Tearsheet

JetBlue Airways (JBLU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.62 | Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

JetBlue Airways (JBLU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.62
Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.4%
1  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 380%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.8%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -111%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -222 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.4%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 380%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.8%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JBLU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

JetBlue Airways (JBLU) stock experienced a decline around the requested period due to a combination of factors including a cautious 2025 outlook, concerns over higher operating costs, and operational disruptions. The stock saw a significant drop of approximately 12% following the release of its Q3 2025 earnings report.

1. Q3 2025 Earnings and Cautious Outlook: On October 28, 2025, JetBlue announced its third-quarter 2025 results, reporting a smaller-than-expected loss but failing to impress investors with its full-year 2025 forecast. The company's operating revenue declined by 1.8% year-over-year, and management's conservative targets for 2025, especially concerning slowing domestic market demand and rising operating costs, led to a stock decline of around 12%. The net loss for the period ending September 30 widened to $143 million, or a $0.39 loss per share, compared to a $60 million net loss in the same period last year.


2. Concerns Over Higher Costs: A key factor in the stock's downturn was the anticipation of increased non-fuel unit costs (CASM ex-fuel), projected to rise between 3% and 5% year-over-year in Q4 2025. This increase was attributed to higher wages, landing fees, and technology investments, despite some offsets from JetForward initiatives. For the full year 2025, the airline also raised the midpoint of its cost guidance.


3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JBLU Return-22%-2%-54%-14%42%-42%-76%
Peers Return-33%1%-20%4%60%-6%-14%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JBLU Win Rate58%50%33%42%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate42%43%50%43%63%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JBLU Max Drawdown-63%-12%-57%-43%-18%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-67%-12%-29%-18%-16%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DAL, UAL, LUV, AAL, ALK. See JBLU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJBLUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-82.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven486.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-68.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven214.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven357 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-36.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven485.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2156 days1480 days

Compare to DAL, UAL, LUV, AAL, ALK


In The Past

JetBlue Airways's stock fell -82.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/15/2021. A -82.9% loss requires a 486.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About JetBlue Airways (JBLU)

Better Bets than JetBlue Airways (JBLU)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JBLU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for JetBlue Airways

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JBLUDALUALLUVAALALKMedian
NameJetBlue .Delta Ai.United A.Southwes.American.Alaska A. 
Mkt Price4.7167.49108.4835.6814.5645.3740.52
Mkt Cap1.743.835.118.79.65.214.1
Rev LTM9,09562,92058,36827,55154,29414,14140,922
Op Inc LTM-2226,0725,1653152,2596031,431
FCF LTM-1,3543,0743,710-250882-54414
FCF 3Y Avg-1,1561,8351,783-1,019962-292335
CFO LTM-1607,9769,3692,0243,7711,3382,898
CFO 3Y Avg1537,2538,2201,9173,6671,1962,792

Growth & Margins

JBLUDALUALLUVAALALKMedian
NameJetBlue .Delta Ai.United A.Southwes.American.Alaska A. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.5%4.3%4.2%0.6%1.3%31.5%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.3%10.8%13.2%6.8%6.5%16.5%8.8%
Rev Chg Q-1.8%6.4%2.6%1.1%0.3%22.6%1.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.5%1.6%0.7%0.3%0.1%5.2%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM-2.4%9.7%8.8%1.1%4.2%4.3%4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.0%9.5%9.2%0.3%6.1%6.9%6.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%0.3%-0.5%-0.0%-0.9%-1.7%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-1.8%12.7%16.1%7.3%6.9%9.5%8.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%12.1%14.8%7.3%6.9%10.3%8.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-14.9%4.9%6.4%-0.9%1.6%-0.4%0.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-12.4%3.0%3.1%-3.8%1.8%-2.7%-0.5%

Valuation

JBLUDALUALLUVAALALKMedian
NameJetBlue .Delta Ai.United A.Southwes.American.Alaska A. 
Mkt Cap1.743.835.118.79.65.214.1
P/S0.20.60.50.60.10.40.5
P/EBIT-28.05.65.727.12.813.95.6
P/E-3.88.09.544.012.338.310.9
P/CFO-11.24.63.38.22.04.33.8
Total Yield-26.2%13.2%10.5%4.7%8.1%2.6%6.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.0%2.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-60.1%5.7%7.7%-5.9%11.6%-5.8%-0.1%
D/E5.30.61.00.34.91.11.1
Net D/E3.80.50.60.13.90.70.7

Returns

JBLUDALUALLUVAALALKMedian
NameJetBlue .Delta Ai.United A.Southwes.American.Alaska A. 
1M Rtn12.7%15.4%12.9%17.3%9.1%10.5%12.8%
3M Rtn-13.6%10.5%2.2%10.4%8.3%-27.4%5.3%
6M Rtn-6.4%38.7%32.9%11.8%27.5%-11.2%19.7%
12M Rtn-22.3%9.2%13.2%10.6%0.6%-13.7%4.9%
3Y Rtn-40.7%94.3%147.2%-3.9%4.2%-2.8%0.7%
1M Excs Rtn12.7%15.4%12.9%17.3%9.2%10.5%12.8%
3M Excs Rtn-12.8%6.5%-3.1%9.3%7.9%-33.1%1.7%
6M Excs Rtn-21.1%24.0%18.2%-2.9%12.8%-26.0%4.9%
12M Excs Rtn-34.7%-6.5%-1.5%-0.8%-13.3%-27.3%-9.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-111.4%32.0%79.4%-73.8%-67.5%-73.7%-70.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Air transportation services9,615    
Other 572428224308
Passenger 8,5865,6092,7337,786
Total9,6159,1586,0372,9578,094


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity66,005,830
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-0.1%
Average Daily Volume18,743,435
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.52
Basic Shares Quantity363,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares18.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023212202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023428202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022429202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021