Crown (CCK)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $98.49 | Market Cap: $11.3 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
Crown (CCK)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $98.49Market Cap: $11.3 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 9.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Consumption, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.4%, FCF Yield is 9.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Consumption, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CCK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why Crown (CCK) stock moved by approximately -0.6% from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:
1. Softness in Americas Beverage and Geographic Weakness: Despite strong performance in European Beverage, Crown's Americas Beverage segment experienced softness during the third quarter of 2025, including a 15% volume decline in Brazil and Mexico, and faced pressure on margins due to aluminum delivery premiums. Global beverage can volumes were mixed, with underperformance in Asia and Latin America offsetting growth in other regions.
2. Concerns over Slower Revenue Growth Outlook: Analyst forecasts suggest Crown's revenue is expected to grow by only 3.1% per year, which is projected to trail the broader U.S. market's growth of 10.1% annually and lag most packaging industry peers. This slower growth outlook, combined with geographic concentration risks in weaker markets like Asia and Mexico, and potential economic softness in certain European markets, could limit future revenue and margin expansion.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CCK Return | 38% | 11% | -25% | 13% | -9% | 20% | 43% |
| Peers Return | 24% | 7% | -4% | 5% | 19% | -3% | 55% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CCK Win Rate | 75% | 58% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 53% | 50% | 52% | 53% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CCK Max Drawdown | -40% | -14% | -39% | -7% | -22% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -8% | -20% | -13% | -16% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GTLS, ATR, OI, IP, AMCR. See CCK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CCK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 163 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -35.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 143 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 108.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 662 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GTLS, ATR, OI, IP, AMCR
In The Past
Crown's stock fell -48.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/25/2022. A -48.5% loss requires a 94.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CCK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.0% | 1.0% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.7% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 9.9% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | -2.5% |
| 02292024 | CCK | Crown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 18.4% | -6.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.0% | 1.0% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.7% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 9.9% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | -2.5% |
| 02292024 | CCK | Crown | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 18.4% | -6.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Crown
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.3 |
| Rev LTM | 9,298 |
| Op Inc LTM | 632 |
| FCF LTM | 352 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 394 |
| CFO LTM | 877 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 997 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.3 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 11.1 |
| P/E | 16.4 |
| P/CFO | 14.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 20.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -50.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metal beverage cans and ends | 7,514 | 8,096 | 6,982 | 5,716 | 5,588 |
| Transit packaging | 2,256 | 2,545 | 2,530 | 2,018 | 2,274 |
| Metal food cans and ends | 1,013 | 1,099 | 789 | 733 | 2,435 |
| Other products | 701 | 598 | 580 | 451 | 481 |
| Other metal packaging | 526 | 605 | 513 | 474 | 887 |
| Total | 12,010 | 12,943 | 11,394 | 9,392 | 11,665 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7292024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2272023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8012022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4292022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |