Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 9.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 9.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

NWPX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why NWPX Infrastructure (symbol: NWPX) stock moved by 12.2% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. NWPX Infrastructure announced record financial performance for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, on October 29, 2025. The company reported record net sales of $151.1 million, a 16.0% increase year-over-year, and record gross profit of $32.2 million, up 19.0% year-over-year. Net income reached $13.5 million, or $1.38 per diluted share, significantly exceeding analyst expectations of $1.02 per share.

2. Analyst Upgrades and Increased Price Targets. Following the robust Q3 2025 earnings report, several analysts either upgraded NWPX Infrastructure's stock rating or increased their price targets. For instance, DA Davidson raised its target price from $60.00 to $70.00 and maintained a "buy" rating on October 31, 2025. Northland Capital Markets upgraded the stock from a "hold" to a "strong-buy" rating on the same date. Additionally, Wall Street Zen upgraded NWPX Infrastructure from a "hold" to a "buy" rating on November 8, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NWPX Return-15%12%6%-10%59%20%75%
Peers Return-2%50%31%58%20%48%440%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NWPX Win Rate42%50%58%50%58%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%57%57%55%60%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NWPX Max Drawdown-42%-18%-23%-23%-7%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-53%-9%-15%-4%-17%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HCC, FRD, NUE, STLD, CRS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNWPXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-35.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven391 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven345 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven166 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven192.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven6216 days1480 days

Compare to HCC, FRD, NUE, STLD, CRS


In The Past

NWPX Infrastructure's stock fell -35.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/24/2021. A -35.8% loss requires a 55.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About NWPX Infrastructure (NWPX)

Better Bets than NWPX Infrastructure (NWPX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NWPX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NWPX Infrastructure

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NWPXHCCFRDNUESTLDCRSMedian
NameNWPX Inf.Warrior .Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy.Carpente. 
Mkt Price59.4382.9219.59164.71171.50310.45123.81
Mkt Cap0.64.40.138.025.215.610.0
Rev LTM5201,22446530,80617,6352,8932,058
Op Inc LTM487112,1431,519561305
FCF LTM48-15911-38531126930
FCF 3Y Avg2249253,1151,018162105
CFO LTM67207173,1301,524439323
CFO 3Y Avg44472345,8422,562282377

Growth & Margins

NWPXHCCFRDNUESTLDCRSMedian
NameNWPX Inf.Warrior .Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy.Carpente. 
Rev Chg LTM7.6%-23.1%-5.8%-5.8%-1.5%2.4%-3.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.8%-11.8%8.6%-10.4%-8.0%14.6%-1.6%
Rev Chg Q16.0%0.3%17.7%4.7%11.2%2.2%8.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.2%0.1%4.5%1.2%2.8%0.6%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM9.3%0.6%2.4%7.0%8.6%19.4%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.0%19.3%2.9%13.9%13.7%13.6%13.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-1.5%1.8%-0.0%0.5%1.1%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM13.0%16.9%3.7%10.2%8.6%15.2%11.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.0%30.4%6.6%17.0%13.8%9.9%11.9%
FCF/Rev LTM9.3%-13.0%2.5%-1.2%1.8%9.3%2.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.4%1.9%4.9%8.7%5.4%5.7%5.1%

Valuation

NWPXHCCFRDNUESTLDCRSMedian
NameNWPX Inf.Warrior .Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy.Carpente. 
Mkt Cap0.64.40.138.025.215.610.0
P/S1.02.70.21.01.24.31.1
P/EBIT10.6116.98.213.713.821.513.8
P/E14.095.213.523.118.229.720.6
P/CFO7.616.16.79.513.428.011.5
Total Yield7.2%1.6%7.7%6.1%6.9%3.7%6.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.5%0.2%1.7%1.4%0.3%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.9%2.1%26.5%7.7%5.6%1.7%5.3%
D/E0.30.10.30.20.20.10.2
Net D/E0.3-0.00.30.10.10.00.1

Returns

NWPXHCCFRDNUESTLDCRSMedian
NameNWPX Inf.Warrior .Friedman.Nucor Steel Dy.Carpente. 
1M Rtn-7.0%19.3%-12.4%11.2%10.0%-0.1%4.9%
3M Rtn15.6%49.0%-7.2%13.9%32.8%31.8%23.7%
6M Rtn49.2%75.5%17.0%36.3%28.0%26.1%32.1%
12M Rtn5.8%19.5%24.5%8.2%21.6%61.7%20.5%
3Y Rtn60.7%123.3%124.4%11.6%63.7%644.2%93.5%
1M Excs Rtn-6.9%19.4%-12.4%11.2%10.0%-0.1%5.0%
3M Excs Rtn8.5%45.2%-12.5%8.8%26.2%24.0%16.4%
6M Excs Rtn34.5%60.8%2.3%21.6%13.3%11.4%17.4%
12M Excs Rtn-7.5%5.0%16.3%-5.2%6.4%47.1%5.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-10.6%80.6%47.3%-56.1%1.5%630.3%24.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Water Transmission Systems296308260242 
Precast Infrastructure and Engineered Systems1481507344 
Water Infrastructure    279
Total444458333286279


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity153,694
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.0%
Average Daily Volume90,553
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.70
Basic Shares Quantity9,678,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Brittain MilesExecutive Vice President11252025Sell56.414,000225,6401,451,147Form
1Brittain MilesExecutive Vice President11182025Sell56.764,000227,0241,687,072Form
2MONTROSS SCOTT JPresident & CEO11132025Sell57.531,00057,5284,371,633Form