Cabot (CBT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $64.55 | Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Chemicals
Cabot (CBT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $64.55Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Chemicals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 8.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 8.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 31% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Materials, Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CBT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Cabot Corporation (CBT) experienced a notable decline in its stock price from late August to early December 2025, with several key factors contributing to a negative movement of approximately 20.3%. The primary drivers for this downturn appear to be the company's fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 financial results and its subsequent outlook for fiscal year 2026, which led to analyst downgrades and concerns about market conditions.
1. Missed Revenue Expectations and Decreased Fourth-Quarter Earnings: Cabot Corporation reported its fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 results on November 3, 2025, revealing revenue of $899 million, which fell short of the consensus estimate of $967 million. The diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter decreased significantly to $0.79 from $2.43 in the prior year, and the adjusted EPS saw a 6% year-over-year decline to $1.70.
2. Cautious Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook Below Expectations: The company issued a conservative outlook for fiscal year 2026, projecting adjusted EPS to be in the range of $6.00 to $7.00. This guidance was notably lower than the adjusted EPS of $7.25 achieved in fiscal year 2025 and did not meet prior analyst expectations, contributing to a bearish sentiment among investors.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CBT Return | -2% | 28% | 21% | 28% | 11% | -28% | 55% |
| Peers Return | 24% | 18% | -22% | 3% | -9% | -49% | -46% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CBT Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 48% | 33% | 48% | 45% | 32% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CBT Max Drawdown | -55% | -2% | -3% | -3% | -15% | -35% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -60% | -13% | -38% | -26% | -31% | -58% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MEOH, KRO, TROX, TSE, CBT. See CBT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CBT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 140 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 125.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 292 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 909 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 519.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1745 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MEOH, KRO, TROX, TSE, CBT
In The Past
Cabot's stock fell -25.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -25.8% loss requires a 34.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CBT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 10102025 | CBT | Cabot | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -15.1% |
| 01312020 | CBT | Cabot | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.8% | 14.1% | -46.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.1% | 3.1% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.5% | 0.5% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 30.9% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.7% | 12.7% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | -2.5% |
| 10102025 | CBT | Cabot | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.9% | -6.9% | -15.1% |
| 01312020 | CBT | Cabot | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.8% | 14.1% | -46.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cabot
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 3,258 |
| Op Inc LTM | 62 |
| FCF LTM | -61 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -20 |
| CFO LTM | 21 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 221 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 0.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -1.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 5.7 |
| P/E | -0.3 |
| P/CFO | 2.9 |
| Total Yield | -6.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.0% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | 1.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -24.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -51.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -38.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -24.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -39.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -68.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -110.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11202024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11222023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11232022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11292021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |