectSell528202681.4425,0002,036,0007,738,836Form
3Ausband, Allison CEVP & Chief People OfficerDirectSell528202679.005,000395,00010,574,466Form
4Ausband, Allison CEVP & Chief People OfficerDirectSell526202676.009,710737,96010,552,904Form
5Ausband, Allison CEVP & Chief People OfficerDirectSell526202673.505,000367,50010,205,769Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Ausband, Allison CEVP & Chief People OfficerDirectSell528202680.905,000404,50010,424,289Form
2Bellemare, AlainEVP & Pres. - InternationalDirectSell528202681.4425,0002,036,0007,738,836Form
3Ausband, Allison CEVP & Chief People OfficerDirectSell528202679.005,000395,00010,574,466Form
4Ausband, Allison CEVP & Chief People OfficerDirectSell526202676.009,710737,96010,552,904Form
5Ausband, Allison CEVP & Chief People OfficerDirectSell526202673.505,000367,50010,205,769Form
6Bellemare, AlainEVP & Pres. - InternationalDirectSell508202672.7520,6211,500,1988,731,939Form
7Laughter, John EEVP & Chief of OperationsDirectSell415202671.6115,0001,074,0903,893,147Form
8Laughter, John EEVP & Chief of OperationsDirectSell413202668.1569,3044,722,9294,727,359Form
9Bastian, Edward HChief Executive OfficerDirectSell227202670.26100,0007,025,70095,791,766Form
10Sear, Steven MEVP - Global Sales & DistribDirectSell210202675.0538,6002,896,9697,835,625Form
11Hauenstein, Glen WPresidentDirectSell210202675.27137,15910,324,36921,099,323Form
12Bellemare, AlainEVP & Pres. - InternationalDirectSell210202675.2035,2122,647,94210,390,835Form
13Hauenstein, Glen WPresidentDirectSell210202672.61289,77421,040,84730,312,502Form
14Carter, Peter WChief External Affairs OfficerDirectSell210202674.8227,0002,020,23231,556,320Form
15Samant, Rahul DEVP & Chief Info OfficerDirectSell206202670.1862,5284,388,4031,469,562Form
16Hauenstein, Glen WPresidentDirectSell206202671.0013,576963,89641,416,217Form
17Carroll, William CSVP, Fin & ControllerDirectSell203202668.105,967406,329489,065Form
18Snell, Erik StoreyEVP & Chief Cust Exper OfficerDirectSell121202671.0239,4202,799,4112,529,909Form
19Carter, Peter WChief External Affairs OfficerDirectSell116202670.3014,3001,005,29012,453,083Form
20Bellemare, AlainEVP & Pres. - InternationalDirectSell116202669.2136,0002,491,5606,625,543Form
21Bastian, Edward HChief Executive OfficerDirectSell116202671.00173,23012,299,33044,930,433Form
22Hauenstein, Glen WPresidentDirectSell116202670.0020,0001,400,00013,814,290Form
23Sear, Steven MEVP - Global Sales & DistribDirectSell116202669.6931,2902,180,4446,794,636Form
24Samant, Rahul DEVP & Chief Info OfficerDirectSell116202669.5757,0033,965,6992,521,634Form
25Laughter, John EEVP & Chief of OperationsDirectSell1023202562.3323,3231,453,6535,055,281Form
26Carroll, William CSVP, Fin & ControllerDirectSell1017202561.2514,010858,070968,683Form
27Hauenstein, Glen WPresidentDirectSell829202561.3110,000613,07013,324,893Form
28Huerta, Michael PDirectSell820202560.702,500151,7622,018,138Form
29Bastian, Edward HChief Executive OfficerDirectSell724202556.2835,0001,969,97535,618,443Form
30Carter, Peter WEVP - External AffairsDirectSell716202557.1917,5501,003,68410,948,568Form
31Sear, Steven MEVP - Global Sales & DistribDirectSell715202555.9618,0001,007,3525,456,770Form
32Bellemare, AlainEVP & Pres. - InternationalDirectSell714202555.5645,4232,523,6847,318,921Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 13, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
GMT Capital Corp$294.0 Mil13.4%77Hold13F
Masters Capital Management LLC$66.5 Mil9.8%44Hold13F
Par Capital Management Inc$233.6 Mil6.8%45Hold13F
Woodson Capital Management, LP$19.1 Mil3.1%28New13F
Slate Path Capital LP$197.2 Mil2.9%44Hold13F
Alta Fundamental Advisers LLC$6.6 Mil2.6%21New13F
Sanders Capital, LLC$2.0 Bil2.3%44Hold13F
Patient Capital Management, LLC$36.7 Mil1.4%38TRIM -18.8%13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$66.5 Mil1.4%41TRIM -33.3%13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$51.9 Mil0.5%29ADD +6.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Woodson Capital Management, LP$19.1 Mil3.1%28New13F
Alta Fundamental Advisers LLC$6.6 Mil2.6%21New13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$51.9 Mil0.5%29ADD +6.0%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Appaloosa LP$33.0 Mil0.5%38ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Albar Capital Partners LLP$5.3 Mil1.3%31ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$66.5 Mil1.4%41TRIM -33.3%Mar 31, 202613F
Patient Capital Management, LLC$36.7 Mil1.4%38TRIM -18.8%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sanders Capital, LLC$2.0 Bil2.3%44Hold13F
GMT Capital Corp$294.0 Mil13.4%77Hold13F
Par Capital Management Inc$233.6 Mil6.8%45Hold13F
Slate Path Capital LP$197.2 Mil2.9%44Hold13F
Masters Capital Management LLC$66.5 Mil9.8%44Hold13F
Southpoint Capital Advisors LP$66.5 Mil1.4%41TRIM -33.3%13F
SRS Investment Management, LLC$51.9 Mil0.5%29ADD +6.0%13F
Patient Capital Management, LLC$36.7 Mil1.4%38TRIM -18.8%13F
Woodson Capital Management, LP$19.1 Mil3.1%28New13F
Alta Fundamental Advisers LLC$6.6 Mil2.6%21New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/12/2026