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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 194%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 40%
  Key risks
KGC key risks include [1] operational headwinds leading to higher all-in sustaining costs and [2] potential permitting delays for significant development projects, Show more.
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals & Global Resources. Themes include Gold Mining & Production, and Sustainable Mining Practices.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 7.4%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 40%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 52%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.2 Bil
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precious Metals & Global Resources. Themes include Gold Mining & Production, and Sustainable Mining Practices.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%, Dist 3Y High is -2.1%
7 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 194%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%
9 Key risks
KGC key risks include [1] operational headwinds leading to higher all-in sustaining costs and [2] potential permitting delays for significant development projects, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KGC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Kinross Gold (KGC) experienced a 33.9% stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors:

1. Significant Increase in Gold Prices: The price of gold saw a substantial rise during this period, reaching an all-time high of $4,381.58 per troy ounce in October 2025 and maintaining elevated levels through December 2025, climbing from around $3,447.73 per ounce at the end of August 2025 to $4,332.45 per ounce by December 18, 2025. This sustained increase provided a strong tailwind for Kinross Gold, a major gold producer.

2. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Kinross Gold reported robust results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, including a record free cash flow of approximately $700 million and an increase in margins by 54% to $2,310 per gold equivalent ounce sold compared to Q3 2024. The company's reported earnings of $0.48 per share and adjusted net earnings of $0.44 per share, along with revenue of $1.82 billion, surpassed analyst consensus estimates.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KGC Return56%-19%-28%52%56%202%551%
Peers Return99%44%-0%-3%10%102%516%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KGC Win Rate42%42%25%75%67%75% 
Peers Win Rate58%50%56%58%50%78% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KGC Max Drawdown-27%-30%-46%-16%-21%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-13%-28%-22%-21%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEM, GOLD, AEM. See KGC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKGCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-62.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven167.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven713 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-41.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven31 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-50.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven101.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven267 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-71.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven250.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven6,197 days1,480 days

Compare to NEM, FCX, HL, AEM, B


In The Past

Kinross Gold's stock fell -62.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -62.6% loss requires a 167.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Kinross Gold (KGC)

Better Bets than Kinross Gold (KGC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KGC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Kinross Gold

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KGCNEMGOLDAEMMedian
NameKinross .Newmont Gold.com Agnico E. 
Mkt Price27.9499.4532.70167.5166.08
Mkt Cap34.0109.10.684.159.0
Rev LTM6,44421,50311,94410,56811,256
Op Inc LTM2,6089,359425,2233,916
FCF LTM2,2416,1224633,6452,943
FCF 3Y Avg1,2742,636202,0411,658
CFO LTM3,3489,2244755,8374,593
CFO 3Y Avg2,3805,616333,8833,131

Growth & Margins

KGCNEMGOLDAEMMedian
NameKinross .Newmont Gold.com Agnico E. 
Rev Chg LTM32.9%26.6%20.3%35.2%29.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg29.5%23.9%14.5%26.0%24.9%
Rev Chg Q25.8%20.0%35.6%41.9%30.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.1%4.5%8.8%9.4%7.4%
Op Mgn LTM40.5%43.5%0.4%49.4%42.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.0%23.9%0.9%36.0%24.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%4.5%-0.1%3.6%2.7%
CFO/Rev LTM52.0%42.9%4.0%55.2%47.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg45.2%32.6%0.1%45.6%38.9%
FCF/Rev LTM34.8%28.5%3.9%34.5%31.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg23.1%13.8%-0.1%22.7%18.3%

Valuation

KGCNEMGOLDAEMMedian
NameKinross .Newmont Gold.com Agnico E. 
Mkt Cap34.0109.10.684.159.0
P/S4.74.30.18.04.5
P/EBIT11.38.9-16.211.3
P/E17.212.986.424.620.9
P/CFO9.010.01.314.59.5
Total Yield6.3%9.0%2.7%4.9%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.5%1.2%1.5%0.8%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.8%3.6%-3.9%3.9%
D/E0.00.1-0.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0--0.0-0.0

Returns

KGCNEMGOLDAEMMedian
NameKinross .Newmont Gold.com Agnico E. 
1M Rtn12.2%14.5%29.9%1.8%13.4%
3M Rtn24.6%26.7%24.2%9.6%24.4%
6M Rtn80.6%71.8%56.1%37.3%63.9%
12M Rtn194.2%154.1%24.0%107.6%130.8%
3Y Rtn617.7%133.8%8.5%251.5%192.6%
1M Excs Rtn11.4%13.8%29.1%1.1%12.6%
3M Excs Rtn24.3%26.0%20.0%7.4%22.2%
6M Excs Rtn68.2%59.4%43.7%24.9%51.6%
12M Excs Rtn177.1%140.4%7.8%91.6%116.0%
3Y Excs Rtn522.2%64.0%-67.0%181.5%122.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment10,543    
Tasiast3,0822,9732,9122,7002,312
Paracatu1,9731,9742,0172,2262,024
Great Bear1,4981,401   
Fort Knox1,334826750720633
Corporate and other8921,2591,5322,0761,089
Round Mountain7318271,0741,028847
La Coipa520637   
Bald Mountain513500586857862
Chirano  407430255
Discontinued operations  1,151  
Kupol   8971,053
Total21,08710,39610,42810,9339,076


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity21,286,626
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-9.2%
Average Daily Volume7,925,719
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.69
Basic Shares Quantity1,215,251,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202573020256-K 6/30/2025
331202550620256-K 3/31/2025
12312024327202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110520246-K 9/30/2024
630202473120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450820246-K 3/31/2024
12312023327202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110820236-K 9/30/2023
630202380220236-K 6/30/2023
331202351020236-K 3/31/2023
12312022331202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110920226-K 9/30/2022
630202272720226-K 6/30/2022
331202251020226-K 3/31/2022
12312021331202240-F 12/31/2021