Tearsheet

Karat Packaging (KRT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.43 | Market Cap: $449.9 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Karat Packaging (KRT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.43
Market Cap: $449.9 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 6.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 6.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -32%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KRT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The -9.3% movement in Karat Packaging (KRT) stock during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:



1. Negative Market Reaction to Q3 2025 Earnings: Karat Packaging's stock experienced a significant decline following its Q3 2025 earnings report on November 6, 2025. As of December 4, 2025, the stock was noted to be down 6.5% since this reporting, indicating an immediate negative market sentiment despite some metrics.

2. Significant Gross Margin Contraction: A major concern for investors highlighted in the Q3 2025 report was the substantial year-over-year decrease in the company's gross margin, which fell to 34.5% from 38.6%. This reduction was primarily driven by increased import costs and tariffs, impacting overall profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KRT Return---27%82%29%-22%33%
Peers Return16%14%1%-1%-5%8%35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KRT Win Rate-62%42%75%58%20% 
Peers Win Rate53%58%45%42%47%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KRT Max Drawdown---34%-11%-8%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-8%-22%-17%-15%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SLGN, GEF, OI, TRS, BALL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKRTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven158 days464 days

Compare to SLGN, GEF, OI, TRS, BALL


In The Past

Karat Packaging's stock fell -49.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/26/2021. A -49.7% loss requires a 99.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Karat Packaging (KRT)

Better Bets than Karat Packaging (KRT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Karat Packaging

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KRTSLGNGEFOITRSBALLMedian
NameKarat Pa.Silgan Greif O-I GlassTriMas Ball  
Mkt Price22.4439.2666.1913.9634.1848.7836.72
Mkt Cap0.54.23.82.11.413.23.0
Rev LTM4426,4265,9866,4551,01412,6946,206
Op Inc LTM43640534577691,362555
FCF LTM4265335694414067
FCF 3Y Avg45243336153011178
CFO LTM45372490516103551431
CFO 3Y Avg5250253262885851517

Growth & Margins

KRTSLGNGEFOITRSBALLMedian
NameKarat Pa.Silgan Greif O-I GlassTriMas Ball  
Rev Chg LTM8.0%11.1%18.5%-2.8%11.8%7.4%9.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.3%0.4%-1.3%-1.3%4.6%-4.4%-0.4%
Rev Chg Q10.1%15.1%-2.6%-1.5%17.4%9.6%9.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.6%4.3%-0.5%-0.4%4.1%2.4%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM9.7%10.0%8.9%8.9%6.8%10.7%9.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.7%10.1%9.5%9.3%6.5%9.8%9.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.8%-0.1%0.2%1.5%0.7%-0.1%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM10.2%5.8%8.2%8.0%10.2%4.3%8.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.5%8.4%9.7%9.2%9.0%7.6%9.1%
FCF/Rev LTM9.6%1.0%5.6%1.1%4.4%1.1%2.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%4.1%6.1%0.2%3.2%1.0%3.7%

Valuation

KRTSLGNGEFOITRSBALLMedian
NameKarat Pa.Silgan Greif O-I GlassTriMas Ball  
Mkt Cap0.54.23.82.11.413.23.0
P/S1.30.70.60.31.51.10.9
P/EBIT12.47.88.46.720.611.49.9
P/E17.614.519.9-13.735.620.118.8
P/CFO12.512.37.73.915.224.812.4
Total Yield12.1%8.7%8.3%-7.3%3.2%6.6%7.5%
Dividend Yield6.4%1.9%3.3%0.0%0.4%1.6%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.8%4.5%8.9%0.2%2.4%0.9%3.5%
D/E0.21.10.82.60.30.50.7
Net D/E0.11.00.72.30.30.50.6

Returns

KRTSLGNGEFOITRSBALLMedian
NameKarat Pa.Silgan Greif O-I GlassTriMas Ball  
1M Rtn-4.3%1.6%16.6%18.7%-5.4%4.0%2.8%
3M Rtn-8.3%-11.5%9.6%11.9%-11.3%-2.3%-5.3%
6M Rtn-24.2%-25.9%22.3%7.1%33.1%-7.7%-0.3%
12M Rtn-23.4%-29.6%-3.7%11.3%29.4%-20.3%-12.0%
3Y Rtn91.3%-24.0%2.9%-17.1%24.3%-8.8%-2.9%
1M Excs Rtn-4.2%1.6%16.7%18.7%-5.3%4.0%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn-16.0%-17.4%3.5%5.2%-18.2%-8.2%-12.1%
6M Excs Rtn-38.9%-40.6%7.6%-7.7%18.4%-22.4%-15.0%
12M Excs Rtn-35.7%-43.9%-17.0%-2.8%16.6%-33.6%-25.3%
3Y Excs Rtn29.4%-93.5%-70.6%-86.7%-41.6%-80.2%-75.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity189,210
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-14.8%
Average Daily Volume171,576
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.10
Basic Shares Quantity20,058,247
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021