Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 8.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.7%, FCF Yield is 8.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Battery Technology & Metals, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -78%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CBT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Cabot Corporation (CBT) experienced a notable decline in its stock price from late August to early December 2025, with several key factors contributing to a negative movement of approximately 20.3%. The primary drivers for this downturn appear to be the company's fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 financial results and its subsequent outlook for fiscal year 2026, which led to analyst downgrades and concerns about market conditions.

1. Missed Revenue Expectations and Decreased Fourth-Quarter Earnings: Cabot Corporation reported its fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 results on November 3, 2025, revealing revenue of $899 million, which fell short of the consensus estimate of $967 million. The diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter decreased significantly to $0.79 from $2.43 in the prior year, and the adjusted EPS saw a 6% year-over-year decline to $1.70.

2. Cautious Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook Below Expectations: The company issued a conservative outlook for fiscal year 2026, projecting adjusted EPS to be in the range of $6.00 to $7.00. This guidance was notably lower than the adjusted EPS of $7.25 achieved in fiscal year 2025 and did not meet prior analyst expectations, contributing to a bearish sentiment among investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CBT Return-2%28%21%28%11%-28%55%
Peers Return24%18%-22%3%-9%-49%-46%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CBT Win Rate58%50%42%50%58%20% 
Peers Win Rate67%48%33%48%45%32% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CBT Max Drawdown-55%-2%-3%-3%-15%-35% 
Peers Max Drawdown-60%-13%-38%-26%-31%-58% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MEOH, KRO, TROX, TSE, CBT. See CBT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCBTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven140 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven125.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven292 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven909 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven519.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1745 days1480 days

Compare to MEOH, KRO, TROX, TSE, CBT


In The Past

Cabot's stock fell -25.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -25.8% loss requires a 34.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cabot (CBT)

Better Bets than Cabot (CBT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CBT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
CBT_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025CBTCabotDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.9%-6.9%-15.1%
CBT_1312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312020CBTCabotDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.8%14.1%-46.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
CBT_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025CBTCabotDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.9%-6.9%-15.1%
CBT_1312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield01312020CBTCabotDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.8%14.1%-46.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cabot

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CBTMEOHKROTROXTSEMedian
NameCabot Methanex Kronos W.Tronox Trinseo  
Mkt Price64.5437.354.883.940.764.88
Mkt Cap3.52.90.60.60.00.6
Rev LTM3,8153,5691,8642,8443,2583,258
Op Inc LTM6345165562-11962
FCF LTM348928-65-369-61-61
FCF 3Y Avg351515-20-118-27-20
CFO LTM6501,057-4021-1021
CFO 3Y Avg613803422154221

Growth & Margins

CBTMEOHKROTROXTSEMedian
NameCabot Methanex Kronos W.Tronox Trinseo  
Rev Chg LTM-3.6%-3.4%0.0%-7.8%-8.0%-3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.5%-7.7%-2.3%-7.3%-15.1%-7.3%
Rev Chg Q-9.2%-0.8%-5.7%-13.1%-14.8%-9.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.4%-0.2%-1.5%-3.6%-4.0%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM16.6%14.4%3.0%2.2%-3.6%3.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.0%9.5%1.1%5.2%-4.9%5.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.8%-2.8%-2.4%-1.3%-1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM17.0%29.6%-2.2%0.7%-0.3%0.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.5%21.9%0.1%7.5%1.2%7.5%
FCF/Rev LTM9.1%26.0%-3.5%-13.0%-1.9%-1.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.9%14.2%-1.2%-4.2%-1.0%-1.0%

Valuation

CBTMEOHKROTROXTSEMedian
NameCabot Methanex Kronos W.Tronox Trinseo  
Mkt Cap3.52.90.60.60.00.6
P/S1.10.90.40.20.00.4
P/EBIT6.15.711.6-6.5-1.15.7
P/E9.414.4-16.0-2.0-0.3-0.3
P/CFO6.22.9-16.430.4-11.72.9
Total Yield13.0%8.6%-6.3%-41.6%-349.4%-6.3%
Dividend Yield2.4%1.7%0.0%9.3%0.4%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.2%17.3%-4.0%-19.1%-61.7%-4.0%
D/E0.31.21.05.323.01.2
Net D/E0.21.00.95.121.71.0

Returns

CBTMEOHKROTROXTSEMedian
NameCabot Methanex Kronos W.Tronox Trinseo  
1M Rtn-1.4%0.4%4.6%20.8%-48.7%0.4%
3M Rtn-19.1%6.2%-17.5%-3.9%-67.2%-17.5%
6M Rtn-13.0%13.6%-24.2%-28.7%-74.6%-24.2%
12M Rtn-40.2%-19.6%-51.3%-64.7%-81.7%-51.3%
3Y Rtn-8.4%2.8%-38.2%-69.0%-96.7%-38.2%
1M Excs Rtn-1.3%0.4%4.6%20.8%-48.7%0.4%
3M Excs Rtn-25.1%-4.2%-24.0%-9.7%-73.2%-24.0%
6M Excs Rtn-27.7%-1.1%-39.0%-43.4%-89.3%-39.0%
12M Excs Rtn-53.3%-32.4%-68.9%-78.6%-95.9%-68.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-77.8%-73.2%-110.7%-139.7%-169.4%-110.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,657,847
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202520.6%
Average Daily Volume632,998
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.62
Basic Shares Quantity53,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241120202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231122202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221123202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211129202110-K 9/30/2021