Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0  Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 213%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.1%
0 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13
1 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 213%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.1%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

CNL Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CNL Return---13%67%30%179%435%
Peers Return38%-9%-6%-3%-0%79%102%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNL Win Rate-20%42%42%58%78% 
Peers Win Rate37%35%38%40%37%71% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNL Max Drawdown---32%0%-30%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-22%-26%-19%-17%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: B, FNV, FSM, NAMM, NEM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-52.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven93 days464 days

Compare to B, FNV, FSM, NAMM, NEM


In The Past

Collective Mining's stock fell -52.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/14/2021. A -52.5% loss requires a 110.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Collective Mining (CNL)

Better Bets than Collective Mining (CNL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CNL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AXTA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025AXTAAxalta Coating SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%-7.8%
GPK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025GPKGraphic PackagingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.8%-16.8%-16.8%
FCX_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.0%8.0%-0.9%
KWR_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025KWRQuaker HoughtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.5%14.5%0.0%
TGLS_6302025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302025TGLSTecnoglassQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.1%-23.1%-23.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AXTA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025AXTAAxalta Coating SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%-7.8%
GPK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025GPKGraphic PackagingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.8%-16.8%-16.8%
FCX_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.0%8.0%-0.9%
KWR_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025KWRQuaker HoughtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.5%14.5%0.0%
TGLS_6302025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302025TGLSTecnoglassQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.1%-23.1%-23.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Collective Mining

Financials

CNLBFNVFSMNAMMNEMMedian
NameCollecti.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Namib Mi.Newmont  
Mkt Price11.5933.06188.908.261.9282.3122.33
Mkt Cap0.956.736.42.5-90.336.4
Rev LTM013,8241,3341,098-21,5031,334
Op Inc LTM-295,351911322-9,359911
FCF LTM-25--938238-6,122106
FCF 3Y Avg-20-42113-2,63677
CFO LTM-25-1,176437-9,224806
CFO 3Y Avg-20-1,017324-5,616670

Growth & Margins

CNLBFNVFSMNAMMNEMMedian
NameCollecti.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Namib Mi.Newmont  
Rev Chg LTM-16.9%18.1%26.8%-26.6%22.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.9%0.7%16.8%-23.9%11.3%
Rev Chg Q-16.4%42.0%47.4%-20.0%31.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.9%8.9%7.2%-4.5%5.9%
Op Mgn LTM-38.7%68.3%29.4%-43.5%41.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-29.4%63.5%19.4%-23.9%26.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.2%1.6%2.9%-4.5%3.0%
CFO/Rev LTM--88.1%39.8%-42.9%42.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--82.3%36.2%-32.6%36.2%
FCF/Rev LTM---70.3%21.7%-28.5%21.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--6.5%10.5%-13.8%10.5%

Valuation

CNLBFNVFSMNAMMNEMMedian
NameCollecti.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Namib Mi.Newmont  
Mkt Cap0.956.736.42.5-90.336.4
P/S-4.127.32.3-4.24.2
P/EBIT-22.29.936.38.1-8.68.6
P/E-22.120.546.416.1-12.616.1
P/CFO-36.5-31.05.8-9.87.8
Total Yield-4.5%5.8%2.7%6.2%-9.2%5.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.9%0.5%0.0%-1.2%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.2%-0.4%5.4%-3.6%2.0%
D/E0.00.00.00.1-0.10.0
Net D/E-0.10.0-0.0-0.1--0.0-0.0

Returns

CNLBFNVFSMNAMMNEMMedian
NameCollecti.Barrick .Franco-N.Fortuna .Namib Mi.Newmont  
1M Rtn-19.8%0.9%-15.3%-7.8%-41.6%-2.4%-11.5%
3M Rtn28.3%57.4%18.8%28.1%-51.5%33.0%28.2%
6M Rtn22.1%82.0%14.5%38.8%-61.1%38.8%
12M Rtn212.7%68.6%40.0%61.6%-78.9%68.6%
3Y Rtn624.4%136.8%57.8%197.1%-112.8%136.8%
1M Excs Rtn-23.1%-3.6%-16.7%-8.7%-40.9%-5.9%-12.7%
3M Excs Rtn16.2%46.2%7.7%19.9%-64.3%22.6%18.0%
6M Excs Rtn0.4%60.2%-7.2%17.1%-39.4%17.1%
12M Excs Rtn202.1%52.1%23.1%44.2%-56.5%52.1%
3Y Excs Rtn538.6%56.5%-17.5%116.1%-34.0%56.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity978,384
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-51.1%
Average Daily Volume76,167
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.85
Basic Shares Quantity78,712,812
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581320256-K 6/30/2025
331202551420256-K 3/31/2025
12312024326202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024111420246-K 9/30/2024

Insider Activity

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