Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.6%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 113%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 156%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 38%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include EV Manufacturing, Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.6%, Dist 3Y High is -0.6%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 113%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 156%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -16%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 77%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TGB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Taseko Mines (TGB) experienced a notable increase in its stock price, moving by approximately 61% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. This significant upward trend can be attributed to several key developments during this period.

1. Significant Surge in Copper Prices. Global copper prices demonstrated a robust rally during this period. Copper futures were near $5.3 per pound by December 4, 2025, marking their highest level in four months and representing a 13% increase since late August, with a 34% year-to-date gain. This surge was driven by tight supply, elevated premiums, and expectations of continued strong demand due to electrification trends and constrained mine supply.

2. Major Progress and Anticipated Production at Florence Copper Project. Taseko's Florence Copper project achieved significant milestones. By August 2025, construction of the commercial production facility was over 90% complete, with initial copper cathode production expected by early 2026. Wellfield operations commenced in mid-October 2025, and the first solutions were injected in early November, bringing the project very close to initial cathode production. This progress de-risked the project and signaled future production growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TGB Return175%55%-28%-5%39%164%967%
Peers Return33%37%-9%14%1%66%220%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TGB Win Rate67%50%42%42%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate42%38%52%50%45%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TGB Max Drawdown-54%-14%-56%-27%-9%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-47%-7%-33%-13%-17%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SCCO, FCX, HBM, ERO, IE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTGBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven187.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven655 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-63.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven176.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven513.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven620 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-91.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1033.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven657 days1480 days

Compare to SCCO, FCX, HBM, ERO, IE


In The Past

Taseko Mines's stock fell -65.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/11/2021. A -65.3% loss requires a 187.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Taseko Mines (TGB)

Better Bets than Taseko Mines (TGB)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TGB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Taseko Mines

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TGBSCCOFCXHBMEROIEMedian
NameTaseko M.Southern.Freeport.Hudbay M.Ero Copp.Ivanhoe . 
Mkt Price5.25138.5944.5317.3925.2114.8721.30
Mkt Cap1.7114.064.06.92.62.04.7
Rev LTM57912,33526,0022,20258841,395
Op Inc LTM466,1996,934592178-103385
FCF LTM763,4801,62536043-98218
FCF 3Y Avg493,0351,419255-161-173152
CFO LTM2204,6186,353773327-94550
CFO 3Y Avg1594,1126,142596203-138399

Growth & Margins

TGBSCCOFCXHBMEROIEMedian
NameTaseko M.Southern.Freeport.Hudbay M.Ero Copp.Ivanhoe . 
Rev Chg LTM-0.6%12.7%1.4%8.3%26.7%13.6%10.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.5%7.1%4.1%16.2%10.5%-9.4%8.8%
Rev Chg Q-15.7%15.2%2.7%26.1%41.9%-18.8%9.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.6%3.8%0.7%5.3%9.7%-3.3%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM7.9%50.3%26.7%26.9%30.3%-2,808.9%26.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg14.5%47.3%27.3%18.2%24.8%-5,293.0%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.3%0.8%-0.1%3.7%-2.3%386.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM38.1%37.4%24.4%35.1%55.6%-2,559.8%36.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg29.0%36.6%24.7%31.8%39.7%-4,572.1%30.4%
FCF/Rev LTM13.1%28.2%6.2%16.4%7.2%-2,659.9%10.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%27.0%5.6%12.5%-37.1%-5,843.2%6.7%

Valuation

TGBSCCOFCXHBMEROIEMedian
NameTaseko M.Southern.Freeport.Hudbay M.Ero Copp.Ivanhoe . 
Mkt Cap1.7114.064.06.92.62.04.7
P/S1.78.12.21.93.6453.32.9
P/EBIT37.615.77.96.911.5-30.09.7
P/E-35.426.127.214.515.2-30.314.9
P/CFO4.521.68.95.46.4-17.75.9
Total Yield-2.8%6.1%5.2%7.0%6.6%-3.3%5.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.3%1.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.0%3.8%2.3%7.6%-8.7%-14.6%3.0%
D/E0.80.10.20.30.30.00.2
Net D/E0.70.00.10.10.30.00.1

Returns

TGBSCCOFCXHBMEROIEMedian
NameTaseko M.Southern.Freeport.Hudbay M.Ero Copp.Ivanhoe . 
1M Rtn17.2%0.9%8.1%9.9%22.3%10.7%10.3%
3M Rtn54.4%38.2%-3.3%39.7%69.7%70.9%47.0%
6M Rtn112.6%50.0%9.7%85.7%58.6%93.9%72.2%
12M Rtn156.1%40.9%3.1%95.3%64.7%63.9%64.3%
3Y Rtn262.1%150.7%15.2%199.3%92.3%25.8%121.5%
1M Excs Rtn17.2%0.9%8.2%9.9%22.4%10.8%10.3%
3M Excs Rtn50.9%33.0%-8.3%34.9%66.4%62.3%42.9%
6M Excs Rtn97.8%35.3%-5.0%71.0%43.8%79.2%57.4%
12M Excs Rtn141.3%28.7%-11.3%81.3%52.1%42.8%47.5%
3Y Excs Rtn243.9%96.8%-44.8%155.1%47.6%-21.8%72.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment525    
Copper contained in concentrate 381402332321
Copper price adjustments on settlement -589 
Molybdenum concentrate 20291931
Molybdenum price adjustments on settlement 430 
Silver 5554
Treatment and refining costs -13-13-22-26
Price adjustments on settlement receivables    -0
Total525392433343329


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,303,222
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202520.0%
Average Daily Volume5,759,264
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.27
Basic Shares Quantity315,992,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202580720256-K 6/30/2025
331202550220256-K 3/31/2025
12312024328202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110720246-K 9/30/2024
630202480120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450220246-K 3/31/2024
12312023328202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110220236-K 9/30/2023
630202380220236-K 6/30/2023
331202350420236-K 3/31/2023
12312022331202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110420226-K 9/30/2022
630202280920226-K 6/30/2022
331202250520226-K 3/31/2022
12312021331202240-F 12/31/2021
9302021110320216-K 9/30/2021