Tearsheet

Nutrien (NTR)


Market Price (3/21/2026): $74.2 | Market Cap: $35.8 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Nutrien (NTR)


Market Price (3/21/2026): $74.2
Market Cap: $35.8 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 5.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil
  Key risks
NTR key risks include [1] potential financial distress indicated by its Altman Z-Score and considerable debt levels, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.3%, FCF Yield is 5.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, CFO LTM is 4.0 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%
6 Key risks
NTR key risks include [1] potential financial distress indicated by its Altman Z-Score and considerable debt levels, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Nutrien (NTR) stock has gained about 30% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Global Fertilizer Market and Geopolitical Factors Elevated Fertilizer Prices. Potash prices, for instance, were up 16.86% year-over-year by February 2026, with global spot values around $350-$360 per metric ton, approximately 21% higher than in 2024. All eight major retail fertilizer prices increased in March 2026, with UAN28 seeing a 13% jump and urea rising 12% compared to the previous month, while UAN28, urea, anhydrous, and UAN32 all saw year-over-year increases of 23% or more compared to 2025 levels. This upward trend was significantly influenced by robust demand, tightened supply (e.g., China's indication of no urea exports until August 2026), and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which constrained shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical corridor for fertilizer inputs.

2. Robust Company Performance and Cost Management. Nutrien demonstrated strong operational execution in 2025, achieving record fertilizer sales volumes of 27.5 million tonnes. The company's adjusted EBITDA increased by 13% to $6.05 billion for the full year 2025. Furthermore, Nutrien surpassed its annual cost savings target of $200 million and reduced capital expenditures to $2 billion, showcasing effective cost control and financial discipline.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 29.6% change in NTR stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 24.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)113020253202026Change
Stock Price ($)57.6674.7329.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)26,62426,8851.0%
Net Income Margin (%)6.8%8.4%24.1%
P/E Multiple15.515.92.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4864830.5%
Cumulative Contribution29.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTR29.6% 
Market (SPY)-4.8%-8.1%
Sector (XLB)5.1%40.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 32.1% change in NTR stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 60.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120253202026Change
Stock Price ($)56.5974.7332.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)25,96526,8853.5%
Net Income Margin (%)5.2%8.4%60.6%
P/E Multiple20.215.9-21.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4874830.9%
Cumulative Contribution32.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTR32.1% 
Market (SPY)1.1%8.4%
Sector (XLB)2.3%40.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 48.3% change in NTR stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 224.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820253202026Change
Stock Price ($)50.3974.7348.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)25,97226,8853.5%
Net Income Margin (%)2.6%8.4%224.9%
P/E Multiple36.815.9-56.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4934832.0%
Cumulative Contribution48.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTR48.3% 
Market (SPY)10.4%19.2%
Sector (XLB)7.4%39.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.1% change in NTR stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026 was primarily driven by a 244.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233202026Change
Stock Price ($)68.5274.739.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)37,88426,885-29.0%
Net Income Margin (%)20.2%8.4%-58.3%
P/E Multiple4.615.9244.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5174836.9%
Cumulative Contribution9.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
NTR9.1% 
Market (SPY)70.3%26.3%
Sector (XLB)21.1%46.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
NTR Return62%-1%-20%-16%43%23%90%
Peers Return46%8%-22%1%-8%19%36%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-3%76%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NTR Win Rate75%42%33%42%67%100% 
Peers Win Rate56%58%42%54%46%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NTR Max Drawdown0%-9%-27%-18%0%-4% 
Peers Max Drawdown-8%-14%-38%-17%-24%-5% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-3% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CF, FMC, IPI, NXTS, CTVA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/20/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventNTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven117.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven252 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven812 days120 days

Compare to CF, FMC, IPI, NXTS, CTVA

In The Past

Nutrien's stock fell -54.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -54.0% loss requires a 117.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Nutrien (NTR)

Nutrien Ltd. provides crop inputs and services. It offers potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate products; and financial solutions. The company also distributes crop nutrients, crop protection products, seeds, and merchandise products through approximately 2,000 retail locations in the United States, Canada, South America, and Australia. In addition, it provides services directly to growers through a network of farm centers in North America, South America, and Australia. The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Nutrien (NTR):

  • The Home Depot for agriculture.
  • The Amazon of farm supplies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Products and Services of Nutrien (NTR)

  • Potash products: Fertilizers rich in potassium essential for plant growth.
  • Nitrogen products: Fertilizers containing nitrogen, a key nutrient for crop development.
  • Phosphate products: Fertilizers supplying phosphorus, important for root development and flowering.
  • Sulfate products: Fertilizers providing sulfur, crucial for protein synthesis and enzyme functions in plants.
  • Crop protection products: Products such as herbicides, insecticides, and fungicides designed to protect crops.
  • Seeds: A variety of agricultural seeds for planting diverse crops.
  • Merchandise products: General agricultural supplies and goods sold through retail channels.
  • Financial solutions: Services providing financing and other monetary support to growers.
  • Retail distribution of agricultural inputs: The service of distributing crop nutrients, crop protection products, seeds, and merchandise through a network of farm centers directly to growers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Nutrien (NTR) primarily sells its crop inputs, services, and products directly to individual farmers and farming businesses (referred to as "growers") through its extensive network of approximately 2,000 retail locations and farm centers.

The major customer categories served by Nutrien are:

  • Farmers/Growers in North America
  • Farmers/Growers in South America
  • Farmers/Growers in Australia

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Nutrien's management team comprises experienced individuals with diverse backgrounds in the agriculture, mining, and energy sectors. The team is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

Ken Seitz, President and Chief Executive Officer

Ken Seitz was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Nutrien in August 2022, after serving as interim CEO since January 2022. He joined Nutrien in 2019 as Executive Vice President and CEO of Potash. Mr. Seitz brings over 25 years of global management experience in the agriculture and mining sectors, spanning more than 60 countries. Prior to joining Nutrien, he was the President and CEO of Canpotex, one of the world's largest suppliers of Potash. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Agriculture, a Bachelor of Engineering, and a Master of Business Administration from the University of Saskatchewan. He is also a Professional Engineer and a Professional Agrologist.

Mark Thompson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Mark Thompson assumed the role of Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer on August 26, 2024. He has been with Nutrien since 2011, working across all of the company's businesses. Mr. Thompson has held numerous executive and senior leadership positions within Nutrien, including Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer, Executive Vice President and Chief Strategy & Sustainability Officer, Executive Vice President and Chief Corporate Development & Strategy Officer, and Vice President of Business Development for Nutrien's Retail business. He holds Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) and Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA) designations, and the SASB Fundamentals of Sustainability Accounting (FSA) credential. Mr. Thompson earned Bachelor's degrees in Commerce (Finance) and Arts (Sociology) from the University of Saskatchewan. He is also a member of the Board of Directors at Canpotex Ltd. and the Finance Committee for the International Fertilizer Association (IFA).

Noralee Bradley, Executive Vice President, External Affairs, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary

Noralee Bradley serves as Nutrien's Executive Vice President, External Affairs, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary. She joined Nutrien in 2019, bringing extensive experience in legal, corporate governance, and external affairs. Prior to Nutrien, she held various senior legal roles, including General Counsel and Corporate Secretary at Agrium Inc., one of Nutrien's predecessor companies. Her background includes advising public companies on a wide range of legal and strategic matters.

Andy Kelemen, Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Chief Strategy Officer

Andy Kelemen is the Executive Vice President, Corporate Development and Chief Strategy Officer at Nutrien. He previously served as Senior Vice President of Corporate Development at Agrium Inc. before the merger that formed Nutrien. His career includes significant experience in mergers and acquisitions, business development, and strategic planning within the agriculture and chemical industries.

Sarah Walters, Executive Vice President, IT and Chief People Officer

Sarah Walters joined Nutrien in 2024 as Executive Vice President, IT and Chief People Officer. In this role, she is responsible for advancing the company's people, culture, information technology, and AI capabilities. Before joining Nutrien, Ms. Walters was the Senior Vice President of HR & Shared Services at KCA Deutag, an international oil and gas services company. She has over 20 years of experience in the energy sector in North America, including serving as Executive Vice-President, Corporate Services at Cenovus Energy from 2017 to 2022, where she played a key role in the successful integration of the Husky Energy merger. Ms. Walters also held senior HR leadership roles at Talisman Energy and ConocoPhillips and began her HR career at British Rail.

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Key Risks to Nutrien's Business

  1. Fluctuating Commodity Prices: Nutrien's profitability and financial performance are significantly exposed to the volatility of global commodity prices for key products like potash, nitrogen, and phosphate. Fertilizer prices experienced a decline in 2023 and 2024, which impacted profitability. The fertilizer market is cyclical, meaning margins fluctuate with these prices, posing a constant threat to the company's financial health.
  2. Antitrust Investigation: The U.S. Department of Justice is currently investigating major fertilizer producers, including Nutrien, over potential coordinated pricing practices in the U.S. nitrogen market. This early-stage probe introduces additional legal, regulatory, and reputational risks for the company.
  3. Geopolitical Tensions and Supply Chain Disruptions: Nutrien faces risks stemming from geopolitical tensions and high production costs that impact global supply chains. Export challenges, particularly from major fertilizer-producing nations like Russia and Belarus, have materially affected global supplies and trade flows, contributing to market volatility.

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The widespread emergence and adoption of advanced biological solutions that enhance nutrient uptake and fixation in crops, particularly microbial inoculants for nitrogen fixation, pose a clear emerging threat. These solutions offer alternatives to traditional synthetic fertilizers, potentially reducing the overall demand for the bulk fertilizer products that constitute a significant portion of Nutrien's business. Ag-biotech companies are actively developing and commercializing these products, demonstrating their viability and increasing efficacy.

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Nutrien (NTR) operates in several significant addressable markets for its main products and services:

  • Potash: The global potash market size was estimated at USD 62.37 billion in 2024 and USD 66.11 billion in 2025. It is projected to increase to approximately USD 106.09 billion by 2035.
  • Nitrogen Fertilizers: The global nitrogenous fertilizer market size was valued at approximately USD 128.06 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach around USD 223.35 billion by 2034. In 2024, the Asia Pacific nitrogenous fertilizer market size surpassed USD 86.21 billion. The U.S. Nitrogenous Fertilizer Market is projected to hit USD 14.90 billion by 2035.
  • Phosphate Fertilizers: The global phosphate fertilizer market size was estimated at USD 71.61 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 176.06 billion by 2040. The Asia Pacific region dominated the phosphate fertilizer market with a 61.3% revenue share in 2025.
  • Sulfate Products:
    • Global Sulfur Fertilizer Market: This market generated a revenue of USD 4.74 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 5.44 billion by 2030. North America accounted for 26.8% of the global sulfur fertilizer market revenue in 2023.
    • Global Ammonium Sulfate Market: This market was approximately USD 3.4 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach around USD 6.6 billion by 2034. The Asia Pacific (APAC) region held a dominant share of 39.40% (approximately USD 1.3 billion) in 2024, and Europe held around 25% in 2024.
    • Global Potassium Sulfate Market: This market is valued at USD 5.7 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 9.2 billion by 2036.
  • Crop Protection Products: The global crop protection products market size was valued at USD 83.86 billion in 2024 and USD 67.18 billion in 2025. It is expected to reach USD 121.47 billion by 2032. North America dominated this market with a 38.5% revenue share in 2024. The U.S. market is projected to reach USD 11.14 billion by 2032. Asia Pacific held a 29.20% market share in 2025. Latin America dominated the global market, accounting for a 32.0% value share in 2025.
  • Seeds: The global commercial seeds market size was valued at USD 85.42 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 138.32 billion by 2030. North America accounted for the largest global revenue share of 33.5% in 2024.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Nutrien (NTR) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Strong Potash Market Fundamentals and Increased Sales Volumes: Nutrien anticipates continued robust demand for potash, projecting global potash shipments to grow for the fourth consecutive year in 2026. This growth is supported by favorable affordability, the need for nutrient replenishment, and low inventory levels in key markets. Nutrien is targeting potash sales volume growth of approximately 2.0 to 3.0 million tonnes by 2026, compared to 2023 levels.
  2. Higher Retail Earnings and Proprietary Products Growth: The company is focused on increasing its retail earnings, with a 2026 Retail adjusted EBITDA guidance of $1.75 to $1.95 billion. A significant contributor to this growth is the expected high-single digit growth in proprietary products gross margins. Additionally, Nutrien is optimizing its downstream retail network through modernization and consolidation in North America and a targeted margin improvement plan in Brazil, including the development of digital fulfillment hubs to enhance proprietary product sales.
  3. Improved Nitrogen Margin Profile and Capacity Expansion: Nutrien expects an improved nitrogen margin profile to be a key driver of growth. The company's Geismar clean ammonia project is progressing, which will add significant nitrogen capacity and serve both traditional fertilizer markets and the emerging low-carbon fuel sector, diversifying revenue streams.
  4. Strategic Retail Expansion and Acquisitions in Key Markets: Nutrien plans targeted bolt-on retail acquisitions in North America and Australia to expand its service footprint and market penetration. In South America, specifically Brazil, the company is integrating recent acquisitions under a unified retail brand to capture a larger market share in the top global soybean and corn regions.
  5. Operational Efficiencies and Cost Reduction Initiatives: Nutrien has demonstrated a strong focus on operational improvements and cost management. In 2025, the company surpassed its annual cost savings target of $200 million and reduced capital expenditures. Continued emphasis on maintaining a low-cost position, enhancing reliability in upstream production through automation in potash operations, and implementing energy efficiency programs in nitrogen are expected to contribute to improved earnings and revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • In 2025, Nutrien repurchased approximately 2% of its outstanding shares, totaling $551 million.
  • For 2026, Nutrien's Board of Directors approved a normal course issuer bid (NCIB) to repurchase up to 5% of its outstanding common shares over a twelve-month period, which commenced on March 3, 2026.
  • Nutrien repurchased 53 million shares in 2022 and an additional 8 million shares in early 2023, completing its normal course issuer bid. Under a prior program, Nutrien repurchased 8,708,901 common shares for $510,031,461 through February 17, 2026.

Outbound Investments

  • Nutrien completed the sale of its 50% equity position in Argentina-based nitrogen producer Profertil S.A. for approximately $600 million in 2025.
  • Since the fourth quarter of 2024, Nutrien has generated approximately $900 million in gross proceeds from asset sales, including equity interests in Profertil and Sinofert.
  • In 2022, Nutrien expanded its Retail network by completing 21 acquisitions in Brazil, the US, and Australia, for a total investment of approximately $400 million.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures declined to $2,005 million in 2025, which was below its target range of $2.2 to $2.3 billion.
  • For fiscal year 2026, Nutrien plans capital expenditures of $2.0 billion to $2.1 billion.
  • Approximately $400 million of the 2026 capital expenditures are growth investments focused on proprietary products, network optimization, digital capabilities in Retail, low-cost brownfield expansions and product optimization projects in Nitrogen, and mine automation in Potash.

Better Bets vs. Nutrien (NTR)

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

NTRCFFMCIPINXTSCTVAMedian
NameNutrien CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Nexentis.Corteva  
Mkt Price74.73124.9013.0938.760.7177.3356.75
Mkt Cap36.119.51.60.5-52.219.5
Rev LTM26,8857,0843,467298017,4015,276
Op Inc LTM3,8662,37533211-42,6311,354
FCF LTM2,0021,801-17626-32,815913
FCF 3Y Avg1,9501,528-3112-41,846770
CFO LTM4,0072,752-8056-33,4061,404
CFO 3Y Avg4,2032,5936857-42,4401,254

Growth & Margins

NTRCFFMCIPINXTSCTVAMedian
NameNutrien CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Nexentis.Corteva  
Rev Chg LTM3.5%19.3%-18.3%17.1%-19.8%2.9%3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.1%-10.6%-15.5%-3.0%-21.0%-0.1%-10.4%
Rev Chg Q5.1%22.8%-11.5%36.0%33.8%-1.7%14.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%5.2%-3.9%7.2%20.3%-0.4%3.1%
Op Mgn LTM14.4%33.5%9.6%3.8%-2,107.1%15.1%12.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.0%32.1%14.6%0.3%-2,150.0%13.4%13.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%2.4%-2.4%1.3%902.4%-0.4%1.1%
CFO/Rev LTM14.9%38.8%-2.3%18.7%-1,620.4%19.6%16.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.3%39.6%1.6%20.9%-1,381.2%14.2%14.7%
FCF/Rev LTM7.4%25.4%-5.1%8.6%-1,620.4%16.2%8.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.1%23.5%-0.8%4.6%-1,385.6%10.7%5.9%

Valuation

NTRCFFMCIPINXTSCTVAMedian
NameNutrien CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Nexentis.Corteva  
Mkt Cap36.119.51.60.5-52.219.5
P/S1.32.70.51.7-3.01.7
P/EBIT9.68.2-1.044.5-27.99.6
P/E15.913.4-0.745.5-47.715.9
P/CFO9.07.1-20.49.1-15.39.0
Total Yield9.2%9.2%-127.7%2.2%-2.8%2.8%
Dividend Yield2.9%1.7%8.9%0.0%-0.7%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.3%11.2%-2.3%3.9%-4.6%4.6%
D/E0.30.22.60.0-0.00.2
Net D/E0.30.12.2-0.2--0.00.1

Returns

NTRCFFMCIPINXTSCTVAMedian
NameNutrien CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Nexentis.Corteva  
1M Rtn6.3%30.3%-9.6%15.7%-23.8%1.2%3.8%
3M Rtn21.0%59.6%-1.2%44.0%-23.8%16.9%19.0%
6M Rtn34.4%48.4%-63.0%37.2%-23.8%9.7%22.0%
12M Rtn48.1%66.2%-67.4%33.7%-23.8%26.3%30.0%
3Y Rtn12.8%79.4%-87.9%45.1%-23.8%36.6%24.7%
1M Excs Rtn9.3%30.8%-6.7%20.7%-18.6%5.8%7.5%
3M Excs Rtn22.3%62.1%-1.3%47.5%-20.6%19.9%21.1%
6M Excs Rtn37.2%52.1%-62.1%37.2%-21.9%11.9%24.5%
12M Excs Rtn33.7%50.5%-82.8%18.2%-38.5%10.4%14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.9%17.7%-154.5%-23.6%-91.0%-26.5%-38.7%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail22,14923,05624,45122,38720,526
Potash13,79213,57113,92113,14811,707
Nitrogen11,60311,46611,80711,09310,077
Corporate and Others2,5712,8182,6222,2663,917
Phosphate2,4532,4382,6611,6991,388
Eliminations-728-600-876-639-423
Total51,84052,74954,58649,95447,192


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$74.73 
Market Cap ($ Bil)36.3 
First Trading Date01/02/2018 
Distance from 52W High-11.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$71.55$61.39
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA4.4%21.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility38.1%30.5%
Downside Capture-74.69-3.45
Upside Capture26.6438.13
Correlation (SPY)-7.9%16.8%
NTR Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.720.16-0.080.440.340.55
Up Beta0.46-0.27-0.44-0.030.330.46
Down Beta3.211.230.260.690.460.53
Up Capture43%61%73%82%35%25%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days13243469143382
Down Capture-31%-119%-114%13%13%86%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days8172654107364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTR
NTR48.6%30.5%1.31-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.4%20.8%0.3337.2%
Equity (SPY)15.8%18.9%0.6417.1%
Gold (GLD)48.2%27.0%1.4529.4%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.4%0.8337.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.0%16.4%-0.1117.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.0%44.2%-0.3512.6%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTR
NTR8.9%33.8%0.32-
Sector ETF (XLB)5.6%18.9%0.2048.1%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5432.2%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.5%0.9720.8%
Commodities (DBC)10.9%19.0%0.4638.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%18.8%0.0629.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.7%56.7%0.3012.9%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with NTR
NTR6.3%33.9%0.31-
Sector ETF (XLB)9.9%20.6%0.4358.3%
Equity (SPY)14.2%17.9%0.6846.4%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.7%0.7013.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%17.6%0.3940.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2140.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.9%66.8%1.0615.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date2272026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2152026-0.4%
Average Daily Volume2.7 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity483.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/27/202640-F
09/30/202511/06/20256-K
06/30/202508/07/20256-K
03/31/202505/08/20256-K
12/31/202402/28/202540-F
09/30/202411/07/20246-K
06/30/202408/08/20246-K
03/31/202405/09/20246-K
12/31/202303/01/202440-F
09/30/202311/01/20236-K
06/30/202308/03/20236-K
03/31/202305/11/20236-K
12/31/202202/24/202340-F
09/30/202211/03/20226-K
06/30/202208/04/20226-K
03/31/202205/03/20226-K