Cameco (CCJ)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $87.05 | Market Cap: $37.9 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Cameco (CCJ)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $87.05Market Cap: $37.9 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Coal & Consumable Fuels
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 94% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Datacenter Power, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Nuclear Power Generation Fuel, Show more. | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
| Key risksCCJ key risks include [1] operational and supply chain disruptions at its key Inkai and McArthur River mines and [2] the potential impact of U.S. Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, Datacenter Power, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Nuclear Power Generation Fuel, Show more. |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 94% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7% |
| Key risksCCJ key risks include [1] operational and supply chain disruptions at its key Inkai and McArthur River mines and [2] the potential impact of U.S. Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CCJ Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Cameco's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025:
1. Transformational Partnership with U.S. Government and Brookfield: On October 28, 2025, Cameco announced a transformational partnership with the United States Government and Brookfield to accelerate the deployment of Westinghouse nuclear reactors, involving at least $80 billion in construction for new reactors. This collaboration, which includes the U.S. government receiving 20% of cash distributions from Westinghouse exceeding $17.5 billion, significantly bolstered investor confidence in Cameco's strategic importance and future growth prospects in the nuclear energy sector.
2. Doubled Annual Dividend: Cameco declared on November 5, 2025, an increase in its annual dividend to $0.24 per share, a significant jump from the previous $0.12. This enhanced dividend, payable on December 16, 2025, to shareholders of record on December 1, 2025, signaled strong financial health and a commitment to returning value to shareholders.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CCJ Return | 51% | 63% | 4% | 90% | 19% | 75% | 928% |
| Peers Return | 77% | 64% | 1% | 45% | 4% | 78% | 685% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CCJ Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 75% | 58% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 62% | 45% | 63% | 55% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CCJ Max Drawdown | -38% | -8% | -16% | -1% | -14% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -10% | -25% | -20% | -24% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: UEC, UUUU, NXE, DNN, BWXT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CCJ | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 53.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 396 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 72.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1138 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 370.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5809 days | 1480 days |
Compare to EU, NC, CCJ, UEC, NXE
In The Past
Cameco's stock fell -34.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/13/2022. A -34.8% loss requires a 53.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can Cameco Stock Really Go? | Return | |
| Fundamental Metrics: ... |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CCJ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.7% | 8.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 30.1% | 30.1% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -5.7% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | WHD | Cactus | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.1% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.7% | 8.7% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 30.1% | 30.1% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cameco
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.11 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| Rev LTM | 64 |
| Op Inc LTM | -80 |
| FCF LTM | -91 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -58 |
| CFO LTM | -50 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -41 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 30.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 28.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -129.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -42.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -138.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -34.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -183.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -77.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.5 |
| P/S | 45.4 |
| P/EBIT | -12.5 |
| P/E | -14.0 |
| P/CFO | -34.5 |
| Total Yield | -2.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 34.1% |
| 12M Rtn | 50.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 169.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 20.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 33.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 96.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 6-K 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3212025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3222024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3292023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 6-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7272022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3222022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |