Tearsheet

Smith-Midland (SMID)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.6 | Market Cap: $188.9 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Construction Materials

Smith-Midland (SMID)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $35.6
Market Cap: $188.9 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Construction Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.09
 
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -19%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.09
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SMID Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why Smith-Midland (SMID) stock moved negatively during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Overall Stock Price Decline in 2025

Smith-Midland's stock price experienced a significant decline of 21.92% throughout 2025, establishing a broader negative trend that encompassed the specified period. 2. Bearish Market Sentiment and Technical Indicators

As of early December 2025, the prevailing market sentiment for SMID was bearish, with numerous technical analysis indicators signaling sell rather than buy, and the Fear & Greed Index reflecting "Fear."

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SMID Return57%397%-56%93%13%-23%473%
Peers Return16%46%-28%66%11%3%132%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMID Win Rate33%75%25%58%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate67%73%35%65%58%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMID Max Drawdown-26%-2%-72%-29%-35%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-3%-40%-3%-7%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JHX, CRH, VMC, MLM, EXP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSMIDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-72.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven261.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven875 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven244 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-39.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven369 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven188.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days1480 days

Compare to JHX, CRH, VMC, MLM, EXP


In The Past

Smith-Midland's stock fell -72.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/28/2021. A -72.4% loss requires a 261.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Smith-Midland (SMID)

Better Bets than Smith-Midland (SMID)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SMID. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Smith-Midland

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SMIDJHXCRHVMCMLMEXPMedian
NameSmith-Mi.James Ha.CRH Vulcan M.Martin M.Eagle Ma. 
Mkt Price35.5919.74121.36292.59615.87224.01172.69
Mkt Cap0.28.581.638.737.17.222.8
Rev LTM913,78636,9017,8827,2962,3025,541
Op Inc LTM167945,1081,5851,7395851,189
FCF LTM04292,6051,0551,007244718
FCF 3Y Avg-1329-828764376376
CFO LTM68255,4401,7101,8425241,267
CFO 3Y Avg4793-1,5391,524565793

Growth & Margins

SMIDJHXCRHVMCMLMEXPMedian
NameSmith-Mi.James Ha.CRH Vulcan M.Martin M.Eagle Ma. 
Rev Chg LTM33.0%-4.7%4.3%6.5%16.5%1.5%5.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.0%0.2%5.7%3.2%6.1%4.1%4.9%
Rev Chg Q33.3%-9.3%5.3%14.4%12.4%2.5%8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.8%-2.4%1.5%3.8%2.9%0.7%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM17.2%21.0%13.8%20.1%23.8%25.4%20.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.1%22.1%12.9%18.4%29.5%27.1%20.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%-1.2%0.1%0.8%0.7%-0.5%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM6.2%21.8%14.7%21.7%25.2%22.8%21.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%20.7%-20.1%22.5%25.0%20.7%
FCF/Rev LTM0.5%11.3%7.1%13.4%13.8%10.6%11.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.9%8.5%-10.8%11.2%16.7%10.8%

Valuation

SMIDJHXCRHVMCMLMEXPMedian
NameSmith-Mi.James Ha.CRH Vulcan M.Martin M.Eagle Ma. 
Mkt Cap0.28.581.638.737.17.222.8
P/S2.03.12.25.25.23.33.2
P/EBIT11.320.615.324.621.712.317.9
P/E14.834.923.336.333.016.828.2
P/CFO31.614.014.823.820.614.417.7
Total Yield6.8%2.9%4.6%3.4%3.0%6.2%4.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.3%0.6%0.0%0.2%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.2%2.7%-2.5%2.4%5.1%2.5%
D/E0.00.20.30.10.20.20.2
Net D/E-0.00.20.20.10.20.20.2

Returns

SMIDJHXCRHVMCMLMEXPMedian
NameSmith-Mi.James Ha.CRH Vulcan M.Martin M.Eagle Ma. 
1M Rtn-2.9%-3.5%2.9%1.4%-0.4%8.8%0.5%
3M Rtn-12.0%1.8%8.8%1.7%0.9%0.1%1.3%
6M Rtn21.3%-22.8%34.4%10.3%12.4%11.7%12.1%
12M Rtn-22.5%-46.1%20.1%2.9%5.2%-25.6%-9.8%
3Y Rtn63.4%-6.0%233.2%62.3%71.4%66.5%64.9%
1M Excs Rtn-2.8%-3.4%2.9%1.4%-0.4%8.9%0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-19.3%-4.3%3.8%-5.1%-5.7%-8.9%-5.4%
6M Excs Rtn6.6%-37.5%19.7%-4.4%-2.4%-3.0%-2.7%
12M Excs Rtn-41.1%-60.4%6.9%-11.2%-10.2%-40.7%-26.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-19.1%-70.7%160.4%-6.2%2.0%-1.3%-3.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Shipping and Installation Revenue121310910
Barrier Sales87569
Soundwall Sales84878
Miscellaneous Wall Sales63232
Barrier Rentals671072
Slenderwall Sales51215
Easi-Set and Easi-Span Building Sales54336
Utility Sales32212
Miscellaneous Sales32121
Royalty Income32222
Architectural Sales14541
Total6050514447


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity166,761
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.8%
Average Daily Volume11,839
Days-to-Cover Short Interest14.09
Basic Shares Quantity5,305,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025710202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024527202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024611202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023523202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
63020231011202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022417202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021