Tearsheet

Sonoco Products (SON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $41.46 | Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Sonoco Products (SON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $41.46
Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 4.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
  
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 20%, Dividend Yield is 4.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 15%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 68%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -95%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 121%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SON Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The approximate -11.3% movement in Sonoco Products (SON) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors: 1. Tightened Full-Year Financial Guidance Sonoco narrowed its 2025 outlook for net sales, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted earnings per share in its third-quarter 2025 report, citing persistent market softness, particularly in the EMEA region. This reduction to the lower end of previous guidance can signal cautiousness to investors.

2. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Softened Demand The company experienced challenging market conditions affecting both consumer and industrial demand, with specific macroeconomic headwinds and weaker seafood availability impacting the Metal Packaging EMEA business. A weaker fourth quarter was also anticipated for the EMEA region, contributing to a less optimistic outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SON Return-1%1%8%-5%-9%-12%-17%
Peers Return30%20%-13%7%6%-18%25%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SON Win Rate50%50%42%33%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate55%62%40%52%57%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SON Max Drawdown-38%-4%-9%-15%-12%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-7%-26%-18%-12%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMCR, WST, PKG, BAX, SLGN. See SON Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSONS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven261 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven629 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven164.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2145 days1480 days

Compare to AMCR, WST, PKG, BAX, SLGN


In The Past

Sonoco Products's stock fell -25.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -25.2% loss requires a 33.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sonoco Products (SON)

Better Bets than Sonoco Products (SON)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sonoco Products

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SONAMCRWSTPKGBAXSLGNMedian
NameSonoco P.Amcor West Pha.Packagin.Baxter I.Silgan  
Mkt Price41.378.46284.31197.9518.8939.2640.31
Mkt Cap4.119.620.517.79.74.213.7
Rev LTM7,11417,4013,0188,77211,0236,4267,943
Op Inc LTM6411,5346311,296411640641
FCF LTM29885337972523065338
FCF 3Y Avg360805374714657243515
CFO LTM6731,5266941,436749372721
CFO 3Y Avg7271,3667211,3461,148502938

Growth & Margins

SONAMCRWSTPKGBAXSLGNMedian
NameSonoco P.Amcor West Pha.Packagin.Baxter I.Silgan  
Rev Chg LTM67.9%28.4%4.9%7.3%3.9%11.1%9.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.8%6.5%1.3%1.1%-4.5%0.4%1.2%
Rev Chg Q57.3%71.3%7.7%6.0%5.0%15.1%11.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.3%15.9%1.9%1.5%1.2%4.3%3.1%
Op Mgn LTM9.0%8.8%20.9%14.8%3.7%10.0%9.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.4%9.4%21.8%14.4%3.6%10.1%9.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%0.0%-0.1%-0.1%0.1%-0.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM9.5%8.8%23.0%16.4%6.8%5.8%9.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.6%9.0%24.6%16.3%11.6%8.4%12.6%
FCF/Rev LTM4.2%4.9%12.6%8.3%2.1%1.0%4.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.8%5.3%12.7%8.7%6.7%4.1%6.7%

Valuation

SONAMCRWSTPKGBAXSLGNMedian
NameSonoco P.Amcor West Pha.Packagin.Baxter I.Silgan  
Mkt Cap4.119.620.517.79.74.213.7
P/S0.61.16.32.21.10.71.1
P/EBIT9.715.831.315.7229.57.815.7
P/E6.832.538.521.8-34.314.518.2
P/CFO6.312.427.313.615.612.313.0
Total Yield19.5%8.1%2.8%6.9%0.6%8.7%7.5%
Dividend Yield4.8%5.1%0.2%2.3%3.5%1.9%2.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.2%5.1%1.7%4.3%3.7%4.5%4.4%
D/E1.30.80.00.20.81.10.8
Net D/E1.20.8-0.00.20.71.00.7

Returns

SONAMCRWSTPKGBAXSLGNMedian
NameSonoco P.Amcor West Pha.Packagin.Baxter I.Silgan  
1M Rtn3.7%9.3%1.7%1.2%3.8%1.6%2.7%
3M Rtn-8.8%4.5%14.3%-6.5%-19.7%-11.5%-7.6%
6M Rtn-5.3%-3.8%34.7%3.7%-36.5%-25.9%-4.5%
12M Rtn-16.8%-15.2%-11.4%-16.9%-42.0%-29.6%-16.9%
3Y Rtn-25.1%-20.9%17.2%56.9%-61.7%-24.0%-22.4%
1M Excs Rtn3.7%9.3%1.7%1.2%3.8%1.6%2.7%
3M Excs Rtn-13.2%-0.9%9.6%-13.5%-25.2%-17.4%-13.4%
6M Excs Rtn-20.0%-18.5%20.0%-11.1%-51.2%-40.6%-19.3%
12M Excs Rtn-29.9%-29.4%-26.0%-32.0%-56.5%-43.9%-31.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-95.0%-90.3%-45.0%-6.6%-135.7%-93.5%-91.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Consumer Packaging2,4763,7752,3682,2302,333
Industrial Paper Packaging2,4762,8192,4641,991 
Other sales604    
Elimination of intersegment sales-115-151   
All Other 8087581,016 
Other corporate costs 0   
Display and Packaging    554
Paper and Industrial Converted Products    1,975
Protective Solutions    512
Total5,4417,2515,5905,2375,374


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Industrial Paper Packaging318328 177 
Consumer Packaging286526 278 
All Other8566 72 
(Loss)/Gain from divestiture of business79    
Changes in last-in, first-out (LIFO) inventory reserves12    
Derivative (losses)/gains2    
Other operating (charges)/income, net-10-107 -19 
Acquisition, integration and divestiture-related costs-25    
Other corporate costs-42    
Restructuring/Asset impairment charges-48-57 -146 
Amortization of acquisition intangibles-67-80 -5 
Total589676 358 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,261,869
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202516.7%
Average Daily Volume1,154,566
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.56
Basic Shares Quantity99,182,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023503202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022802202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022503202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021