Perpetua Resources (PPTA)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $27.485 | Market Cap: $2.9 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Precious Metals & Minerals
Perpetua Resources (PPTA)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $27.485Market Cap: $2.9 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Precious Metals & Minerals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Advanced Materials, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 112%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.7% | ||
| Key risksPPTA key risks include [1] securing the massive, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -15% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Advanced Materials, and US Energy Independence. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -50 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 112%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 124% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.7% |
| Key risksPPTA key risks include [1] securing the massive, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PPTA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the movement of Perpetua Resources (PPTA) stock by 46.3% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025:
1. Strategic Investments from Major Players: Perpetua Resources secured significant strategic equity investments totalling $255 million from Agnico Eagle Mines Limited and JPMorgan Chase. Agnico Eagle invested $180 million for a 6.5% stake, while JPMorgan Chase contributed $75 million for a 2.7% stake in the company. This substantial investment was viewed as a major vote of confidence in the Stibnite Gold Project and the company's strategy.
2. Commencement of Early Works Construction at Stibnite Gold Project: The company announced the groundbreaking for early works construction at its flagship Stibnite Gold Project in Idaho, a critical milestone towards the project's development. This followed the receipt of a Final Record of Decision from the US Forest Service and the posting of $139 million in construction-phase financial assurance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PPTA Return | -38% | 1486% | -39% | 9% | 237% | 147% | 5329% |
| Peers Return | 84% | 12% | -6% | -5% | 22% | 160% | 486% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PPTA Win Rate | 0% | 33% | 25% | 58% | 75% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 42% | 52% | 53% | 48% | 73% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PPTA Max Drawdown | -52% | 0% | -64% | -15% | -14% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -24% | -33% | -28% | -24% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEM, GOLD, AEM, CDE, HL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PPTA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -81.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 448.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 707 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 337 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 476 days | 120 days |
Compare to PLG, LODE, ELE, TFPM, PPTA
In The Past
Perpetua Resources's stock fell -81.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/16/2021. A -81.8% loss requires a 448.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PPTA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 47.0% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.2% | 24.2% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.6% | 7.6% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -3.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 47.0% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.2% | 24.2% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.6% | 4.6% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Perpetua Resources
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 12.4 |
| Rev LTM | 6,134 |
| Op Inc LTM | 440 |
| FCF LTM | 416 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 12 |
| CFO LTM | 526 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 243 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 35.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 23.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 41.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 9.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 30.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 33.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 21.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 12.4 |
| P/S | 6.8 |
| P/EBIT | 15.2 |
| P/E | 26.9 |
| P/CFO | 13.5 |
| Total Yield | 2.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 25.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 24.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 90.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 147.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 262.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 20.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 73.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 127.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 186.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8132025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11132024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3262024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | PAULSON & CO. INC. | 6162025 | Buy | 13.20 | 7,575,757 | 99,999,992 | 426,984,347 | Form | |
| 1 | Wright Michael Stephen | (See remarks (3)) | 4252025 | Sell | 13.85 | 6,500 | 90,025 | 196,601 | Form |
| 2 | Haddock Richie Darrin | 2272025 | Buy | 8.56 | 5,780 | 49,477 | 49,477 | Form | |
| 3 | Robison Chris J | 2242025 | Buy | 8.43 | 10,000 | 84,300 | 590,100 | Form | |
| 4 | Cole Andrew Phillip | 2242025 | Buy | 7.99 | 9,450 | 75,506 | 75,506 | Form |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |