Hudbay Minerals (HBM)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $27.58 | Market Cap: $10.9 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Copper
Hudbay Minerals (HBM)
Market Price (6/22/2026): $27.58Market Cap: $10.9 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Copper
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Solar Energy Generation, and Wind Energy Development. | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 188% Key risksHBM key risks include [1] execution delays and cost overruns at its major copper projects, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Solar Energy Generation, and Wind Energy Development. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 188% |
| Key risksHBM key risks include [1] execution delays and cost overruns at its major copper projects, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Hudbay Minerals (HBM) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Positive Long-Term Outlook Counterbalanced by Near-Term Production Mix.
Hudbay Minerals reported record revenue of $757.3 million for fiscal Q1 2026, exceeding analyst forecasts by 8.37%, and an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40, a 17.65% beat over estimates. The company also achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $422 million and $102 million in free cash flow for the quarter. Furthermore, in March 2026, Hudbay reaffirmed its 2026 production guidance and projected a 24% increase in consolidated copper production over the next three years compared to 2025, along with mine life extensions for Snow Lake (to 2041) and Copper Mountain (to 2045). However, consolidated copper and gold production in fiscal Q1 2026 were lower than the fourth quarter of 2025 due to the anticipated depletion of the high-grade Pampacancha ore in late 2025, creating a mixed operational picture for the immediate term.
2. De-risking and Enhanced Growth Pipeline from Copper World and Cactus Projects.
The closing of the $600 million joint venture transaction with Mitsubishi Corporation in January 2026 for a 30% interest in the Copper World project significantly de-risked this key development and reduced Hudbay's estimated remaining capital contributions to approximately $200 million. Additionally, the acquisition of Arizona Sonoran Copper Company (Cactus project) was announced, positioning Hudbay to strengthen its U.S. growth pipeline and further enhance its long-term copper production profile by creating the third-largest copper district in North America. While these strategic moves bolster the company's future, the definitive feasibility study for Copper World is still expected in mid-2026, with a final sanctioning decision anticipated later in 2026, meaning the full realization of these benefits is yet to come.
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Hudbay Minerals (HBM) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Positive Long-Term Outlook Counterbalanced by Near-Term Production Mix.
Hudbay Minerals reported record revenue of $757.3 million for fiscal Q1 2026, exceeding analyst forecasts by 8.37%, and an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40, a 17.65% beat over estimates. The company also achieved a record adjusted EBITDA of $422 million and $102 million in free cash flow for the quarter. Furthermore, in March 2026, Hudbay reaffirmed its 2026 production guidance and projected a 24% increase in consolidated copper production over the next three years compared to 2025, along with mine life extensions for Snow Lake (to 2041) and Copper Mountain (to 2045). However, consolidated copper and gold production in fiscal Q1 2026 were lower than the fourth quarter of 2025 due to the anticipated depletion of the high-grade Pampacancha ore in late 2025, creating a mixed operational picture for the immediate term.
2. De-risking and Enhanced Growth Pipeline from Copper World and Cactus Projects.
The closing of the $600 million joint venture transaction with Mitsubishi Corporation in January 2026 for a 30% interest in the Copper World project significantly de-risked this key development and reduced Hudbay's estimated remaining capital contributions to approximately $200 million. Additionally, the acquisition of Arizona Sonoran Copper Company (Cactus project) was announced, positioning Hudbay to strengthen its U.S. growth pipeline and further enhance its long-term copper production profile by creating the third-largest copper district in North America. While these strategic moves bolster the company's future, the definitive feasibility study for Copper World is still expected in mid-2026, with a final sanctioning decision anticipated later in 2026, meaning the full realization of these benefits is yet to come.
3. Volatile but Elevated Copper Prices Partially Offset by a Gold Price Correction and Tariff Uncertainty.
Copper prices remained elevated and reached an all-time high of $6.67 per pound in June 2026, supported by a projected global deficit of approximately 35,000 tonnes in 2026 and significant U.S. stockpiling. This provided a strong tailwind for Hudbay. Conversely, the price of gold experienced a notable correction in March 2026, falling over 10% after reaching an all-time high of $5,608.35 per troy ounce in January 2026, which likely tempered overall investor enthusiasm despite long-term bullish forecasts from analysts for gold. Furthermore, ongoing discussions and anticipated recommendations regarding potential U.S. refined copper tariffs by June 30, 2026, introduced a layer of market uncertainty, leading to adjustments and a widening of the COMEX-LME copper spread.
4. Significant Insider Selling Activity.
During the 90-day period leading up to mid-June 2026, Hudbay Minerals experienced net insider selling totaling $6.3 million, with executives accounting for $6.1 million of this amount. This substantial insider selling activity, exceeding the $5 million threshold, likely contributed to a muted stock performance by signaling a cautious sentiment from company insiders, potentially offsetting positive company news such as the increased quarterly dividend to C$0.01 per share and the approval of a normal course issuer bid to repurchase up to 5% of its shares.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.6% change in HBM stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.31 | 27.59 | -2.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,063 | 2,373 | 15.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.4% | 27.7% | 24.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.3 | 16.6 | -31.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 396 | 397 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HBM | -2.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 74.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | -2.6% | 72.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 62.8% change in HBM stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 24.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.95 | 27.59 | 62.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,063 | 2,373 | 15.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 22.4% | 27.7% | 24.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 14.5 | 16.6 | 14.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 396 | 397 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 62.8% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HBM | 62.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 54.3% |
| Sector (XLB) | 17.0% | 63.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 209.7% change in HBM stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 274.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.91 | 27.59 | 209.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,091 | 2,373 | 13.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.4% | 27.7% | 274.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.7 | 16.6 | -26.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 395 | 397 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 209.7% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HBM | 209.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 50.9% |
| Sector (XLB) | 22.4% | 56.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 548.4% change in HBM stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026 was primarily driven by a 3079.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6212026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.26 | 27.59 | 548.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,378 | 2,373 | 72.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.9% | 27.7% | 3079.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 92.7 | 16.6 | -82.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 262 | 397 | -34.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 548.4% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/21/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| HBM | 548.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 50.1% |
| Sector (XLB) | 46.5% | 59.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HBM Return | 4% | -30% | 9% | 47% | 145% | 42% | 307% |
| Peers Return | 55% | 6% | 12% | -4% | 64% | 28% | 272% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HBM Win Rate | 58% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 55% | 55% | 43% | 67% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HBM Max Drawdown | -42% | -63% | -35% | -34% | -36% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -47% | -31% | -33% | -29% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FCX, TECK, SCCO, GOLD, NEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HBM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -15.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 628 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -57.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 107 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Hudbay Minerals's stock fell -21.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | HBM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.2% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.1% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.7% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 628 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -57.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.1% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 107 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.6% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 16 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -69.7% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 229.8% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 169 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 511.8% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 723 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -24.6% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.7% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -38.9% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.6% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5096 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 90 days | 125 days |
In The Past
Hudbay Minerals's stock fell -21.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Hudbay Minerals (HBM)
Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) is a Canada-headquartered diversified mining company engaged in the discovery, production, and marketing of both base and precious metals. The company maintains an operational footprint across North and South America, with existing mining and processing facilities in Canada and Peru, alongside copper development projects located in the United States.
The company's primary product portfolio includes copper concentrates, which are notable for containing not only copper but also valuable quantities of gold and silver. In addition, Hudbay produces silver/gold doré, a semi-pure alloy, as well as molybdenum concentrates and refined zinc metals. These products cater to various industrial demands, serving as essential raw materials for numerous manufacturing and technological applications.
Hudbay's robust infrastructure comprises three polymetallic mines, four ore concentrators, and a zinc production facility. These assets are strategically situated in northern Manitoba and Saskatchewan, Canada, and Cusco, Peru. The output from these operations is primarily sold to industrial customers, smelters, and refiners worldwide, who further process these metals for use in diverse global markets.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Hudbay Minerals (HBM):
- A smaller, Americas-focused Rio Tinto for base and precious metals.
- Think Teck Resources, but with a stronger focus on gold and silver.
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- Copper Concentrates: A concentrated form of ore containing copper, gold, and silver.
- Silver/Gold Doré: An alloy of gold and silver, typically produced at the mine site, which is then refined to separate the precious metals.
- Molybdenum Concentrates: A concentrated form of ore containing molybdenum, a metal used in alloys and chemicals.
- Zinc Metals: Refined zinc metal, primarily used in galvanizing steel and various alloys.
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Hudbay Minerals (HBM) sells primarily to other companies, rather than individuals. As a diversified mining company producing raw and semi-processed base and precious metals, its products are industrial inputs requiring further processing or manufacturing.
Hudbay's major customers are typically:
- Metal Smelters and Refineries: These companies purchase copper concentrates, silver/gold doré, and molybdenum concentrates to extract and refine the pure metals. These are large industrial operations that process raw ore and concentrates into usable forms of copper, gold, silver, and molybdenum.
- Industrial Manufacturers and Processors: Companies that require zinc metal for applications such as galvanizing, die-casting, and the production of various alloys and chemicals.
- Global Commodity Trading Houses: Large international firms that specialize in buying and selling bulk commodities. They often act as intermediaries, purchasing concentrates and refined metals from miners like Hudbay and then selling them to smelters, refiners, or end-users globally.
While Hudbay Minerals states in its public filings that it depends on a limited number of customers for a substantial portion of its revenue, especially for copper concentrate and zinc metal, the company does not publicly disclose the specific names of its major customer companies due to the competitive nature of the commodity markets and commercial confidentiality. Sales of copper concentrate from Peru are primarily to customers in Asia, while zinc metal sales are mainly to customers in North America.
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Peter Kukielski, President and Chief Executive Officer
Peter Kukielski was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer in January 2020, after serving as Interim Chief Executive Officer since July 2019. He brings over 30 years of extensive global experience across the base metals, precious metals, and bulk materials sectors. Prior to joining Hudbay, Mr. Kukielski was President and Chief Executive Officer of Nevsun Resources Ltd. from May 2017 until its acquisition in December 2018. From 2013 to 2017, he served as Chief Executive Officer of Anemka Resources, a private company backed by Warburg Pincus, which was formed to invest in global mining assets. His previous roles also include Chief Executive, Mining for ArcelorMittal (2008-2013) and Chief Operating Officer of Teck Resources (2006-2008).
Eugene Lei, Chief Financial Officer
Eugene Lei was appointed Chief Financial Officer in October 2022 and is responsible for providing strategic financial and capital markets leadership at Hudbay. He joined Hudbay in 2012 and has progressed through several senior management roles, including Senior Vice President, Corporate Development and Strategy from 2017 to 2022. Mr. Lei has over 25 years of global mining finance, investment banking, and corporate development experience. Before joining Hudbay, he was Managing Director, Mining at Macquarie Capital Markets from 2001 to 2012, where he advised on transformative mining mergers and acquisitions and led equity capital market offerings.
Andre Lauzon, Chief Operating Officer
Andre Lauzon was appointed Chief Operating Officer in January 2022. In this role, he leads Hudbay's international operating teams and is responsible for business development, technical services, exploration, and corporate social responsibility. He previously served as Vice President, Arizona Business Unit from 2018 to 2021.
Candace Brule, Senior Vice President, Capital Markets & Corporate Affairs
Candace Brule serves as the Senior Vice President, Capital Markets & Corporate Affairs at Hudbay Minerals Inc.
Robert Carter, Senior Vice President, Canada
Robert Carter was appointed Senior Vice President, Canada as of June 2025. He is responsible for the strategic oversight of Hudbay's business activities in Manitoba and British Columbia. Prior to this role, he was Vice President, Manitoba Business Unit since April 2022 and General Manager of Hudbay's Manitoba mines since 2018.
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The key risks to Hudbay Minerals (HBM) primarily revolve around commodity price fluctuations, challenges in project development, and geopolitical and social factors in its operating regions.
Commodity Price Volatility: Hudbay Minerals' revenue is highly dependent on the prices of base and precious metals, particularly copper, which accounts for approximately 60% of its sales. Significant or persistent declines in copper and gold prices can negatively impact the company's financial performance and share price.
Project Execution, Cost Overruns, and Permitting Delays: The company faces risks related to the execution and cost management of its major projects, such as Copper World. Potential cost overruns, permitting delays, and opposition from environmental groups could have a substantial long-term impact on the company's value and its ability to meet future production targets.
Geopolitical and Social Risks in Operating Regions: Hudbay operates mines in various jurisdictions, including Peru, which has experienced periods of social unrest and political instability. Such events can lead to operational disruptions, road blockades, and interruptions in the flow of personnel and supplies, thereby affecting production and profitability.
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Hudbay Minerals Inc. operates in the global markets for several key metals. The addressable market sizes for their main products are as follows:
- Copper: The global copper market size was estimated at USD 241.88 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 339.95 billion by 2030, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 6.5% from 2025 to 2030. Other estimates place the global copper market size at USD 291.12 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 442.04 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.75% from 2026 to 2034. Another valuation indicates the market size was USD 261.93 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 466.67 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.63%. The Asia Pacific region dominated the copper market in 2024, holding a 74.7% revenue share.
- Gold: The global gold market size was valued at USD 291.68 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 400 billion by the end of 2030, growing at a CAGR of 6.51% from 2025-2030. In terms of volume, the global gold market stood at 4,890.0 Tons in 2025 and is expected to grow to 7,424.4 Tons by 2034. Asia Pacific held the dominant share of the global gold market, accounting for 65.54% in 2025.
- Silver: The global silver market size was valued at USD 87.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from USD 95.20 billion in 2025 to USD 202.07 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.86%. Another estimate indicates the global silver market size was USD 23.51 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 36.51 billion by 2035.
- Molybdenum: The global molybdenum market size was valued at USD 4.96 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow from USD 5.23 billion in 2026 to USD 7.91 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 5.31%. In terms of volume, the market reached 6,000.8 Tons in 2025 and is estimated to reach 7,317.0 Tons by 2034. The Asia Pacific region currently dominates the molybdenum market, holding over 61.4% of the market share in 2025.
- Zinc: The global zinc market size was valued at USD 27.2 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow from USD 29.24 billion in 2025 to USD 52.14 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 7.5%. Another source indicates the global Zinc market is projected to reach USD 25 billion to USD 27 billion in 2025. Asia Pacific holds the largest share of the zinc market in terms of both production and consumption.
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Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several key initiatives and operational advancements across its diversified portfolio. These drivers encompass increased production from existing assets, the development of a major new copper project, and strategic enhancements to processing capabilities.
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Increased Copper Production from Copper Mountain (British Columbia): Hudbay anticipates a significant boost in copper output from its Copper Mountain mine. Optimization efforts are projected to lead to consolidated copper production averaging 144,000 tonnes per year over the next three years, with a notable increase to 161,000 tonnes expected in 2027. This represents a 17% increase from 2024 levels. Specifically, Copper Mountain is forecasted to deliver an average of 44,000 tonnes of copper annually over the next three years, including 60,000 tonnes in 2027, a substantial 127% increase from 2024. This growth is primarily attributed to enhanced operations and the ramp-up of mill throughput to a targeted 50,000 tonnes per day in the latter half of 2026.
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Advancement and Development of the Copper World Project (Arizona): The Copper World project in Arizona is a critical long-term growth catalyst for Hudbay. With Phase I expected to produce an average of 85,000 tonnes of copper annually over a 20-year mine life, this project is positioned to significantly expand Hudbay's copper production capacity. A final sanctioning decision for the project is anticipated in 2026, with the project operating entirely on private land, requiring only state and local permits. The strategic partnership with Mitsubishi Corporation, involving a $600 million investment for a 30% minority interest, further de-risks the project and supports its development.
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Increased Mill Throughput at Constancia (Peru): To counter the impact of lower grades following the depletion of the Pampacancha deposit in 2025, Hudbay plans to increase mill throughput at its Constancia operations in Peru. The company is evaluating the installation of pebble crushers, with installation expected to begin in the second half of 2026. This initiative aims to maintain steady annual copper production at Constancia despite declining grades and aligns with regulatory changes in Peru allowing for increased mill throughput.
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Sustained and Growing Gold Production (Manitoba): Gold production continues to be a meaningful contributor to Hudbay's revenue and provides important diversification. Consolidated gold production is projected to average 253,000 ounces per year over the next three years. Specifically, Manitoba operations are expected to see a 15% increase in gold production in 2026 compared to 2025, reflecting normalized operations after prior year wildfires and continued strong mill throughput at the New Britannia mill. In Q1 2025, revenue from gold production constituted 38% of total revenues, up from 29% a year earlier.
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Share Repurchases
- Hudbay Minerals received TSX approval in May 2025 for a Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB), authorizing the repurchase of up to 19,751,983 shares, representing 5% of its issued and outstanding shares, over a 12-month period ending May 29, 2026.
- In 2025, Hudbay repurchased and retired $102.1 million of senior unsecured notes through open market purchases. This included $39.3 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 and $13 million in Q3 2025, with an additional $20 million in October 2025.
Share Issuance
- In 2024, Hudbay saw an increase of $332.0 million in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments, partly due to a successful equity offering.
Inbound Investments
- In January 2026, Hudbay closed a $600 million joint venture transaction with Mitsubishi Corporation, establishing Mitsubishi as a 30% strategic partner for the development of the Copper World project.
- In March 2024, Hudbay signed a 5-year option agreement with Marubeni, under which Marubeni will fund up to C$12 million in exploration activities for three projects near Hudbay's Flin Flon facilities.
Outbound Investments
- In March 2026, Hudbay entered into a definitive agreement to acquire all outstanding common shares of Arizona Sonoran Copper Company Inc. (ASCU) not already owned by Hudbay, for an implied equity value of approximately US$1,480 million. This acquisition will give Hudbay 100% ownership of ASCU's Cactus project.
- Hudbay acquired the Copper Mountain mine in 2023, and in 2025, eliminated non-controlling interests related to it, increasing its exposure to this copper asset.
Capital Expenditures
- Hudbay invested $466.7 million in property, plant and equipment in 2025. In the same year, total sustaining capital expenditures were $365 million, and growth capital expenditures amounted to $205 million, primarily focused on mill throughput improvements in British Columbia and Peru, and de-risking activities for the Copper World project.
- For 2026, anticipated capital expenditures include $435 million for sustaining capital and $140 million for growth capital at operations (excluding Copper World joint venture spending), with an additional $135 million specifically for Copper World growth capital. These expenditures include approximately $96 million of capital deferrals from 2025.
- Significant capital investments in 2021 included the completion of the Pampacancha project in Peru and the New Britannia mill in Manitoba, along with an investment of nearly $25 million as part of a three-year, $60 million program to upgrade Flin Flon Tailings Impoundment System.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 66.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 65.2 |
| Rev LTM | 18,785 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,614 |
| FCF LTM | 1,210 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 889 |
| CFO LTM | 4,372 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,590 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 24.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 17.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 41.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 9.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 67.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 29.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 26.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 24.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 2,211 | 2,021 | 1,690 | 1,461 | 1,502 |
| Total | 2,211 | 2,021 | 1,690 | 1,461 | 1,502 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate and other activities | 9 | -64 | ||
| Manitoba | -13 | 47 | 62 | 180 |
| Arizona | -152 | -6 | ||
| Peru | -172 | -8 | ||
| Corporate | -36 | -39 | ||
| Other | -17 | -10 | ||
| South America | -16 | -25 | ||
| Total | -328 | -31 | -6 | 106 |
| $ Mil | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peru | 2,874 | 2,872 | |||
| Arizona | 783 | 857 | |||
| Manitoba | 765 | 1,003 | 1,216 | 1,529 | 990 |
| Corporate and other activities | 57 | 117 | |||
| Corporate | 169 | 758 | 678 | ||
| Other | 11 | 24 | 23 | ||
| South America | 2,215 | 1,194 | 708 | ||
| Total | 4,480 | 4,848 | 3,610 | 3,506 | 2,398 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $27.59 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 11.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/07/2009 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -13.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $25.72 | $20.88 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 7.3% | 32.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 71.4% | 59.6% |
| Downside Capture | 378.83 | 237.52 |
| Upside Capture | 346.96 | 297.51 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 75.6% | 52.0% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.77 | 4.16 | 3.33 | 2.33 | 2.20 | 1.68 |
| Up Beta | 4.18 | 3.56 | 3.74 | 3.06 | 2.51 | 1.54 |
| Down Beta | 7.44 | 8.25 | 2.13 | 0.75 | 1.13 | 1.61 |
| Up Capture | 512% | 385% | 371% | 473% | 770% | 1540% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 34 | 70 | 141 | 395 |
| Down Capture | 409% | 536% | 333% | 187% | 160% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 16 | 29 | 54 | 109 | 344 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HBM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HBM | 180.7% | 59.3% | 1.96 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 21.2% | 17.5% | 0.94 | 56.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 51.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 62.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | 2.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 15.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.4% | -1.08 | 28.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HBM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HBM | 31.2% | 55.5% | 0.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 5.9% | 19.0% | 0.20 | 61.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 48.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 44.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 36.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 33.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 24.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with HBM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HBM | 19.0% | 58.8% | 0.54 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 10.2% | 20.7% | 0.44 | 57.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 48.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 30.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 38.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 32.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 16.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/3/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/01/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/27/2025 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 6-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/01/2026 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/27/2026 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/27/2025 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/13/2024 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/28/2024 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/31/2023 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/29/2022 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/10/2021 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/12/2021 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/30/2021 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/04/2020 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/12/2020 | 6-K |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/15/2020 | 6-K |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/31/2020 | 40-F |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/12/2019 | 6-K |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/09/2019 | 6-K |
Industry Resources
| Materials Resources |
| Chemical & Engineering News (C&EN) |
| Mining.com |
| Plastics News |
| Copper Resources |
| International Copper Association |
| Copper Investing News |
| Kitco Copper |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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