Tearsheet

Greif (GEF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $66.215 | Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Greif (GEF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $66.215
Market Cap: $3.8 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 8.9%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.3%, Dividend Yield is 3.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.1%, FCF Yield is 8.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 70%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GEF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Greif's Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Exceeded Expectations. Greif reported its fiscal third-quarter 2025 results on August 27, 2025, just before the start of the specified period. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $1.03, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.81, and quarterly revenue of $1.13 billion, which was also above analysts' expectations. This positive earnings surprise likely contributed to a favorable market sentiment for the stock entering the period.

2. Completion of the Containerboard Business Divestiture. Greif finalized the all-cash sale of its containerboard business for $1.8 billion to Packaging Corporation of America, with the transaction closing on August 31, 2025. This strategic divestment was expected to enhance earnings consistency, improve capital efficiency, and accelerate debt reduction, signaling a focused portfolio strategy to investors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GEF Return12%33%14%1%-4%10%81%
Peers Return7%-10%-17%-7%-17%8%-33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GEF Win Rate58%75%42%33%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate50%47%42%38%40%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GEF Max Drawdown-43%-4%-10%-13%-13%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-25%-35%-20%-25%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SLGN, OI, TRS, DSS, BALL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGEFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-23.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven30.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven153 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven243 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven630 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven170.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4902 days1480 days

Compare to SLGN, OI, TRS, DSS, BALL


In The Past

Greif's stock fell -23.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/11/2021. A -23.5% loss requires a 30.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Greif (GEF)

Better Bets than Greif (GEF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GEF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Greif

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GEFSLGNOITRSDSSBALLMedian
NameGreif Silgan O-I GlassTriMas DSS Ball  
Mkt Price66.1939.2613.9634.181.0248.7836.72
Mkt Cap3.84.22.11.40.013.23.0
Rev LTM5,9866,4266,4551,0142112,6946,206
Op Inc LTM53464057769-181,362555
FCF LTM335656944-314067
FCF 3Y Avg3362431530-1411170
CFO LTM490372516103-3551431
CFO 3Y Avg53250262885-14851517

Growth & Margins

GEFSLGNOITRSDSSBALLMedian
NameGreif Silgan O-I GlassTriMas DSS Ball  
Rev Chg LTM18.5%11.1%-2.8%11.8%10.3%7.4%10.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.3%0.4%-1.3%4.6%-14.0%-4.4%-1.3%
Rev Chg Q-2.6%15.1%-1.5%17.4%25.5%9.6%12.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.5%4.3%-0.4%4.1%5.3%2.4%3.2%
Op Mgn LTM8.9%10.0%8.9%6.8%-85.2%10.7%8.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.5%10.1%9.3%6.5%-99.4%9.8%9.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.1%1.5%0.7%12.3%-0.1%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM8.2%5.8%8.0%10.2%-14.5%4.3%6.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%8.4%9.2%9.0%-60.5%7.6%8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM5.6%1.0%1.1%4.4%-15.6%1.1%1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.1%4.1%0.2%3.2%-64.3%1.0%2.1%

Valuation

GEFSLGNOITRSDSSBALLMedian
NameGreif Silgan O-I GlassTriMas DSS Ball  
Mkt Cap3.84.22.11.40.013.23.0
P/S0.60.70.31.50.41.10.7
P/EBIT8.47.86.720.6-0.211.48.1
P/E19.914.5-13.735.6-0.220.117.2
P/CFO7.712.33.915.2-2.824.810.0
Total Yield8.3%8.7%-7.3%3.2%-527.4%6.6%4.9%
Dividend Yield3.3%1.9%0.0%0.4%0.0%1.6%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.9%4.5%0.2%2.4%-54.2%0.9%1.7%
D/E0.81.12.60.36.60.50.9
Net D/E0.71.02.30.35.10.50.8

Returns

GEFSLGNOITRSDSSBALLMedian
NameGreif Silgan O-I GlassTriMas DSS Ball  
1M Rtn16.6%1.6%18.7%-5.4%-9.3%4.0%2.8%
3M Rtn9.6%-11.5%11.9%-11.3%-25.3%-2.3%-6.8%
6M Rtn22.3%-25.9%7.1%33.1%22.4%-7.7%14.7%
12M Rtn-3.7%-29.6%11.3%29.4%11.7%-20.3%3.8%
3Y Rtn2.9%-24.0%-17.1%24.3%-77.1%-8.8%-12.9%
1M Excs Rtn16.7%1.6%18.7%-5.3%-9.2%4.0%2.8%
3M Excs Rtn3.5%-17.4%5.2%-18.2%-21.4%-8.2%-12.8%
6M Excs Rtn7.6%-40.6%-7.7%18.4%7.7%-22.4%-0.0%
12M Excs Rtn-17.0%-43.9%-2.8%16.6%-13.9%-33.6%-15.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-70.6%-93.5%-86.7%-41.6%-150.3%-80.2%-83.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity869,942
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202511.0%
Average Daily Volume230,160
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.78
Basic Shares Quantity58,139,986
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025828202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025605202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025227202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241223202410-K 10/31/2024
7312024829202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024606202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024229202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231218202310-K 10/31/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023608202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023303202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221216202210-K 10/31/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022304202210-Q 1/31/2022
103120211216202110-K 10/31/2021