Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 46x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 60%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
 
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 31x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 31x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 46x
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 60%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HWKN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the movement of Hawkins (HWKN) stock during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Second Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Miss: Hawkins, Inc. reported its second quarter fiscal 2026 results with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.08, which was $0.16 worse than the analyst estimate of $1.24.

2. Margin Decline and Valuation Doubts: The company experienced a margin decline, which spurred valuation doubts against its defensive growth narrative.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HWKN Return16%53%-1%85%75%10%533%
Peers Return14%22%-7%30%9%-22%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HWKN Win Rate50%67%50%67%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate65%50%50%52%50%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HWKN Max Drawdown-38%-4%-15%-5%-16%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-12%-23%-6%-22%-42% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MEOH, NOVS, DOW, HWKN, HUN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHWKNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven363 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven63.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven830 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-28.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days1480 days

Compare to MEOH, NOVS, DOW, HWKN, HUN


In The Past

Hawkins's stock fell -29.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/22/2022. A -29.2% loss requires a 41.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Hawkins (HWKN)

Better Bets than Hawkins (HWKN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HWKN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
HWKN_10312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312024HWKNHawkinsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
12.1%33.4%-5.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
HWKN_10312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312024HWKNHawkinsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
12.1%33.4%-5.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hawkins

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HWKNMEOHNOVSDOWHUNMedian
NameHawkins Methanex Novuster.Dow Huntsman  
Mkt Price137.0737.35-23.7610.6130.55
Mkt Cap2.82.9-16.91.82.9
Rev LTM1,0453,569040,9135,7803,569
Op Inc LTM121516-1472-24121
FCF LTM799280-1,12019979
FCF 3Y Avg89515-903126321
CFO LTM1231,05701,562366366
CFO 3Y Avg133803-3,645332567

Growth & Margins

HWKNMEOHNOVSDOWHUNMedian
NameHawkins Methanex Novuster.Dow Huntsman  
Rev Chg LTM11.9%-3.4%2,000.0%-5.3%-3.5%-3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.3%-7.7%--11.3%-11.5%-9.5%
Rev Chg Q13.5%-0.8%653.9%-8.3%-5.2%-0.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%-0.2%45.2%-2.2%-1.4%-0.2%
Op Mgn LTM11.6%14.4%-392.0%1.2%-0.4%1.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.4%9.5%-3.5%1.2%6.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%0.8%-54.6%-0.5%-0.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM11.8%29.6%15.6%3.8%6.3%11.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.8%21.9%-8.3%5.5%11.0%
FCF/Rev LTM7.5%26.0%15.6%-2.7%3.4%7.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.2%14.2%-1.9%2.1%5.7%

Valuation

HWKNMEOHNOVSDOWHUNMedian
NameHawkins Methanex Novuster.Dow Huntsman  
Mkt Cap2.82.9-16.91.82.9
P/S3.60.9-0.40.30.6
P/EBIT31.05.7-138.3-12.818.3
P/E45.614.4--14.4-4.74.8
P/CFO30.82.9-10.44.27.3
Total Yield2.5%8.6%-3.7%-9.9%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.3%1.7%-10.6%11.3%6.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.6%17.3%-1.2%5.7%5.2%
D/E0.11.2-1.21.51.2
Net D/E0.11.0-0.91.21.0

Returns

HWKNMEOHNOVSDOWHUNMedian
NameHawkins Methanex Novuster.Dow Huntsman  
1M Rtn5.3%0.4%-3.8%32.5%4.5%
3M Rtn-17.6%6.2%-0.8%0.4%0.6%
6M Rtn2.8%13.6%--13.5%-3.4%-0.3%
12M Rtn0.4%-19.6%--41.8%-42.4%-30.7%
3Y Rtn236.1%2.8%--44.9%-56.6%-21.0%
1M Excs Rtn5.3%0.4%-3.8%32.5%4.6%
3M Excs Rtn-24.0%-4.2%--4.5%-6.9%-5.7%
6M Excs Rtn-11.9%-1.1%--28.2%-18.2%-15.0%
12M Excs Rtn-11.1%-32.4%--55.8%-55.3%-43.8%
3Y Excs Rtn163.6%-73.2%--115.4%-128.2%-94.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Industrial Solutions409471387273275
Water Treatment363305228170160
Food & Health Sciences146159159154105
Total919935775597540


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Water Treatment5331232222
Industrial Solutions3942311615
Food & Health Sciences121417175
Total10488715642


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,360,146
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202519.8%
Average Daily Volume169,107
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.04
Basic Shares Quantity20,737,743
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025514202510-K 3/30/2025
12312024129202510-Q 12/29/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023131202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023517202310-K 4/2/2023
12312022201202310-Q 1/1/2023
93020221102202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022804202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022518202210-K 4/3/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/26/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Grahek Drew M.VICE PRESIDENT OF OPERATIONS11052025Buy126.341,587200,5065,008,202Form