Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 69x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Datacenter Power, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Nuclear Power Generation Fuel, Show more.
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 94%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Datacenter Power, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Nuclear Power Generation Fuel, Show more.
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 11x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 29x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 69x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 94%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CCJ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the public company Cameco (CCJ), several key factors influenced its stock performance during a recent period, which could contribute to a significant upward movement.

1. Strong Financial Performance and Outlook: Cameco reported a strong financial outlook for 2024, with expectations of robust cash flow generation and increased consolidated revenue, and announced a dividend growth plan aiming to double the 2023 dividend by 2026. The company's Q3 2024 adjusted EBITDA was $308 million, with adjusted EBITDA for the first nine months of 2024 reaching $1.0 billion. Additionally, Cameco raised its estimated consolidated revenue for 2024 to between $3.01 billion and $3.16 billion.

2. Increased Production and Sales Volumes: Cameco demonstrated strong operational performance with increased production rates and higher sales volumes across its uranium and fuel services segments. Notably, the Key Lake mill set a new annual production record in 2024. The fuel services segment's production also significantly increased by 60% year-over-year in Q3 2024.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CCJ Return51%63%4%90%19%72%911%
Peers Return39%51%6%811%-2%44%2729%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CCJ Win Rate50%58%42%75%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate38%53%40%67%48%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CCJ Max Drawdown-38%-8%-16%-1%-14%-29% 
Peers Max Drawdown-54%-9%-17%-16%-24%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCCJS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven396 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven29 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1138 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-78.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven370.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven5809 days1480 days

Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE


In The Past

Cameco's stock fell -34.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2022. A -34.8% loss requires a 53.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Cameco (CCJ)

Better Bets than Cameco (CCJ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CCJ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
13.3%13.3%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.5%22.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.4%-0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cameco

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CCJEUNCUECNXEMedian
NameCameco enCore E.NACCO In.Uranium .NexGen E. 
Mkt Price89.452.8346.7012.959.3112.95
Mkt Cap38.90.50.35.85.35.3
Rev LTM3,4644528167067
Op Inc LTM646-90-46-73-78-73
FCF LTM973-556-70-190-55
FCF 3Y Avg593-52-2-36-164-36
CFO LTM1,261-2365-64-32-23
CFO 3Y Avg801-3243-33-35-32

Growth & Margins

CCJEUNCUECNXEMedian
NameCameco enCore E.NACCO In.Uranium .NexGen E. 
Rev Chg LTM23.9%-23.1%25.3%29,737.9%-24.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg24.2%-8.0%10,082.6%-24.2%
Rev Chg Q-14.7%-31.1%24.3%---14.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.0%-3.6%5.6%0.0%--1.5%
Op Mgn LTM18.6%-202.9%-16.2%-109.9%--63.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.3%-357.2%-18.2%-8,450.6%--187.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.7%0.8%-20.6%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM36.4%-51.0%23.0%-96.4%--14.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.3%133.4%17.4%-15,863.7%-22.3%
FCF/Rev LTM28.1%-122.7%2.3%-105.0%--51.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.1%10.3%-1.0%-16,376.8%-4.6%

Valuation

CCJEUNCUECNXEMedian
NameCameco enCore E.NACCO In.Uranium .NexGen E. 
Mkt Cap38.90.50.35.85.35.3
P/S10.512.01.145.3-11.3
P/EBIT46.8-5.814.1-34.1-18.8-5.8
P/E69.4-6.810.8-34.6-15.4-6.8
P/CFO29.0-23.54.9-47.0-160.1-23.5
Total Yield1.4%-14.7%11.5%-2.9%-6.5%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%2.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%-7.2%-2.6%-0.4%-4.3%-2.6%
D/E0.00.00.30.00.10.0
Net D/E0.0-0.10.1-0.00.10.0

Returns

CCJEUNCUECNXEMedian
NameCameco enCore E.NACCO In.Uranium .NexGen E. 
1M Rtn-11.1%-1.4%11.1%-7.5%1.9%-1.4%
3M Rtn16.2%19.9%24.3%12.5%18.3%18.3%
6M Rtn49.6%32.9%31.4%110.6%45.5%45.5%
12M Rtn51.0%-21.6%50.8%58.1%14.7%50.8%
3Y Rtn278.8%2,738.5%8.9%247.2%107.3%247.2%
1M Excs Rtn-11.0%-1.4%11.1%-7.5%1.9%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn12.2%16.6%12.7%9.5%17.2%12.7%
6M Excs Rtn34.9%18.1%16.7%95.8%30.7%30.7%
12M Excs Rtn37.3%-38.7%36.3%42.3%-3.2%36.3%
3Y Excs Rtn219.0%2,665.7%-57.5%185.9%45.7%185.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Uranium2,1531,4801,0551,4161,414
WEC521    
Fuel services426365404377370
Other92316779
Adjustments-521    
Total2,5881,8681,4751,8001,863


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,975,408
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-17.3%
Average Daily Volume4,901,784
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.42
Basic Shares Quantity435,390,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110520256-K 9/30/2025
630202573120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550120256-K 3/31/2025
12312024321202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202473120246-K 6/30/2024
331202443020246-K 3/31/2024
12312023322202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023103120236-K 9/30/2023
630202380220236-K 6/30/2023
331202342820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022329202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022102720226-K 9/30/2022
630202272720226-K 6/30/2022
331202250520226-K 3/31/2022
12312021322202240-F 12/31/2021