Standard Nuclear (STDN)


Market Price (8/6/2026): $8.48 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Standard Nuclear (STDN)


Market Price (8/6/2026): $8.48
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Specialty Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 116%

Key risks
STDN key risks include [1] unproven commercial viability and market acceptance at an industrial scale, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Mini Nuclear.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -101%
2 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 116%
3 Key risks
STDN key risks include [1] unproven commercial viability and market acceptance at an industrial scale, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/1/2026

Standard Nuclear (STDN) stock has lost about 35% since it went public on 7/16/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Standard Nuclear's IPO experienced a weak debut and a significantly downsized offering.

Standard Nuclear (STDN) priced its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on July 16, 2026, at $15.00 per share, which was a sharp reduction from its original target range of $18.00 to $21.00 for 18.25 million shares. The company ultimately sold 10 million shares, raising $150 million, far less than the initially sought $355.88 million. The stock opened on the New York Stock Exchange at $13.50, already below its IPO price, and concluded its first day of trading at $12.40, marking a 17.33% loss. This immediate downturn and the reduced scale of the offering signaled weaker-than-anticipated investor demand and set a negative tone for its post-IPO performance.

2. The company's financials showed unprofitability and a high valuation relative to revenue.

As an early-stage company, Standard Nuclear is not profitable and is cash-consuming. For the 12 months ending March 31, 2026, the company reported a net loss of $14.97 million on revenues of only $3.36 million. An analyst noted a Q1 2026 net loss of $7.7 million (‑$0.55/share) against just $0.6 million in revenue. Despite these nascent financials, the IPO targeted a market capitalization of approximately $3.5 billion, which was roughly one thousand times its trailing sales. This extreme valuation, particularly for a company in its early stages of commercialization, likely pressured the stock downwards as investors reassessed its fundamentals post-IPO.

Show more
Updated on 8/1/2026

Standard Nuclear (STDN) stock has lost about 35% since it went public on 7/16/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Standard Nuclear's IPO experienced a weak debut and a significantly downsized offering.

Standard Nuclear (STDN) priced its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on July 16, 2026, at $15.00 per share, which was a sharp reduction from its original target range of $18.00 to $21.00 for 18.25 million shares. The company ultimately sold 10 million shares, raising $150 million, far less than the initially sought $355.88 million. The stock opened on the New York Stock Exchange at $13.50, already below its IPO price, and concluded its first day of trading at $12.40, marking a 17.33% loss. This immediate downturn and the reduced scale of the offering signaled weaker-than-anticipated investor demand and set a negative tone for its post-IPO performance.

2. The company's financials showed unprofitability and a high valuation relative to revenue.

As an early-stage company, Standard Nuclear is not profitable and is cash-consuming. For the 12 months ending March 31, 2026, the company reported a net loss of $14.97 million on revenues of only $3.36 million. An analyst noted a Q1 2026 net loss of $7.7 million (‑$0.55/share) against just $0.6 million in revenue. Despite these nascent financials, the IPO targeted a market capitalization of approximately $3.5 billion, which was roughly one thousand times its trailing sales. This extreme valuation, particularly for a company in its early stages of commercialization, likely pressured the stock downwards as investors reassessed its fundamentals post-IPO.

3. Broader market skepticism towards speculative, unproven IPOs contributed to the decline.

Newly public companies, especially those in speculative, high-growth but currently unprofitable sectors like advanced nuclear fuel, often face significant challenges in their initial trading periods as early enthusiasm fades and valuation expectations reset. Standard Nuclear, while involved in a promising technology (TRISO fuel for advanced reactors), is considered a "speculative stock" with meaningful uncertainty. The market's cautious approach to IPOs, coupled with the company's "fundamentally loss-making and cash-consuming" status, contributed to the sustained selling pressure experienced by STDN during this period.

Show less
Holding a concentrated position? Know your true downside before the momentum shifts.
Protect Your Wealth →

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STDN  
Market (SPY)7.1%60.0%
Sector (XLB)2.3%33.9%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STDN  
Market (SPY)11.5%60.0%
Sector (XLB)7.3%33.9%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STDN  
Market (SPY)22.8%60.0%
Sector (XLB)21.7%33.9%

Fundamental Drivers

null
null

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/5/2026
ReturnCorrelation
STDN  
Market (SPY)74.1%60.0%
Sector (XLB)29.6%33.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
STDN Return------32%-32%
Peers Return40%-1%31%134%95%1%730%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
STDN Win Rate-----50% 
Peers Win Rate50%42%58%66%65%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
STDN Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-39%-39%-37%-46%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: BWXT, LEU, SMR, CCJ, GEV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/5/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

STDN has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.

EventXLBS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-17.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-12.5%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven52 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven456 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven114 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven101 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-17.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven21.7%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven52 days62 days

Compare to BWXT, LEU, SMR, CCJ, GEV

In The Past

State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

STDN has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.

EventXLBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-23.5%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven456 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-36.2%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven56.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven114 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-23.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.2%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven171 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-28.2%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.3%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven459 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-56.6%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven130.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven701 days1085 days

Compare to BWXT, LEU, SMR, CCJ, GEV

In The Past

State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -17.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Standard Nuclear (STDN)

Standard Nuclear (STDN) is a leading independent company focused on supplying advanced nuclear fuels, primarily TRISO fuel, for safe, reliable, and scalable nuclear power generation. The company is unique as it operates the only dedicated, privately funded, industrial-scale TRISO manufacturing facilities in the United States. STDN designs, engineers, and manufactures these advanced fuels, which are critical components for next-generation Advanced Reactors, and is already producing and shipping fuel for demonstrations anticipated in 2026.

Standard Nuclear positions itself at the fuel manufacturing layer of the nuclear value chain. Its business model involves converting enriched uranium feedstock, provided by its customers, into finished TRISO fuel products. The company explicitly does not design, own, or operate nuclear reactors, nor does it procure uranium, thereby avoiding direct commercial exposure to uranium price volatility. STDN's primary customers include Advanced Reactor developers, utilities, reactor owners and operators, hyperscale data center operators, and domestic and international government entities that require TRISO fuel for their reactors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Standard Nuclear is like **TSMC for advanced nuclear fuel**. Standard Nuclear is the **"Intel Inside" for advanced nuclear reactors**.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Advanced TRISO Nuclear Fuel Manufacturing: Standard Nuclear manufactures and supplies finished TRISO fuel products, converting customer-provided enriched uranium feedstock for use in Advanced Reactors.
  • Nuclear Fuel Fabrication and Engineering Services: The company provides specialized design, engineering, and fabrication services for advanced nuclear fuels, primarily TRISO, tailored to various Advanced Reactor designs and customer specifications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Based on the provided company description, Standard Nuclear (STDN) has not yet achieved large-scale commercial sales for its products, stating, "we have never sold our products at large-scale commercial levels." Therefore, no specific major customer companies are identified by name in the prospectus.

However, Standard Nuclear primarily sells its advanced nuclear fuel products to other companies and entities, not individuals. The company indicates that its fuel products can be used by the following categories of customers:

  • Reactor owners and operators
  • Utilities
  • Hyperscale data center operators
  • Domestic and international government entities that own or operate such reactors

The company also notes that it is "currently producing and shipping fuel for Advanced Reactor demonstrations scheduled for 2026," implying its current clients are developers of these early-stage advanced reactor projects, though specific names are not provided.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Kurt Terrani Chief Executive Officer and Director

Dr. Kurt Terrani was appointed Chief Executive Officer and Director of Standard Nuclear, Inc. in January 2025. An internationally recognized nuclear fuel expert, Dr. Terrani’s career is dedicated to the development and manufacturing of advanced nuclear fuels and materials. He spent over a decade at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, serving as National Technical Director for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). He earned his Ph.D. in Nuclear Engineering from the University of California, Berkeley in 2010. Prior to Standard Nuclear, Dr. Terrani served as Executive Vice President at Ultra Safe Nuclear Corporation (USNC) from 2022 and as interim CEO during USNC's bankruptcy proceedings. Standard Nuclear was formed after a consortium of venture capital funds, led by Decisive Point, acquired USNC's TRISO fuel assets, at which point Dr. Terrani became CEO. Many of his technical team members from USNC joined him at Standard Nuclear, with some working for months without pay to keep the fuel line operational during the bankruptcy. Standard Nuclear is backed by venture capital firms, including Decisive Point and Andreessen Horowitz.

Kevin Harrill Chief Financial Officer

Kevin Harrill serves as the Chief Financial Officer for Standard Nuclear.

Thomas Hendrix Executive Chairman

Thomas Hendrix is the Executive Chairman of Standard Nuclear and a founding partner of Decisive Point. He led the consortium of venture capital funds that acquired the TRISO fuel assets of the bankrupt Ultra Safe Nuclear Corporation (USNC) for $28 million in February 2025, which subsequently formed Standard Nuclear. This demonstrates a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

Keeley Marrocco Chief Operating Officer

Keeley Marrocco serves as the Chief Operating Officer for Standard Nuclear.

Shahram Ghasemian Chief Legal & Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary

Shahram Ghasemian holds the position of Chief Legal & Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary at Standard Nuclear.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Key Risks to Standard Nuclear (STDN)

  1. Unproven Commercial Viability and Market Acceptance at Industrial Scale: Standard Nuclear has not yet sold its products at large-scale commercial levels, and the production of TRISO fuel at an industrial scale is generally untested. This results in limited data regarding the full cycle economics of manufacturing, marketing, pricing, and selling TRISO fuel, leaving the company with limited visibility into customer willingness to pay and the cost structures required for positive profit margins.
  2. History of Significant Operating Losses and Negative Cash Flows: The company has historically incurred substantial operating losses and negative cash flows, with an accumulated deficit of $79.9 million as of March 31, 2026. This indicates that Standard Nuclear's financial sustainability is highly dependent on achieving successful large-scale commercialization and profitability in the future to reverse these trends.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Standard Nuclear's main product, TRISO fuel, include both a U.S. cumulative opportunity and global market valuations.

  • Standard Nuclear estimates a cumulative TRISO fuel opportunity exceeding $4 billion through 2030 within the U.S..
  • The broader advanced nuclear capacity in the U.S. is projected to surpass 58 GWe by 2040.
  • The global Tri-structural Isotropic (TRISO) fuel market was valued at approximately US$ 382.49 million in 2024 and is projected to reach about US$ 554.28 million by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.28%. Another estimate placed the global TRISO fuel market at US$ 370.0 million in 2023, with a projection to reach US$ 557.7 million by 2034, at a CAGR of 3.8%. Additionally, the global market was valued at USD 387.7 million in 2024 and is predicted to reach USD 558.4 million by 2034 with a 3.9% CAGR.
  • Specifically for the United States, the market for Next-Generation Nuclear Fuel (TRISO) Commercialization for High-Temperature Reactors was valued at USD 1.19 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 2.32 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.9% during the forecast period.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Standard Nuclear (STDN) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives, primarily centered on expanding its unique industrial-scale TRISO fuel manufacturing capabilities and capitalizing on the growing advanced nuclear reactor market.

One significant driver is the **expansion of TRISO production facilities and capacity**. Standard Nuclear is currently producing and shipping fuel for advanced reactor demonstrations scheduled for 2026. The company anticipates additional TRISO production facilities to come online in the second half of 2026, including a new facility in Oak Ridge, TN (Oak Ridge SN-TN), and a second manufacturing site, Standard Nuclear-West (SN-West), in Idaho Falls, Idaho. This increase in operational capacity directly correlates with a higher volume of fuel production and subsequent revenue generation, with plans to expand production capacity to more than 2 tonnes by mid-2026.

Another crucial driver is the **growth in the advanced reactor market and subsequent customer adoption**. Standard Nuclear aims to support the re-emergence of the U.S.'s newbuild nuclear infrastructure and meet the nation's growing demand for safe, reliable, and clean baseload power. The company's unique position as the only participant in the U.S. market positioned to work with any developer of Advanced Reactors using TRISO fuel, combined with a reactor-agnostic model, enables it to capture a broad customer base as new advanced reactors, including small modular reactors (SMRs) and microreactors, come online. The demand for nuclear fuel is also being fueled by decarbonization efforts and the rapidly growing power needs of data centers.

Finally, **securing and scaling long-term fuel supply arrangements** will be a primary revenue driver. Standard Nuclear's business model is based on establishing long-term fuel supply arrangements where customers provide enriched uranium feedstock, and Standard Nuclear converts it into finished fuel products. The company has already indicated a total contract backlog of up to $245 million and a potential pipeline of $416 million. Strategic collaborations, such as the joint venture with Framatome to supply commercial quantities of TRISO fuel and the alliance with Oklo to evaluate recycled materials as feedstock, further solidify its position in the domestic supply chain and pave the way for sustained, large-scale commercial contracts.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

STDNBWXTLEUSMRCCJGEVMedian
NameStandard.BWX Tech.Centrus .NuScale .Cameco GE Verno. 
Mkt Price8.23168.28187.639.3894.271,017.96131.28
Mkt Cap-15.43.73.041.1272.815.4
Rev LTM-3,514452193,47541,3673,475
Op Inc LTM-34030-7125251,803340
FCF LTM-317-61-75355612,438317
FCF 3Y Avg-3108-3426645,670310
CFO LTM-519-21-75294214,139519
CFO 3Y Avg-47824-3419366,805478

Growth & Margins

STDNBWXTLEUSMRCCJGEVMedian
NameStandard.BWX Tech.Centrus .NuScale .Cameco GE Verno. 
Rev Chg LTM-22.7%-4.1%-61.9%-2.7%13.0%-2.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-14.8%15.3%42.1%19.8%-17.6%
Rev Chg Q-18.0%4.9%-95.8%-7.2%21.9%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.1%0.8%-40.7%-1.8%5.1%0.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM-5.7%-61.4%-447.2%-18.6%175.7%-18.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-3.6%7.1%-135.2%215.2%-5.4%
Op Mgn LTM-9.7%6.7%-3,812.6%15.1%4.4%6.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-11.5%11.6%-1,830.4%15.9%2.2%11.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--0.2%-4.4%-1,622.0%-2.1%0.5%-2.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-14.8%-4.6%-4,025.4%27.1%34.2%14.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-16.0%6.0%-1,718.1%28.8%17.3%16.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-9.0%-13.6%-4,035.5%16.0%30.1%9.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.4%2.4%-1,724.0%20.5%14.3%10.4%

Valuation

STDNBWXTLEUSMRCCJGEVMedian
NameStandard.BWX Tech.Centrus .NuScale .Cameco GE Verno. 
Mkt Cap-15.43.73.041.1272.815.4
P/S-4.48.2160.611.86.68.2
P/Op Inc-45.4121.6-4.278.2151.378.2
P/EBIT-33.347.7-4.271.6151.347.7
P/E-43.561.2-7.8115.728.643.5
P/CFO-29.7-180.1-4.043.619.319.3
Total Yield-2.9%1.6%-12.9%1.1%3.6%1.6%
Dividend Yield-0.6%0.0%0.0%0.3%0.1%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.5%1.1%-14.7%2.2%3.3%2.2%
D/E-0.10.30.00.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

STDNBWXTLEUSMRCCJGEVMedian
NameStandard.BWX Tech.Centrus .NuScale .Cameco GE Verno. 
1M Rtn-33.1%-14.5%7.7%-2.4%-3.3%-11.6%-7.5%
3M Rtn-33.1%-21.7%-18.9%-30.6%-23.8%-9.0%-22.8%
6M Rtn-33.1%-11.2%-25.4%-42.1%-17.9%36.6%-21.6%
12M Rtn-33.1%-7.0%-12.2%-79.2%26.7%57.0%-9.6%
3Y Rtn-33.1%133.8%344.1%26.9%183.3%630.2%158.6%
1M Excs Rtn-36.0%-12.5%10.3%1.8%-3.4%-8.4%-5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-39.5%-24.7%-15.3%-27.4%-24.0%-13.4%-24.3%
6M Excs Rtn-44.7%-31.6%-44.7%-59.2%-36.9%19.0%-40.8%
12M Excs Rtn-55.1%-12.5%-32.7%-100.4%3.6%31.9%-22.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-101.4%82.0%330.7%-44.6%101.6%561.9%91.8%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Price Behavior

null
STDN Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.972.412.47-2.222.030.68
Up Beta0.655.32-7.40-3.67-4.773.87
Down Beta-13.168.885.393.734.625.48
Up Capture-130%-55%-34%-14%-6%-1%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days333333
Down Capture478%201%173%90%60%33%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days888888

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with STDN
STDN-33.2%116.3%-5.61-
Sector ETF (XLB)21.6%17.8%0.9533.9%
Equity (SPY)23.1%12.9%1.3460.0%
Gold (GLD)25.4%28.3%0.7916.2%
Commodities (DBC)29.5%19.8%1.19-18.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.4%13.7%0.74-19.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.6%42.9%-1.25-8.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with STDN
STDN-7.7%116.3%-5.61-
Sector ETF (XLB)7.0%19.1%0.2533.9%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.2%0.6060.0%
Gold (GLD)18.2%18.6%0.7916.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.31-18.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.5%18.9%0.03-19.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.9%53.0%0.37-8.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with STDN
STDN-3.9%116.3%-5.61-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.1%20.7%0.4333.9%
Equity (SPY)15.3%17.9%0.7360.0%
Gold (GLD)12.0%16.2%0.6016.2%
Commodities (DBC)7.1%18.0%0.31-18.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.20-19.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.2%66.2%0.98-8.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202607/07/2026S-1/A
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202607/07/2026S-1/A
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/5/2026