Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 9.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2%
Key risks
NWPX key risks include [1] margin pressure from volatile raw material costs on projects that are bid in advance and [2] revenue concentration tied to the unpredictable timing and funding of large municipal water projects.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 9.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2%
5 Key risks
NWPX key risks include [1] margin pressure from volatile raw material costs on projects that are bid in advance and [2] revenue concentration tied to the unpredictable timing and funding of large municipal water projects.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NWPX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Earnings and Positive Market Reaction: NWPX Infrastructure reported robust financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on August 7, exceeding analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. Following the earnings announcement on August 8, the company's stock price surged by 11.14%, reflecting investor confidence in its performance and operational execution.

2. Record Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: The company announced record-breaking financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on October 29, with net sales increasing by 16% year-over-year to $151.1 million. This strong performance included a 19% rise in gross profit and a net income of $13.5 million, with the Water Transmission Systems segment showing significant growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NWPX Return-15%12%6%-10%59%30%88%
Peers Return15%19%-28%39%29%24%121%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NWPX Win Rate42%50%58%50%58%58% 
Peers Win Rate55%58%38%57%52%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NWPX Max Drawdown-42%-18%-23%-23%-7%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-8%-39%-11%-11%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MWA, WTS, LNN, GLDD, ORN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNWPXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-35.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven391 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven345 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven166 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven192.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven6,216 days1,480 days

Compare to HCC, FRD, NUE, STLD, CRS


In The Past

NWPX Infrastructure's stock fell -35.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -35.8% loss requires a 55.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NWPX Infrastructure (NWPX)

Better Bets than NWPX Infrastructure (NWPX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NWPX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NWPX Infrastructure

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NWPXMWAWTSLNNGLDDORNMedian
NameNWPX Inf.Mueller .Watts Wa.Lindsay Great La.Orion  
Mkt Price63.1124.73277.64122.1313.2810.2843.92
Mkt Cap0.64.09.31.30.90.41.1
Rev LTM5201,4302,354676835836835
Op Inc LTM482694478812217105
FCF LTM481723449013-169
FCF 3Y Avg2214231886-47-354
CFO LTM6721938713315328143
CFO 3Y Avg441893521169815107

Growth & Margins

NWPXMWAWTSLNNGLDDORNMedian
NameNWPX Inf.Mueller .Watts Wa.Lindsay Great La.Orion  
Rev Chg LTM7.6%8.7%4.2%11.4%12.5%7.0%8.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.8%4.7%6.5%-3.7%8.0%5.5%5.2%
Rev Chg Q16.0%9.4%12.5%-0.9%2.1%-0.7%5.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.2%2.3%3.0%-0.2%0.5%-0.2%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM9.3%18.8%19.0%13.0%14.6%2.0%13.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.0%15.3%17.8%13.6%6.9%0.1%11.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%1.4%0.1%-0.3%1.3%-0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM13.0%15.3%16.4%19.7%18.4%3.3%15.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%14.0%16.0%17.7%13.3%1.7%13.6%
FCF/Rev LTM9.3%12.0%14.6%13.4%1.6%-0.2%10.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.4%10.5%14.4%13.1%-7.6%-0.5%7.4%

Valuation

NWPXMWAWTSLNNGLDDORNMedian
NameNWPX Inf.Mueller .Watts Wa.Lindsay Great La.Orion  
Mkt Cap0.64.09.31.30.90.41.1
P/S1.02.84.02.31.00.41.6
P/EBIT10.6-21.615.86.416.415.8
P/E14.020.828.820.69.934.920.7
P/CFO7.618.224.211.55.212.011.7
Total Yield7.2%5.3%4.2%5.9%10.1%2.9%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.7%1.0%0.0%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%-4.5%6.2%-8.0%-2.2%4.5%
D/E0.3-0.00.10.60.20.2
Net D/E0.3--0.0-0.10.60.20.2

Returns

NWPXMWAWTSLNNGLDDORNMedian
NameNWPX Inf.Mueller .Watts Wa.Lindsay Great La.Orion  
1M Rtn12.3%7.9%4.8%14.6%10.4%12.2%11.3%
3M Rtn21.8%-2.0%-0.7%-12.2%10.9%30.6%5.1%
6M Rtn63.2%6.3%15.6%-8.9%12.4%16.7%14.0%
12M Rtn21.0%4.7%30.3%-2.9%11.8%26.6%16.4%
3Y Rtn85.6%136.6%97.3%-23.6%99.7%321.3%98.5%
1M Excs Rtn11.6%7.2%4.1%13.9%9.7%11.5%10.6%
3M Excs Rtn16.5%-4.6%-4.0%-14.5%6.9%25.3%1.4%
6M Excs Rtn50.9%-6.1%3.2%-21.3%-0.0%4.3%1.6%
12M Excs Rtn8.4%-8.2%17.3%-16.5%-0.2%14.9%4.1%
3Y Excs Rtn9.6%54.8%16.2%-94.9%29.8%261.7%23.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Water Transmission Systems296308260242 
Precast Infrastructure and Engineered Systems1481507344 
Water Infrastructure    279
Total444458333286279


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity131,584
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-14.4%
Average Daily Volume52,607
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.50
Basic Shares Quantity9,678,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20251.4%9.3%4.0%
8/7/202513.3%22.5%22.0%
2/26/2025-10.7%-13.0%-11.7%
10/30/20240.1%19.5%25.1%
7/31/2024-0.5%1.4%16.1%
3/4/20241.9%15.2%19.8%
11/2/20230.8%-8.6%-1.6%
8/2/2023-1.6%-3.4%1.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101011
# Negative887
Median Positive1.7%10.3%12.2%
Median Negative-4.3%-8.2%-11.2%
Max Positive13.3%22.5%25.1%
Max Negative-14.9%-20.4%-32.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Brittain MilesExecutive Vice President11252025Sell56.414,000225,6401,451,147Form
1Brittain MilesExecutive Vice President11182025Sell56.764,000227,0241,687,072Form
2MONTROSS SCOTT JPresident & CEO11132025Sell57.531,00057,5284,371,633Form